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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Bad Boys Ride or Die, T-10 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 39

New Sales: 3

Growth: 8%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.3

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 1/3

Early Evening: 32/7

Late Evening: 6/7

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 3/7

IMAX: 12/6

VIP: 24/4

 

Comps

0.672x KOTPOTA for $3.4M

0.264x HG:BoSS for $1.4M

0.696x GB:FE for $3.3M

 

Average: $2.7M

 

It's staying pretty flat.

 

Bad Boys Ride or Die, T-9 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 40

New Sales: 1

Growth: 3%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 20

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.0

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Tickets by Showtime Slot 

Late Afternoon: 1/4

Early Evening: 33/8

Late Evening: 6/8

 

Tickets by Format

Dolby: 4/7

IMAX: 12/6

VIP: 24/4

4DX: 0/3

 

Comps

0.606x KOTPOTA for $3.0M

0.223x HG:BoSS for $1.3M

0.690x GB:FE for $3.2M

 

Average: $2.7M

 

It's not having a great week. It's slowly slipping against comps, when the hope was that it would be gaining.

 

New showtimes went up for the Thursday, and it's only gotten one additional screen. It's the 4DX screen, which makes sense, as what else justifies a 4DX screen at this stage.

 

 

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On 5/25/2024 at 8:11 AM, vafrow said:

 

Inside Out 2, T-20 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 22

New Sales since T-24: 8

Growth: 57%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 15

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 1.5

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime 

Late Afternoon: 1/2

Early Evening: 14/7

Late Evening: 7/6

 

Sales by Format 

Dolby: 0/1

Dolby 3D: 12/6

IMAX: 3/4

VIP: 6/4

 

 Comps

1.467x KFP4 for $5.6M

Zero sales for Garfield at T-20

 

It's starting to grow. When the Garfield and IF comps start hitting, it's going to really distort things. Garfield had zero sales until T-18, IF only went on sale around T-18 but didn't have any sales until T-15. It'll be producing comps in the high teens or higher for a bit.

 

Inside Out 2, T-16 Thursday previews, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 32

New Sales since T-20: 10

Growth: 45%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 15

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 2.1

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Sales by Showtime 

Late Afternoon: 3/2

Early Evening: 20/7

Late Evening: 9/6

 

Sales by Format 

Dolby: 1/1

Dolby 3D: 16/6

IMAX: 5/4

VIP: 10/4

 

 Comps

0.941x KFP4 for $3.6M

10.667x IF for $18.7M

8.000x Garfield for $15.2M

 

Average: $12.5M

 

Take the comps with a grain of salt. The low numbers on IF and Garfield really throw things off.

 

Numbers were flat all week before a jump in the last day.

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On 5/28/2024 at 8:19 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Ezra T-2 Jax 3 7 0 1 489 0.20%
    Phx 3 8 4 4 367 1.09%
    Ral 4 12 0 4 588 0.68%
  Total   10 27 4 9 1,444 0.62%
HAIKYU T-2 Jax 4 11 14 95 899 10.57%
    Phx 6 21 12 126 2,721 4.63%
    Ral 3 9 9 79 546 14.47%
  Total   13 41 35 300 4,166 7.20%
In a Violent T-2 Jax 2 5 4 8 200 4.00%
    Phx 4 11 2 15 529 2.84%
    Ral 2 4 3 10 296 3.38%
  Total   8 20 9 33 1,025 3.22%
In a Violent (EA) T-1 Jax 2 2 1 21 229 9.17%
    Phx 1 1 7 50 107 46.73%
  Total   4 4 8 71 336 21.13%
Summer Camp T-2 Jax 4 10 0 6 692 0.87%
    Phx 4 9 3 3 824 0.36%
    Ral 2 6 0 1 348 0.29%
  Total   10 25 3 10 1,864 0.54%

 

Haikyu T-2 adjusted comps

 - Slime - 3.333x (983k)

 - One Piece - .43x (613k)

 - Spy x Family - 1.056x (708k)

 - JJK:0 - .222x (654k)

 - Demon Slayer 2 (OD) - .16x (797k)

 - Dragon Ball - .244x (880k)

 - MHA (OD) - .257x (927k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 814k

 

In a Violent Nature (Total) T-2 adjusted comps

 - Last Night in Soho (Total) - .712x (476k)

 - Last Voyage - .759x (660k)

