kayumanggi Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 (edited) Summer 2023 has officially begun. Though we still have yet to see how the movies will perform this summer season, let us start the discussion on what movies do you think will dominate 2024. Do you have a lock to win the year? Will AVATAR III make its date and win the year yet again? Share your thoughts! 2024 RELEASE SCHEDULE* January 05 | NIGHT SWIM 12 | MEAN GIRLS | THE BOOK OF CLARENCE | THE BEEKEPER 19 | I.S.S. 26 | February 02 | ARGYLLE 09 | LISA FRANKENSTEIN 16 | BOB MARLEY: ONE LOVE | MADAME WEB 23 | ORDINARY ANGELS | DEMON SLAYER: KIMETSU NO YAIBA -TO THE HASHIRA TRAINING | DRIVE-AWAY DOLLS March 01 | DUNE II 08 | IMAGINARY | KUNG FU PANDA IV | CABRINI 15 | ARTHUR THE KING 22 | GHOSTBUSTERS: FROZEN EMPIRE | IMMACULATE 29 | GODZILLA × KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE April 05 | THE FIRST OMEN | MONKEY MAN 12 | CIVIL WAR 19 | THE MINISTRY OF UNGENTLEMANLY WARFARE | ABIGAIL | SPY × FAMILY CODE: WHITE 26 | UNSUNG HERO | CHALLENGERS May 03 | THE FALL GUY 10 | KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES | TAROT 17 | THE STRANGERS I | IF | BACK TO BLACK 24 | GARFIELD | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA 31 | June 07 | BALLERINA | THE WATCHERS 14 | INSIDE OUT II | BAD BOYS IV 21 | IT ENDS WITH US | THE BIKERIDERS 28 | A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE | HORIZON: AN AMERICAN SAGA I July 05 | DESPICABLE ME IV 12 | UNTITLED JOHANSSON/TATUM ROMCOM 19 | TWISTERS 26 | DEADPOOL III August 02 | HAROLD AND THE PURPLE CRAYON | TRAP 09 | BORDERLANDS | FLINT STRONG 16 | ALIEN: ROMULUS | HORIZON: AN AMERICAN SAGA II 23 | THE FORGE | BLINK TWICE 30 | KRAVEN THE HUNTER September 06 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE 13 | TRANSFORMERS ONE | SPEAK NO EVIL 20 | WOLFS | THE WILD ROBOT 27 | SAW XI October 04 | WHITE BIRD | JOKER: FOLIE Á DEUX 11 | PIECE BY PIECE 18 | SMILE II 25 | THE WOLF MAN November 01 | UNTITLED UNIVERSAL EVENT FILM 08 | THE AMATEUR | VENOM III 15 | THE BEST CHRISTMAS PAGEANT EVER | ALTO KNIGHTS | RED ONE 22 | GLADIATOR II 29 | MOANA II | WICKED I December 06 | 13 | KARATE KID | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE WAR OF THE ROHIRRIM 20 | MUFASA: THE LION KING | SONIC THE HEDGEHOG III 27 | NOSFERATU *wide releases only / dates are all Friday *** RELEASE SCHEDULE BY MAJOR STUDIOS DISNEY 04.05 THE FIRST OMEN 05.10 KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES 06.14 INSIDE OUT II 07.26 DEADPOOL III 08.16 ALIEN: ROMULUS 11.08 THE AMATEUR 11.29 MOANA II 12.20 MUFASA: THE LION KING LIONSGATE 02.23 ORDINARY ANGELS 03.08 IMAGINARY 03.15 ARTHUR THE KING 04.19 THE MINISTRY OF UNGENTLEMANLY WARFARE 04.26 UNSUNG HERO 05.17 THE STRANGERS I 06.07 BALLERINA 08.09 BORDERLANDS 09.27 SAW XI 10.04 WHITE BIRD 11.15 THE BEST CHRISTMAS PAGEANT EVER PARAMOUNT 01.12 MEAN GIRLS 02.16 BOB MARLEY: ONE LOVE 05.17 IF 06.28 A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE 09.13 TRANSFORMERS ONE 10.18 SMILE II 11.22 GLADIATOR II 12.20 SONIC THE HEDGEHOG III SONY 01.12 THE BOOK OF CLARENCE 02.16 MADAME WEB 02.23 DEMON SLAYER: KIMETSU NO YAIBA -TO THE HASHIRA TRAINING 03.22 GHOSTBUSTERS: FROZEN EMPIRE 05.10 TAROT 05.24 GARFIELD 06.14 BAD BOYS IV 06.21 IT ENDS WITH US 07.12 UNTITLED JOHANSSON/TATUM ROMCOM 08.02 HAROLD AND THE PURPLE CRAYON 08.23 THE FORGE 08.30 KRAVEN THE HUNTER 09.20 WOLFS 11.08 VENOM III 12.13 KARATE KID UNIVERSAL 01.05 NIGHT SWIM 02.02 ARGYLLE 02.09 LISA FRANKENSTEIN 02.23 DRIVE-AWAY DOLLS 03.08 KUNG FU PANDA IV 04.05 MONKEY MAN 04.19 ABIGAIL 05.03 THE FALL GUY 05.17 BACK TO BLACK 06.21 THE BIKERIDERS 07.05 DESPICABLE ME IV 07.19 TWISTERS 09.13 SPEAK NO EVIL 09.20 THE WILD ROBOT 10.11 PIECE BY PIECE 10.25 THE WOLF MAN 11.01 UNTITLED UNIVERSAL EVENT FILM 11.29 WICKED I 12.27 NOSFERATU WARNER BROS. 03.01 DUNE II 03.29 GODZILLA × KONG: THE NEW EMPIRE 05.24 FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA 06.07 THE WATCHERS 06.28 HORIZON: AN AMERICAN SAGA I 08.02 TRAP 08.16 HORIZON: AN AMERICAN SAGA II 09.06 BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE 10.04 JOKER: FOLIE Á DEUX 11.15 ALTO KNIGHTS 12.13 THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE WAR OF THE ROHIRRIM OTHER STUDIOS 01.12 THE