The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Hilts]

On 10/24/2023 at 9:20 PM, Hilts said:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold	Growth
T-6	23	127	163	1,703	17,848	9.54%	10.58%
T-5	23	133	133	1,836	18,653	9.84%	7.81%
T-4	23	137	128	1,964	18,992	10.34%	6.97%
T-3	23	141	231	2,195	19,325	11.36%	11.76%
T-2	24	163	308	2,503	21,648	11.56%	14.03%
MTC1	7	33	+112	943	3,421	27.57%	13.48%
MTC2	4	48	+55	543	6,559	8.28%	11.27%
MTC3	3	39	+79	579	6,395	9.05%	15.80%
Other	10	43	+62	438	5,273	8.31%	16.49%
Comps
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.500x	=	$13.20m
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem					1.959x	=	$10.97m
Haunted Mansion					4.293x	=	$13.31m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.404x	=	$10.11m

 

Average is right around $12m without any ATP adjustment so thinking it comes in a bit below which is obviously still really good.

 

Show count is pretty much up there with all the larger ones I've tracked, a far cry from the 61 shows on day one.

 

The largest theatre I track (a MTC1) in terms of screens as well as number of seats usually sold still only has 3 showtimes for this on Thursday, haha. Maybe tomorrow they see the light.

 

Five Nights at Freddy's							OK
Thursday - showings starting 2pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold	Growth
T-5	23	133	133	1,836	18,653	9.84%	7.81%
T-4	23	137	128	1,964	18,992	10.34%	6.97%
T-3	23	141	231	2,195	19,325	11.36%	11.76%
T-2	24	163	308	2,503	21,648	11.56%	14.03%
T-1	24	187	571	3,074	24,654	12.47%	22.81%
MTC1	7	42	+163	1,106	5,005	22.10%	17.29%
MTC2	4	58	+145	688	7,685	8.95%	26.70%
MTC3	3	39	+162	741	6,395	11.59%	27.98%
Other	10	48	+101	539	5,569	9.68%	23.06%
Comps
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.441x	=	$12.68m
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem					2.048x	=	$11.47m
Haunted Mansion					3.992x	=	$12.38m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					1.502x	=	$10.82m

 

Couple comps up, couple down. Threading the needle and remaining broadly steady overall, still looking at ~$12m for now.

 

Highest number of shows I have tracked except Barbie and Eras. Sold more at T-1 today than anything I have tracked except Barbie. Jumped back ahead of Oppenheimer after many days pacing behind it here which may bode well for tomorrow.

[Hilts]

On 10/24/2023 at 9:27 PM, Hilts said:

 

The Marvels							OK
Thursday - showings starting 3pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold	Growth
T-20	21	173	15	508	32,650	1.56%	3.04%
T-19	21	173	27	535	32,650	1.64%	5.31%
T-18	21	173	14	549	32,650	1.68%	2.62%
T-17	21	173	18	567	32,650	1.74%	3.28%
T-16	21	173	12	579	32,650	1.77%	2.12%
MTC1	8	59	+7	300	10,485	2.86%	2.39%
MTC2	4	48	+4	76	8,204	0.93%	5.56%
MTC3	3	39	+1	155	8,077	1.92%	0.65%
Other	6	27	0	48	5,884	0.82%	0.00%
Comps
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.688x	=	$4.95m
Barbie					0.401x	=	$8.90m
Oppenheimer					0.704x	=	$7.40m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.059x	=	$9.31m
Five Nights at Freddy's					0.648x

 

I would agree show count does seem a bit bloated but to be fair there is not a lot of competition around then and runtime is shorter that most other big titles this year. Wonder how much they will expand as we get closer to release. Anyway pretty quiet one again today.

