BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	The Nun	170.675	472	362	482.036	4.363.527	-32	2
2	The Predator	81.794	501	163	91.413	1.018.267	-	1
3	Das schönste Mädchen der Welt	80.883	594	136	230.263	1.776.724	-18	2
4	Pettersson und Findus - Findus zieht um	63.687	525	121	82.790	539.652	-	1
5	Hotel Transylvania 3	58.642	698	84	2.247.675	16.522.582	-29	9
6	Book Club	57.531	332	173	87.332	729.849	-	1
7	The Equalizer 2	43.027	485	89	698.090	6.381.991	-37	5
8	Mile 22	41.624	274	152	53.851	437.701	-	1
9	Sauerkrautkoma	39.041	393	99	883.154	7.040.029	-36	6
10	Mackie Messer - Brechts 3Groschenfilm	36.362	104	350	42.847	371.235	-	1
11	Mission: Impossible 6	30.955	307	101	1.216.630	13.121.186	-36	7
12	Mamma Mia! 2	28.040	484	58	2.105.320	17.624.873	-38	9
13	BlacKkKlansman	23.470	158	149	216.921	1.858.045	-20	4
14	Gundermann	21.713	199	109	222.632	1.845.986	-23	4
15	Meg	20.562	345	60	583.555	5.731.783	-43	6
16	Christopher Robin	20.188	533	38	370.978	2.691.790	-41	5
17	The Spy Who Dumped Me	18.325	383	48	158.382	1.280.428	-45	3
18	Alpha	18.312	256	72	70.266	653.441	-47	2
19	Grüner wird's nicht, sagte der Gärtner …	17.105	322	53	122.479	944.251	-24	3
20	The Children Act	16.714	153	109	94.442	748.462	-24	3

 

A few good holds is what's positive about last weekend … the openers with disappointing PTAs except maybe 3Groschenfilm. The Predator stayed on the lowest end of expectations and will probably have a very short run. Among holdovers, The Nun and Sauerkrautkoma show that their respective franchises are alive and kicking, and even Equalizer 2 might reach the first one's total.

Next weekend: The House With a Clock in its Walls belongs to a genre nearly extinct, namely kids horror - difficult to gauge its potential but 50k admissions should be doable. And Til Schwaiger's latest comedy, Klassentreffen 1.0, will probably not do much better than previous offerings from the past years - but even reduced interest should be enough for #1, I expect something like 150k for the weekend. And with comedies, it's mostly about the legs anyway. With not much new competition, expect some good holds once more!

[IndustriousAngel]

bookings for THWaCiiW and Klassentreffen1.0 are about head-to-head on opening day at my theater which means that the UPI horror will probably come out strongest since family films are always weak on presales.

Edited September 20, 2018 by IndustriousAngel

[IndustriousAngel]

Fiist weekend estimates from insidekino.de

#1: Klassentreffen1.0 - 175k admissions (incl. previews) - expected number

#2: The Nun - 110k (-35%, not so good for this weekend)

#3: Book Club - 65k (an increase!)

#4: The Predator - 60k (-25%)

 

 

[el sid]

And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

The new releases:

Klassentreffen 1.0 (a German comedy, released in 627 theaters, almost no reviews): 15k
The House With a Clock in its Walls (460, ok reviews): 5.1k → 60 OW predicted in the first trend
Searching (219, good reviews): 4.5k → also 60k OW
Wackersdorf (a German drama, 132 theaters, good reviews): 2.4k → 25k OW

The holdovers:

The Nun: 11k (actuals last Thursday 20k) - therefor that WOM isn't really good, it holds well
Book Club: 7.5k (9k)
Predator: 6.5k (15k)

[George Parr]

Not a whole lot of change with the second trend, biggest changes ae Book Club and Predator dropping a bit:

 

#1 Klassentreffen 1.0 175k

#2 The Nun 110k

#3 Book Club 60k

#4 The House With a Clock in its Walls 60k

#5 Searching 60k

#6 Das schönste Mädchen der Welt 55k

#7 Pettersson und Findus 50k

#8 Predator 50k

#9 HT3 40k

#10 Mackie Messer 30k

[George Parr]

3rd trend is seeing quite a few changes. Klassentreffen, Pettersson und Findus, The House..., and HT3 are all up quite a bit, while Book Club keeps dropping:

 

#1 Klassentreffen 1.0 200k

#2 The Nun 110k

#3 The House With a Clock in its Walls 75k

#4 Pettersson und Findus 65k

#5 Searching 60k

#6 Das schönste Mädchen der Welt 55k

#7 HT3 55k

#8 Book Club 50k

#9 Predator 45k

#10 Mackie Messer 30k

Edited September 23, 2018 by George Parr

[KeepItU25071906]

On 9/21/2018 at 11:29 AM, IndustriousAngel said:

Fiist weekend estimates from insidekino.de

#4: The Predator - 60k (-25%)

 

21 hours ago, George Parr said:

Not a whole lot of change with the second trend, biggest changes ae Book Club and Predator dropping a bit:

#8 Predator 50k

 

11 minutes ago, George Parr said:

3rd trend is seeing quite a few changes. Klassentreffen, Pettersson und Findus, The House..., and HT3 are all up quite a bit, while Book Club keeps dropping:

#9 Predator 45k

 

[Giesi]

I already thought Rogue One being the most attended movie of 2016 with barely 4M adm was piss-poor, but if IW really takes the 2018 crown with 3,4M......

