Weekday Thread | TUE - Flash $5.28M, Elementals $5.0M, Spidey $4.7M, Transformer $2.8M, TLM $2.2M

[Liiviig 1998]

Think TLM is going above Pros estimate (8.2m) but let's see Fri/sat number. Can see it as high as 9M+ .

Last weekend jumps were really mute .

 

 

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

This June has to be the most cursed month ever, even ATSV is getting negative press now. July can't come soon enough.

[MightyDargon]

2 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

This June has to be the most cursed month ever, even ATSV is getting negative press now. July can't come soon enough.

Except not really.

[Alexander]

So how the Flash's 2nd is gonna look like? 12-13M?

[Valonqar]

15 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Think TLM is going above Pros estimate (8.2m) but let's see Fri/sat number. Can see it as high as 9M+ .

Last weekend jumps were really mute .

 

 

 

some families will turn to Elemental some women to JLaw movie. It has direct comeptition.

[pepsa]

I think it's easly Elemental over TheFlash, currently thinkg Elemental should be able to over take both Lightyear and the TGD domesticly.

 

Let's say Elemental has a 2nd weekend of $19m, that would be good for a total of $66m after it's 2nd weekend, vs TGD $75.8m comming of a $15.3m weekend. Elemental has summer weekdays and a second weekend that is $3.5m higher, it should be easily doable to close that $10m gap. So I guess a DOM total over $120m is quite likely if the weekend comes in at $19m. Higher than that will depend on how it holds its screens.

Edited June 23, 2023 by pepsa

[Bob Train]

Damn guess China hates old people

[Speedorito]

36 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

There are many factors going against it too though, such as news of its main lead. It is not as though a superhero movie's box office is only dependent on 1 factor (how well know the character is)...

There were factors working against it, but there were factors working for it too, such as super strong marketing push. Maybe a billion should never been on the table, but something like 500 million or even 450 million should have been achievable. Barely making 300 million is very bad no matter how you slice it.

[Valonqar]

16 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Damn guess China hates old people

 

Not just China but OS in general revoked support for some movies that they either used to support or that did well dom but needed OS to pass certain WW milestones or break even. I didn't follow Mario so I don't know what that movie did right but something went really right. Bad reviews, amazing WOM, it didn't have it easy but it triumphed.

[JustLurking]

18 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

 

Not just China but OS in general revoked support for some movies that they either used to support or that did well dom but needed OS to pass certain WW milestones or break even. I didn't follow Mario so I don't know what that movie did right but something went really right. Bad reviews, amazing WOM, it didn't have it easy but it triumphed.

It's just not that easy to have a film that does well everywhere...because different countries like different things. Even then Mario did poorly in Asia (sans Japan), but it had good support in Europe (which, really, is what most films are lacking nowadays...these markets can be huge but they rarely turn out big for films nowadays, really feels like only Avatar can really squeeze these markets nowadays) and great in LATAM, especially Mexico.

Edited June 23, 2023 by JustLurking

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, JustLurking said:

It's just not that easy to have a film that does well everywhere...because different countries like different things. Even then Mario did poorly in Asia (sans Japan), but it had good support in Europe (which, really, is what most films are lacking nowadays...these markets can be huge but they rarely turn out big for films nowadays, really feels like only Avatar can really squeeze these markets nowadays) and great in LATAM, especially Mexico.

 

Thank you! AWOW shockingly flopped in Japan only but supposedly there are some Disney issues there so it could be that. But yes good point that different markets like different things as we are seeing lately with some markets completely rejecting some movies. 

[alfred8]

Is TLM breaking even at this point? Could it crawl its way to 550M or not? It might not lose money but relatively speaking it's a flop. Even 550M wouldn't be an ok number, for a movie like this the goal is not to break even. Considering expectations, predecessors, and the invasive marketing campaign, it's a flop, not a gigantic one, but still a flop, no need to spin this.

[toutvabien]

1 hour ago, kayumanggi said:

 

ELEMENTAL SWEEP

[BluKyberCrystal]

54 minutes ago, Speedorito said:

There were factors working against it, but there were factors working for it too, such as super strong marketing push. Maybe a billion should never been on the table, but something like 500 million or even 450 million should have been achievable. Barely making 300 million is very bad no matter how you slice it.

Is it going to make it to 300m?

Edited June 23, 2023 by BluKyberCrystal

[ZattMurdock]

1 hour ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

This June has to be the most cursed month ever, even ATSV is getting negative press now. July can't come soon enough.

Do you know who is loving this shit? Netflix. 

Edited June 23, 2023 by ZattMurdock

[JustLurking]

4 minutes ago, BluKyberCrystal said:

Is it going to make it to 300m?

The way things are looking I would say no? Especially since even in countries that liked the film like SK legs are abysmal

[Issac Newton]

Foreign films after 2013 by countries

US Canada market $10M+

🇯🇵🇰🇷🇨🇳🇮🇳🇫🇷🇲🇽

Mainland China market $10M+

🇯🇵🇰🇷🇹🇼🇮🇳🇫🇷🇱🇧

🇹🇭🇪🇸🇷🇺🇫🇮🇮🇹

[ringedmortality]

1 hour ago, JustLurking said:

but it had good support in Europe (which, really, is what most films are lacking nowadays

Why is that?

[cannastop]

Happy that Elemental appears to have won a day. I hope it wins the weekend even though that's unlikely with Spider-Verse and Flash having most of the PLF.

[Flip]

1 hour ago, pepsa said:

I think it's easly Elemental over TheFlash, currently thinkg Elemental should be able to over take both Lightyear and the TGD domesticly.

 

Let's say Elemental has a 2nd weekend of $19m, that would be good for a total of $66m after it's 2nd weekend, vs TGD $75.8m comming of a $15.3m weekend. Elemental has summer weekdays and a second weekend that is $3.5m higher, it should be easily doable to close that $10m gap. So I guess a DOM total over $120m is quite likely if the weekend comes in at $19m. Higher than that will depend on how it holds its screens.

If it can survive Ruby Gilman (probably can easily) then there really isn’t any competition until TMNT