 

The Marvels							OK
Thursday - showings starting 3pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold	Growth
T-19	21	173	27	535	32,650	1.64%	5.31%
T-18	21	173	14	549	32,650	1.68%	2.62%
T-17	21	173	18	567	32,650	1.74%	3.28%
T-16	21	173	12	579	32,650	1.77%	2.12%
T-15	21	173	6	585	32,650	1.79%	1.04%
MTC1	8	59	+1	301	10,485	2.87%	0.33%
MTC2	4	48	0	76	8,204	0.93%	0.00%
MTC3	3	39	+3	158	8,077	1.96%	1.94%
Other	6	27	+2	50	5,884	0.85%	4.17%
Comps
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny					0.673x	=	$4.85m
Barbie					0.377x	=	$8.38m
Oppenheimer					0.683x	=	$7.18m
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One					1.025x	=	$9.02m
Five Nights at Freddy's					0.622x

 

Ouchie. Bottom of the U.

[Hilts]

On 10/18/2023 at 11:00 PM, Hilts said:

 

Wish							OK
Tuesday - showings starting 3pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold	Growth
T-38	17	76	13	13	12,314	0.11%	-
T-37	17	76	-1	12	12,314	0.10%	-7.69%
T-36	19	82	12	24	12,992	0.18%	100.00%
T-35	20	85	13	37	13,313	0.28%	54.17%
T-34	20	85	5	42	13,313	0.32%	13.51%
MTC1	7	28	0	34	3,970	0.86%	0.00%
MTC2	4	23	+3	6	3,687	0.16%	100.00%
MTC3	3	14	+2	2	2,590	0.08%	-
Other	6	20	0	0	3,066	0.00%	-

 

Comps to follow next week.

 

Anecdotally Indy comp is $1.1m and Oppy comp is $950k.

 

Wish							OK
Tuesday - showings starting 3pm
Day	Theatres	Showings	Daily Sold	Total Sold	Total Seats	% Sold	Growth
T-30	20	85	0	45	13,313	0.34%	0.00%
T-29	20	85	2	47	13,313	0.35%	4.44%
T-29	20	86	0	47	13,478	0.35%	0.00%
T-28	20	86	0	47	13,478	0.35%	0.00%
T-27	20	86	1	48	13,478	0.36%	2.13%
MTC1	7	28	+1	37	3,970	0.93%	2.78%
MTC2	4	23	0	6	3,687	0.16%	0.00%
MTC3	3	14	0	5	2,590	0.19%	0.00%
Other	6	21	0	0	3,231	0.00%	-
Comps
Haunted Mansion					0.686x	=	$2.13m
Trolls Band Together (exc EA)					1.778x
Trolls Band Together (inc EA)					0.615x

 

Still not much activity at the moment.

 

This will be tricky to comp given the time of year and being a Tuesday preview. Encanto or Strange World would be ideal.

[Shawn Robbins]

FNAF final* forecast is up. After back-to-back releases and being too bullish, hopefully the third time this month is the charm.

 

*unless the next 16-24 hours of pre-sales pacing is just putrid

[Bob Train]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-five-nights-at-freddys-tracking-among-blumhouses-best-eyes-potential-top-5-all-time-october-debut/

 

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, October 29	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Five Nights at Freddy’s	Universal Pictures & Blumhouse	$78,000,000	$78,000,000	~3,500	NEW
Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour	AMC Theatres Distribution & Variance Films	$14,600,000	$148,600,000	~3,855	-56%
Killers of the Flower Moon	Paramount Pictures & Apple	$12,500,000	$44,100,000	~3,628	-46%
After Death	Angel Studios	$5,700,000	$5,700,000	~2,600	NEW
PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie	Paramount Pictures	$3,000,000	$60,100,000	~2,900	-32%
The Nightmare Before Christmas: 30th Anniversary	Walt Disney Pictures	$2,900,000	$86,100,000	~1,900	-32%
The Exorcist: Believer	Universal Pictures & Blumhouse	$2,800,000	$59,000,000	~2,700	-51%
Saw X	Lionsgate	$2,400,000	$51,100,000	~2,300	-33%
The Creator	20th Century Studios	$1,400,000	$39,300,000	~1,500	-48%

 

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WISH

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-28

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
162	488	29762	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-28

 

(1.423x) of Elemental $3.41M Previews

 

