The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Tinalera]

2 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

What web browser are you using?  I've found that Chrome and this board don't always play nice when copy-n-pasting spreadsheet cells.  But, for me at least, Firefox will faithfully transpose things like borders and other formatting.  Will also see it in Chrome if I'm using Google Sheets (which, BTW, I don't normally use).

Im using Excel with Chrome-so that might be part of the issue. 

[el sid]

4 hours ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

Those IF reviews tomorrow are going to make or break it. They better be great, or it's going to get destroyed by Garfield the weekend after.

Of course I hope they will be good but the most important factor are the moviegoers ;). Migration got good reviews from critics but far from stellar ("only" 72% at RT e.g.) and the audience score at RT is 88%. 

The user reviews at IMDb for IF are positive so far (12:1). 

[AniNate]

This will be a case where the Cinemascore is pretty much A or bust

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Tinalera said:

Im using Excel with Chrome-so that might be part of the issue. 

 

If you don't mind being unfaithful to Chrome, might try Firefox then.  I've also noted some slight differences across computer OS's but that's more unreasonable to change. 😉 

 

But, yes, the reason my mainline charts look so nice is that I got sick and tired of having to hand format them and spent about a week troubleshooting the best way to show them with the setups I have access to.

 

(for the record: Apple Numbers + Firefox for me — but I've also tested on Win 10 + Excel + Firefox and seen favorable results, though I haven't fine tuned it/done a test run on Win Excel/Firefox in a while)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/13/2024 at 6:32 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

FURIOSA

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
497	2197	94881	2.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

197

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(1.663x) of Civil War $4.82M

(0.377x) of Dune 2 $3.51M
(1.075x) of Planet Apes $5.37M

Comps average: $4.57M

FLORIDA 

 

FURIOSA

 

Thursday 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
497	2252	94881	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

55

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-9

(1.547x) of Civil War $4.49M

(0.377x) of Dune 2 $3.51M
(1.062x) of Planet Apes $5.31M

Comps average: $4.44M

[HummingLemon496]

So how are Inside Out 2 ticket presales going?

Edited May 14 by HummingLemon496

[kayumanggi]

 

[RichWS]

15 screen theater near me is giving IF peak Marvel number of showings. I know it's short and the market is quiet, but damn. 

[TheFlatLannister]

Orlando

 

Inside Out 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-30 *First few hours

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
143	851	28177	3.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 8:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-30

(5.096x) of Trolls 3 $6.62M
(5.221x) of Migration $7.83M

(1.600x) of Aquaman 2 $7.20M

Comps average: $7.22M

bringing out the old guns for this one. Well, I can't really tell if this is a breakout or not yet. Looks very good especially in the first few hours. 

 

These are probably terrible comps, but might as well try something 

[Relevation]

15 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

bringing out the old guns for this one. Well, I can't really tell if this is a breakout or not yet. Looks very good especially in the first few hours. 

 

These are probably terrible comps, but might as well try something 

Do you have a D1 KFP4 and/or Little Mermaid comp? Because cross checking with KFP4 the ratio looks a lot better than the above comps

[motionpic05]

How's THE STRANGERS: CHAPTER 1 looking?

If this one flops, will they still release chapter 2/3?

 

[AniNate]

Oddly enough seems like a lot of the theaters near here that still had KFP4 are keeping it next weekend as well. I still suspect it won't be able to maintain 25% holds

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, Relevation said:

Do you have a D1 KFP4 and/or Little Mermaid comp? Because cross checking with KFP4 the ratio looks a lot better than the above comps

Day 1: $5.79M for TLM Orlando

 

Day 1: KFP 4 Florida: $5.44M 

[YM!]

26 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Day 1: $5.79M for TLM Orlando

 

Day 1: KFP 4 Florida: $5.44M 

Not a fan of it but what about Elemental/Wish?

 

Also is IO2 sales just in Orlando? Or Florida?

[HummingLemon496]

Is Inside Out 2 going to open below $100M? That would. . .not be good, at all.

[AniNate]

1 minute ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Is Inside Out 2 going to open below $100M? That would. . .not be good, at all.

 

Lmfao you're seriously panicking less than 24 hours after presales started a month before release

 

Honestly though sub-$100m is my opening prediction. I just think Pixar has to work a little more to win people over these days.

[TheFlatLannister]

10 minutes ago, YM! said:

Not a fan of it but what about Elemental/Wish?

 

Also is IO2 sales just in Orlando? Or Florida?

KFP4 comp is for Florida 

 

TLM, Aquaman, trolls etc is for Orlando 

Elemental gives me $5.90M

Wish spits out like $2.5M 

4 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Is Inside Out 2 going to open below $100M? That would. . .not be good, at all.

Way too early to tell 

Edited May 15 by TheFlatLannister

[HummingLemon496]

4 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Lmfao you're seriously panicking less than 24 hours after presales started a month before release

 

Honestly though sub-$100m is my opening prediction. I just think Pixar has to work a little more to win people over these days.

Yes, "less than 24 hours a month before release" was enough to know that Spider-Verse was opening above $100M, enough to know that The Marvels was bombing, enough to know that GOTG 3 would have a bad OW, etc. That is a lot of time to know about how a movie would open!

Edited May 15 by HummingLemon496

[AniNate]

Just now, HummingLemon496 said:

Yes, "less than 24 hours a month before release" was enough to know that Spider-Verse was opening above $100M, enough to know that The Marvels was bombing, enough to know that GOTG 3 would have a bad OW, etc. That is a lot of time to know about how a movie would open!

 

Those are all comic book movies. Tracking was really down on Kung Fu Panda 4 until the week it was released.

[HummingLemon496]

1 minute ago, AniNate said:

Those are all comic book movies. Tracking was really down on Kung Fu Panda 4 until the week it was released.

Ok, that's fair. And personally based on tracking I thought KP4 would open to like $30m or whatever but then it ended up doubling that.