Weekdays Thread (12/19-22) | Avatar: The Way of 14.5 | Mon 16.2, Tue 18.3, Wed 14.3, Thu 14.5| Puss 3.2 OD | Check In For Your Hourly Weather Update

[Dragoncaine]

8 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

On the other hand Deadline is once again ironically looking quite reasonable 
https://deadline.com/2022/12/avatar-the-way-of-water-christmas-box-office-babylon-puss-in-boots-the-last-wish-1235203394/

 

Much better

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

On the other hand Deadline is once again ironically looking quite reasonable 
https://deadline.com/2022/12/avatar-the-way-of-water-christmas-box-office-babylon-puss-in-boots-the-last-wish-1235203394/

 

 

I wouldn't say $90+ million for the 4-day is the bare minimum, but I would say it's a reasonable expectation to be in the neighborhood of $90M. Bare minimum implies that it cannot go lower, but I think it could end up around $80-85M. Stick the range at $75M to $100M for now. 

[Cheddar Please]

I personally believe it's gonna catch up with RO this weekend, people forget just how much the holidays masked how frontloaded RO was, its dallies crashed after New Year's

[Brainbug]

2 hours ago, M37 said:

Usually, yes.  But the more “allowable” exceptions are when a film goes way outside the bounds of expectations, and people are scrambling to recalibrate. Like making a TGM over $700M club after those first weekday numbers (or an A2 under $500M one now)

 

I have listened.

 

 

[Krissykins]

Violent Night up +4% over last Monday. Nice. 

[Grebacio]

Is Puss having previews today?

[Cheddar Please]

1	(1)	Avatar: The Way of Water	20th Century…	$16,257,078	-56%		4,202	$3,869	$150,357,304	4
2	(2)	Black Panther: Wakanda Fo…	Walt Disney	$836,634	-48%	-7%	3,380	$248	$419,774,662	39
3	(3)	Violent Night	Universal	$804,430	-48%	+4%	3,525	$228	$35,821,180	18
4	(5)	Strange World	Walt Disney	$408,766	-40%	+99%	2,870	$142	$34,197,081	27
5	(6)	The Menu	Searchlight …	$301,525	-35%	-9%	1,875	$161	$32,351,847	32
6	(7)	Devotion	Sony Pictures	$130,347	-39%	-32%	2,211	$59	$18,746,490	27
7	(8)	The Fabelmans	Universal	$123,365	-38%	-13%	955	$129	$8,783,031	39
8	(-)	I Heard the Bells	Fathom Events	$87,879	-6%	-37%	410	$214	$5,082,100	19
-	(9)	Black Adam	Warner Bros.	$62,107	-52%	-34%	1,304	$48	$167,730,002	60

Edited December 20, 2022 by Cheddar Please

[Cap]

28 minutes ago, Verrows said:

Mods would have to let people get it out of their system

You all will have between 1:56AM EST and 2:47AM EST on Friday to shitpost. 2:48AM and you get banned!!!!!!!

 

[shachi86]

Deadline are overpredicting again! Didn't they say $175m opening weekend last week? 

[TwoMisfits]

47 minutes ago, jedijake said:

All of this makes me wonder how on Earth NWH and TGM did as well as they did.

 

They pulled out "never goers"...not exactly the same group of never goers, but never goers just the same...

 

Plus, they were both 100% family pulls in the end...why they both were but Avatar doesn't seem to be is up to you to decide:)...

[Mulder]

2 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Whatever was shot of Avatar 4 will likely be included as bonus material for the inevitable trilogy boxset. Yes, I said trilogy, because frankly I no longer see this story continuing past the third film. What a shame.

Avatar 4 is entirely shot. No matter what happens the only one they could possibly scrap as of right now is 5.

[Verrows]

13 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Violent Night up +4% over last Monday. Nice. 

Nice little success story in an otherwise forgettable holiday season at the box office. 

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, shachi86 said:

Deadline are overpredicting again! Didn't they say $175m opening weekend last week? 

 

At least there is some real data now. Based on the Monday number, the film can reach $88M on the upcoming 4-day weekend if it continues grossing 92.5% of Rogue One's dailies. 

[ZattMurdock]

Tried to find the Thunderbolts thread On The Lot but couldn’t find it:

 

 

 

I sincerely think that wherever he is, William Hurt is honored. Ford becoming General Thunderbolt Ross is completely bonkers.

[jedijake]

I had said O/U Jurassic World. Then Dark Knight/Rogue One (probably still in that range). 

 

Is it really concern trolling to say that there's a possibility of Avatar2 coming under TROS domestically?

Edited December 20, 2022 by jedijake

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

im betting on 1.6 WW

 

unless we see bigger international drops then i will act like i predicted a much lower number all this time .

[ThomasNicole]

Not related to weekday numbers but "blue white man" is sending me 

 

I need to share... 

 

 

 

 

[ZattMurdock]

2 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Not related to weekday numbers but "blue white man" is sending me 

 

I need to share... 

 

 

 

 

 

I mean, they aren’t wrong.

 

 

[Mulder]

3 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Not related to weekday numbers but "blue white man" is sending me 

 

I need to share... 

 

 

 

 

Twitter isn’t reality, far from it, but I do think that the kind of reception of it on there with younger people doesn’t bode great for its legs in regards to that demo.

[jedijake]

58 minutes ago, Verrows said:

Concept and/or quality. I find concept sells more than anything in the current era of box office. Concept applied to NWH. Top Gun is more of a total mystery and surprise, but quality definitely applies to that one. When audiences watch a trailer or featurettes and see the quality, they'll make it a priority.

 

Though Way of Water has the quality going for it so I don't know. Clearly the concept isn't quite interesting enough to reach NWH/Too Gun levels.

Top Gun Maverick was so, ugh, not that great. It really wasn't. Now that may be because I am not a military person. I support the military, but I don't understand the logistics. Of course, I never cared one bit about the original.

 

I guess Spidey being one of the top 3 superheroes in history (the other two being Batman and Superman) makes sense. It was his Endgame of sorts. But TGM-I will never understand fully.