*Something with Fandango is not working. Ran the scraper 3 times but either showings are missing or blocked seats*

 

407 seats sold over 6 showings at MTC1 Disney 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WISH

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-27

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
162	559	29762	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-27

 

(1.602x) of Elemental $3.84M Previews

 

*12 seats sold over the last two days*

 

417 seats sold over 6 showings at MTC1 Disney 

[TheFlatLannister]

22 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

Trolls: Band Together 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-23

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
171	276	31233	0.89%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

-2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-23

 

EA on Saturday = 172 seats sold 

*EA is separated from Thursday gross 

 

(0.717x) of Elemental $1.72M Previews

 

Could be a Fandango issue but "2 refunds today" no sales it seems 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

Trolls: Band Together 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
171	283	31233	0.91%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

COMPS

T-22

 

EA on Saturday = 175 seats sold 

*EA is separated from Thursday gross 

 

(0.717x) of Elemental $1.72M Previews

(0.281x) of Haunted Mansion $871k Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $1.29M

[keysersoze123]

Five Nights at Freddy's MTC2 previews - 91654/638070 1192641.68 4977 shows

 

Around 21K growth in under 2 days. It should hopefully hit 175K in the end. Definitely over performing here relative to other MTC. 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Marvels 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
259	2228	52152	4.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-16

 

 

(0.439x) of GOTG3~$7.68M Previews

Comps AVG: $7.68M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Marvels 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
259	2239	52152	4.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

11

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-15

 

 

(0.435x) of GOTG3~$7.61M Previews

Comps AVG: $7.61M

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
284	4779	53719	8.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

466

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

53

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(1.185x) of Flash $11.50M Previews

(0.706x) of ATSV $12.25M Previews

(1.916x) of Fast X $14.38M Previews

(0.537x) of Barbie $11.33M Previews

Comps AVG: $12.37M

 

 

Sheesh show count exploded today. I'm agreeing with the ~12m previews projections 

 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY'S

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
302	5455	58193	9.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

676

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

18

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-1

 

(1.174x) of Flash $11.39M Previews

(0.658x) of ATSV $11.41M Previews

(1.838x) of Fast X $13.79M Previews

(0.515x) of Barbie $10.87M Previews

Comps AVG: $11.87M

 

Show count is excellent, but it lost substantial ground against comps. Looks more like mid $11m than say $12m-$13m

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	104	323	2284	14085	16.22

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		446	97	19.53
MTC1:		961	78	42.08
Marcus:		455	98	19.92
Alamo:		111	27	4.86
Other chains:		757	120	33.14

 

Comps:

1.27x Mission Impossible 7 (Just Tuesday): $8.9 Million

0.37x Barbie (Just Thursday): $7.84 Million

1.32x Indiana Jones 5: $9.5 Million

 

Average: $8.75 Million

 

Shows, shows, shows, shows, shows, shows, EVERYBODY! Finallyyyyyyy. Still dropping against comps, but some room to grow now in the last two days.

 

After Death (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 12 theaters	27	43	232	2001	11.59

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		66	8	28.45
Marcus:		18	12	7.76
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		148	23	63.79

 

Comps:

0.26x Killers of the Flower Moon: $675k

1.14x Haunting in Venice (Just Thursday): $1.26 Million

1.89x Big Fat Greek Wedding 3: $1.04 Million

0.63x Asteroid City: $690k

 

Average: $0.92 million

 

Re: Tracking. Fully echo what @Porthos said. Bit off more than I could chew last year and was just trying to do way too much. For me, I had to figure out what works for me in terms of my schedule and work-life (twice a week, and then daily on the week of release). And sometimes I miss a beat, and that's ok! Just do it for fun and to be part of this great community  

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 18 theaters	131	391	2675	17899	14.94

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		577	131	21.57
MTC1:		1081	120	40.41
Marcus:		550	95	20.56
Alamo:		131	20	4.9
Other chains:		913	156	34.13

 

Growth Rate (%):
1-Day:	17.12
3-Day:	62.32

 

