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Claudio

Thor: Love & Thunder | International Box Office Thread | $360.9M OS after a month of release, WW reaches $662.4M worth of Goat sold.

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Approximately 2 weeks until the international rollout begins. 
 

For Reference:

Thor : $268M overseas

The Dark World: $438M

Ragnarok : $538M

 

worth for comps:

MoM: $540M-$545M estimated end

 

Could this keep increasing from its predecessors and could this beat DS2???

My prediction: $638M

Edited by Claudio
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I think Doctor Strange 2's 540M-ish total is a good target for Thor 4. We should expect it to open a bit lower, but if the humour and action scenes are good, then we should also expect better legs, so it even outs in that way.

 

Current prediction for me would thus be 550M OS for now.

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Japan Box Office

 

Thor (2011) : ¥550M / $7.0M

Thor (2014) : ¥650M / $6.3M

Thor (2017) : ¥1.15B / $10.2M

 

In Feb 2014, "Thor: The Dark World" opened with ¥187,085,300 / 144,456 attendees across 627 screens nationwide.

 

Then, in Nov 2017, "Thor: Ragnarok" opened with ¥397,972,300 (Sat-Sun - ¥230,616,800 / 148,890 admits)

 

I think "Thor: Love &Thunder" should do at-least ¥1.5B / $11.1M with a OW of at-least ¥450M / $3.3M. 

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Honestly I really can't understand all the absurd forecasts well above the billion that I see on Reddit (although seeing the sewer r/boxoffice has become due to the absent moderators I'm not that surprised), anyway my current prediction is 350/450M in USA/Canada and 450/550 outside of them, after all Ragnarok made 740M excluding China and I don't see such a big increase...

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It should do better than Ragnarok in Mexico (lc) by mere ticket price increase - if it reaches the same audience, gross > 550M lc ($27-$28M).

 

Rank in MCU Title Release Gross (lc) Audience
13 Thor Ragnarok 02/11/2017 $404,176,780 7,962,826
17 Thor: The Dark World 01/11/2013 $312,055,821 6,648,712
24 Thor 29/04/2011 $229,377,917 4,392,942
       
         
         
         
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1 hour ago, MG10 said:

Honestly I really can't understand all the absurd forecasts well above the billion that I see on Reddit (although seeing the sewer r/boxoffice has become due to the absent moderators I'm not that surprised), anyway my current prediction is 350/450M in USA/Canada and 450/550 outside of them, after all Ragnarok made 740M excluding China and I don't see such a big increase...

r/boxoffice has become r/movies

my prediction is 520m i think there's gonna be a gap between this and mutiverse of madness just the gap won't be as big coz this is gonna have more territories

Edited by AnDr3s
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Posted (edited)

So its opening in bunch of markets tomorrow(or today if you are already in Asia). Interesting thing is france is opening next week. I wonder why?  Any OS OW predicts? Plus which countries its banned(China, Russia for different reason and Saudi)

 

 

Australia 6 July 2022  
Germany 6 July 2022  
Denmark 6 July 2022  
Finland 6 July 2022  
Hong Kong 6 July 2022  
Iceland 6 July 2022  
Italy 6 July 2022  
South Korea 6 July 2022  
Mali 6 July 2022  
Netherlands 6 July 2022  
Norway 6 July 2022  
Philippines 6 July 2022  
Sweden 6 July 2022  
Thailand 6 July 2022  
Taiwan 6 July 2022

 

 

 

Edited by keysersoze123
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5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

So its opening in bunch of markets tomorrow(or today if you are already in Asia). Interesting thing is france is opening next week. I wonder why?  Any OS OW predicts? Plus which countries its banned(China, Russia for different reason and Saudi)

 

 

Australia 6 July 2022  
Germany 6 July 2022  
Denmark 6 July 2022  
Finland 6 July 2022  
Hong Kong 6 July 2022  
Iceland 6 July 2022  
Italy 6 July 2022  
South Korea 6 July 2022  
Mali 6 July 2022  
Netherlands 6 July 2022  
Norway 6 July 2022  
Philippines 6 July 2022  
Sweden 6 July 2022  
Thailand 6 July 2022  
Taiwan 6 July 202

 

 

IMDb says Minions will release tomorrow/today (6 July) in France. If it’s true then probably Thor moves back one week to avoid 2 blockbusters opening in the same week.

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15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Interesting thing is france is opening next week. I wonder why? 

France has a discount fest this week where every ticket is €4. No point releasing the film during that. 

 

Also next week has few holidays 

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After the mediocre reviews my forecast remains similar to the old one, I think 350/400M in Usa+Canada and 400/450 in the rest of the world (which is without China, Russia, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia and some smaller muslim countries), still an increase over Ragnarok if we remove those countries from its total gross

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