kayumanggi Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 (edited) I really expect this to be huge. I just don't know how huge. Edited yesterday at 04:16 AM by kayumanggi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xieh tie Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thajdikt Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 650-700M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 (edited) My prediction is 300M in Usa/Canada, 300/400M Overseas and then 100M in China In my market in particular (Italy) I can see it reaching 10M, two times more than Detective Pikachu And does anyone know how much can we expect from Japan? Edited February 23 by MG10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 (edited) 26 minutes ago, MG10 said: My prediction is 300M in Usa/Canada, 300/400M Overseas and then 100M in China In my market in particular (Italy) I can see it reaching 10M, two times more than Detective Pikachu And does anyone know how much can we expect from Japan? Japan is a hard market to read. There has never been a hollywood adaptation of a japanese property that became popular in Japan. Even generally well-received films like Sonic absolutely cratered in Japan. A realistic good target is something in the 3-5b range ( 22~37 on current ER), which puts it into the high end of illumination films. If you're feeling really, really bullish you could go for 10b I suppose, but I don't think many people that follow the market would follow you on that one. I certainly wouldn't, anyway. But like I said, Japan is a hard market to read. No one would've bet a penny on Frozen being as big as it was here. So if you're feeling it, go for it, I guess. Edited February 23 by JustLurking Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 hours ago, JustLurking said: Japan is a hard market to read. There has never been a hollywood adaptation of a japanese property that became popular in Japan. Even generally well-received films like Sonic absolutely cratered in Japan. A realistic good target is something in the 3-5b range ( 22~37 on current ER), which puts it into the high end of illumination films. If you're feeling really, really bullish you could go for 10b I suppose, but I don't think many people that follow the market would follow you on that one. I certainly wouldn't, anyway. But like I said, Japan is a hard market to read. No one would've bet a penny on Frozen being as big as it was here. So if you're feeling it, go for it, I guess. Yeah I was thinking about a 5B yen (35/40M dollars) target even if it may be a bit too high, which would definitely be more than what Detective Pikachu did even though I'm not sure about its gross in yen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 4 minutes ago, MG10 said: Yeah I was thinking about a 5B yen (35/40M dollars) target even if it may be a bit too high, which would definitely be more than what Detective Pikachu did even though I'm not sure about its gross in yen DP grossed about 3b yen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobrtmanAStarWarsReference Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 On 2/23/2023 at 10:28 AM, JustLurking said: Japan is a hard market to read. There has never been a hollywood adaptation of a japanese property that became popular in Japan. Even generally well-received films like Sonic absolutely cratered in Japan. A realistic good target is something in the 3-5b range ( 22~37 on current ER), which puts it into the high end of illumination films. If you're feeling really, really bullish you could go for 10b I suppose, but I don't think many people that follow the market would follow you on that one. I certainly wouldn't, anyway. But like I said, Japan is a hard market to read. No one would've bet a penny on Frozen being as big as it was here. So if you're feeling it, go for it, I guess. Sonic isn't the best example since the franchise isn't all that popular in Japan (at least not until Frontiers) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 30 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said: Sonic isn't the best example since the franchise isn't all that popular in Japan (at least not until Frontiers) There is no positive example to grab. A hollywood take on a japanese IP has never been popular in Japan. They all did between meh and straight up bomb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lor15 Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Presales in Uruguay are BIG, opening week is holy week (school holidays) so expect big numbers from tuesday midnights to sunday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 I could see this underperforming in my market (Aus) because Nintendo was never as big here outside of the wii and DS era. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted March 25 Share Posted March 25 Mainland China Mario pre-sales has started some hours back Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 4 Author Share Posted April 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thajdikt Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 (edited) Deadline saying 100M OS but I´m thinking that 150M should be possible. We will see. The hype seems insane Edited April 4 by thajdikt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 (edited) On 2/23/2023 at 4:02 PM, MG10 said: My prediction is 300M in Usa/Canada, 300/400M Overseas and then 100M in China In my market in particular (Italy) I can see it reaching 10M, two times more than Detective Pikachu And does anyone know how much can we expect from Japan? Quoting my prediction from a month and a half ago, I think despite the so-so critics reviews it should still end up at more than 800M, in particular with 350/400M in North America, 400/450M in the rest of the world and 20/30M in China, which I previously overestimated by a lot Edited April 8 by MG10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 5 Author Share Posted April 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nerves Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 Hoping for $20M+ in China for Mario 🤞 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 5 Author Share Posted April 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 1 hour ago, nerves said: Hoping for $20M+ in China for Mario 🤞 Maoyan Forecast updated to $19.9M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 56 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: Maoyan Forecast updated to $19.9M you are talking about OW right. with 4.8 OD and 9.4 Maoyan it should have a good run. 50m+ finish should happen right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