Comps (1-day and 3-day growth rates in parentheses): 

1.15x Mission Impossible 7 (Just Tuesday): $8.05 Million (28%, 69%)

0.34x Barbie (Just Thursday): $7.29 Million (25%, 94%)

1.33x Indiana Jones 5: $9.57 Million (15%, 65%)

 

Average: $8.3 Million

 

MTC1 finally got the memo about showings, the 5 MTC1 theaters I track went from 26 --> 45 showings, including two Dolby screenings. That will surely help with after-school walk-ups, and maybe give it a bigger jolt. All in all though, not a great final week, with a lower 3-day growth rate than any blockbuster I've tracked. This is underperforming here anyway, so I don't have faith in my comps, but it's nice to add one more blockbuster to my spreadsheets and I am interested to see the final numbers. Sadly, previews start so early, so no T-1 hour update from here  

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

After Death (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 12 theaters	27	43	232	2001	11.59

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		66	8	28.45
Marcus:		18	12	7.76
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		148	23	63.79

 

Comps:

0.26x Killers of the Flower Moon: $675k

1.14x Haunting in Venice (Just Thursday): $1.26 Million

1.89x Big Fat Greek Wedding 3: $1.04 Million

0.63x Asteroid City: $690k

 

Average: $0.92 million

 

Re: Tracking. Fully echo what @Porthos said. Bit off more than I could chew last year and was just trying to do way too much. For me, I had to figure out what works for me in terms of my schedule and work-life (twice a week, and then daily on the week of release). And sometimes I miss a beat, and that's ok! Just do it for fun and to be part of this great community  

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

After Death (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 12 theaters	30	16	248	2203	11.26

 

Type of tix:	Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:	0	0	0
MTC1:	71	5	28.63
Marcus:	18	0	7.26
Alamo:	0	0	0
Other chains:	159	11	64.11

 

 

Growth Rate (%):
1-Day:	6.9
3-Day:	45.88

 

Comps (1-day and 3-day growth rates in parentheses):

0.22x Killers of the Flower Moon: $585k (23%, 64%)

1.03x Haunting in Venice (Just Thursday): $1.14 Million (18%, 90%)

1.67x Big Fat Greek Wedding 3: $922k (20%, 85%)

0.59x Asteroid City: $645k (16%, 105%)

 

Average: $0.82 million

 

I wouldn't expect this to do particularly well here, seems more like a Southern/rural play, but surprisingly Oklahoma's numbers show the exact same thing I see here. Terrible growth rate and walk-ups should be even worse. I'll go with $700k, +/- 50,  and I would probably go even lower if I didn't think this will do better in other parts of the country. Of course, numbers this low, there will be a big margin for error anyway. 

[Jsmitty]

1 hour ago, Bob Train said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-five-nights-at-freddys-tracking-among-blumhouses-best-eyes-potential-top-5-all-time-october-debut/

 

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, October 29	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Five Nights at Freddy’s	Universal Pictures & Blumhouse	$78,000,000	$78,000,000	~3,500	NEW
Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour	AMC Theatres Distribution & Variance Films	$14,600,000	$148,600,000	~3,855	-56%
Killers of the Flower Moon	Paramount Pictures & Apple	$12,500,000	$44,100,000	~3,628	-46%
After Death	Angel Studios	$5,700,000	$5,700,000	~2,600	NEW
PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie	Paramount Pictures	$3,000,000	$60,100,000	~2,900	-32%
The Nightmare Before Christmas: 30th Anniversary	Walt Disney Pictures	$2,900,000	$86,100,000	~1,900	-32%
The Exorcist: Believer	Universal Pictures & Blumhouse	$2,800,000	$59,000,000	~2,700	-51%
Saw X	Lionsgate	$2,400,000	$51,100,000	~2,300	-33%
The Creator	20th Century Studios	$1,400,000	$39,300,000	~1,500	-48%

 

I find it interesting Freelance misses the list entirely.

