Mexico Box Office | Kongzilla repeats on top, Civil War and Abigail underperform

[Carlangonz]

56 minutes ago, Mau said:

Do you guys think spies in desguise will hit frozen 2 hard?

Isn't precisely about direct competition but about screens. 4/6 releases of this week are going wide (Cats, Spies, Hubiera and Jexi) with Parasite not far behind in screen count so even if it can retain interest the lack of screens is going to hurt it. We're very similar to China in that aspect. 

[Carlangonz]

YEAR OF MADNESS. 2019: FROM BOTTOM TO THE TOP AT THE MEXICAN BOX OFFICE THROUGH THE YEAR.

 

At the end of this piece Jumanji: The Next Level and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker have just opened and on sight there are still titles to go such as Spies in Disguise and Cats. Also Frozen 2 keeps performing seeking to leg towards $500M lc. As all these movies start and end their runs let’s summarize how insane this record-breaking year was as Mexican box office crosses $17B lc and $18B lc for the first time ever.

 

HITS

• Avengers: Endgame. The epic Infinity Saga has come to an end and Marvel has stated once again why Mexico is a superhero territory. Iron Man, Captain America, Black Widow and Thanos said goodbye leaving insane records. Since presales –estimated at a final $160M+ lc figure- all pointed in favor of the Russo Brothers film and then it came on records for Opening Day, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, opening weekend and then become the highest grossing title ever surpassing its predecessor (Infinity War) by 30% and turning the first $1.2B, $1.3B and $1.4B lc grosser ever also installing record in USD and admissions. Although the last record didn’t last very long, our No. 2 can talk about that. Anyway, the perfect way to finish a 11 year old saga. Random fact: Endgame’s opening day was bigger than Iron Man lifetime gross back in 2008.
• Toy Story 4. Another ending saga. Back in 2010 we thought we saw Woody and Buzz for the last time in Toy Story 3 which last seven long years as the highest grossing animation ever until Pixar’s own Coco took the crown. This June Bonnie’s toys returned willing to take back the record and they got it. Through nostalgia for adults and appeal for younger generations it went to gross $1.37B –only 7% behind all-time record set by Endgame- and become the highest grossing animation and even took the all-time top spot for overall movies in admissions surpassing the record set just a few weeks before by Avengers: Endgame. Indeed historic run.
• The Lion King. It has been repeated multiple times in here that The Lion King is the most beloved Disney Classic ever in here so it was no surprise when it became only the fifth title in history to gross $300M+ on its opening frame and went to become the 5^th highest grossing movie ever in the country. Hakuna Matata all the way!
• Aladdin. No bad year for Disney live-action titles and particularly this year as the live-action remake record was broke twice. Before Lion King’s massive numbers there were Prince Ali, Jazmin and The Genius claiming it with a whopping $627M run surpassing Maleficent’s $596M after an incredible run which reached nearly a 4x multiplier. That’s rare these days for a blockbuster.
• Spider-Man: Far From Home. Ok, that’s a lot of Disney until now so let’s take a break (kind of) with a co-production of them with Sony. The second installment of the Tom Holland-lead franchise increased from its predecessor and went to gross $611M and became Spidey’s biggest title in lc, admissions and USD finally surpassing Spider-Man 3 in the last two fronts.
• Maleficent: Mistress of Evil. At the write of this piece the sequel to the 2014’s hit was still struggling to cross $500M lc but there’s no doubt it did respectable business. It’s far from an underperformer as it was clear from the beginning that the previous Maleficent was an anomaly and hard to replicate even with market growth and still had a not bad drop and Mexico was one of top territories for the sequel.
• Frozen 2. At the end of this piece the movie is about to cross $500M lc and surpass Mistress of Evil as the 8^th highest grosser of the year. Anna & Elsa are growing over 50% from its 2013 installment and Walt Disney Animation Studios finally has a $400M and a $500M title on its hands and the 10^th biggest animation ever as well.
• Dumbo. Ok, yeah, we get it. Mexico loves Disney live-action remakes as all four of this year have made it to this list. And all four grossed over $20M. The only other OS country where all four made $20M+ is the UK. Dumbo was no exception despite flopping or underperforming in most places and took advantage of spring holidays to pass $400M lc. Bring in Mulan now!
• How To Train Your Dragon 3. The emotional conclusion to the Hiccup & Toothless trilogy was well received when it came out and comfortably surpassed the previous entries of the franchise to surpass $400M and take the #2 spot for Dreamworks.

