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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: M:I6 stays on top

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Posted (edited)

And the Thursday actuals (Blickpunkt:Film):

The new releases:

Sauerkrautkoma: 33k (the predecessor "Grießnockerlaffäre" had 22k OD) → 150k OW with previews
The Meg: 30k - it went up!
The Guernsey Literary And Potato Peel Pie Society: 5.2k → 45k OW
Duck Duck Goose: 6.6k → 25k OW

The holdovers:

Missions: Impossible - Fallout: 36k (actuals last Thursday 50k)
Hotel Transylvania 3: 32k whole day (42k whole day)
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 31k (41k)

Edited by el sid
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The second trend looks similar:

#1 M: I6 175k
#2 Sauerkrautkoma 170k
#3 HT3 140k

#4 MM2 140k
#5 The Meg 125k
#6 Ant-Man and the Wasp 80k
#7 Deine Juliet 47.5k
#8 The First Purge 25k
#9 Duck Duck Goose 25k

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So, Sauerkrautkoma will definitely NOT be #1 this weekend; still a great number. The last entry in the series (Grießnockerlaffäre) opened a year ago to about 135k including previews, so once more the franchise is showing an upwards trend, not bad for the 5th entry. However, last year there followed an increase on 2nd weekend (bad weather) so let's see if Sauerkrautkoma can get near its predecessor's total (>800k)

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The 3rd trend has almost everything increasing once more. :) 

 

#1 MI6: 200k

#2: Sauerkrautkoma: 170k

#3/4: HT3/MM2: 150k

#5: Meg: 140k

 

Also Ant-Man and the Wasp has now passed the first movie's total and continues the streak of every MCU sequel or threequel outperforming its predecessors.

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The Monday update, as often it looks a bit better for most movies:

#1 M: I6 200k/600k (only -21% without previews)
#2 HT3 167.5k/1.525M

#3 Sauerkrautkoma 160k/180k (read that the 20k out of its previews were originated from only 20 screens!)
#4 MM2 157.5k/1.430M
#5 The Meg 155k - again an increase :) 

#6 Ant-Man and the Wasp 90k/585k
#7 The First Purge 27.5k/570k
#8 Deine Juliet 27.5k/52.5k

#9 Duck Duck Goose 27.5k
#10 JW2 22.5k/2.330M
#11 Catch Me! 20k/125k

Edited by el sid
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

 

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Mission: Impossible 6

201.085

635

317

601.280

6.676.277

-21

2

2

Hotel Transylvania 3

168.993

762

222

1.524.051

11.418.236

-4

4

3

Mamma Mia! 2

168.361

724

233

1.441.178

12.147.087

-6

4

4

Sauerkrautkoma

163.373

196

834

184.420

1.495.810

-

1

5

Meg

154.203

333

463

154.203

1.610.751

-

1

6

Ant-Man 2

91.298

556

164

587.374

6.018.610

-23

3

7

The First Purge

28.679

329

87

569.993

4.937.049

-5

6

8

The Guernsey Literary And …

28.213

315

90

52.087

421.261

-

1

9

Duck Duck Goose

27.635

373

74

27.635

187.241

-

1

10

Jurassic World 2

23.009

313

74

2.332.006

25.192.939

-26

10

11

Tag

20.191

264

76

123.954

978.134

-18

3

12

Adrift

16.918

298

57

271.927

2.208.208

-19

5

13

Ocean's 8

12.216

126

97

750.024

6.259.546

-56

8

14

303

11.474

125

92

83.281

695.217

+14

4

15

Papst Franziskus

11.250

293

38

403.974

3.099.891

+8

9

16

Jim Knopf & Lukas

10.157

337

30

1.702.899

11.541.129

-30

20

17

Meine teuflisch gute Freundin

9.991

335

30

250.996

1.681.575

-12

7

18

Skyscraper

8.100

206

39

332.227

3.384.150

-49

5

19

Three Billboards Outside …

7.417

35

212

767.150

6.105.663

+65

29

20

The Shape of Water

7.143

26

510

510.990

4.239.575

+84

26

Finally a weekend with overperforming openers (even if only slightly). Meg is selling better than expected, very good PTA. Sauerkrautkoma nearly doubles Meg's PTA but its potential for expansion is slim. Among holdovers, drops were mostly very soft, and thanks to open air shows some older releases have a comeback in the charts.

Next weekend: The Equalizer 2 has potential to become #1, even if it will probably drop from the first one's >200k opening. Disney's Christopher Robin has all the makings of a movie nobody was waiting for, but a place in the Top5 might still be possible, thanks to Disney's marketing power (I hope, personally I haven't seen any push). This week's openers should expand a bit, with Meg profiting more than Sauerkrautkoma thanks to the wider appeal.

Edited by IndustriousAngel
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On 8/14/2018 at 12:05 PM, IndustriousAngel said:

Finally a weekend with overperforming openers (even if only slightly). Meg is selling better than expected, very good PTA. Sauerkrautkoma nearly doubles Meg's PTA but its potential for expansion is slim. Among holdovers, drops were mostly very soft, and thanks to open air shows some older releases have a comeback in the charts.

Being 20 WE in the Top20 is great for Jim Knopf - if the weather would have been worse it should have made it to 2M+ easily...

I had hoped for much more, I really liked the movie :therethere:

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40 minutes ago, Aristis said:

Being 20 WE in the Top20 is great for Jim Knopf - if the weather would have been worse it should have made it to 2M+ easily...

I had hoped for much more, I really liked the movie :therethere:

With open airs still running for about two weeks, it might yet reach 1,8mil, one of the bestselling domestic children's book adaptions (sadly also one of the most expensive ...)