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Five Nights at Freddy's, T-2, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Tickets sold: 1912

New sales: 368

Growth: 23.8%

Theatres: 10

Showtimes: 32

Tickets per showtime: 59.8

Chains tracked: MTC4, via manual count from chain app

 

COMPS

9.28x Saw X for $18.6M 

16.92x Nun 2 for $52.4M

 

Local Single Theatre Comps

1.31x ATSV for $22.8M

0.96x Barbie for $21.4M

 

Good growth again. One thing that's been really noticeable is how much it maintained pace with Saw X. It's obviously at a different scale, but both are films that seemed to have outperformed here in Canada. 

 

Also, a lot of the weekend sets went up, and it looks like FNAF is getting more screens. Makes me have faith that they've been paying attention. Sales have already been brisk for weeke shows. I think people have been waiting for these to go online.

 

 

Five Nights at Freddy's, T-1, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Tickets sold: 2227

New sales: 315

Growth: 16.5%

Theatres: 10

Showtimes: 33

Tickets per showtime: 67.5

Chains tracked: MTC4, via manual count from chain app

 

COMPS

8.837x Saw X for $17.7M 

10.21x Nun 2 for $31.7M

 

Local Single Theatre Comps

1.17x ATSV for $20.3M

0.77x Barbie for $17.2M

 

Breakdown of sales (previous breakdown of sales)

Early Afternoon:  2.6% (2.6%)

Late Afternoon: 15.4% (15.8%)

Early Evening: 60.4% (60.5%)

Late Evening: 21.5% (21.1%)

 

A couple of key things. First off, pace dropped off as weekend showtimes became available. Unsurprising, but noteworthy. Saw X dropped the least, which was in a similar situation.

 

Also, one theatre added a showtime. By the time of checking, it had zero sales. But, I expect it'll grab the walkups tomorrow.

 

I added the breakdown of sales by showtime slots, and showed change over prior day

 This adds a bit of complexity on doing updates, so I'll need to decide what I incorporate going forward.

 

On that note, and in light of the dialogue here about not burning out, doing a manual update of this size was onerous here at the end. This was a big sales volume, but condensed timeframe. I may opt for lower frequency. I also may cut the sample down from 10 theatres to five. I'm not sure. I'll carry Marvels through, but will need to figure out before I jump on the next track. Depending on when tickets go on sale, the two for the winter season I'm interested enough to do are Aquaman and Hunger Games. Neither will be barn burners though.

 

[Gabe0mazing]

Riverside California Area

Five Nights at Freddy’s

Previews: (T-1) 286/957 29.89%

Friday:     (T-2) 732/2,474 29.59%

Saturday: (T-3) 230/2,474 9.3%

Sunday:   (T-4) 69/2,102 3.28%

Full Weekend:  1,317/8,007 16.45%

 

After Death

Previews: (T-1) 2/47 4.26%

Friday:     (T-2) 10/270 3.7%

Saturday: (T-3) 11/270 4.07%

Sunday:   (T-4) 2/270  0.74%

Full Weekend:  25/857 2.92%

 

Freelance

Friday:     (T-2) 2/235 0.86%

Saturday: (T-3) 2/235 0.86%

Sunday:   (T-4) 0/235 N/A

Full Weekend: 4/705 0.57%

 

 This is my first day tracking! I figured I might as well measure FNAF’s last few days before I begin tracking The Marvels and Hunger Games. It looks like FNAF is selling very well in my local theater for Thursday and Friday. I’m not sure how good those Saturday and Sunday numbers are though. After Death really needs some good walkups as these numbers are obviously pretty abysmal. Freelance is gonna do almost nothing and it doesn’t have Previews. Keep in mind that this theater sells very well and horror movies typically overindex because of the large teenage audience in the area. That being said I still think this is pretty decent and the Friday to Thursday Ratio is currently 2.56.

[crazymoviekid]

23 hours ago, crazymoviekid said:

Five Nights At Freddy's:

 

Thursday Comps...