 - Resident Evil - .748x (623k)

 - Men - 1.106x (556k)

 - Antlers - 1.733x (680k)

 - Firestarter - 1.169x (449k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 568k

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Ezra T-1 Jax 4 11 0 1 688 0.15%
    Phx 5 10 0 4 597 0.67%
    Ral 5 14 0 4 672 0.60%
  Total   14 35 0 9 1,957 0.46%
HAIKYU T-1 Jax 4 12 12 107 936 11.43%
    Phx 6 26 9 135 3,224 4.19%
    Ral 5 15 13 92 1,147 8.02%
  Total   15 53 34 334 5,307 6.29%
In a Violent T-1 Jax 4 12 7 15 621 2.42%
    Phx 5 15 15 30 861 3.48%
    Ral 6 13 10 20 982 2.04%
  Total   15 40 32 65 2,464 2.64%
In a Violent (EA) T-0 Jax 2 2 14 35 229 15.28%
    Phx 1 1 17 67 107 62.62%
  Total   4 4 31 102 336 30.36%
Summer Camp T-1 Jax 5 13 0 6 986 0.61%
    Phx 6 13 9 12 1,156 1.04%
    Ral 5 12 0 1 985 0.10%
  Total   16 38 9 19 3,127 0.61%

 

Haikyu T-1 adjusted comps

 - Slime - 2.86x (842k)

 - One Piece - .439x (626k)

 - Spy x Family - 1.06x (710k)

 - JJK:0 - .223x (656k)

 - Demon Slayer 2 (OD) - .153x (762k)

 - Dragon Ball - .23x (831k)

 - MHA (OD) - .25x (902k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 763k

 

In a Violent Nature (Total) T-1 adjusted comps

 - Last Night in Soho (Total) - .848x (566k)

 - Last Voyage - .965x (840k)

 - Resident Evil - .908x (756k)

 - Men - 1.295x (650k)

 - Antlers - 2.288x (897k)

 - Firestarter - 1.505x (578k)

 

Size adjusted comps - 680k

 

Summer Camp T-1 adjusted comps

 - Mack & Rita - 1.357x 

 - House Party - .422x

 - Family Camp - .345x

 - Queenpins - 1.583x

 

Ezra T-1 adjusted comps

 - Queenpins - .75x

 - Mack & Rita - .643x

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On 5/28/2024 at 8:22 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Bad Boys 4 T-9 Jax 5 56 13 145 9,816 1.48%
    Phx 6 39 4 105 7,802 1.35%
    Ral 8 44 3 109 6,582 1.66%
  Total   19 139 20 359 24,200 1.48%
Bad Boys 4 (EA) T-8 Jax 3 3 4 18 855 2.11%
Watchers T-9 Jax 5 21 0 10 1,458 0.69%
    Phx 6 20 2 17 2,182 0.78%
    Ral 7 21 0 5 2,142 0.23%
  Total   18 62 2 32 5,782 0.55%

 

Bad Boys (Total) T-9 adjusted comps

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .396x (3.48m)

 - F9 - .436x (3.28m)

 - Furiosa - 1.484x (5.19m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - .95x (4.18m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .573x (5.17m)

 - Kingdom of Apes - .79x (5.32m)

 - John Wick 4 - .36x (3.21m)

 - Equalizer 3 - 2.45x (9.3m)

 - Creed 3 (Total) - 1.12x (6.12m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 5.34m

 

Watchers T-9 adjusted comps

 - Abigail - 1.143x (1.143m)

 - Strangers - .667x (800k)

 - Last Voyage - 1.231x (1.07m)

Movie Day Area TC Shows New Sold Seats % Sold
Bad Boys 4 T-8 Jax 5 56 14 159 9,816 1.62%
    Phx 6 39 7 112 7,802 1.44%
    Ral 8 46 7 116 6,817 1.70%
  Total   19 141 28 387 24,435 1.58%
Bad Boys 4 (EA) T-7 Jax 3 3 6 24 855 2.81%
Watchers T-8 Jax 5 21 1 11 1,458 0.75%
    Phx 6 20 2 19 2,182 0.87%
    Ral 7 21 0 5 2,142 0.23%
  Total   18 62 3 35 5,782 0.61%

 

Bad Boys (Total) T-8 adjusted comps

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .413x (3.64m)

