New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!

[Andreas]

8 minutes ago, Gkalaitza said:

If Disney lowballs the weekend estimate to like 61m (basicaly flat SUN from SAT at this poiny) it would be peak clown behavior

But it's a good strategy, because afterwards Deadline, Variety & other outlets can have our favorite headlines:

 

ATWOW HAS ONCE AGAIN EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS 

[kayumanggi]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Not sure why you are blaming?

 

3rd SUN Drop from 2nd SUN is less than 4%.

 

And that's a incredible hold considering its 1st Jan.

 

I think it's more about the total. The original made $170.6 M there.

[Mr Roark]

Let’s not forget that the general assumptions were at a $58M a week ago if not lower. Landing a $65/66M top 4 3rd weekend ever with a chance to best BP is outstanding folks.

[Issac Newton]

6 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

I think it's more about the total. The original made $170.6 M there.

Doesn't matter because ER had been hellish crazy since Feb 2022. There were lots of warnings not to go with USD to determine it's success rate.

[JustLurking]

Just now, Issac Newton said:

Doesn't matter because ER had been hellish crazy since Feb 2022. There were lots of warnings not to go with USD to determine it's success rate.

It's an absurdly awful drop even in yen. ERs just make it even worse.

[IronJimbo]

9 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:

Let’s not forget that the general assumptions were at a $58M a week ago if not lower. Landing a $65/66M top 4 3rd weekend ever with a chance to best BP is outstanding folks.

Have we got ourselves a mini opening weekend situation here?

Spend years saying the opening will be about $140m.

2 week out tracking suggests $180m+

It opens to $135m

claim a disaster

[kayumanggi]

13 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Doesn't matter because ER had been hellish crazy since Feb 2022. There were lots of warnings not to go with USD to determine it's success rate.

 

Do you consider its run there successful?

[JustLurking]

1 minute ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Do you consider its run there successful?

It's still "fine" for a hollywood film in general considering it will probably land somewhere in the 4b range, but considering the drop from the first, there's no way one could realistically spin it into a positive, or even a modest result. It probably doesn't even make a third of the original's gross in yen. Considering the film has started to take a positive turn even in other underperforming markets like UK, Japan doing this sort of performance for it is just pathetic for the film in the market.

[wildphantom]

France about to smash $100 million. Amazing. I think the original did as much as $175 million there? Obviously if ER were what they used to be then we’d be way over $100 million. 
 

UK started off slower than expected but is making gains now. $100 million still on the table. 

[Issac Newton]

8 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Do you consider its run there successful?

Overall not good.

 

But, best among Disney Release.

 

20 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

It's an absurdly awful drop. ERs just make it even worse.

Agreed. 

 

Spoiler

I do know. Just trying to forget about it.

[Sheldon Cr]

5 hours ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

Why 20, aim for 21.

Lol. 21 is better. But I just want a 90-98m 4 day 👍🦝

[Sheldon Cr]

5 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

 

The Japanese surely love their whales. 🫠🫠🫠

😂 

[Sheldon Cr]

35 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Have we got ourselves a mini opening weekend situation here?

Spend years saying the opening will be about $140m.

2 week out tracking suggests $180m+

It opens to $135m

claim a disaster

They thought wrong my brothers. 6x multiplier coming up🦝😎

[Sheldon Cr]

5 hours ago, Bruce said:

Everybody Happy New Year!

A blessed 2023 to you my friend Also to our brothers Bruce, jimbo, kayom,ŕ Balmer, dignam, stuart360, ncsoft and everyone....Cheers!

[Psylocke]

42 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

Japan doing this sort of performance for it is just pathetic for the film in the market.

I think there are many reasons for its performance in Japan. But one of them is there aging population where there population has been declining and will in years go by decline even further.

[JustLurking]

6 minutes ago, Psylocke said:

I think there are many reasons for its performance in Japan. But one of them is there aging population where there population has been declining and will in years go by decline even further.

There are many reasons (which we've gone over plenty of times by now) but declining population is a lazy one. We're not deep enough into the problem for it to make a difference, year overall did well and 19 years admits record was crushed just 2 years ago.

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

I'm just here for the Puss increases.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 hours ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

now for charlie to add a million to it and for actuals to get it over 20

 

7 hours ago, Robertron said:

Pretty much this.

 

7 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

This being the first proper New Year's Day since 2020 and therefore most people partying their hearts out instead of seeing movies might prevent it from going that high. Still, the final number will probably be around $19.5M or something around those lines.

[ThomasNicole]

1 hour ago, IronJimbo said:

Have we got ourselves a mini opening weekend situation here?

Spend years saying the opening will be about $140m.

2 week out tracking suggests $180m+

It opens to $135m

claim a disaster

I don't think so. 

 

Overall expectations was 66-68M, it should still get close or match 66M. 

 

The only difference is that SAT drop was slightly bigger than expected (NYD celebrations + the games + long running time as the reasons) and SUN jump should be higher as well to compensate. 

 

But the weekend itself it'll still match the expectations imo.

[marveldcfox]

Boring weekend.