BREAKOUTS

• Joker. By far. Not sure about if this is the second or third craziest performance of the year but it leans more to be second. Joker has always been big and probably the most popular villain around here. Its presence was key for the curiosity factor that led Suicide Squad into a huge opening. Initial reports of the movie made it sound like a C-Rating obvious choice for RTC (Mexican censor for cinema, TV and radio) which is the second most restrictive rating so not much of potential for its BO, at least not to the level of other CBM related movies. However it avoided the obstacle and received a B-15 which mixed with a perfect marketing campaign, hype to see the praised Joaquin Phoenix performance and buzz coming from Venice and other festivals resulted on Joker to claim the 6^th highest opening of all-time and in just 9 days it became the biggest B-15 Rated title ever and went to be the third leggiest CBM of the decade –behind Avengers and Aquaman- to finally become the 3^rd highest CBM movie of all time and 6^th overall.
• Captain Marvel. Higher, further, faster baby. Since April 2018 there was the buzz to know who Captain Marvel was after that Infinity War epilogue and it never died but even grew more and more. March saw a new record opening as Carol Danvers nearly reaches $250M only on her first weekend which was way above any solo SH movie –it made 50% more than Black Panther for example- and with a couple of holidays ahead ultimately reached $642M and topped Aquaman’s fresh record.
• No Manches Frida 2: Paraíso Perdido. Martha Higareda made it again and now along with such as Eugenio Derbez and Los Tres Amigos (Guillermo, Alfonso and Alejandro) is one of the most powerful Mexicans in the industry and with most influence in Mexican box office. This time not only starred but also produced the sequel to 2016’s second biggest local hit. No Manches Frida 2 opened in its home country nearly a month after its release in the US to take advantage of holidays but that didn’t prevent it to gross $300M+ lc and become the third highest grossing local title ever.
• Mirreyes Contra Godínez. Another local title, the fifth biggest of all-time. Without any big names –besides Regina Blandón who’s been making herself a recognizable career since a child- this title released in January legged through a so-so February and surpassed first No Manches Frida.
• John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum. This is the year of Keanu Reeves and Mexico joined the phenomenon supporting the third installment in the John Wick saga. Parabellum surpassed the entire runs of both previous installments within its opening weekend. It held on weekends like a family movie and during weekdays like an adult-oriented release. All this led towards it crossing nearly $130M and positioned among the Top 5 highest grossers for a C-Rating film.

UNDERPEFORMERS

• It: Chapter Two. The appearance of Pennywise two years ago was seen with a lot of awareness but unfortunately it opened during two tragic events which muted its full potential. Chapter Two felt like the perfect chance to exploit that missed potential but the lack of buzz compared to the first one and mixed reception once again turned down that. It’s still the 9^th highest grosser of the year.
• Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw. The first spin off of one of the three major franchises in the country debuted in August expecting to gross a nice percentage of the last two Fast and Furious installments. It had a very good release date that had already benefited other openers in the same scheduling, a dream cast –for the country- and Universal’s marketing machine backing up but unfortunately it finished about only half of Fate of the Furious.
• Secret Life of Pets 2. Following the trend it presented worldwide, the not very buzzy sequel to Illumination’s 2016 hit couldn’t keep the pace of first SLOP here in Mexico. It didn’t had a much pronounced drop as multiple major territories but it still couldn’t come much close to its predecessor despite having similar advantages as Hobbs and Shaw.
• Godzilla: King of Monsters. Another sequel yet. The Japanese-born creature couldn’t reach the heights of 2013’s Godzilla and not even came close to 2017’s Kong: Skull Island. Not a good prospect for next year’s Godzilla v Kong, let’s hope for a comeback.