[Brainbug]

17 minutes ago, Giesi said:

I already thought Rogue One being the most attended movie of 2016 with barely 4M adm was piss-poor, but if IW really takes the 2018 crown with 3,4M......

 

[IndustriousAngel]

I think everybody expected the 2018 BO to be really bad, but the kind of disaster we're witnessing was not foreseen, with bad surprises every week and only say one positive surprise per month - chances are that Germany will miss the 100mil admissions mark in 2018 ...

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

I think everybody expected the 2018 BO to be really bad, but the kind of disaster we're witnessing was not foreseen, with bad surprises every week and only say one positive surprise per month - chances are that Germany will miss the 100mil admissions mark in 2018 ...

 

Hey, on a positive note, there is srsly no way 2019 will be as bad....right?

[George Parr]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

 

Hey, on a positive note, there is srsly no way 2019 will be as bad....right?

As long as you take the positive approach and just go with "not as bad" instead of "not bad", 2019 should be fine 😛

Edited September 23, 2018 by George Parr

[el sid]

The Monday update is once again a nicer sight:

#1 Klassentreffen1.0 195k/215k
#2 The Nun 112.5k/630k
#3 The House With a Clock 100k - a big jump
#4 Pettersson und Findus 92.5k/185k

#5 HT3 75k/2.330M
#6 Das schönste Mädchen 62.5k/310k
#7 Book Club 52.5k/170k
#8 Predator 47.5k/160k
#9 Searching 47.5/67.5k
#10 Mackie Messer 32.5k/90k
#11 Mile22 27.5k/95k
#12 Sauerkrautkoma 27.5k/925k
#13 The Equalizer2 25k/735k
#14 Wackersdorf 22.5k/27.5k
#15 M: I6 22.5k/1.250M

Edited September 24, 2018 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Klassentreffen 1.0	194.086	627	310	217.566	1.964.546	-	1
2	The Nun	113.272	495	229	631.369	5.680.991	-34	3
3	The House With a Clock in its Wall	100.103	465	215	100.103	765.788	-	1
4	Pettersson und Findus - Findus zieht um	92.557	593	156	185.472	1.198.175	+45	2
5	Hotel Transylvania 3	76.030	634	120	2.329.709	17.097.240	+30	10
6	Das schönste Mädchen der Welt	64.039	613	104	309.728	2.380.324	-21	3
7	Book Club	53.396	403	132	168.039	1.418.158	-7	2
8	The Predator	46.811	504	93	161.195	1.749.178	-43	2
9	Searching (COL)	46.287	217	213	66.604	516.044	-	1
10	Mackie Messer - Brechts 3Groschenfilm	33.183	122	272	91.130	786.702	-9	2
11	Mile 22	28.032	274	102	94.305	783.953	-33	2
12	Sauerkrautkoma	26.650	303	88	920.348	7.330.450	-32	7
13	The Equalizer 2	26.213	365	72	733.498	6.708.111	-39	6
14	Wackersdorf	22.546	129	175	30.178	239.246	-	1
15	Mission: Impossible 6	21.938	209	105	1.246.226	13.436.873	-29	8
16	Mamma Mia! 2	17.589	453	39	2.132.771	17.859.688	-37	10
17	Christopher Robin	17.521	436	40	391.694	2.833.721	-13	6
18	BlacKkKlansman	17.070	151	113	241.602	2.067.451	-27	5
19	Gundermann	15.754	191	82	247.641	2.049.825	-27	5
20	Grüner wird's nicht, sagte der Gärtner …	13.244	269	49	142.723	1.098.051	-23	4

Weather turned nasty and saved the weekend (a bit) - family stuff up a lot and good holds except The Predator. Openers were ok, let's see if Klassentreffen can develop some legs.

Next weekend: BO is bound to take a leap with two attractive openers - Herbig's Ballon, a "true" story about a family's daring escape from the GDR - a feat I still remember from the papers despite the fact it happened 40 years ago! And, of course, The Incredibles 2 which finally gets its German release and should win the weekend with a healthy market share. The first one reached 3,5mil total - not that much for a CGI movie - but it experienced a healthy post-theater run and is still very much present, so I really do hope it can reach something like 4-5mil total. 2018 is in dire need of some hits … weather forecasts look sunny but rather cool, so probably a good weekend for family stuff!

Edited September 25, 2018 by IndustriousAngel

[Giesi]

Pixar only had 2 movies over 4M adm, I think we should lower our expectations. Anything over 3M would be fine considering the situation of the market right now. 

Edited September 25, 2018 by Giesi

[IndustriousAngel]

4 hours ago, Giesi said:

Pixar only had 2 movies over 4M adm, I think we should lower our expectations. Anything over 3M would be fine considering the situation of the market right now. 

🤢

[Brainbug]

10 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

🤢

 

Hey you know thats like the perfect facial expression for the German box office this year.

[Giesi]

10 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Hey you know thats like the perfect facial expression for the German box office this year.

[Brainbug]

4 minutes ago, Giesi said:

 

And that gif pretty much sums up our government right now

Edited September 25, 2018 by Brainbug

[Giesi]

40 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

And that gif pretty much sums up our government right now

I have the feeling that the end of Merkel has slowly come, she really did a great job in the 13 years of being the head of government.  I‘m so worried who and what will come after her, I really am. But that’s off-topic.