BEEKEPER 01.19 I.S.S. 03.08 CABRINI 03.22 IMMACULATE 04.12 CIVIL WAR 04.19 SPY × FAMILY CODE: WHITE 04.26 CHALLENGERS 08.09 FLINT STRONG 08.23 BLINK TWICE 11.15 RED ONE *wide releases only / dates are all Friday Edited February 10 by kayumanggi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 (edited) Going to refrain from the list but do think we’ll see some changes. A handful of films still in production this year or rated but not released will end up going here (Aquaman 2, Ghostbusters 4?, Harold and the Purple Crayon, Coyote vs Acme, Fixed, etc). Avatar 3 is winning the year no contest but number two spot can be interesting. If either Across or Dead Reckoning 1 breaks out to 300m domestic, I think part two for both could take the number two spot. Deadpool and Wolverine is a good choice though I wonder if the MCU fatigue going on will correct itself by the time it opens. I can buy Despicable Me 4 being a nostalgia requel in which Vector returns from the moon with an army and a senior Gru and Lucy, the minions, and his young adult daughters face him off. Inside Out 2 could very well be the big return for Disney/Pixar especially if TLM, Elemental and Wish turn out to be hits. Lots of room for potential breakouts too. Both Elio and IF sound like family film original smash hits. I think KFP4 has a strong chance at 200m domestic if it moves. Cap 4 should do over 200m as well but 250m+ can happen. Gladiator 2, Apes and Furiosa have potential as does Snow White, Mickey7, and Godzilla and Kong. Lion King 2 I think will have a big fall though. Joker 2 is another question is I’m not sure if the musical angle can sell. Thunderbolts and Blade with the strike I think would be better off moving to 2025 or later because those two will need quality to thrive. Edited May 4, 2023 by YM! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 The return of vector is my generations force awakens 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Dang. what a weak looking year. Avatar 3 will probably be 1# even if it only does a subpar $450m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 (edited) Part of me thinks that we could see Sony switching up the slate if necessary to something like this: 2/16 - Harold and the Purple Crayon 3/27 - Ghostbusters 4 5/24, 5/31 or 6/7 - Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse if Across breaks out 7/12 - Madame Web 11/1 or Christmas (doubting Sonic 3 stays for Christmas next year) - Garfield Edited May 4, 2023 by YM! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mickiland16 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 My early prediction domestically is: Over $500M: Avatar 3 (also over $600M) Over $400M: Inside Out 2 Deadpool 3 Over $300M: Mission Impossible 8 Beyond the Spider-Verse Mufasa: The Lion King Despicable Me 4 Over $200M: Joker 2 Snow White Captain America: New World Order Sonic 3 Blade Elio if it or KP4 moves (trusting on good WOM for this one) Over $150M: Kung Fu Panda 4 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes The Karate Kid Transformers One Thunderbolts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scytheavatar Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 There's zero chances of The Karate Kid coming out next year, correct? Zero information on who is writing or directing, let alone being casted for the film. Won't be surprised if it never ever gets released. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Mickiland16 said: My early prediction domestically is: Over $500M: Avatar 3 (also over $600M) Over $400M: Inside Out 2 Deadpool 3 Over $300M: Mission Impossible 8 Beyond the Spider-Verse Mufasa: The Lion King Despicable Me 4 Over $200M: Joker 2 Snow White Captain America: New World Order Sonic 3 Blade Elio if it or KP4 moves (trusting on good WOM for this one) Over $150M: Kung Fu Panda 4 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes The Karate Kid Transformers One Thunderbolts Very interesting. Those two get released on the same weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mickiland16 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, kayumanggi said: Very interesting. Those two get released on the same weekend. I'm expecting one of them to move since both targets a similar or