Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32

[CJohn]

Insidious 1 is 12 years old and Insidious 2 is 10 years old. This is starting to get some nostalgia traction here. 10 years between sequels with the main cast (3 and 4 were more like spinoffs with no relation to Wilson/Byrne).

[GambitPool]

I literally didn't know they made Insidious films past 2 and thought this was a trilogy lol. 

[Issac Newton]

$1.1M Joy Ride

[Krissykins]

7 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Insidious 1 is 12 years old and Insidious 2 is 10 years old. This is starting to get some nostalgia traction here. 10 years between sequels with the main cast (3 and 4 were more like spinoffs with no relation to Wilson/Byrne).

That could be part of it, but doesn’t always work (Scream 3 > 4 being 10 years). No spin offs though. 

[CJohn]

2 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

That could be part of it, but doesn’t always work (Scream 3 > 4 being 10 years). No spin offs though. 

Brand was kept relevant through the years between 2 and 5. Probably helped.

[wildphantom]

Deadline 

“Already, Indiana Jones‘ first week at 4,600 theaters is ahead of No Time to Die‘s $75.2M (the pic finaled at $160.8M). Remember, the 007 finale opened at a time when everyone was still skittish about returning to cinemas during the pandemic.”

 

This is such garbage. NTTD is like the third biggest grossing film of all time in the U.K. when everyone was apparently ‘skittish’. Fact is the movie did not far off what Spectre did in the US.  It was not affected by other factors whatsoever. 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

[Krissykins]

17 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

Deadline 

“Already, Indiana Jones‘ first week at 4,600 theaters is ahead of No Time to Die‘s $75.2M (the pic finaled at $160.8M). Remember, the 007 finale opened at a time when everyone was still skittish about returning to cinemas during the pandemic.”

 

This is such garbage. NTTD is like the third biggest grossing film of all time in the U.K. when everyone was apparently ‘skittish’. Fact is the movie did not far off what Spectre did in the US.  It was not affected by other factors whatsoever. 

Technically it did open during a time when people were skill skittish. NTTD was the first time many people had been to the cinema for years here. Omicron started the following month remember. 

[Krissykins]

From Deadline:

Insidious 5 budget is $16m. 
 

That’s how you do it. 

[wildphantom]

1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Technically it did open during a time when people were skill skittish. NTTD was the first time many people had been to the cinema for years here. Omicron started the following month remember. 

sure, but they’re effectively saying NTTD’s opening week had a caveat in terms of what it was able to do. I don’t think it did. As the performance of it off the bat proved all over the world that opening week. 

[baumer]

 

[Cmasterclay]

Between the reception and the fact that it had early previews marketed towards teens, Insidious is going to have a shit IM. But even a maximum shit IM gets it to a minimum of 25m OW, so the trend of this franchise exploding expectations is a lock to continue.

[kayumanggi]

This is insane.

 

[ThomasNicole]

4 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Between the reception and the fact that it had early previews marketed towards teens, Insidious is going to have a shit IM. But even a maximum shit IM gets it to a minimum of 25m OW, so the trend of this franchise exploding expectations is a lock to continue.

FRI sales is not pointing awful IM tbh

[ThomasNicole]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

This is insane.

 

Now imagine if the WOM is actually great like some people said it’s not

[LegionWrex]

Jesus that Insidious number. At this point I'm going to assume that horror sequels, unless something truly disastrous happens, are a sure bet box office wise. $30M+ OW locked, thinking it could possibly hit $40M if it continues good momentum. WOM seems... not great (irl friend who saw it said it fucking blows) but at least for the first weekend horror tends to be critic/WOM proof. Benefit of low budgets.

 

As for Joy Ride, heard great things about it but with previews basically half of NHF makes me thinking this could struggle to get to $10M. Hopefully WOM gets around quickly but this is also in line with the tracking that's been happening. Lionsgate needs to get it's shit together.

 

Most interested in Elemental for the holdovers. It's still making $2M+ on the daily, suspect there will be a bigger margin between it and Spider-Verse finally this weekend.

[Poseidon]

Yeah well, with Joy Ride having a tough time as well, the comedy genre really is in danger to even survive at the movies. 

[dxmatrixdt]

if Sound of Freedom's PTA matches that of Indy if Indy makes it to its projected 24M off a 60% drop, that puts Sound of Freedom at 15M.  so that looks like the minimum.

[Cmasterclay]

4 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

FRI sales is not pointing awful IM tbh

Yeah I just checked around me and holy shit this really might do 30m+.

[John Marston]

In 2011 I remember loads of articles expressing shock that Insidious outgrossed Scream 4. Looks like I’m 2023 Scream will win that battle but Insidious looks to still be holding up strong