The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Hilts]

On 9/26/2023 at 9:29 PM, Hilts said:

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-13	20	74	0	11	82	15,606	0.53%
T-12	20	74	0	3	85	15,606	0.54%
T-11	20	74	0	6	91	15,606	0.58%
T-10	20	74	0	9	100	15,606	0.64%
T-9	22	79	0	17	117	16,150	0.72%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.576x	=	$1.79m
Asteroid City					1.286x	=	$1.41m
Strays					1.625x	=	$1.79m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3					2.854x	=	$1.57m

 

Comp average: $1.64m

 

The Exorcist: Believer							OK
Thursday - showings starting 5pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-11	20	74	0	6	91	15,606	0.58%
T-10	20	74	0	9	100	15,606	0.64%
T-9	22	79	0	17	117	16,150	0.72%
T-8	22	80	0	7	124	16,341	0.76%
T-7	22	80	0	5	129	16,341	0.79%
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.544x	=	$1.69m
Asteroid City					1.344x	=	$1.48m
Strays					1.418x	=	$1.56m
A Haunting In Venice					1.955x	=	$2.35m
Talk To Me					4.300x	=	$5.35m
The Last Voyage of the Demeter					4.778x	=	$3.58m
Insidious: The Red Door					1.518x	=	$7.59m
The Nun II					2.115x	=	$6.56m

 

Added some horror comps. These should change swiftly with their shorter presale windows.

[Hilts]

On 9/26/2023 at 9:43 PM, Hilts said:

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-21	20	163	0	43	11,254	28,984	38.83%
T-20	20	163	0	47	11,301	28,984	38.99%
T-19	20	163	0	38	11,339	28,984	39.12%
T-18	20	163	0	49	11,388	28,984	39.29%
T-17	20	163	0	76	11,464	28,984	39.55%
T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.160x	=	$24.47m	$36.70m
Oppenheimer				2.354x	=	$24.72m	$37.08m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.801x	=	$27.37m	$41.05m
T-17 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				21.151x	=	$23.27m	$34.90m

 

*+50%

 

Best day in over 2 weeks. I added some ATP adjusted figures too courtesy of @M37 excellent analysis piece earlier.

 

Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour							OK
Friday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-19	20	163	0	38	11,339	28,984	39.12%
T-18	20	163	0	49	11,388	28,984	39.29%
T-17	20	163	0	76	11,464	28,984	39.55%
T-16	20	163	0	68	11,532	28,984	39.79%
T-15	20	163	0	47	11,579	28,984	39.95%
T-0 Comps						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie				1.171x	=	$24.71m	$37.07m
Oppenheimer				2.378x	=	$24.97m	$37.46m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny				3.839x	=	$27.64m	$41.46m
T-15 Comp						Raw	ATP adj*
Barbie (EA)				20.386x	=	$22.42m	$33.64m

 

*+50%

[el sid]

PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie, counted today for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 115 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 131 (9 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 98 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 38 (6 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 16 (7 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 30 (7 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 132 (9 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 560.

Comps (all films counted on Thursday of the release week for Friday): PAW Patrol: The Movie had 315 sold tickets in 6 theaters – in the same 6 theaters PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie has 445 sold tickets = x1.41 = 18.5M OW.
Dolittle had 395 sold tickets in 7 theaters,
Lyle had 121 in 7 theaters

and Jungle Cruise had 817 sold tickets, also in 7 theaters.

Close to 20M would be my guess.

[vafrow]

30 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Why would it open at only $24m when Leo's last 5 movies all opened $30m-$40m?

 

One theatrical film in the last 7 years makes it hard to rely on that data point to make a trend. Original films have struggled a lot during that time, and the landscape has continued to change. And length and subject matter poses additional challenges as others have said.

 

Its the type of film people are reluctant to stick their neck out for. Especially since there's no guarantee the SAG strike will be resolved, and you lose your biggest marketing asset if it isn't.