SLEEPER HITS

• Creed II. It opened right on January 1^st and quietly became the first $100M grosser of the year. What’s unique about this is that presented a large surge from the first one and overindexed compared to pretty much any other sports-related title which are not precisely are popular at the box office.
• Dragon Ball Z: Broly. Following the immense popularity of the Japanese anime all over the country, Broly outgrossed previous Dragon Ball Z installment in the matter of days and got to gross over $10M USD which is massive for such title. The fan-base is always faithful and looking forward upcoming titles of the franchise.
• Tod@s Caen. Remember Martha Higareda? Well, she also stars and produces this one. It wasn’t as big as Frida –but seriously, that’s another league for local releases- but still was a big success.  
• Curse of La Llorona. This movie based on the legend of local folklore dared to challenge Earth’s Mightiest Heroes just a week before their arrival and it turned out well. Grossed over $200M which is just fine for a movie that wasn’t that well-marketed, positioned or received.
• Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile. Unlike many places –where it was available only on streaming- this Zac Efron starred title managed to secure a proper theatrical release in here and opened in the middle of the summer. It was quite an unusual but effective adult counter-programming to family hits such as The Lion King and Far From Home. It ultimately grossed $5M USD which is excellent for a movie involving an American-centric real story.
• Scary Stories to Tell In the Dark. Once again, Guillermo del Toro’s power to draw audiences. With a pretty effective marketing campaign and Del Toro’s involvement as producer the movie made it to go around the $150M lc ballpark and score the highest grossing overseas territory of the movie by far.
• Crawl. Opening in August with strong –and direct- competition ahead it managed to captivate audiences and Mexico became the third highest grossing territory for the film. Once again claiming its love for any kind of horror.
• Ford v Ferrari. The James Mangold-helmed movie has really conquered adult audiences its 5 weeks on theatres as it has passed a whopping 4x multi and seems to end up closer to a 5x multi.  

THEY DID IT JUST FINE

• Shazam!
• Detective Pikachu
• Child’s Play
• Once Upon a Time… In Hollywood
• Dora and the Lost City of Gold
• Zombieland: Double Tap
• Addam’s Family

THEY MISSED IT

• Dark Phoenix
• Hellboy
• El Complot Mongol
• Us
• Men In Black: International
• Como Si Fuera La Primera Vez
• Midsommar
• Terminator: Dark Fate
• Dìa de Muertos
• Gemini Man

Merry Christmas everyone! Active, not so active, casuals and lurkers. Thanks for keeping up the activity and live of the forum. 🎅

Edited December 24, 2019 by Carlangonz

[keysersoze123]

Phenomenal writeup @Carlangonz I doubt 2020 will be close.

[Purple Minion]

TROS reaches $10M, 190M lc. Still with a chance to reach 300M lc.

 

Great weekdays again for Frozen 2, total now is 505.2M lc- about $26.3M.

 

Decent OD Thu for Spies in Disguise, $900K. $5M 4-day OW perhaps? Cats on the other hand only did $300K.

 

 

 

 

[Carlangonz]

3 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

TROS reaches $10M, 190M lc. Still with a chance to reach 300M lc.

It's now 10% over TLJ in lc and USD but 12% behind in admissions. 

3 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Decent OD Thu for Spies in Disguise, $900K. $5M 4-day OW perhaps? Cats on the other hand only did $300K.

5-Day OW for both. Spies aims at $3M and sub-$1M for Cats. 

[LPLC]

8 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

TROS reaches $10M, 190M lc. Still with a chance to reach 300M lc.

 

Great weekdays again for Frozen 2, total now is 505.2M lc- about $26.3M.

 

Decent OD Thu for Spies in Disguise, $900K. $5M 4-day OW perhaps? Cats on the other hand only did $300K.

 

 

 

 

What is your final predictions for TROS and Frozen 2 in Mexico ?