 - F9 - .457x (3.44m)

 - Furiosa - 1.489x (5.21m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - .96x (4.23m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .569x (5.13m)

 - Kingdom of Apes - .82x (5.52m)

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Equalizer 3 - 2.11x (8.01m)

 - Creed 3 (Total) - 1.05x (5.73m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 5.27m

 

Watchers T-8 adjusted comps

 - Abigail - 1.094x (1.094m)

 - Strangers - .66x (792k)

 - Last Voyage - .972x (846k)

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21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

I've been meaning to look at shows since I wasn't able to run it last week.  It looks like all of the releases this week are fairly limited.  Here's what I am seeing listed so far, which is probably ~90% of final (I think...I don't usually run on Wednesday)

 

In a Violent Nature - 440 TC (plus ~200 early shows)

Summer Camp - 653 TC

Ezra - 617 TC

Haikyu - 816 TC

After seeing how many theaters in my areas added these movies last night I decided to take another look.

 

In a Violent Nature - 497 TC (plus ~200 early shows)

Summer Camp - 796 TC

Ezra - 698 TC

Haikyu - 842 TC

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4 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Inside Out 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

0

158

23702

24273

571

2.35%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

25

 

T-16 Comps            SHITTY-ASS COMPS EDITION - DON'T TAKE TOO SERIOUSLY

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-16

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

Sonic 2

133.72

 

40

427

 

0/76

11239/11666

3.66%

 

3951

14.45%

 

8.36m

Minion 2

165.51

 

28

345

 

0/167

24852/25197

1.37%

 

6591

8.66%

 

17.79m

NOPE

190.33

 

28

300

 

0/86

13395/13695

2.19%

 

3822

14.94%

 

12.18m

Shaz 2

152.27

 

12

375

 

0/109

17324/17699

2.12%

 

1663

34.34%

 

5.18m

TLM

42.49

 

118

1344

 

0/154

21376/22720

5.92%

 

6561

8.70%

 

4.38m

Barbie

34.54

 

95

1653

 

0/96

10974/12627

13.09%

 

12077

4.73%

 

7.81m

Wonka

273.21

 

6

209

 

0/113

18788/18997

1.10%

 

1975

28.91%

 

9.56m

Aqua 2

140.99

 

18

405

 

0/101

16383/16788

2.41%

 

2629

21.72%

 

6.34m

GBFE

152.27

 

12

375

 

0/114

18520/18895

1.98%

 

2197

25.99%

 

7.16m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Inside Out 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     129/10075  [1.28% sold]
Matinee:    45/2674  [1.68% | 7.88% of all tickets sold]
3D:            42/3852  [1.09% | 7.36% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        239/9686  [2.47% | 41.86% of all tickets sold]

Shazam 2 is a weird comp, what made you choose it?

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Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, Firepower said:

Will Bad Boys cross 60 mln OW?

In this current marketplace probably not. 4 years ago it did of course.  It should do 50 easily  and with the budget and summer weekdays it will do well just not the mammoth breakout  we want and need right now.  

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5 hours ago, Firepower said:

Will Bad Boys cross 60 mln OW?


If I remember correctly, I believe it has a $5 T-Mobile deal. I think that will be enough to push tickets on the final week higher to close in on 60 million, so long as the reviews are decent to good.

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13 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Why do I feel this is very personal to Eric?????

 

Because it's quite frustrating to spend hours of my own personal free time, compiling and reviewing and looking over information, for something I have strong interest and passion in, only to have somebody mock and degrade it all for no reason when they have made their point very, very clear and could have just ignored these posts.

 

Plus, if you really must know, it makes perfect sense for Bad Boys to have more awareness than Deadpool, because that's almost always how this works. Generally speaking, the closer you are to a movie's release date, the higher the Quorum awareness number is. That's because the earlier movie will have more ads, more promos, a bigger push compared to the movie that's coming out much later, so it will be in the public conscious way easier. Plus, if you want to look at Interest, which is as much, if not more important of a barometer, Deadpool is in fact #1, while Bad Boys is all the way at #5. It's not just who is aware a movie is coming out, but whether they want to see it. So yeah, those Quorum people you think are hacks? They have data that believes Deadpool will be a bigger opener than Bad Boys. And I'm sure their projections have that, despite Bad Boys having more awareness, due to the fact it's dropping in a week.