 

 

[Hilts]

On 9/26/2023 at 9:58 PM, Hilts said:

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-24	18	73	0	295	295	13,304	2.22%
T-23	20	80	0	198	493	15,114	3.26%

 

Comps
Oppenheimer					0.778x	=	$8.16m
Barbie					1.065x	=	$22.47m
Haunted Mansion					6.403x	=	$19.85m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.941x	=	$17.08m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.795x	=	$5.73m
Sound of Freedom					1.311x	=	$6.82m
Asteroid City					15.406x	=	$16.95m
The Exorcist: Believer					10.955x

 

 

Killers of the Flower Moon							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2.30pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-24	18	73	0	295	295	13,304	2.22%
T-23	20	80	0	198	493	15,114	3.26%
T-22	20	80	0	150	643	15,114	4.25%
T-21	20	80	0	83	726	15,114	4.80%

 

MTC1: 359/5,897 - 6.1% sold

MTC2: 105/3,132 - 3.4% sold

MTC3: 199/3,798 - 5.2% sold

Other: 63/2,287 - 2.8% sold (Flix Brewhouse is the majority here, as is usual outside the top 3)

 

Comps
Oppenheimer					1.092x	=	$11.46m
Barbie					0.673x	=	$14.95m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					2.180x	=	$19.19m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.065x	=	$7.66m
Sound of Freedom					1.380x	=	$7.18m
Asteroid City					15.783x	=	$17.36m

 

Still going strong. I don't usually look at the MTC breakdown but it does not seem abnormal as MTC1 is the dominant one here with the most theatres I track and MTC2 is generally pretty slow at start of presales. Normally this many tickets at T-0 would indicate ~$3m previews already so you can see how much this is over-indexing in my region. Will probably be pretty useless for future comps unfortunately so just tracking for fun now to see where it gets.

[Shawn Robbins]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

@Shawn right now to a... passionate segment of this forum user base:

 

What intrigues me is that I don't know if that means fans are hoping for higher or if that's higher than they expected. 

 

FWIW, I've been bullish on the movie since the day it was announced (would not be shocked with 40+). The PG-13 rating has a lot of potential to bring in younglings during Halloween weekend... but I also want to see if Uni/Blum can expand the audience and not get dinged by the hybrid release.

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Shawn said:

What intrigues me is that I don't know if that means fans are hoping for higher or if that's higher than they expected. 

 

FWIW, I've been bullish on the movie since the day it was announced (would not be shocked with 40+). The PG-13 rating has a lot of potential to bring in younglings during Halloween weekend... but I also want to see if Uni/Blum can expand the audience and not get dinged by the hybrid release.

 

Hoping for higher.  Much higher. Though how much was memeing, how much was wishcasting, and how much is actually thinking it could reach the moon, only they could say. 

 

Be fun to find out one way or the other, that's for sure!

 

(I personally think the hybrid release is the biggest possible roadblock and will continue to think that until a hybrid release finally breaks out)

[el sid]

Saw X, counted today for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 208 (10 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 49 (6 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 13 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 7 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 36 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 61 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 248 (9 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 622.

Up for that genre modest 27% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Thursday of the release week for Friday): The Nun II (9.9M true Friday) had 1.106 sold tickets = 56% = 5.5M for Saw X.
Halloween Kills (17.95M true Friday) had 1.575 sold tickets = 39.5% = 7M.
Halloween Ends (15M true Friday) had 1.561 sold tickets = 40% = 6M.
M3gan had 752 sold tickets,
Smile had 549
and Old had 500 sold tickets.

On the one hand the jumps were not as good as expected. OTOH Spiral was a Spin-Off and had way worse circumstances and still opened to ca. 9M. Plus Saw X has surprisingly good reviews, as far as I know Jigsaw is the main character and horror movies are very popular this year. So I'm optimistic and say close to 20M.

Edited September 28, 2023 by el sid

[el sid]

The Creator, counted today for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 135 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 143 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 10 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 18 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 366 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 444 (4 showtimes)

 

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.120.

38.5% up since Monday which is not great.
Comps (all films counted on Thursday of the release week for Thursday): 65 (1.22M from previews) had 300 sold tickets

Moonfall (700k with winter storms) had 777.

I can offer only one theater when it comes to Ad Astra, the AMC in NY, where it had 160 sold tickets back then. But IMO Ad Astra looked way less appealing with its a bit boring trailers.
 