[Purple Minion]

4 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

5-Day OW for both. Spies aims at $3M and sub-$1M for Cats. 

Ouch. Blue Sky should have added a Scratch cameo. And those Cats won't leave any... memories.

[Purple Minion]

3 minutes ago, LPLC said:

What is your final predictions for TROS and Frozen 2 in Mexico

Far from final, but let's say 300M lc / $16M for Rey, 525M lc / $27.5M for Elsa.

[Purple Minion]

Weekend estimates (totals): Frozen 2 $26.7M, Jumanji 2 $13.5M, Star Wars 9 $12.7M.

[Purple Minion]

For the new openers: Spies in Disguise did $2.3M at #2, and Cats grossed less than 3/4 of a million ($690K).

 

Jumanji 2 went up 3% compared with last weekend, according to Screendaily. It'll be interesting to track.

[Carlangonz]

The news this weekend has to be Parasite. Waiting for confirmation but apparently owns the 4th highest PSA of the year for overall titles and the highest for limited releases only. Should be the first, last and only non-English, non-Spanish title of the year to potentially cross $1M USD and the second time ever for a Korean title.

[Purple Minion]

It's a brilliant movie and the subject will resonate to Mexican audiences.

 

It was a close weekend in lc!

 

41,300,000 TROS

40,700,000 Jumanji 2

[Carlangonz]

DECEMBER 25TH-29TH WEEKEND. 5-DAY CHRISTMAS WEEKEND.  SKYWALKER REPEATS ON TOP; JUMANJI GROWS; SPIES AND CATS FAILS AS PARASITES SCORES.

 

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

- Only the second movie of the franchise (Disney-era) to spend more than one weekend at the #1. Currently outpacing The Last Jedi by 21% at the same point of release and even with the different schedule is still looking around the $300M+ area for lifetime gross.  

- It already surpassed Rogue One’s lifetime gross and by Friday should top The Last Jedi.

 

Jumanji: The Next Level

- It’s recovering from its step drop last week and tracking on course to $320M+ and potentially end very close to its predecessor.

 

Spies in Disguise

- Its 5-Day OW is not far from Abominable’s 3-Day opening and that’s saying something as the Dreamworks title underperformed considerably. It has no direct competition this week so hopefully picks up something but barely $100M total for this is meh.

 

Cats

- Straight up failure. 5-Day opening registers under 3-Day of Yesterday, Rocketman and Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!. Heck, the 5-Day frame is under Greatest Showman’s opening day two years ago in a very similar schedule.

 

Frozen 2

- Scores the fourth best 6^th weekend ever only behind likes of Coco, Avatar and Marvel’s The Avengers. Passes $500M and Hotel Transylvania 3 to become the 10^th highest grossing animation ever.

 

Parasite

- 5^th best Per-Screen Average of the year –wide or limited- only behind Endgame, Toy Story 4, The Lion King and Joker. Soon it’ll be the highest grossing non-English speaking, non-Spanish speaking movie of the year. Should become the second Korean title ever to cross $1M USD after 2016’s Train to Busan.

 

#	MOVIE	WEEKEND	% CHANGE	TOTAL (MXN)	TOTAL (USD)	ADM.	TOTAL ADM.
1	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	$41.3	-54,00%	$233.1	$12.21	573.9K	3.1
2	Jumanji: The Next Level	$40.7	+1,49%	$255.5	$13.30	727.9K	4.6
3	Spies in Disguise	$26.7		$44.3	$2.34	468.5K	782.2K
4	El Hubiera si Existe	$14.1		$23.4	$1.24	252.9K	422.1K
5	Frozen 2	$12.8	-21,95%	$518	$26.70	245.3K	9.7
6	Cats	$7		$12.8	$672K	96.4K	175.2K
7	Parasite	$6.3		$9.3	$492K	78.6K	116.1K
8	Doblemente Embarazada	$4.3	-41,09%	$18.2	$957K	77.3K	336.5K
9	Last Christmas	$3.8	-17,39%	$55.7	$2.90	54.9K	926.1K
10	Jexi	$3.8		$5.9	$313K	65.7K	102.7K

 

This Wednesday opens: Charlie’s Angels, Dino King: Journey to Fire Mountain, Richard Jewell, La Marca del Demonio and The Lighthouse.

