ChipDerby Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 FROM THE MAD GENIUS OF GEORGE MILLER https://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChipDerby Posted August 23, 2022 Author Share Posted August 23, 2022 1 M37 92.583% 82.139% 95.194% 5.522% 13 10 2 Sandy 90.630% 84.338% 92.203% 3.569% 12 10 3 Goldenhour36 90.377% 76.333% 93.888% 3.316% 11 10 4 TalismanRing 89.777% 75.244% 93.410% 2.716% 10 10 5 In XXR We Trust 89.770% 77.026% 92.957% 2.710% 9 10 6 Legion By Night 89.047% 75.882% 92.339% 1.986% 8 10 7 datpepper 88.203% 72.114% 92.226% 1.142% 7 10 8 Grebacio 87.450% 72.415% 91.209% 0.389% 6 10 9 IdahoJacket 85.356% 57.757% 92.256% -1.705% 5 10 10 Sandro Mazzola 84.156% 78.175% 85.651% -2.905% 4 10 11 katnisscinnaplex 83.044% 73.258% 85.490% -4.017% 3 10 12 glassfairy 80.906% 75.330% 82.299% -6.155% 2 10 13 zubrolet 80.493% 65.313% 84.288% -6.568% 1 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR's Eras Tour Posted August 23, 2022 Share Posted August 23, 2022 O/U 6 films within $1M of each other? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 On 8/23/2022 at 3:59 PM, Toruk Makto XXR said: O/U 6 films within $1M of each other? Under, but only because I've got two separate clusters of 4 and 5 films respectively that meet the criteria Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Yeah I have 5 4.4-5.4 and 4 2.4-3.4 Another pessimistic weekend for me, confident in dbs but not as much on train. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Invitation ($10.37) and Super Pets ($3.73) are going to win or lose the week for me - off the charts vs average on both. Betting on the Fri night teens and against the digital release respectively Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 On 8/26/2022 at 9:11 AM, M37 said: Invitation ($10.37) and Super Pets ($3.73) are going to win or lose the week for me - off the charts vs average on both. Betting on the Fri night teens and against the digital release respectively Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR's Eras Tour Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 7 minutes ago, M37 said: It happens. I should have brought 3T down by at least $500K but I mathed up when calculating. Oh well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR's Eras Tour Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 Unless there's a shocking change in how the weekend plays out, @Legion By Night should win fairly easily. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 23 minutes ago, Stealing Porthos Name XXR said: Unless there's a shocking change in how the weekend plays out, @Legion By Night should win fairly easily. Pessimism FTW 😕 Next weekend is going to be a wild one for predictions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 Fwiw, I fixed my train number from 5.5 to 5 and my lead fell by a full %. Then I updated some ests to my personal nums and got the % back. This would be the first time in forever my wr goes back above 25%, so 🤞 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR's Eras Tour Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 Is TGM going to win next weekend?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 5 hours ago, Stealing Porthos Name XXR said: Is TGM going to win next weekend?! That or even NWH - first to $5M (or maybe $6M, depending on Cinema Day bump) wins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR's Eras Tour Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 58 minutes ago, M37 said: That or even NWH - first to $5M (or maybe $6M, depending on Cinema Day bump) wins I'm wondering if Cinema Day is going to help or hurt. Feels like a lot of people will take advantage of $3 tickets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 24 minutes ago, Stealing Porthos Name XXR said: I'm wondering if Cinema Day is going to help or hurt. Feels like a lot of people will take advantage of $3 tickets. “A lot” will, but how much does that get made up by volume, similar to Discount Tue vs Mon/Wed, while also likely pulling full admission buyers away from rest of weekend (Hence the gif I posted above about next weekend’s predictions) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR's Eras Tour Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 1 minute ago, M37 said: “A lot” will, but how much does that get made up by volume, similar to Discount Tue vs Mon/Wed, while also likely pulling full admission buyers away from rest of weekend (Hence the gif I posted above about next weekend’s predictions) Discount Tuesday has its limits though. They're having $3 IMAX at Lincoln Square in the evening. That's usually a $28 ticket! Even 3x the volume is gonna lead to bigger drops in USD than equivalent regular pricing. Also, it's going to pull Friday-Sunday-Monday crowds to Saturday, which will depress those days. Yea, it's gonna be interesting lmao 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 28, 2022 Share Posted August 28, 2022 Grebacio went even more pessimistic and probably gonna be rewarded with a close 2nd. They could take it if Sunday actuals are weak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 29, 2022 Share Posted August 29, 2022 On 8/28/2022 at 3:47 PM, Legion By Night said: Grebacio went even more pessimistic and probably gonna be rewarded with a close 2nd. They could take it if Sunday actuals are weak. Well, Sunday actuals were weak.At least it’s another top 2 for the collection. next wknd: NWH TGM Pets Train Invitation Beast Honk for Jesus Minions Thor Crawdads Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M37 Posted August 30, 2022 Share Posted August 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Legion By Night said: Well, Sunday actuals were weak.At least it’s another top 2 for the collection. next wknd: NWH TGM Pets Train Invitation Beast Honk for Jesus Minions Thor Crawdads Crawdads & DBS are gonna be close And since next weekend is going to be a crapshoot anyway, maybe throw in Jaws as the last spot instead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