The next movie today with a rather poor final jump but overall more than 1k sold tickets are good. And it had - but these numbers are just estimates - a quite good first day in Germany so probably the reviews where helpful. Obviously my comps aren't.
Due to the pretty poor jump and other reports here which report the same I stay conservative and say 15M+ OW.

Edit: Please don't take my "prediction" too serious . I also hope for more and as I said the OD in Germany was pretty good (but a lot depends on the weather and WOM etc). 20M+ are as well possible IMO.

Edited September 28, 2023 by el sid

[Inceptionzq]

On 9/27/2023 at 3:12 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Denver Friday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2112

2657

79.49%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2036

2741

74.28%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10480	19	22056	47.52%	13	146

 

1.499	Doctor Strange MoM T-16	53.98M
1.016	Barbie T-0	22.66M
0.682	Doctor Strange MoM T-0	24.56M
0.453	NWH T-0	22.63M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Denver Friday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2112

2657

79.49%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2036

2741

74.28%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
10516	36	22056	47.68%	13	146

 

1.469	Doctor Strange MoM T-15	52.89M
1.020	Barbie T-0	22.74M
0.684	Doctor Strange MoM T-0	24.64M
0.454	NWH T-0	22.70M

[Inceptionzq]

On 9/27/2023 at 3:14 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-16 Friday

100 Showings

10212

+107

15745

ATP:

22.38

0.654	Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-16	23.55M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-16	35.03M
0.315	Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-0	11.35M
0.263	NWH Thurs T-0	13.16M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-0	16.89M
	Adjusted NWH Thurs T-0	19.57M

 

T-17 Saturday

183 Showings

13566

+122

27311

ATP:

22.12

1.025	Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-17	56.08M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-17	84.66M
0.365	Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-0	19.96M
0.318	NWH Fri T-0	22.88M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-0	30.13M
	Adjusted NWH Fri T-0	34.54M

 

T-18 Sunday

161 Showings

10725

+145

23960

ATP:

21.96

0.783	Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-18	45.24M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-18	70.03M
0.244	Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-0	14.09M
0.213	NWH Sat T-0	15.76M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-0	21.81M
	Adjusted NWH Sat T-0	24.40M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Alamo Drafthouse

T-15 Friday

100 Showings

10293

+81

15745

ATP:

22.36

0.651	Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-15	23.44M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-15	34.86M
0.318	Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-0	11.44M
0.265	NWH Thurs T-0	13.26M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Thurs T-0	17.02M
	Adjusted NWH Thurs T-0	19.72M

 

T-16 Saturday

183 Showings

13674

+108

27311

ATP:

22.11

1.008	Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-16	55.15M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-16	83.23M
0.368	Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-0	20.12M
0.320	NWH Fri T-0	23.06M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Fri T-0	30.36M
	Adjusted NWH Fri T-0	34.81M

 

T-17 Sunday

161 Showings

10841

+116

23960

ATP:

21.96

0.767	Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-17	44.36M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-17	68.64M
0.246	Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-0	14.25M
0.216	NWH Sat T-0	15.94M
	Adjusted Doctor Strange MoM Sat T-0	22.04M
	Adjusted NWH Sat T-0	24.66M

[Inceptionzq]

On 9/27/2023 at 3:15 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-16 Friday

127 Showings

9348

+124

19715

0.651

Barbie T-0 Thursday

14.52M

 

T-17 Saturday

234 Showings

6269

+146

36885

0.244

Barbie T-0 Friday

11.65M

 

T-18 Sunday

234 Showings

3709

+108

36432

0.156

Barbie T-0 Saturday

6.84M

Taylor Swift Eras Tour Emagine Entertainment

T-15 Friday

127 Showings

9449

+101

19720

0.658

Barbie T-0 Thursday

14.68M

 

T-16 Saturday

234 Showings

6366

+97

36896

0.247

Barbie T-0 Friday

11.83M

 

T-17 Sunday

234 Showings

3774

+65

36301

0.159

Barbie T-0 Saturday

6.96M

[vafrow]

21 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Friday,southern Ontario, T-16 (early evening pull)

 

Total sales:  17,132

New Sales: 158

Growth from yesterday 0.9%

Matinee Sales on Hold: 5736 across 119 showtimes 

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  96

Total Seats Available for Sale: 25,293

Percentage of seats sold: 67.7%

Tickets per showtime: 178.5

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked:  MTC4

 

The promotion effect still having a hold, just reducing. However, as we're getting to the two week mark, I think we can expect more promotion ahead, even if it's aimed at ths hardcore base. 