[Mau]

Great holds for frozen 2!!! It seems that people associate frozen with christmas and that is helpinh a lot in its late legs!!!!

[Carlangonz]

2019 PRELIMINARY RESULTS 

 

With 2 days yet to finish 2019, figures in admissions, lc and USD aim to all-time records. 

• In MXN it's looking at $19B. An astonishing photo finish to the milestone as it'll pass it just today. Whooping +13% from 2018 which was also the previous high ever.
• Somewhere between $982M-$986M USD.
• Admissions should finish close to 350M which is +4.8% from 2018 but the all-time record from 2017 (348M tickets sold) is too close to call yet. We'll know until we have the actuals.  
• Disney is the highest grossing studio with another photo-finish record yet as is *this close* to surpass $7B lc not counting Fox releases. It's +98% (!) from the previous record set in 2018 by... Disney.

Edited December 30, 2019 by Carlangonz

[carlsalf]

On 12/24/2019 at 2:06 PM, Carlangonz said:

YEAR OF MADNESS. 2019: FROM BOTTOM TO THE TOP AT THE MEXICAN BOX OFFICE THROUGH THE YEAR.

 

 

Thank you very much for your great 2019 Recap @Carlangonz you really took the time to resume everything that happen during this crazy and record-breaking year.

 

If I calculated right, we indeed crossed the 18.5 Billion mark, which would mean an increase of 10% from the grosses of 2018 and I can imagine also a good amount regarding admissions. 10% could sound little but considering we're talking about Billions this is outstanding.

Some movies really delivered like superhero and horror but a lot of movies failed to really boost the box office to greater levels. I know no one was asking for a fourth MIB movie or a sixth Terminator but less than 200M for these ones was basically embarrassing.

 

I really think 2020 will se a steep drop as we don’t have anything close to Endgame or Toy Story 4 or even Joker which even if it was surprising there is nothing with the cultural buzz that can get this kind of breakthrough.

 

Some may remember that I did a prediction for all the big movies for the second semester (well from August until today) and here is how I fare – In hindsight I REALLY should have known better with Como si Fuera la Primera Vez (I will never again trust a Derbez unless if it’s the Big Papa¡ Hahaha) but I was surprised at the drop for Hobbs and Shaw (although what I heard about the movie was terrible) and Maleficent. All the others were well more or less in target and some did better in the end. Note*: I did put in the first list Charlie’s Angels but it will premiere until January 1^st and after seeing how it fare in the rest of the world will be lucky to get to 30M

 

Película	Ingreso Est.	Ingreso Real	Desvío
Hobbs and Shaw	$              600.00	$            341.52	43%
The Secret Life of Pets	$              550.00	$            288.64	48%
Crawl	$                  80.00	$              72.15	10%
Scary Stories	$                120.00	$            152.30	-27%
Once upon a Time in Hollywood	$                  50.00	$            116.30	-133%
Angel has Fallen	$                  45.00	$                79.30	-76%
Como si fuera la Primera Vez	$                110.00	$                27.10	75%
Angry Birds 2	$                  80.00	$                49.70	38%
It: Chapter 2	$                550.00	$              426.51	22%
Dora and the Lost City of Gold	$                  85.00	$               142.61	-68%
Mama se fue de Viaje	$                  50.00	$                 34.15	32%
Ad Astra	$                   60.00	$                 72.15	-20%
Tod@s Caen	$                 180.00	$               136.54	24%
Abominable	$                   60.00	$               117.60	-96%
Joker	$                 320.00	$               848.65	-165%
Gemini Man	$                 170.00	$               125.31	26%
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	$                 800.00	$               498.74	38%
The Adams Family	$                   80.00	$               166.10	-108%
Zombieland 2: Double Tap	$                   58.00	$                 55.98	3%
Terminator: Dark Fate	$                 130.00	$               126.90	2%
Dr. Sleep	$                   80.00	$                 67.60	16%
Frozen 2	$                 350.00	$               518.68	-48%
Guadalupe Reyes	$                   40.00	$                 62.15	-55%
Knives Out	$                   55.00	$                 51.48	6%
Jumanji: The Next Level	$                 250.00	$               255.50	-2%
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	$                 200.00	$               233.16	-17%
Spies in Disguise	$                 180.00	$                 44.39	75%
	$5,333	$5,111.2	4%

