Avatar :The Way of the Water OS thread

[Flamengo81]

6 minutes ago, Bruce said:

It’s 52m ,but the second WE increase from 168m to 176m

Seems we all underwhelming the Sun and postivie to Mon

I see. But it's still estimates?

[titanic2187]

31 minutes ago, Bruce said:

Impossible

DOM monday is not that decent

Yes, I just don't understand what went wrong with DOM. Their biggest day so far after OW is 29% lower from biggest single day in its first Saturday. This is quite bad compared to other markets, especially those Western markets that have similar holiday pattern like USA. 

[Sophia Jane]

4 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Yes, I just don't understand what went wrong with DOM. Their biggest day so far after OW is 29% lower from biggest single day in its first Saturday. This is quite bad compared to other markets, especially those Western markets that have similar holiday pattern like USA. 

DOM is bug disappointed ,I think maybe is end under 550m

[simoimo19]

 

[Sophia Jane]

Avatar break 90m lc in Cezch Republic in 2 weeks ,this trend nearly lock the highest grossing film of all time here

Edited December 27, 2022 by Bruce

[Mr Roark]

1 hour ago, Bruce said:

Impossible

DOM monday is not that decent

Jatinder believes it will make it.

 

Anyway sixth fastest ever to hit $1B. Let’s see how many days it will take to make $1.5… NWH took 26 days.

[Sophia Jane]

3 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:

Jatinder believes it will make it.

 

Anyway sixth fastest ever to hit $1B. Let’s see how many days it will take to make $1.5… NWH took 26 days.

after end of 3rd weekend it will do around 1.3B

[hw64]

1 minute ago, Bruce said:

after end of 3rd weekend it will do around 1.3B

 

I'm in agreement with this, I think $1.4b by the end of next Monday is too high. I think around $1.3b through this Sunday, around $1.35b or so through next Monday.

[Mr Roark]

2 minutes ago, hw64 said:

 

I'm in agreement with this, I think $1.4b by the end of next Monday is too high. I think around $1.3b through this Sunday, around $1.35b or so through next Monday.

Yes I agree.

[hw64]

Also, another example of Luiz's incompetence: reporting the overseas Boxing Day gross as $60.2m because he attributed the entirety of the increase in the overseas total to Monday, when actually around $8m of that was due to an increase from estimates in the proper overseas weekend.

Edited December 27, 2022 by hw64

[LPLC]

Here are my last updated projections :

 

 

DOM : $550M-$600M 

 

 

France : $120M-$140M

Germany : $100M-$120M 

United Kingdom : $80M-$90M  

Middle East : $60M-$70M

Spain : $45M-$50M 

Italy : $40M-$50M 

Nordic : $40M-$50M

Netherlands : $15M-$20M

Africa : $5M-$10M

Rest : $100M-$130M

 

Total EMEA : $605M-$730M

 

 

Mexico : $50M-$60M

Brazil : $40M-$50M 

Rest : $80M-$90M

 

Total Latin America : $170M-$200M

 

 

South Korea : $100M-$115M 

South East Asia : $65M-$75M

India : $50M-$60M

Australia : $45M-$55M

Japan : $25M-$35M

Taiwan : $20M-$25M

Hong Kong : $20M-$25M   

Russia/CIS : $10M

New Zealand : $10M 

Rest : $5M

 

Total APAC : $350M-$415M

 

 

China : $150M-$200M 

 

 

OS-China-Russia-Ukraine : $1,125B-$1,345B

OS-Russia-Ukraine : $1,275B-$1,545B

 

 

Total : $1,825B-$2,145B

 

Imo, at this point, JW and $1,7B are almost locked

Edited December 28, 2022 by LPLC

[salvador-232]

23 minutes ago, LPLC said:

 

 

Here are my last updated projections :

 

 

DOM : $550M-$600M 

 

 

France : $120M-$140M

Germany : $100M-$120M 

United Kingdom : $80M-$90M  

Middle East : $60M-$70M

Spain : $45M-$50M 

Italy : $40M-$50M 

Nordic : $40M-$50M

Netherlands : $15M-$20M

Africa : $5M-$10M

Rest : $100M-$130M

 

Total EMEA : $605M-$730M

 

 

Mexico : $50M-$60M

Brazil : $45M-$55M 

Rest : $80M-$100M

 

Total Latin America : $175M-$215M

 

 

South Korea : $100M-$115M 

South East Asia : $65M-$75M

India : $50M-$60M

Australia : $45M-$55M

Japan : $25M-$35M

Taiwan : $20M-$25M

Hong Kong : $20M-$25M   

 

Russia/CIS : $10M

New Zealand : $10M 

Rest : $5M

 

Total APAC : $350M-$415M

 

 

China : $150M-$200M 

 

 

OS-China-Russia-Ukraine : $1,130B-$1,360B

OS-Russia-Ukraine : $1,280B-$1,560B

 

 

Total : $1,830B-$2,160B

 

Imo, at this point, JW and $1,7B are almost locked

Wildly optimistic prediction for "Rest of Latin America" there. Maybe Jaichind can help with total gross so far but A2 is running far behind Spiderman NWH which did 88.5 in Latin America - México and Brasil. Should be closer to 60M USD IMO

[LPLC]

8 minutes ago, salvador-232 said:

Wildly optimistic prediction for "Rest of Latin America" there. Maybe Jaichind can help with total gross so far but A2 is running far behind Spiderman NWH which did 88.5 in Latin America - México and Brasil. Should be closer to 60M USD IMO

@charlie Jatinder is thinking $89.25M in the rest of Latin America, you can see his prediction on page 39 of this thread. But honestly $60M seems a bit low to me and it's true that $100M is probably a bit too much but you never know with the holidays and the weeks without competition

[Danhjpn]

 

 

[Shanks]

4 hours ago, LPLC said:

Total EMEA : $605M-$730M

Total Latin America : $175M-$215M

Total APAC : $350M-$415M

OS-China-Russia-Ukraine : $1,130B-$1,360B

OS-Russia-Ukraine : $1,280B-$1,560B

 

Total : $1,830B-$2,160B

 

Imo, at this point, JW and $1,7B are almost locked

 

I suppose there are first time for everything. In few years - I have been here, this is 1st time, your numbers are on optimistic side from my perspective. 

[LPLC]

12 minutes ago, Shanks said:

 

I suppose there are first time for everything. In few years - I have been here, this is 1st time, your numbers are on optimistic side from my perspective. 

I always try not to be pessimistic and optimistic either but just realistic. I'm probably wrong with these numbers, some are probably undervalued and others overvalued but hey these are just predictions and we'll see how it goes.

[Sheldon Cr]

1 hour ago, Danhjpn said:

 

 

Soon we will crack the winged one and spidey as well.brother Dan H.

Wow at the OS weekend increase

 

 

2.3B-2.5B ww let's Go!!

 

[Nero]

2 hours ago, Shanks said:

 

I suppose there are first time for everything. In few years - I have been here, this is 1st time, your numbers are on optimistic side from my perspective. 

Nah his first estimates were also pretty optimistic 

[Sophia Jane]

Early Report

DOM Tues:21.7m

OS Tues:48m

WW:Tues:69.7m

WW Overall:1025m(in 14 days of release)

[Sheldon Cr]

3 minutes ago, Bruce said:

Early Report

DOM Tues:21.7m

OS Tues:48m

WW:Tues:69.7m

WW Overall:1025m(in 14 days of release)

1.7b or more to go brother Bruce. Im thinking we may get.endgame WW if domestic and os are heading for 6x /5.3x

Multipliers.