filmlover Posted July 24, 2023 Author Share Posted July 24, 2023 13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: I hope Air get a BP nom. While its unlikely to win it deserves a nom for sure. I think Air shouldn't have much difficulty tbh. Amazon will push it, it did well at the box office for its type of movie. Damon should be in strong consideration since he's likely to be cited at the end of the year for Air and Oppenheimer (possibly Drive-Away Dolls as well if it doesn't end up punted to 2024 due to strike complications). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 22 minutes ago, filmlover said: I think Air shouldn't have much difficulty tbh. Amazon will push it, it did well at the box office for its type of movie. Damon should be in strong consideration since he's likely to be cited at the end of the year for Air and Oppenheimer (possibly Drive-Away Dolls as well if it doesn't end up punted to 2024 due to strike complications). He's a cameo in Drive Away Dolls Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 24, 2023 Author Share Posted July 24, 2023 TIFF lineup announced (as expected, not overwhelming starry given the strike but still some titles from the majors and of course some big titles like Lee and Poolman that don't have distributors yet): Toronto Film Festival 2023 Lineup - Variety From the majors: Dumb Money The Holdovers Next Goal Wins Pain Hustlers Rustin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Just now, filmlover said: TIFF lineup announced (as expected, not overwhelming starry given the strike but still some titles from the majors and of course some big titles like Lee and Poolman that don't have distributors yet): Toronto Film Festival 2023 Lineup - Variety From the majors: Dumb Money The Holdovers Next Goal Wins Pain Hustlers Rustin Holdovers is clearly winning People's Choice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Oppenheimer should be a serious contender imo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 17 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said: It might be best for DUNE to move to 20124 in terms of its Oscar chances. At this point it's KILLER vs OPPENHEIMER. Of course a lot can change the next few months, but it would be awesome to have Scorsese vs Nolan. So far the locks for BP are imho: KILLER OF THE FLOWER MOON OPPENHEIMER BARBIE PAST LIVES 18,101 years?!!!! 💀☠️ Sorry I couldn't resist. seriously though, Dune will be fine in 2023. everyone loved Dune and will see it anyways. I don't wan't my most anticipated film getting delayed again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 I don't think it has any chance against OP and KILLER MOON. Of course, I would love to see it this year as well. I mean merely from its Oscar chances point of view. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, The Dark Alfred said: I don't think it has any chance against OP and KILLER MOON. Of course, I would love to see it this year as well. I mean merely from its Oscar chances point of view. Ah, Yeah It probably won't WIN. I do think it will get nominated though. I really don't care about weather or not it is though the Oscars are off on about 60% of movies anyways. I just want to see it in November. there is nothing else I am even excited for after that really. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Oppenheimer is wining this one. Nolan is hitting a perfect lottery. The current international politics make the movie even more relevant. The only job that Universal has is to make sure the movie doesn't peak this early and attracting backlash. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 I wouldn't count out THE HOLDOVERS. Could be a feel-good pick of the year, even more so than BARBIE. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 24, 2023 Author Share Posted July 24, 2023 ‘Ferrari’ To ‘Dumb Money’: How Are The Fall Festivals Shaping Up? – Deadline Big takeaways for Venice (announcing tomorrow): 1. Maestro, Poor Things, and Priscilla are all tipped to premiere there. 2. Because it's A24 (one of the few studios that have been successful in moving ahead on their productions during the strike so far), the cast for Priscilla might be getting a waiver to make an appearance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted July 24, 2023 Author Share Posted July 24, 2023 (edited) The fact Maestro is looking likely to premiere there (and one has to assume NYFF as well, you could hardly get more NYC than Leonard Bernstein) makes me think BCoop was successful in getting a waiver to tout the movie on the condition that no one else that acted in it is at the premieres as long as the strike is ongoing. Only time will tell if the situation will create a headache for reporters as to what questions they can and can't ask him during the press conference. Edited July 24, 2023 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 (edited) Best picture winner runtime since 2000 Everything everywhere 140 minutes coda 112 minutes 108 minutes Parasite 133 minutes Green book 130 minutes shape of water 123 minutes moon light 111 minutes Spotlight 129 minutes Birdman 120 minutes 12 years a slave 134 minutes Argo 120 minutes artist 100 minutes king’s speech 118 minutes the hurt locker 131 minutes Slumdog millionaire 120 minutes No country 122 minutes The departed 151 minutes Crash 112 minutes Million dollar baby 132 minutes return of the king 201 minutes Chicago 113 minutes a beautiful mind 135 minutes gladiator 155 minutes the academy hasn’t been going for long times 1 movie over 3 hours 3 movies of 2.5 hours. most movies in 110 minutes to 135 minutes In the 90s 3 movies with a 3 hour runtime won best picture and Braveheart runtime is just short of 3 hours by 2 minutes. I don’t think a long runtime movie is winning best picture recently the academy likes a positive emotional ending. I think the Holdovers is the best bet right now. Edited July 24, 2023 by Kvikk Lunsj Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Yeah what I said months ago that I can imagine it being Scorsese vs Nolan in best director while some small heartwarming movie sneaks away with best picture still seems like the likeliest scenario to me. Though it seems like people are settling on that small movie being The Holdovers and I dunno but something seems off about that pick to me. Movie looks dated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kvikk Lunsj Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Also worth noting since Slumdog. Ben Afflect is the only director to win best picture and not had a previous movie nominated for best picture 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 Also I remember in 2019 early in that awards season the hype was that it was gonna be a Scorsese vs Tarantino title fight and by the time the Oscars actually came around neither of them were in it to win it at all really. Ended up Bong vs Mendes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 21 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: Also I remember in 2019 early in that awards season the hype was that it was gonna be a Scorsese vs Tarantino title fight and by the time the Oscars actually came around neither of them were in it to win it at all really. Ended up Bong vs Mendes. That’s cause the Globes gave it to Mendes. Is there even a latebreaker like 1917 this year? Color Purple I guess (lol) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 24, 2023 Share Posted July 24, 2023 If it's actually coming out. Hopefully the strike is over by December. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeFangrl Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Of course, the WB strategists would want to get away from this year's "serious" contenders in Adapted Screenplay, but will the Academy see Barbie as "original"? Sometimes AMPAS rulings can be more about vibes than anything else, it seems: In the past, the WGA has classified works such as “The Ballad of Buster Scruggs,” “Moonlight” and “Whiplash” as original works. However, the Academy felt the adapted category was the more appropriate route for all three. Even presumed adapted works such as “Syriana” by Stephen Gaghan, which the WGA and the filmmakers said was loosely based on the Robert Baer 20023 memoir “See No Evil,” was kicked to the opposite category. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 They should absolutely go for original. OP and KILLER OF THE FLOWER MOON will be in adapted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...