 

I know we're here to talk about Box Office but would like to my top 10 favorite movies that I saw during 2019 (mind you I haven’t seen The Irishman, The Lighthouse, Jojo Rabbit, Little Women, 1917, Ford vs. Ferrari and many others that everyone puts in their favorite movies of the year):

1.       Avengers: Endgame. Yes… I’m a Superhero super fan so this choice was basically obvious. I even saw it three times in theaters and have seen in twice in video¡ (I’m crazy I know)

2.       Parasite. Loved it and was mesmerized by it all the way through I didn’t find any moment lacking. The acting is great and would love to see it again any time.

3.       Capernaum. It oppressed my heart big time. Is not a nice movie or a joyful one but it is really outstanding how it can be somber yet entertaining at the same time.

4.       Shoplifters. This one is also very entertaining (specially at the beginning) but then it turns sad very quickly. The ending still haunts me.

5.       Vuelven (or Tigers are not Afraid… yes the translation is ridiculous). Is more terrifying in the real-life part than in the fantasy one. The kids are outstanding and has a real dark atmosphere.

6.       Toy Story 4. We go from sad to saccharine in a heartbeat. We had a great closure with Toy Story 3 but this one also delivers, especially with Woody’s character arc. If they make a 5^th one hope it maintains the high-level quality of the series.

7.       Crawl. I’m a big fan of people-eating animals and this one delivers in spades, the acting is great (for the material of course) and the set pieces are really nail-biting

8.       Knives Out. I ate it up entirely. It’s probably a little far-fetched if you really think about it but the cast gives it all and in the end is a very, very funny movie.

9.       Bad Genius. Who knew taking exams could be made into a heist movie? Has more action than many blockbusters and fantastic “too-close” moments

10.   Crazy Rich Asians (I think I have a thing with Asians now). Sweet (super sweet probably) but it was very well done and I cried like a baby during the final act.

 

What do you think the future has in store for us? Will Female Power deliver the big bucks (Black Widow, Wonder Woman, Birds of Prey, Little Women, Mulan, The Woman in the Window, The Witches)? Will Superhero movies make it all the way to the bank (Free Guy, Eternals, Venom 2)? Will sequels again falter (Kingsman 3, Trolls 2, Ghostbusters 4, Top Gun 2, The New Mutants, James Old)? Will Horror be the favorite genre for Mexicans (The Purge 5, Antlers, The Conjuring 3, Underwater, The Grudge)? and will Pixar be able to launch two movies in the same year and survive againts the other animated movies (Onward, Soul, Minions 2)?

 

Happy New Year and my best wishes for a great 2020.

 

[carlsalf]

3 minutes ago, carlsalf said:

If I calculated right, we indeed crossed the 18.5 Billion mark, which would mean an increase of 10% from the grosses of 2018 and I can imagine also a good amount regarding admissions. 10% could sound little but considering we're talking about Billions this is outstanding.

Some movies really delivered like superhero and horror but a lot of movies failed to really boost the box office to greater levels. I know no one was asking for a fourth MIB movie or a sixth Terminator but less than 200M for these ones was basically embarrassing.

 

Sorry... didn't see the recent update from @Carlangonz so... we get to 19Billion. WOW

[Purple Minion]

Feliz 2020 / Happy New Year! Here's the preliminary Top 25 in lc for the record-breaking year that just ended. Actuals to be published in the next weeks by CANACINE.