 

Theater 1: 123 Tickets, 7.99%

Theater 2: 104 Tickets, 13.13%

 

Growth: 9.13%

 

Barbie: $4.78M

The Flash: $8.19M

Spiderverse: $9.65M

Guardians 3: $8.73M

Scream 6: $16.17M

Ant-Man 3: $7.34M

Avatar 2: $17.70M

Black Adam: $17.08M

Halloween Ends: $26.65M

JWD: $15.48M

DS:MOM: $4.87M

 

Pretty soft growth with most drops across the board sans AM3 and JWD. Still have no idea where this is leveling off

 

Friday comps:

 

Theater 1: 413 Tickets, 16.96%

Theater 2: 229 Tickets, 18.65%

 

Growth: 25.64%

 

Barbie: $17.66M

The Flash: $56.16M

Spiderverse: $49.94M

Guardians 3: $44.96M

Scream 6: $92.84M

Quantumania: $35.38M

Avatar 2: $56.55M

Black Adam: $75.65M

Halloween Ends: $62.84M

JWD: $61.81M

DS:MoM: $19.44M

 

Pretty big. Most comps are aiming between $45M-$55M, but that Ant Man 3 one is interesting...

 

Five Nights At Freddy's:

 

Thursday Comps...

 

Theater 1: 155 Tickets, 10.07%

Theater 2: 131 Tickets, 16.54%

 

Growth: 25.99%

 

Barbie: $4.59M

The Flash: $8.73M

Spiderverse: $9.37M

Guardians 3: $9.22M

Scream 6: $14.69M

Ant-Man 3: $7.85M

Avatar 2: $21.23M

Black Adam: $15.42M

Halloween Ends: $21.75M

JWD: $16.99M

DS:MOM: $5.66M

 

Still a vast range. Most drops except Avatar 2 and The Flash. Feel like there's a good chance between $8M-$10M for now.

 

Friday comps:

Theater 1: 475 Tickets, 19.51%
Theater 2: 274 Tickets, 22.31%

Growth: 16.67%

Barbie: $16.46M
The Flash: $44.67M
Spiderverse: $40.52M
Guardians 3: $42.53M
Scream 6: $77.13M
Quantumania: $34.95M
Avatar 2: $57.94M
Black Adam: $69.40M
Halloween Ends: $59.03M
JWD: $59.34M
DS:MoM: $20.23M

 

Still huge. Most comps went down, but some like DS2 and Avatar 2 nudged up. Feeling around $35M-$45M.

[keysersoze123]

All the Marvels update today were before the rumors started around supposed cameo. Let us see if there is any boost after this. But I would not begrudge Disney to go this route. This is low hanging fruit. In fact movies should be full of Easter Eggs and cameos. Not just post credit scenes :-) 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Five Nights of Freddy's

Previews(T-2) - 99812/537178 1476299.44 3704 shows +12477

Saturday - 81388/741274 1108604.64 4937 shows

 

Ok pace for T-2. Not certain about even double digits based on this data. But its under indexing here big time for sure. At least show numbers are up but for the size of BO sales its still not that big. 

 

Saturday PS is like half the friday based on where I think Friday would be today(I will update in the morning). So will skew OD BO for the weekend. 

Five Nights of Freddy's

Previews(T-1) - 117464/556622 1732833.96 3844 shows +17652

Saturday - 96845/850413 1316408.15 5628 shows +15457

 

I could see this miss 10m in previews looking at the pace. Let us see how things go tomorrow. 

 

Saturday would be like slightly under a day of data. I think it will drop on saturday but not as much as I initially thought. 

[CJohn]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

All the Marvels update today were before the rumors started around supposed cameo. Let us see if there is any boost after this. But I would not begrudge Disney to go this route. This is low hanging fruit. In fact movies should be full of Easter Eggs and cameos. Not just post credit scenes 🙂

It is a shit cameo that won't move the needle.

[Borobudur]

8 hours ago, Shawn said:

FNAF final* forecast is up. After back-to-back releases and being too bullish, hopefully the third time this month is the charm.

 

*unless the next 16-24 hours of pre-sales pacing is just putrid

Until strike is over, there is no hope for the movie to pick up momentum in the final stage of presale.