 

And again, if you look at the data I have, it indicates that Bad Boys 4's mid-60s awareness would mean an almost certain chance of 40M, 50M is super super likely, and even 60M isn't out of the question. I still don't think it's perfect for this film, as there aren't a lot of great comps at the moment for this range for a Medium-sized movie like this, but the indication is that it should open in the 40s at worst, the 60s at best, likely the 50s when all is said and done. Which uh...yeah, that's what the trackers here are saying.

 

You can ignore or disregard their work all you want, but I have the right to post what I think is interesting and I don't need to get this kind of berating. I'm sure you didn't mean to, but intentions don't equal actions.

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4 hours ago, Flip said:

Shazam 2 is a weird comp, what made you choose it?

 

Because it was an extremely backloaded for its genre film that never the less had some level of up-front interest.  The truth is, I didn't have any good comps for IO2 so I threw a bunch of spaghetti at the wall in the hopes of finding something that might stick.  And once I started using it, might as well keep using it, if only to demonstrate pace.

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2 hours ago, Eric Lasagna said:

Because it's quite frustrating to spend hours of my own personal free time, compiling and reviewing and looking over information, for something I have strong interest and passion in, only to have somebody mock and degrade it all for no reason when they have made their point very, very clear and could have just ignored these posts.

 

Plus, if you really must know, it makes perfect sense for Bad Boys to have more awareness than Deadpool, because that's almost always how this works. Generally speaking, the closer you are to a movie's release date, the higher the Quorum awareness number is. That's because the earlier movie will have more ads, more promos, a bigger push compared to the movie that's coming out much later, so it will be in the public conscious way easier. Plus, if you want to look at Interest, which is as much, if not more important of a barometer, Deadpool is in fact #1, while Bad Boys is all the way at #5. It's not just who is aware a movie is coming out, but whether they want to see it. So yeah, those Quorum people you think are hacks? They have data that believes Deadpool will be a bigger opener than Bad Boys. And I'm sure their projections have that, despite Bad Boys having more awareness, due to the fact it's dropping in a week.

 

And again, if you look at the data I have, it indicates that Bad Boys 4's mid-60s awareness would mean an almost certain chance of 40M, 50M is super super likely, and even 60M isn't out of the question. I still don't think it's perfect for this film, as there aren't a lot of great comps at the moment for this range for a Medium-sized movie like this, but the indication is that it should open in the 40s at worst, the 60s at best, likely the 50s when all is said and done. Which uh...yeah, that's what the trackers here are saying.

 

You can ignore or disregard their work all you want, but I have the right to post what I think is interesting and I don't need to get this kind of berating. I'm sure you didn't mean to, but intentions don't equal actions.

I am sorry @Eric Lasagna. I am not posting on it again for sure. 

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Took my first look at Deadpool & Wolverine in Indiana yesterday. Won't do a full post because I missed like 20 shows. But the gist is it was at ~3600 tickets sold and ~400 shows. 

 

Just as a point of reference, here are the highest values for tickets sold I have in my database

 

Bob Marley Wed T-1 = 3309 tickets sold

Dune 2 Thu T-1 = 3041 tickets sold 

Godzilla x Kong Thu T-1 = 2328 tickets sold

 

Thus, sales are already the highest I've tracked with two months to go. Not a surprise given how poorly the box office has performed this year, but encouraging to see. 

 

 

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7 hours ago, Eric Lasagna said:

Because it's quite frustrating to spend hours of my own personal free time, compiling and reviewing and looking over information, for something I have strong interest and passion in, only to have somebody mock and degrade it all for no reason when they have made their point very, very clear and could have just ignored these posts.

I spend my personal free time smoking. No one should tell me it causes cancer.

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8 hours ago, Eric Lasagna said:

Because it's quite frustrating to spend hours of my own personal free time, compiling and reviewing and looking over information, for something I have strong interest and passion in, only to have somebody mock and degrade it all for no reason when they have made their point very, very clear and could have just ignored these posts.

 

Plus, if you really must know, it makes perfect sense for Bad Boys to have more awareness than Deadpool, because that's almost always how this works. Generally speaking, the closer you are to a movie's release date, the higher the Quorum awareness number is. That's because the earlier movie will have more ads, more promos, a bigger push compared to the movie that's coming out much later, so it will be in the public conscious way easier. Plus, if you want to look at Interest, which is as much, if not more important of a barometer, Deadpool is in fact #1, while Bad Boys is all the way at #5. It's not just who is aware a movie is coming out, but whether they want to see it. So yeah, those Quorum people you think are hacks? They have data that believes Deadpool will be a bigger opener than Bad Boys. And I'm sure their projections have that, despite Bad Boys having more awareness, due to the fact it's dropping in a week.