 

01 1,474,000,000  Avengers: Endgame

02 1,375,000,000  Toy Story 4

03    996,000,000  The Lion King (2019) 

04    856,000,000  Joker

05    642,000,000  Captain Marvel

06    627,000.000  Aladdin (2019)

07    611,000,000  Spider-Man: Far From Home

08    528,700,000  Frozen 2

09    500,000,000  Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

10    424,900,000  It Chapter 2

11    414,000,000  Dumbo (2019)

12    402,000,000  How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

13    333,200,000  Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw

14    329,000,000  No manches Frida 2

15    314,700,000  Annabelle Comes Home

16    298,000,000  Shazam!

17    291,700,000  Jumanji: The Next Level

18    289,600,000  Secret Life of Pets 2

19    261,700,000  Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

20    238,000,000  Mirreyes vs. Godinez

21    223,600,000  Detective Pikachu

22    206,000,000  Glass

23    205,230,000  Dragon Ball Z: Brolly

24    202,200,000  The Curse of La Llorona

25    192,900,000  Dark Phoenix

Edited January 11, 2020 by Purple Minion

[Purple Minion]

Interesting weekday (New Year) developments:

• Jumanji 2 back at #1 with 36M LC Mon-Thu, 291.7M lc (around $15.5M) total.
• Star Wars 9 now #2, slowing down to 262M lc ($13.9M) total.
• Frozen 2 still making solid business, 10.4M lc weekdays and 529M lc ($27 5M) cume. Could it reach 550M lc?
• Spies in Disguise barely saving face, total is 60.2M lc ($3.2M).
• Charlie's Angels was released on Wed and grossed a respectable 17.2M lc.
• Parasite very close to $1M, ranking higher than Cats... may end up grossing more!

Edited January 3, 2020 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

2020 PREVIEW. COULD THE NEW YEAR KEEP THE PACE OF 2019?

As we’ve seen, 2019 set new records all across the local box-office with multiple titles at different scales of success. 2020 is definitely looking to go down as economy is looking not so hot and product offer seems to go lower compared to 2019 titles in terms of buzz and awareness so far. Still, it’s thrilling to see potential hits at the box-office.

 

JANUARY

• Bad Boys For Life. The threequel to the action franchise lead by the always-loved Will Smith could be our first nine-numbers movie of the year behaving similar to other January openers from solid but not big franchises like XXX 3 and Resident Evil 5.
• Cindy La Regia. From its inspiration by the local homonymous book to its apparent connection to 2019’s breakout Mirreyes v Godinez, this one could be the first big local player of the year and an important test for the potential mojo of 2019 biggest local star Regina Blandón. Although definitely not expecting the heights of Mirreyes.
• Dolittle. Robert Downey Jr has conquered Mexico through his Iron Man and to a lesser extent through his Sherlock Holmes. This could go either way proving if Downey’s momentum could keep in a longer term than his Avengers’ era. Definitely hard to see but a decent opening should be the least.

 

FEBRUARY

• Birds of Prey (And the Fantabolous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn). DC has been in a good streak over here and despite a few missteps like Justice League is been consistent. Suicide Squad was a hit and part of the reasons is the appearance of Harley Quinn who now stars this one. Not expecting Squad’s numbers and no concerns by a higher rating, still Warner need to prompt up the marketing of this one as it still feels lesser than other DC releases and could end up somewhere between Shazam! and Wonder Woman.
• Sonic. This is going to be a great meme-generator a la Detective Pikachu but also won’t set the box-office on fire. Could be a nice option for families but half of Pika-Pika seems about right.

