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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

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first estimates for Germany's weekend: Eternals is opening higher than I expected; close between NTTD and Eternals for #1 with 250k admissions each.

#3: Die Schule der magischen Tiere - 160k

#4/5: Venom2 and Contra with 110k each

 

That would mean excellent holds or even increases - let's hope actuals are not too far off!

 

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The second trend:

 

#1 or 2 Eternals 300k - that's now with Wednesday previews (52k)

#1 or 2 NTTD 260k - as predicted by IndustriousAngel probably Bond stays on top this weekend

#3 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 130k

#4 Venom2 125k

#5 Contra 110k

#6 Happy Family2 90k

#7 HK 50k

#8 Dune 37.5k

#9 BB2 30k

#10 Ron's Gone Wrong 30k

 

 

 

Edited by el sid
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3. Trend :


Eternals (305T), Keine Zeit zu sterben (260T), Die Schule der magischen Tiere (150T), Venom - Let There Be Carnage(130T), Contra (105T), Happy Family 2 (90T), Halloween Kills (47,5T), Dune (40T), Boss Baby - Schluss mit Kindergarten (32,5T), Ron läuft schief (32,5T), The French Dispatch (25T).

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The Monday update:

#1 Eternals with 270k admissions without Wednesday/320k with Wednesday
#2 NTTD 265k/5.35M total admissions
#3 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 165k/1.15M
#4 Venom2 135k/855k
#5 Contra 105k/300k
#6 Happy Family 90k
#7 HK 47.5k/370k
#8 Dune 42.5k/1.695M

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Starting with today, there's a strict vaccinated-or-recovered policy in Austria - in gastronomy but also cultural events, so you can't go to the movies any longer if you're not vaccinated or have already had Covid19. This will probably lead to a drop in admissions, at least for a few weeks (numbers of daily vaccinations are already going up as a result, too - which was the goal I guess ...). Movies for young audiences should suffer harder than those for mature people (vaccinations much higher the older people are)

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1 minute ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Starting with today, there's a strict vaccinated-or-recovered policy in Austria - in gastronomy but also cultural events, so you can't go to the movies any longer if you're not vaccinated or have already had Covid19. This will probably lead to a drop in admissions, at least for a few weeks (numbers of daily vaccinations are already going up as a result, too - which was the goal I guess ...). Movies for young audiences should suffer harder than those for mature people (vaccinations much higher the older people are)

You have full vaxx 63,5% of your population and who knows how many people got covid there, so personally i wouldnt worry all that much.We will see a drop but not a huge drop i would imagine.

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13 minutes ago, john2000 said:

You have full vaxx 63,5% of your population and who knows how many people got covid there, so personally i wouldnt worry all that much.We will see a drop but not a huge drop i would imagine.

Thats lower than I expected tbh.

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22 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Thats lower than I expected tbh.

yeah it's lower than our politicians expected, too (in fact, there's at least one opposition party which tries to cash in on conspiracy theories, dissuading people from getting vaccinated, promoting Ivermectin and so on) - so now the government are putting the pressure on, hopefully it helps.

 

btw, I just read that Bavaria - 2nd biggest of Germany's regions - will switch to the same model this week. Let's see if (and how) it will reflect on next week's numbers.

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3 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

In Spain we are at 88.8% over 12 years.

Number increased to 99% over 60 years....

Spain and Portugal have overall high vaccinerate, but germany is in line with most(?) of west europe - france, britain, norway, sweden are around 70%. Danemark, Irland are at 75% iirc and austria, swiz is around 65%

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Germany's Top14 last weekend:

 

 

 

title

admissions

 

 

 

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Eternals

269.442

 

 

 

544

495

318.967

3.496.416

-

1

2

No Time To Die

266.317

 

 

 

712

374

5.357.062

5.357.062

-28

6

3

Die Schule der magischen Tiere

165.159

 

 

 

754

219

1.155.122

8.038.164

+26

4

4

Venom 2

134.739

 

 

 

568

237

853.312

8.367.889

-35

3

5

Contra

106.626

 

 

 

487

219

300.224

2.666.665

+5

2

6

Happy Family 2

74.778

 

 

 

486

154

89.288

654.986

-

1

7

Halloween Kills

48.137

 

 

 

431

112

370.067

3.309.939

-65

3

8

Dune

42.803

 

 

 

341

126

1.694.827

17.802.396

-29

8

9

Boss Baby 2)

33.699

 

 

 

490

69

328.502

2.448.898

-7

4

10

Ron's Gone Wrong

31.929

 

 

 

457

70

89.751

654.019

-2

2

11

The French Dispatch

27.144

 

 

 

127

214

139.038

1.173.522

-14

3

12

Paw Patrol

20.941

 

 

 

338

62

1.476.762

10.330.813

+26

12

13

Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase!

15.671

 

 

 

342

46

191.607

191.607

-40

4

14

Die Pfefferkörner und der Schatz …

10.161

 

 

 

275

37

251.843

1.722.784

+4

6

In a close race, Eternals took the lead against 007's 6th weekend. Without much competition through November, 1mil total should be doable, as do 6mil total for No Time To Die! It was also a good weekend for family movies, and domestic comedy Contra managed to increase a bit (from an underwhelming OW).

Next weekend: The latest Til Schweiger dramedy, Die Rettung der uns bekannten Welt, will probably be the biggest opener but it will be lucky to finish inside the Top3. So we might see good holds with the caveat of the Covid19 situation - as mentioned, in Austria and parts of Germany we'll have very strict admission regulations, basically you can't go to the movies if you're not either vaccinated or recovered - it's hard to predict the impact but with a lot of youngsters and most children yet unvaccinated, I'd say family releases will get hit hardest, while movies for older more mature audiences should see little impact.

Edited by IndustriousAngel
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On 11/7/2021 at 11:45 AM, CJohn said:

How are things looking in Germany with the number of COVID cases at a all time high?

 

Our government is basically on panic mode yet again with no clear strategy yet again. Our problem is that we have millions of people who for many many (bad) reasons dont want to get vaccinated. Those people fill up the hospitals right now and our ICU's are feeling the stress.

 

Basically, because we have a lot of dumb people, we see another wave that was completely unnecessary. And yes, im done trying to understand people who dont want to get vaccinated (i ofc dont refer to those, who have valid medical/other reasons why they cant get a vaccine). I think they're just idiots.

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