Fullbuster Posted August 24, 2016 Author Share Posted August 24, 2016 54 minutes ago, Tower said: Woody Allen movies usually make decent money in Europe, Cafe Society has already made 7M in France alone. Woody Allen has a good image among elitists in France and it's a movie taking place in France so 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 25, 2016 Author Share Posted August 25, 2016 Today in Brazil : Pets, The Shallows, Café society. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 25, 2016 Author Share Posted August 25, 2016 (edited) Sadly for Pets the USD gained ground on the BRL : $1 = R$3.22. While it's only 2% that means the trends of the last few months reversed.. Still, it's still better than when Dory released : $1=R$3,40. And I think the BRL will still gain some value because it's still way too low. Rogue One could really benefit from it : If the ER comes back to R$3,00m that would be a huge advantage over Star wars TFA that really suffered from this ER (R$4.05). TFA grossed $27.8m but with R$4.00 it would have grossed $36.5m..With the same ER than in 2012 (R$2.00) it would have grossed $55m it's really a big difference With a good ER Brazil would be a really impressive market right now, Civil War would have reached $71m with 2012's ER. What a waste...thankfully the growth in local currency is strong and the ER slowly improves. 2017 should be a much better year thanks to an ER back to a healthier level (2014's levels) and inflation. Justice League reaching $50m? Yes that's clearly possible. Star Wars 8 beyond Star Wars 7? Oh yes. Edited August 25, 2016 by Fullbuster 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 25, 2016 Author Share Posted August 25, 2016 Personal forecasts for the OW of : Pets : $5.5m-6m The Shallows : $2m Café society: $0.3m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 24 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: Personal forecasts for the OW of : Pets : $5.5m-6m The Shallows : $2m Café society: $0.3m If they forecasts end up right, solid openings for Pets and The Shallows. Hoping both films can have decent runs after their OW. It will be interesting to see how Pets does though because I think all the bigger films have been released and its just it at the moment. Oh and bomb for Cafe Society, as expected lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 25, 2016 Author Share Posted August 25, 2016 1 hour ago, Nova said: If they forecasts end up right, solid openings for Pets and The Shallows. Hoping both films can have decent runs after their OW. It will be interesting to see how Pets does though because I think all the bigger films have been released and its just it at the moment. Oh and bomb for Cafe Society, as expected lol Only my feelings, my guts though, don't take it at face value ^^ My estimates are quite reasonable but they're not based on real data, just my understanding of this market. I'm not Brazilian after all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: Only my feelings, my guts though, don't take it at face value ^^ My estimates are quite reasonable but they're not based on real data, just my understanding of this market. I'm not Brazilian after all. Yea but you seem to have a good understanding of the Brazilian box office And for me a lot of members on this forum are better at predicting the box office, than the so called professionals lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 25, 2016 Author Share Posted August 25, 2016 9 minutes ago, Nova said: Yea but you seem to have a good understanding of the Brazilian box office And for me a lot of members on this forum are better at predicting the box office, than the so called professionals lol True ahaha However my prediction for Pets is just reasonable and cautious, that means it's perfectly possible to have it higher than $5.5m or $6m, the potential is there. The Shallows has a long-term potential so even if the OW is low it could be saved by great legs. We'll know in 3 days 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Napoleon Posted August 25, 2016 Share Posted August 25, 2016 Suicide Squad reached 6.3 million tickets sold: 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 Pets gets 1,105 screens this week, impressive for an animated movie. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 15 hours ago, Napoleon said: Suicide Squad reached 6.3 million tickets sold: That's really good, I see it ending between 7.5-8m admissions. Less than Finding Dory but with more expensive tickets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted August 26, 2016 Share Posted August 26, 2016 Just so that I can preliminarily cry if necessary, may I ask if there's a chance SLOP beats Dory's OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 40 minutes ago, Quigley said: Just so that I can preliminarily cry if necessary, may I ask if there's a chance SLOP beats Dory's OW? Yes SLOP could do it, at least technically. However I don't think it will do it, new franchises rarely breakthrough that way, and families could be tired after giving so much to Dory and IA5. Possible, clearly, but there are hurdles and that's why I'm cautious about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted August 26, 2016 Share Posted August 26, 2016 Thursday: 1.SLOP 2.Suicide Squad 3.Ben-Hur 4.The Shallows 5.Lights Out 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 26, 2016 Share Posted August 26, 2016 15 minutes ago, efialtes76 said: Thursday: 1.SLOP 2.Suicide Squad 3.Ben-Hur 4.The Shallows 5.Lights Out Ben-Hur over The Shallows. Yikes. That doesn't look good for TS at all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 1 hour ago, Nova said: Ben-Hur over The Shallows. Yikes. That doesn't look good for TS at all Yep, my prediction of $2m OW is a bit too optimistic now...and I was very cautious to begin with... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 With 6.3m admissions Suicide Squad reached R$99m, can't wait for Sunday's numbers;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted August 26, 2016 Share Posted August 26, 2016 1 hour ago, Fullbuster said: Yep, my prediction of $2m OW is a bit too optimistic now...and I was very cautious to begin with... Welp I think you'll be on point with Pets and you did predict Cafe Society was going to bomb and bomb hard so you got two out three right! Honestly, horror films I feel like are like comedies, in that they are hard to predict over seas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted August 26, 2016 Author Share Posted August 26, 2016 59 minutes ago, Nova said: Welp I think you'll be on point with Pets and you did predict Cafe Society was going to bomb and bomb hard so you got two out three right! Honestly, horror films I feel like are like comedies, in that they are hard to predict over seas. Indeed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted August 27, 2016 Share Posted August 27, 2016 14 hours ago, Quigley said: Just so that I can preliminarily cry if necessary, may I ask if there's a chance SLOP beats Dory's OW? Brazil's top 10 (animated) of all time should have already answered your question. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
