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Purple Minion

Mexico Box Office | Frozen Empire spooks with $2.7M OW; Kung Fu P4nd4 reaches $22.8M, Dune 2 crosses $10M.

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Frozen is getting a good run and still has another weekend for itself so 500M looks achievable

 

Guadalupe Reyes had a somewhat good opening. I don't think it will last until the holidays to really benefit from the December corridor... but 60M can be in the cards... I think.

 

Knives Out was really great specially at it was only from VIP and Premium screens. I couldn't see it over the weekend will try to see it over the week but with the trafic getting worse by the minute sometimes I don't get it to the theater in time¡¡ Hehehe

 

 

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NOVEMBER 29TH-DECEMBER 1ST WEEKEND. FROZEN 2 CLOSE TO BEAT FIRST FROZEN AND RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET; SCORES ONE OF THE BEST SECOND WEEKEND FOR AN ANIMATION. FORD V FERRARI KEEPS PLAYING WITH EXCELLENT HOLDS AND KNIVES OUT OPENS LIMITED.

 

Frozen 2

- It should beat first Frozen between today and tomorrow and by Friday is going to be Walt Disney Animation Studios’ highest grosser ever surpassing Ralph Break the Internet.

- Is looking at a $480M+ finish as there’s no competition in sight and could develop strong late legs a la Maleficent 2.

 

Guadalupe Reyes

- Behind spring hit Como Novio de Pueblo and summer hit Solteras. It should leg well through upcoming weeks and surpass $55M. Quite below the expectations of its distributor.

 

Knives Out

- Best PSA of the top 10 by lc and second best by admissions. Solid number looking at an opening in the leagues of Murder in the Orient Express.

 

# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM.
1 Frozen 2 $99.9 -40,28% $325.7 $16.69 1.8 5.8
2 Guadalupe Reyes $20.7   $20.7 $1.06 367.2K 367.2K
3 Ford v Ferrari $10.3 -41,14% $79.3 $4.08 150.1K 1.1
4 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $6 -44,44% $490.7 $25.50 127.7K 9.1
5 Mary $5.7   $5.7 $292K 109.6K 109.6K
6 Killerman $5   $5 $256K 92.2K 92.2K
7 A Rainy Day in New York $4.2   $4.2 $215K 50.1K 50.1K
8 Knives Out $4   $4 $205K 30.3K 30.3K
9 Playing with Fire $3.2 -51,51% $65.8 $3.37 65.9K 1.3
10 Zombieland: Double Tap $2.9 -34,09% $51.2 $2.53 58.6K 942.5K

 

This Friday opens: Last Christmas (Thursday night previews starting 7:00 PM), Knives Out (Wide expansion), Cats and Peachtopia, Abigail, 21 Bridges, The Lodge, Ballon and Luciérnagas.

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23 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

31.5M lc weekdays ($1.7M) for Frozen 2, total is now 357.5M lc ($18.5M give or take). It's the #1 WDAS movie passing Ralph 2.

Not so sure about $500M for it. Despite no competition the weekend isn't looking good for it so no much hope for late legs. Let's wait for tomorrow's estimates.

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21 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Not so sure about $500M for it. Despite no competition the weekend isn't looking good for it so no much hope for late legs. Let's wait for tomorrow's estimates.

$21.1M total for Frozen 2, about 407M lc; passes HTTYD 3 and it's #11 of the yearly chart.

So weekend was around 50M lc, a 50% decrease. Those legs are not showing.

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1 hour ago, Mau said:

Are those really bad legs for frozen 2? Also Are jumanji presales high or low?

They're definitely far from other WDAS titles which are usually more leggy. Wouldn't say bad but considering the goodwill of the original and lack of competition it's kinda disappointing. 

 

Jumanji 2 has low PS but they're meaningless as is a family film. Anyway seeing how is performing everywhere I'm not expecting much but is still taking a lot of screens from F2.