 

A few administrative notes. The two matinee shows remain, but no more added. I'm still not sure what's up there.

 

Taylor Swift Eras Tour, Opening Friday,southern Ontario, T-15 (early evening pull)

 

Total sales:  17,228

New Sales: 94

Growth from yesterday 0.5%

Matinee Sales on Hold: 5736 across 119 showtimes 

Theatre Count:  50

Showtimes:  96

Total Seats Available for Sale: 25,293

Percentage of seats sold: 68.1%

Tickets per showtime: 179.4

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked:  MTC4

 

Growth seems to be coming back to the levels before the announcement of the international release. 

 

Just thinking about one of my posts a few weeks ago where I was saying that Swift should be marketing towards the NFL crowd for this. She then started dating an NFL player.

 

With this tremendous power, I'm wondering what I should say about which demographic she should target next. Maybe box office nerds?

Edited September 28, 2023 by vafrow

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

SAW X

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
154	633	28956	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

132

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.770x) of Nun II ~$2.39M THUR Previews

(0.800x) of Equalizer 3 ~$3.04M THUR Previews

(1.867x) of Talk To Me ~$2.32M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $2.58M previews 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

SAW X

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-0 *Final update

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
154	1029	28956	3.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:30PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

396

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-0

 

(0.863x) of Nun II ~$2.67M THUR Previews

(2.232x) of Boogeyman ~$2.46M THUR Previews

(1.626) of Talk To Me ~$2.02M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $2.38M previews 

 

I feel good about $2M+ previews. I'll officially go with $2.5M

[ChipDerby]

13 minutes ago, vafrow said:

 

 

With this tremendous power, I'm wondering what I should say which demographic she should target next. Maybe box office nerds?

 

My wife says yes, I am available

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

 

THE CREATOR

 

Thursday Previews 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
147	660	29704	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

55

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

4

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(0.434x) of Blue Beetle ~$1.43M THUR Previews

(0.175x) of RoTB ~$1.54M THUR Previews

Comps AVG: $1.49M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville

 

THE CREATOR

 

Thursday Previews 

T-0 *Final Update

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
147	882	29704	3.0%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:30PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

222

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-0

 

(0.462x) of Blue Beetle ~$1.53M THUR Previews

(0.194x) of RoTB ~$1.71M THUR Previews

Comps AVG: $1.62M

 

Very soft finish. Officially going with $1.7M previews including EA

Edited September 28, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[Hilts]

On 9/26/2023 at 9:07 PM, Hilts said:

 

Saw X							OK
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-6	21	55	0	33	88	8,401	1.05%
T-5	21	55	0	14	102	8,401	1.21%
T-4	21	55	0	26	128	8,401	1.52%
T-3	21	55	0	41	169	8,401	2.01%
T-2	23	66	0	62	231	9,411	2.45%
Comps
Insidious: The Red Door					0.837x	=	$4.18m
Talk To Me					2.567x	=	$3.20m
The Meg 2: The Trench					0.658x	=	$2.11m
The Last Voyage Of The Demeter					3.208x	=	$2.41m
The Nun II					1.085x	=	$3.36m
Expend4bles					3.448x	=	$2.59m

 

Comp average: $2.97m. Still keeping up with Nun, hoping for $3m.

