The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Ryan C]

On 9/17/2024 at 1:36 AM, Ryan C said:

 

Joker Folie a Deux

 

T-13 and T-16

 

Monday, September 30 - Fan Event Showings: 1,602 Seats Sold (10.9% Increase From Last Time)

Thursday, October 3 - Traditional Thursday Previews: 3,231 Seats Sold (33.3% Increase From Last Time)

= 4,833 Seats Sold (24.9% Increase From Last Time)

 

Taken as of 1:30AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: It's good that the pace isn't just staying static from last week when tickets when on sale, but I don't think this is strong enough to not be concerned if this is headed for a low opening. 

 

Almost all of the EA showings are sold out (I wouldn't be surprised if 100% capacity is reached within the next week), but the Thursday showings are still lagging. Showings that should be sold out or at least really close to selling out just aren't. 

 

Like I said last week, the hope is that this doesn't play like a traditional fan-driven comic-book movie and has stronger walk-up business as we get closer to the release date. We shouldn't rule that out, but this is gonna have to work real hard within the next two-and-a-half weeks to make up for a weak pre-sales start. 

 

Joker: Folie à Deux

 

T-9 and T-6

 

Monday, September 30 - Fan Event Showings: 1,693 Seats Sold (5.6% Increase From Last Time)

Thursday, October 3 - Traditional Thursday Previews: 4,013 Seats Sold (24.2% Increase From Last Time)

= 5,706 Seats Sold (18% Increase From Last Time)

 

Taken as of 2:00AM Eastern Time

 

IMPORTANT NOTES: Still not seeing much that's pointing towards this overcoming a disappointing opening. 

 

Warner Bros. really needs to hope this plays like a non traditional comic-book movie in the final week of pre-sales. 

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

The Wild Robot, T-4, Western GTA (southern Ontario), Thursday Previews

 

Total Sales: 56

New Sales : 16

Growth: 40%

Theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Tickets per Showtime: 2.9

Chains tracked: MTC4

Ticket Premium in effect: N

 

Sales by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 17/5

Early Evening: 33/7

Late Evening: 6/5

 

Preview Sales by Format

Regular:  7/1

Regular 3D: 0/1

Dolby: 8/2

Dolby 3D: 34/8

IMAX: 7/4

 

Comps 

0.276x KFP4 for $1.3M

0.357x IO2 for $4.6M

14.000x Garfield for $27.0M

1.867x TFOne for $5.2M

4.667x IF for $8.2M

0.778x Wonka for $2.7M

 

Average: $8.2M

 

A couple of big group sales made this jump up quite a bit. We're at the point where the comps started accelerating as well around now, so it'll probably regress a bit over the next few days. Or it won't. We'll see.

 

The Wild Robot, T-3, Western GTA (southern Ontario), Thursday Previews

 

Total Sales: 74

New Sales : 18

Growth: 32%

Theatres: 5

Showtimes: 17

Tickets per Showtime: 3.9

Chains tracked: MTC4

Ticket Premium in effect: N

 

Sales by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 17/5

Early Evening: 48/7

Late Evening: 9/5

 

Preview Sales by Format

Regular:  7/1

Regular 3D: 0/1

Dolby: 8/2

Dolby 3D: 50/8

IMAX: 9/4

 

Comps 

0.260x KFP4 for $1.2M

0.374x IO2 for $4.9M

6.727x Garfield for $13.0M

2.387x TFOne for $6.7M

3.895x IF for $6.8M

0.822x Wonka for $2.9M

 

Average: $5.9M

 

Still going strong. Comp average is only going down due to outliers regressing, but it's showing strong steady growth.

 

I still can't give a solid prediction though. Nothing really serves as a good direct comp. But, I think we can expect ~30-40% growth to continue to T-1, and probably decent walk ups. It feels like $4-5M is the range, but that's more on gut.

[AniNate]

4/5 would be awesome, but flyover country seems to be slacking so don't want to get that excited just yet

[filmlover]

There's a new Dinesh D'Souza "documentary" out this weekend called Vindicating Trump.

 

[PrinceRico]

15 minutes ago, filmlover said:

There's a new Dinesh D'Souza "documentary" out this weekend called Vindicating Trump.