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34 minutes ago, Mau said:

So sadly there is a chance for frozen 2 to miss top 10 this year. I guess

What @Carlangonz said above 😉 Deadline is reporting a 47% drop for Frozen 2.

 

Knives Out opened at #2 with $1.1M, Last Christmas at #3 with $850K and Ford vs Ferrari reached $4.6M.

Edited by Purple Minion
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49 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

SW IX O/U $ 25M?

I do think WAY under. I mean. The Last Jedi only did 261M LC. Not even the Force Awakens got to 500M and I'm not seeing much excitement for this one. Probably can get to 350M but… I’m not that confident.

 

 

So in the end Frozen will be hard pressed to get to 500M as Jumanji will definitely compete but holidays are basically around the corner so weekday numbers will improve a little bit. It will be interesting to see if it can hold some.

 

Was expecting a bigger number for Knives Out but I guess it was ok and it can have good word of mouth. I still see it getting to 50M

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11 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

SW IX O/U $ 25M?

It'll be lucky to gross half of that. 

 

10 hours ago, carlsalf said:

So in the end Frozen will be hard pressed to get to 500M as Jumanji will definitely compete but holidays are basically around the corner so weekday numbers will improve a little bit. It will be interesting to see if it can hold some.

It's completely depressing to compare past year's last two months with this year's. And BO won't recover until February. 

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Top 50 Movies in USD (Totals/ER estimates by Box Office Mojo)

 

01 01    77,594,725    Avengers: Endgame
02 02    71,882,369    Toy Story 4
03 07    61,748,523    The Avengers
04 03    60,058,771    Avengers: Infinity War
05 10    59,382,044    Toy Story 3
06 04    57,860,947    Coco
07 05    51,832,021    The Lion King
08 09    51,682,039    Furious 7
09 08    50,940,433    Avengers: Age of Ultron
10 27    48,566,365    Iron Man 3
11 19    47,702,364    Despicable Me 2

12 21    46,845,581    Ice Age: Continental Drift
13 26    46,172,590    Maleficent
14 25    46,103,013    Instructions Not Included
15 13    43,910,109    Minions
16 06    43,800,000    Joker
17 28    43,763,643    Avatar
18 15    42,105,404    Jurassic World
19 12    41,420,350    Captain America: Civil War
20 31    39,389,248    Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
21 37    37,608,021    Monsters University

22 11    37,244,911    Incredibles 2
23 xx    36,846,766    Spider-Man 3
24 18    36,621,767    Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
25 16    36,309,142    The Fate of the Furious
26 46    35,860,202    Fast & Furious 6
27 18    35,176,901    Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
28 16    34,804,796    Despicable Me 3
29 xx    34,163,720    Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
30 xx    33,534,598    Transformers: Age of Extinction
31 17    33,314,134    Captain Marvel
32 20    32,507,722    Aladdin
33 33    32,298,318    Spider-Man: Far from Home
34 xx    31,845,456    The Dark Knight Rises
35 xx    31,347,734    Alice in Wonderland

36 38    31,100,000    Inside Out
37 xx     30,905,962    Rio 2
38 xx     30,502,854    Transformers: Dark of the Moon
39 24    30,500,000    Aquaman
40 29    29,968,579    Beauty and the Beast
41 xx     29,577,943    The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2
42 xx     28,992,018    Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
43 xx     28,742,331    The Amazing Spider-Man
44 xx     28,460,534    The Amazing Spider-Man 2
45 42    28,445,871    San Andreas
46 xx     28,384,310    Shrek Forever After
47 32    28,322,788    Black Panther
48 xx     27,682,452    The Croods
49 40    27,649,496    Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
50 36    27,600,000    It

 

First number is Top 50 position in USD, second one is position in Top 50 lc (xx = outside).

Green: Increase > 5 positions, biggest in bold.

Red: Decrease > 5 positions, biggest in bold.

Edited by Purple Minion
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