 

MARCH

• Onward. We all know how much people love Pixar around here. I dare to say that Pixar is one of the very few studios that can have guarantee at the moment to release original proposes as it seems they are bullet-proof. The studio has built such goodwill that people in the country trust in them to bring them new concepts, characters and worlds. This year they have two and this is the first one. It’s going to try to remove Brave as the 3^rd biggest Pixar original adjusted by grossing over $300M.
• A Quiet Place Part II. First A Quiet Place was the last year in 2018 summary in the ‘sleeper hit’ section as it opened amidst spring madness pre-Infinity War and went somehow little noticed grossing nearly $200M lc after a very leggy run and since then its popularity hasn’t done nothing but to grow. Should open higher than first one and it’ll be interesting to see if as suspense can reach heights of major horror franchises at $200M+.
• Mulan. You don’t have to scroll much in this thread to notice how all of Disney’s live-action remakes during 2019 were from excellent (Dumbo) to massive (The Lion King) hits in the country. Mulan is no exception to nostalgia and like the others is highly beloved. The release is perfectly placed to take advantage of holidays and appeal families and feels more like a 4-Quad than other female-skewing titles such as Beauty and the Beast or Maleficent. Let’s initially bet around Mistress of Evil range and go with $450M+. However, if well received this could represent Disney’s biggest chance to prevent Universal’s minions or furious to grab the #1 of the year.

 

APRIL

• New Mutants. Is this finally happening? Seems so. Could the final picture to the mutants saga (Fox era) go lower than Dark Phoenix? Not sure but sounds like a good experiment to see how horror mixed with superheroes work in a country where both are extremely liked genres.
• No Time to Die. Spectre barely registered back in 2016 and 007 overall is not even close to the biggest British franchise in the country –which happens neither to be as big as the majors- so anything past $10M USD should be a win for the agent.
• Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway. Another 2018 sleeper hit comes back. Opening right in the middle of holidays should get a boost from families and comfortably over $100M lc.
• Black Widow. Marvel is back! By this moment people is going to feel like is been forever since the last time they saw a Marvel Studios logo in a movie theatre! Black Widow is one of the oldest characters in the nearly 12-year old saga and added to an emotional ending in Endgame and Scarlett Johansson’s popularity during the entire past year is going to work just fine for this film. Wonder Woman’s numbers ($410M lc/$21M+ USD) are the target in here.

 

MAY

• Scoob! If you’re looking for a summer hit heavily leaned on nostalgia with the return of memorable characters then don’t think on Ghostbusters: Afterlife or Top Gun: Maverick because they’re not as well remembered in here as Scooby Doo and the Mystery Inc gang. Warner can have a good hit on its hands if properly manage marketing and find a way to bring younger audiences on board.
• The Spongebob Movie: Sponge on the Run. This could be another Detective Pikachu/Sonic case where you get great meme material but it doesn’t do as well in box office. However, this one already has a predecessor which was a nice breakout (over $15M USD, second largest OS territory) back in 2015. Could Spongebob and Patrick draw audiences one more time after 20 years of its first appearance? Let’s see.
• Fast and Furious 9. The Fast and Furious franchise is arguably one of the biggest IP properties in the country along with the MCU and Pixar entries. Fate of the Furious pulled excellent results back in 2017 but last year Hoobs and Shaw only grossed half of what the eight entry did. No, H&S wasn’t expected to gross as much as Fate but wasn’t expected to drop as much either, especially in august with not very much nor very strong competition. Was that a warning sign? We’ll wait but at the moment shall go with $600M+ lc/$30M+ USD.

 

JUNE

• Wonder Woman 1984. First Wonder Woman was a pleasant surprise and achieved to join 2017’s Top Ten. There are certainly bigger expectations in this sequel after what Captain Marvel and Aquaman made but not really expecting 84 to reach such territory, rather go with numbers around Black Panther ($500M+ lc/$25M+ USD)
• Soul.  Personally, this is the performance more interesting to track. It feels a bigger potential than Onward, the trailer was warmly received in here and if delivers in the lines of Inside Out then we’ll have a massive hit. By the way, since its first film Pixar has never failed to place one of theirs among the year’s 10 highest grossers –obviously only in the years they have something to release- and this year this feels like the safest choice. Going by the last fact and following the trend of recent years we could see Soul over $450M+ lc/$22M+ USD.