 

And again, if you look at the data I have, it indicates that Bad Boys 4's mid-60s awareness would mean an almost certain chance of 40M, 50M is super super likely, and even 60M isn't out of the question. I still don't think it's perfect for this film, as there aren't a lot of great comps at the moment for this range for a Medium-sized movie like this, but the indication is that it should open in the 40s at worst, the 60s at best, likely the 50s when all is said and done. Which uh...yeah, that's what the trackers here are saying.

 

You can ignore or disregard their work all you want, but I have the right to post what I think is interesting and I don't need to get this kind of berating. I'm sure you didn't mean to, but intentions don't equal actions.

Giga Chad 

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Quorum Updates

The Bikeriders T-23: 17.55% Awareness, 34.04% Interest

Despicable Me 4 T-35: 61.24% Awareness, 58.97% Interest

Fly Me to the Moon T-44: 21.97% Awareness, 37.67% Interest

Longlegs T-44: 13.19% Awareness, 42.74% Interest

Flight Risk T-142: 15.17% Awareness, 44.17% Interest

Nosferatu T-210: 17.67% Awareness, 36.33% Interest

The Wolf Man T-233: 15.5% Awareness, 40.33% Interest

 

A Quiet Place: Day One T-30: 38.34% Awareness, 51.05% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 56% chance of 20M, 32% chance of 30M, 12% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 89% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M

T-30 Interest: 95% chance of 10M, 86% chance of 20M, 76% chance of 30M, 70% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M

 

Maxxxine T-37: 17.55% Awareness, 34.65% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M

T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10M

 

Deadpool & Wolverine T-58: 58.26% Awareness, 66.56% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 86% chance of 50M, 64% chance of 60M, 57% chance of 70M, 50% chance of 90M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M

T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 100M
DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M

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53 minutes ago, Eric Lasagna said:

Quorum Updates

The Bikeriders T-23: 17.55% Awareness, 34.04% Interest

Despicable Me 4 T-35: 61.24% Awareness, 58.97% Interest

Fly Me to the Moon T-44: 21.97% Awareness, 37.67% Interest

Longlegs T-44: 13.19% Awareness, 42.74% Interest

Flight Risk T-142: 15.17% Awareness, 44.17% Interest

Nosferatu T-210: 17.67% Awareness, 36.33% Interest

The Wolf Man T-233: 15.5% Awareness, 40.33% Interest

 

A Quiet Place: Day One T-30: 38.34% Awareness, 51.05% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 56% chance of 20M, 32% chance of 30M, 12% chance of 40M

Horror Awareness: 89% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M

T-30 Interest: 95% chance of 10M, 86% chance of 20M, 76% chance of 30M, 70% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M

 

Maxxxine T-37: 17.55% Awareness, 34.65% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M

T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10M

 

Deadpool & Wolverine T-58: 58.26% Awareness, 66.56% Interest

T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 93% chance of 40M, 86% chance of 50M, 64% chance of 60M, 57% chance of 70M, 50% chance of 90M, 43% chance of 100M, 7% chance of 200M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 100M, 17% chance of 200M

T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 100M
DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M

See this is something I don't understand about Quorum

 

How does The Bikeriders which has a couple stars and 2 trailers have almost the same Awareness as Flight Risk, a movie that had no IP attachment, no trailer, and no stills.

 

Regardless, this bodes not well for the bikeriders 

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I don't know if it's just me, but starting June 20th PLF showings for Inside Out 2 are stopping after around 4 PM. Is there possibly a surprise release coming or is it just a scheduling showtime thing from the chains. (This is AMC) 

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15 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:

See this is something I don't understand about Quorum

 

How does The Bikeriders which has a couple stars and 2 trailers have almost the same Awareness as Flight Risk, a movie that had no IP attachment, no trailer, and no stills.

 

Regardless, this bodes not well for the bikeriders 

 

This is when I finally sheepishly ask - What is Quorum?  :hellothere:

 

  • Haha 3
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