THE LITTLE MERMAID WEEKEND THREAD

[charlie Jatinder]

29+

[YM!]

100m three day is dead. Seems that the Disney family arm is underindexing. A 95m+/115m+ four day is still good but still noteworthy of a difference.

[VanillaSkies]

2 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

well, maybe. 
except his number mirrors Aladdin on the Memorial Day release just before the pandemic, so as good a guess as any. 

haha, I stand corrected. 
Charlie’s 29m would be pretty meh for it.

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

29+

 

Fairly weak increase. Looks like 92-98 3-day and 117-123 4-day.

[ThomasNicole]

Oh this is sweet  

 

 

[keysersoze123]

14 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Guys, it's Noctis so this number he defintely pulled out of his ass

 You could have waited.

[ThomasNicole]

Yeah meh OW for TLM 

 

Disastrous drop for F9 

 

I’m hoping at least Guardians deliver 27M 4-day and save this MD from total disappointment 

[CJohn]

27 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

29+

Below Aladdin's first Saturday?! That is quite disappointing not gonna lie. I was expecting 35M+ Saturday.

[jedijake]

Was hopeful but now WTF.

[Kon]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Below Aladdin's first Saturday?! That is quite disappointing not gonna lie. I was expecting 35M+ Saturday.

Aladdin legs were really great. I wouldn't expect Little Mermaid to have similar legs.

 

In itself, 117-123 4-day wouldn't be a bad OW at all. However, it will really need good legs for the 250 million budget.

[jedijake]

Over $35 million Saturday could give it $110 m for the 3-day.

$30-$35 mill gives it somewhere between $100-$109 m.

Under $30 m (probably not going to be that low) puts $100 m in some question.

The question is what that "+" means.

[robertman2]

So is GOTG3 still have a good chance at winning the summer domestically?

[Poseidon]

Jesus, 29m would be atrocious. I guess that would be the worst Fr/Sat-Hold on Memorial Day since Fast 6. 

 

I really hope this goes up to at least 30m. 

[MovieMan89]

3 hours ago, XXR Anti-Hero said:

 

It'll clear 400 the same day Mario clears 700.

Imagine having jokes about me saying Mario could challenge for the highest grossing animated film of all time as far back as last year (correct), when the average pre-release Mario predictions around here were like “maybe” 250m DOM… what was yours lmaooooo

Edited May 28, 2023 by MovieMan89

[PrinceRico]

4 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said:

So is GOTG3 still have a good chance at winning the summer domestically?

Lol no

[charlie Jatinder]

‘she DIDN’T got legs, you idiot’

 

I will show myself out

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said:

So is GOTG3 still have a good chance at winning the summer domestically?

I will pick Verse 2 or MI7, but sure one contender down.

[NCsoft]

3 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said:

So is GOTG3 still have a good chance at winning the summer domestically?

 

Good chance, unless if Spider-verse really does that well. 

But a $370Mish domestic summer crown with 2023 ATP? Would not have expected it. We'll see how things go, maybe The Flash and MI7 or Indiana Jones can surprise, I kind of doubt it. 

[ThomasNicole]

4 minutes ago, RobrtmanAStarWarsReference said:

So is GOTG3 still have a good chance at winning the summer domestically?

Seems like it 

 

Guardians should finish with 360-375M 

 

TLM won’t go much beyond 300M with 115M 4-Day, Flash numbers aren’t screaming juggernaut even with good WOM, Indy 5 and Elemental are both critical misfires with bad presales, Transformers will be lucky getting 150M and Oppenheimer should be big on it’s own terms but close to Dunkirk 

 

I expect MI7 to grow quite a bit compared to 6 but I’m thinking 300M 

 

The only movie that seems to open big enough to have a shot at 360-370M is SpiderVerse and i guess Barbie is a wildcard so it can explode if the insane hype online translate into box office 

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

I am genuinely surprised by that hold, esp since WOM looked great. And that Fast drop is also rough.

 

Guardians is carrying this summer like crazy so far. Spider-Verse can’t come soon enough.