 

Gross

[AniNate]

Just eight Thursday sales for that so far at my theater. I know I know, should be zero but doesn't deserve any more attention here than it's getting from his own base.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Wild Robot MTC1

 

Thu: 16565/538252, 3090 shows

 

Fri: 22408/767978, 4351 shows

[AniNate]

Looks like Cinemark is giving XD to Devara at some theaters

[CJohn]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

There's a new Dinesh D'Souza "documentary" out this weekend called Vindicating Trump.

 

[WebSurfer]

15 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Can’t for this to make a Trumpillion dollars.

[Grand Cine]

44 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

Wild Robot MTC1

 

Thu: 16565/538252, 3090 shows

 

Fri: 22408/767978, 4351 shows

Good numbers , already at the same level as Transformers with 2 days to go. Definitely better than him.

 

Comparaison :

Elemental :

Elemental MTC1 Previews(T-3) - 13652/312865 211666.02 2263 shows +2335 ( Comp : 2,9M )

Friday : around 18500 (Comp : 11,3M)

Trolls 3 :

Previews - 6215/323717 88443.95 2157 shows +954 ( Comp : with around 900K Thu previews for Trolls 3 : 2,4M )

Friday - 13945/444159 199792.03 2850 shows +3527 ( Comp : 14,6M)

KFP 4 :

Previews(T-3) - 18580/378162 279825.48 2543 shows +3758 (Comp : 3,4M)

Friday - 27674/569560 413519.36 3676 shows +7848 (Comp : 12,6M)

 

Just for Fun : IO2 :

Preview(T-3) - 55798/684259 1009942.13 3637 shows +10429 ( Comp : 3,8M)

Friday - 80174/1164042 1365454.60 6239 shows +22105 (Comp : 14M)

 

Probably previews will go around 3M now but the great sign is Friday which clearly will be above 10M true Friday, which guaranted high 30's . I think 11-12M True Friday , at this point so 40-44M OW which is really great for Original Animated Movie

[AniNate]

Hoping the pace picks up some more. A lot of theaters were pretty spare with presale showtimes, holding off PLF and only offering one standard auditorium in many theaters.

 

I do think whatever the previews are, the internal multiplier ought to be higher than KFP4, especially with all those big group sales. Recent school night family originals and book adaptations have all trended higher, and with the ecstatic critical reception I see no reason why wild robot would be any different. 

 

Edited Tuesday at 04:20 PM by AniNate

[emoviefan]

4 hours ago, filmlover said:

There's a new Dinesh D'Souza "documentary" out this weekend called Vindicating Trump.

 

Let's make sure the vindication ends on Nov 5th.

[filmpalace]

On 9/23/2024 at 9:47 PM, filmpalace said:

The Wild Robot T-3

 

Tickets sold: 77 (+12)

Growth: 18%

Theaters: 2

Showtimes: 12

 

1,50x Speak No Evil (T-3) – 2,0M

Hope this will have better growth in my theaters starting tomorrow

The Wild Robot T-2

 

Tickets sold: 104 (+27)

Growth: 35%

Theaters: 2

Showtimes: 17

 

1,44x Speak No Evil (T-2) – 1,9M

1,76x Transformers One (T-2) - ?

Edited Tuesday at 07:47 PM by filmpalace

[filmpalace]

On 9/23/2024 at 9:48 PM, filmpalace said:

Megalopolis T-3

 

Ticket sold: 70 (+6)

Growth: 9%

Theaters: 2

Showtimes: 7

 

1,37x Speak No Evil (T-3) – 1,8M

Megalopolis T-2

 

Tickets sold: 80 (+10)

Growth: 14%

Theaters: 2

Showtimes: 7

 

1,11x Speak No Evil (T-2) – 1,4M

3,80x The Substance (T-2) – 1,2M

 

Average: 1,3M

 

Comps have been dropping the past few days, but if this manages to do 1M+ in previews, I'd still be impressed

Edited Tuesday at 07:49 PM by filmpalace

[BOfficeStats]

Any news on Saturday Night presales?

[Firepower]

So there's a chance Megalopolis can do over 10M for a weekend?

[WebSurfer]

https://deadline.com/2024/09/the-wild-robot-megalopolis-box-office-1236098281/

 

Looks like a lowball on TWR from Deadline...

[Grand Cine]

https://deadline.com/2024/09/the-wild-robot-megalopolis-box-office-1236098281/

 

20M+ for The Wild Robot

5-7M for Megalopolis

12M for Transformers 2nd Weekend

[WebSurfer]

Early tracking seems to suggest TWR should open above 20 million.