LegionWrex Posted May 28, 2023 Share Posted May 28, 2023 Anatomy of a Fall winning the Palme certainly puts it in the conversation for Picture, though I'm unsure if that will happen. Feels like the Academy is going to lead towards Glazer and The Zone of Interest which I'm confident will get a Picture nomination at this point, it feels too obvious. It's worth considering though that out of the 3 prior films to win the Palme with NEON at the helm, 2/3 of them were nominated for Best Picture and one of them won. Never discount them. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted June 1, 2023 Share Posted June 1, 2023 Post Cannes: 1. Past Lives 2. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Dune 2 4. Barbie 5. Oppenheimer 6. The Zone of Interest 7. The Holdovers 8. The Color Purple 9. Saltburn 10. Anatomy of a Fall 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 2, 2023 Author Share Posted June 2, 2023 We'll see if this exacy lineup ultimately pans out (I'm gonna go with, uh, no). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 LOL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 On 6/1/2023 at 1:46 PM, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Post Cannes: 1. Past Lives 2. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Dune 2 4. Barbie 5. Oppenheimer 6. The Zone of Interest 7. The Holdovers 8. The Color Purple 9. Saltburn 10. Anatomy of a Fall Can I understand why Barbie is in the mix? Is that purely because of Greta Gerwig? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Deetz Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Can I understand why Barbie is in the mix? Is that purely because of Greta Gerwig? Was thinking the same thing. All the smart prognosticators here, Nash and Han and Clay, are all on board with Barbie getting a Best Picture nomination, and like...am I going crazy here? Are we really doing this after Lego Movie whiffed Best Animated Feature all these years ago? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted June 2, 2023 Share Posted June 2, 2023 (edited) LEGO Movie illogical comparison. was not nominated because of specific gripes within the animation branch. won BAFTA and PGA it would've won the Oscar among the rest of the voting body if that branch didn't snub it. also don't think comparisons for what the academy did a decade ago work for right now. Edited June 2, 2023 by CoolioD1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 3, 2023 Author Share Posted June 3, 2023 Barbie is on my "wait and see" list despite all the talent both in front and behind the camera because it's definitely one of those movies that needs absolutely everything (reviews, box office, sustaining momentum for the rest of the year when awards season and all the more serious-minded contenders start to really surface) to go right in order to become an actual contender and can't afford in any way having a "disappointment" label attached to it (which I already feel like the door has been opened for due to the internet - not the studio - manufactured hype that has been bestowed upon it). But those aside, it also has the hurdle of being, at best, third priority for WB (behind Dune 2 and The Color Purple) given the summer release. Crazier things have happened, but for now, I'm going with tech + Golden Globe Comedy contender at most. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted June 3, 2023 Share Posted June 3, 2023 I also was lol what oscar buzz for Barbie last summer when the set photos were going viral but as we nearing the release I guess I can see it. If like @filmlover said absolutely everything go right for it (reviews, boxoffice, staying power in the zeitgeist). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 3, 2023 Share Posted June 3, 2023 Barbie has to hit everything right to get nominated. Currently I'm thinking it probably does, but it could easily not. It's a weird year - Killers is the only thing I feel any degree of confidence in as of June 1st. Though my rare kernels of inside info tell me to be high on Saltburn, if not as a winner certainly as a big time critical darling that could be this year's Banshees nom wise. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 3, 2023 Share Posted June 3, 2023 I kept hearing references to Truman show in comps to Barbie. Gerwig is highly capable director who can elevate any story. It would be wild if both Barbie and Oppenheimer gets nominated releasing on the same day in summer !!