basically the same audience, don't think Disney nor Universal is that arrogant when none of both is really a small movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Avatar and Joker are the only 2 I see making a billion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 4, 2023 Author Share Posted May 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, Mickiland16 said: I'm expecting one of them to move since both targets a similar or basically the same audience, don't think Disney nor Universal is that arrogant when none of both is really a small movie. Not sure if Universal will move. That has always been DESPICABLE ME movies' spot. I also don't know where MUFASA should go considering that Disney has already taken hold of the most important dates. Maybe move it to December, but that also means AVATAR III and the STAR WARS movies getting delayed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Does not seem as strong of a year as 2023, but that being said 2022 didn't seem as strong on paper as I thought it would be, and it ended up having some of the biggest domestic grosses of all time, so who knows? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Hot take - Deadpool III outgrosses either of the next two Avengers movies or any Phase Whatever This Is MCU movie. I think it's much more sellable of a concept outside the fatigue these movies have generally. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GOGODanca Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 MY TOP 5 FOR NEXT YEAR 1. AVATAR 3 2. Despicable Me 4 3. JOKER 2 4. MI DR Pt2 5. DEADPOOL 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 8 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: Hot take - Deadpool III outgrosses either of the next two Avengers movies or any Phase Whatever This Is MCU movie. I think it's much more sellable of a concept outside the fatigue these movies have generally. Domestically maybe, OS nah. Think the Avengers name still carries a 1B WW minimum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Joker 2 seems like the next Wakanda Forever/The Marvels/Spider-Man 2. I think the musical aspect may be a turnoff for the main demographic at hand and in addition to that, the first hit a zeitgeist in a way that’s hard to replicate. I think upper 200s domestic and 750-800m worldwide 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 The WGA strike can change dramatically this schedule. Avatar 3 should easily win the year, unless something explodes like crazy. I can see surprises from Twisters (possible return of catastrophe genre?) and If (Krasinski with stellar cast). 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wild Eric Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 31 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: Hot take - Deadpool III outgrosses either of the next two Avengers movies or any Phase Whatever This Is MCU movie. I think it's much more sellable of a concept outside the fatigue these movies have generally. Hotter take - Joker 2 is the second-biggest movie of the year, only behind Avatar. It does have an uphill battle with superhero fatigue and the lack of novelty and moral panic hype, but it's also being offset by having one of the biggest movie stars front and center as Harley Quinn, you know Gaga's got some bangers, and I think the musical angle could actually breathe some life to the stagnant genre. As long as it delivers the same goods as the first (well, maybe not "goods", but has the stuff people inexplicably liked in that first movie), we could see something special. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 Joker will have 2024 most disappointing BO run. Under 200M DOM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 (edited) I'm thinking something along the lines of... #1. Avatar 3 #2. Deadpool 3 #3. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning, Part 2 #4. Joker 2 #5. Sonic 3 #6. Despicable Me 4 #7. Musafa #8. Godzilla vs Kong 2 #9.Thunderbolts #10. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes #11. Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse #12. Captain American 4 #13. Blade #14. Snow White #15. Furiousa Edited May 4, 2023 by poweranimals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...