 

Saw X							OK
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-4	21	55	0	26	128	8,401	1.52%
T-3	21	55	0	41	169	8,401	2.01%
T-2	23	66	0	62	231	9,411	2.45%
T-1	23	68	0	160	391	9,593	4.08%
T-0	23	67	0	178	569	9,540	5.96%
Comps
Insidious: The Red Door					0.467x	=	$2.33m
Talk To Me					1.835x	=	$2.29m
The Meg 2: The Trench					0.574x	=	$1.84m
The Last Voyage Of The Demeter					2.115x	=	$1.59m
The Nun II					0.781x	=	$2.42m
Expend4bles					2.231x	=	$1.67m

 

Not the ending I hoped. Worst final day growth I have tracked but that is caveated with me noting T-1 numbers later than usual and I guess everyone bought yesterday when the embargo dropped.

 

I would guess $2.25m based on my final data but would not be surprised with $2m now or just missing that.

[Hilts]

On 9/26/2023 at 9:15 PM, Hilts said:

 

The Creator							OK
Wednesday - 7pm - Early Access Screening
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-5	3	3	0	4	31	1,224	2.53%
T-4	3	3	0	8	39	1,224	3.19%
T-3	3	3	0	2	41	1,224	3.35%
T-2	3	3	0	19	60	1,224	4.90%
T-1	3	3	0	17	77	1,224	6.29%
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-6	20	45	0	7	122	9,394	1.30%
T-5	20	45	0	7	129	9,394	1.37%
T-4	20	45	0	15	144	9,394	1.53%
T-3	20	45	0	41	185	9,394	1.97%
T-2	23	55	0	50	235	11,291	2.08%
Comps
Asteroid City					1.891x	=	$2.08m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					0.187x	=	$1.65m
Haunted Mansion					0.535x	=	$1.66m
Strays					1.660x	=	$1.83m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3					3.671x	=	$2.02m
A Haunting In Venice					1.686x	=	$2.02m

 

Comp average: $1.88m. 

 

I hope for $2m but still tricky to say right now. Ad Astra might be a good target but lacking "starpower."

 

The Creator							OK
Wednesday - 7pm - Early Access Screening
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-4	3	3	0	8	39	1,224	3.19%
T-3	3	3	0	2	41	1,224	3.35%
T-2	3	3	0	19	60	1,224	4.90%
T-1	3	3	0	17	77	1,224	6.29%
T-0	3	3	0	44	121	1,224	9.89%
Thursday - showings starting 6pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Sellouts	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold
T-4	20	45	0	15	144	9,394	1.53%
T-3	20	45	0	41	185	9,394	1.97%
T-2	23	55	0	50	235	11,291	2.08%
T-1	24	58	0	97	332	11,754	2.82%
T-0	24	58	0	142	474	11,754	4.03%
Comps
Asteroid City					1.390x	=	$1.53m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					0.189x	=	$1.67m
Haunted Mansion					0.497x	=	$1.54m
Strays					1.299x	=	$1.43m
My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3					2.347x	=	$1.29m
A Haunting In Venice					1.476x	=	$1.77m

 

Again final day growth not great but I did take T-1 numbers later than normal so looks worse than it is.

 

This has been ~$1.5m for me for a while so I will stick with that, +$200k-$250k EA.

[vafrow]

On 9/27/2023 at 10:27 AM, vafrow said:

 

Killers of the Flower Moon, T-23 (about 48 hours after being on sale)

 

Total sales: 315

New sales: 167

Growth since hour 4: 113%

Theatre Count: 43

Showtimes: 66

Tickets per showtime:  2.53

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

Nothing that can really serve as a comp, other than KOTFM being 17.5x Exorcist Believer at T-23 (which was D1 for E:B).

 

Sales are extremely concentrated to IMAX screens, and particularly the big flagship locations. Scotiabank Theatre in downtown Toronto makes up almost 60% of sales with only one screen allocated. Another west end IMAX screen makes up another 10%.

 

 

 

Killers of the Flower Moon, T-21, Thues previews, southern Ontario 

 

Total sales: 386

New sales: 71

Growth since T-23: 23%

Theatre Count: 43

Showtimes: 66

Tickets per showtime:  5.84

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

 

Good solid growth. Still heavily concentrated in those high profile theatres, but the ratio is coming down.

[Krissykins]

On 9/27/2023 at 9:47 PM, ThatWaluigiDude said:

You expected better or worse?

Updating this to I expected much better, The Creator is at 69% now.