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted June 3, 2023 Share Posted June 3, 2023 People have seen the movie and know its combo of zeitgeist, social commentary and populism makes it an easy and broadly digestible contender. It's already destined to gobble up many technicals and will cruise through a lot of the guilds. Greta Gerwig is one of the only mainstream directors with highbrow appeal as well as middlebrow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted June 7, 2023 Share Posted June 7, 2023 Predictions as of June, already prepared for most of these to be wrong lmfao: BEST PICTURE Bob Marley: One Love The Color Purple Dune: Part Two How Do You Live Killers of the Flower Moon May December Oppenheimer The Holdovers Saltburn The Zone of Interest I think there's a real case where A24 prioritizes ZOI and lets Past Lives peak too early (as was the case with The Farewell), while Barbie is too much of a "I'll believe it when I see it" for reasons people have already mentioned in this thread, I'm a little bullish on including HDYL (especially when The Wind Rises got hyped as Miyazaki's final film potentially, only to get one nomination and lose to Frozen) but I think there's a "okay for REAL this time" element and GKIDS could well go big with promoting it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted June 8, 2023 Share Posted June 8, 2023 8 hours ago, Ezen Baklattan said: Barbie is too much of a "I'll believe it when I see it" Get ready to believe it and see it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 21, 2023 Author Share Posted June 21, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeFangrl Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 Expanded theatrical run of seven days, consecutive or non-consecutive, in 10 of the top 50 U.S. markets, no later than 45 days after the initial release in 2024. For late-in-the-year films with expansions after Jan. 10, 2025, distributors must submit release plans to the Academy for verification. Release plans for late-in-the-year films must include a planned expanded theatrical run, as described above, to be completed no later than Jan. 24, 2025. Non-U.S. territory releases can count towards two of the 10 markets. Qualifying non-U.S. markets include the top 15 international theatrical markets plus the home territory for the film. These rules are only for Best Picture, so the obscure minimum releases for acting-only plays and Diane Warren song vehicles will be unaffected. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 22, 2023 Author Share Posted June 22, 2023 I'd say I'm expecting them to include "must report box office" as one of the rules these days to even further go after the streamers like Netflix (who have completely avoided a major theatrical footprint this whole time aside from the one week Glass Onion run) and Apple (although they are now in the theater business with these deals they have for some of their bigger titles to have exclusive runs before streaming) since it's only for Best Picture, but Netflix has been doing just fine in terms of nominations even if it hasn't really translated to winning the top prize so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted June 22, 2023 Share Posted June 22, 2023 1. The Holdovers 2. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Oppenheimer 4. Dune: Part Two 5. Barbie 6. Past Lives 7. Zone of Interest 8. The Killer 9. Strangers 10. May-December Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 New predictions: 1. Oppenheimer 2. Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Dune: Part Two 4. The Holdovers 5. Saltburn 6. The Killer 7. The Zone of Interest 8. Poor Things 9. Past Lives 10. Anatomy of a Fall Director: 1. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer 2. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon 3. Denis Villeneuve, Dune: Part Two 4. Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest 5. Emerald Fennell, Saltburn Actor: 1. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer 2. Barry Keoghan, Saltburn 3. Kingsley Ben-Adir, Bob Marley: One Love 4. Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon 5. Michael Fassbender, The Killer Actress: 1. Emma Stone, Poor Things 2. Natalie Portman, May December 3. Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall 4. Greta Lee, Past Lives 5. Zendaya, Challengers Supporting Actor: 1. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Willem Dafoe, Poor Things 3. Matt Damon, Oppenheimer 4. Jacob Elordi, Saltburn 5. Jesse Plemons, Killers of the Flower Moon Supporting Actress: 1. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers 3. Julianne Moore, May December 4. Tilda Swinton, The Killer 5. Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer Original Screenplay: 1. The Holdovers 2. Saltburn 3. Past Lives 4. Anatomy of a Fall 5. Asteroid City Adapted Screenplay: 1. Killers of the Flower Moon 2. Oppenheimer 3. The Zone of Interest 4. Dune: Part Two 5. The Killer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 24, 2023 Share Posted June 24, 2023 Quickie little bored BP predictions on a hot Saturday afternoon 1. The Holdovers 2. Saltburn 3. The Color Purple 4. Killers of the Flower Moon 5. Oppenheimer 6. Barbie 7. The Zone of Interest 8. Next Goal Wins 9. How Do You Live? 10. Dune 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