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Among openers at my theater, The Darkest Minds is an instant flop, as is Christopher Robin. Equalizer2 does a little better but is lagging behind M:I6 and MM2. Only sellout situation is the Elvis 68 Comeback Special which is playing only today and only one show.

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On 8/14/2018 at 6:05 PM, IndustriousAngel said:

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

 

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Mission: Impossible 6

201.085

635

317

601.280

6.676.277

-21

2

2

Hotel Transylvania 3

168.993

762

222

1.524.051

11.418.236

-4

4

3

Mamma Mia! 2

168.361

724

233

1.441.178

12.147.087

-6

4

4

Sauerkrautkoma

163.373

196

834

184.420

1.495.810

-

1

5

Meg

154.203

333

463

154.203

1.610.751

-

1

6

Ant-Man 2

91.298

556

164

587.374

6.018.610

-23

3

7

The First Purge

28.679

329

87

569.993

4.937.049

-5

6

8

The Guernsey Literary And …

28.213

315

90

52.087

421.261

-

1

9

Duck Duck Goose

27.635

373

74

27.635

187.241

-

1

10

Jurassic World 2

23.009

313

74

2.332.006

25.192.939

-26

10

11

Tag

20.191

264

76

123.954

978.134

-18

3

12

Adrift

16.918

298

57

271.927

2.208.208

-19

5

13

Ocean's 8

12.216

126

97

750.024

6.259.546

-56

8

14

303

11.474

125

92

83.281

695.217

+14

4

15

Papst Franziskus

11.250

293

38

403.974

3.099.891

+8

9

16

Jim Knopf & Lukas

10.157

337

30

1.702.899

11.541.129

-30

20

17

Meine teuflisch gute Freundin

9.991

335

30

250.996

1.681.575

-12

7

18

Skyscraper

8.100

206

39

332.227

3.384.150

-49

5

19

Three Billboards Outside …

7.417

35

212

767.150

6.105.663

+65

29

20

The Shape of Water

7.143

26

510

510.990

4.239.575

+84

26

Finally a weekend with overperforming openers (even if only slightly). Meg is selling better than expected, very good PTA. Sauerkrautkoma nearly doubles Meg's PTA but its potential for expansion is slim. Among holdovers, drops were mostly very soft, and thanks to open air shows some older releases have a comeback in the charts.

Next weekend: The Equalizer 2 has potential to become #1, even if it will probably drop from the first one's >200k opening. Disney's Christopher Robin has all the makings of a movie nobody was waiting for, but a place in the Top5 might still be possible, thanks to Disney's marketing power (I hope, personally I haven't seen any push). This week's openers should expand a bit, with Meg profiting more than Sauerkrautkoma thanks to the wider appeal.

for what event they bring back 3 billboard and the Shape of water???

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22 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

for what event they bring back 3 billboard and the Shape of water???

those are open air events (some of them with around 1.000 seats, so one sold out show may have quite an impact)

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The Thursday estimates for the whole country (last Thursday most estimates were below the actual numbers):
The new releases:

The Equalizer 2 (released in 501 theaters, the first movie had 207k admissions OW and a total of 862k): 48.5k - would be a very good number, looks almost too good
Christopher Robin (498): 7.5k - evening only
The Darkest Minds (306): 3.5k
Breaking In (240): 2.5k
Ein Dorf zieht blank/Normandie Nue (100): under 1k

The holdovers:

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 28.5k (36k) - nice
Sauerkrautkoma: 25k (33k) - also
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 16.5k (31k)
The Meg: 10k (30k) - was strongly underestimated last week

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 9k (estimated 13k)
The Guernsey Literary And Potato Peel Pie Society: 3k (5.2k)
Hotel Transylvania 3: 1k evening only (estimated 3k evening only, 32k whole day)

 

Sadly we get no South-West-reports in the next weeks which would be urgently needed as control measurement. If the estimates are too far away from the actuals I have to think about something else or to pause.

Mark_G from insidekino.de predicts 200k admissions for The Equalizer2 and 100k admissions for Christopher Robin.
The holds should again be nice with only -25% for each movie of the Top Ten. Only The Meg (-40%) and Ant-Man and the Wasp (-50%) could drop harder.
63% of the federal republic have school holidays.

Edited by el sid
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First estimates from insidekino.de for Germany's weekend:

 

#1: Eq2 - 185k (>10% drop from the first one)

#2: M:I6 - 105k (-48%)

#3: MM2 - 100k (-40%)

#4: SKK - 95k (-42%)

#5: CR - 95k incl. previews

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The Thursday actuals from Blickpunkt:Film (and sadly it just doesn't work with only one report, almost every bigger movie went down):
The new releases:

The Equalizer 2: 33k - the estimate looked too good :(. Still not bad, the first Equalizer had 32k OD and was released in October, a more favorable date
Christopher Robin: 16k
Breaking In: 3.5k → 27.5k OW
The Darkest Minds: 4k → 20k OW 
Ein Dorf zieht blank/Normandie Nue: 1.4k → 7.5k OW

The holdovers:

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 20k (actuals last Thursday 36k)
Sauerkrautkoma: 20k (33k)

HT3: no Thursday numbers but 75k OW predicted in the first trend, -56%
The Meg: also no Thursday numbers, 70k OW predicted in the first trend, -55%
 

Edited by el sid
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Few increases with the 2nd Trend:

 

Eq2 195k

MI6 115k -43%

MM2 100k -40%

SKK 95k -42%/-48%

CR 95k

Meg 85k -45%

HT3 80k -53%

AMATW 40k -56%

Edited by Aristis
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