The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Mojoguy]

13 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

First check of Aquaman 2

76/44879 (167 showings)

Should reach 100+ by EOD. In comparison, Blue Beetle first check was 114 and Shazam 2 131.

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Napoleon MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 23337/257718 403891.91 1587 shows +4076

Wednesday - 18341/329064 307624.73 2155 shows +3804

 

For T-2 its just ok. 

Napoleon MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 30617/262969 521092.39 1640 shows +7280

Wednesday - 23017/359930 381434.93 2382 shows +4676

 

Let us see where it ends up tomorrow. 

[titanic2187]

15 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 24822/250306 299819.48 1806 shows

12/26 - 6206/250278 74715.22 1782 shows

 

 

its sales for Christmas is impressive this far out. But its just one day. We have to see what that means close to release. 

So the holiday fate is depend on the bunch of non-action flick like migration, wonka and colour purple? 
 

wonka’s review is now vital important. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

Huh, 8 pages worth of posts in the last 5 hours. Well I'm sure this is all tracking related and won't result in a bunch of warning points and nuked comments....

[Kon]

11 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

So the holiday fate is depend on the bunch of non-action flick like migration, wonka and colour purple? 
 

wonka’s review is now vital important. 

 

Has there been tracking for Wonka?

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, Eric Gray Baird said:

Resident Timothee stan. Just gonna tell you...400 is never gonna happen. Like...come on now.

Well I’m only talking rave reception. I don’t know why you think it couldn’t in that case? This is the one year it absolutely makes sense for something to explode if it’s loved. Audiences are starving here. Jumanji 2 rode a 30 something OW to 400+, not sure why this sounds unprecedented to you? 

[Grebacio]

Is it too late to rerelease Avatar on Christmas?

[HummingLemon496]

3 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

Is it too late to rerelease Avatar on Christmas?

Edited November 21, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[emoviefan]

33 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 24822/250306 299819.48 1806 shows

12/26 - 6206/250278 74715.22 1782 shows

 

 

its sales for Christmas is impressive this far out. But its just one day. We have to see what that means close to release. 

And people will ignore this so they can go on and on about how horrible things are. If this hits and Wonka is good and does well but sure let's go on and on about the flops. Once again  maybe it's the movies themselves that are the issue not people are abandoning the movies in general. When  people are given a reason to be excited they will go.

[emoviefan]

11 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Well I’m only talking rave reception. I don’t know why you think it couldn’t in that case? This is the one year it absolutely makes sense for something to explode if it’s loved. Audiences are starving here. Jumanji 2 rode a 30 something OW to 400+, not sure why this sounds unprecedented to you? 

Really surprised the Resident Timothy stan is so down on this movie.

[charlie Jatinder]

40 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Napoleon MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 30617/262969 521092.39 1640 shows +7280

Wednesday - 23017/359930 381434.93 2382 shows +4676

 

Let us see where it ends up tomorrow. 

Good for previews. Meh for WED.

[tdangie]

11 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

Is it too late to rerelease Avatar on Christmas?

I would unironically buy tickets to a rerelease for this LOL

[TheFlatLannister]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

When did sales start? An initial check of MiniTC2 suggest start smaller than Shazam 2 and Blue Beetle.

omg? The Marvels and Aquaman fighting for the bottom spot...

 

(But in all seriousness Aquaman will do well over $300M because of strong OS and great christmas multi)

[Mulder]

1 minute ago, TheFlatLannister said:

omg? The Marvels and Aquaman fighting for the bottom spot...

 

(But in all seriousness Aquaman will do well over $300M because of strong OS and great christmas multi)

Are we sure it'll be strong OS honestly..... 😶

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Are we sure it'll be strong OS honestly..... 😶

I think Asia will be decent enough but yeah West gonna drop though Xmas gonna probably save it a bit

[filmlover]

I've already given up on this entire holiday season's box office lol (not the movies themselves though, there's a lot I want to see between now and the end of the year).

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Wish MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 16071/378727 242240.73 2458 shows +1733

Wednesday -  21697/611783 297386.43 3773 shows +3931

 

Now I feel better about Napoleon pace :-) it will be all about walkups for this one. Encanto sold 32240 for 1.5m previews. I am not sure this will play exactly like Encanto. I would think that would play more "diverse" than the Wish. 

Wish MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 20371/389578 302400.43 2576 shows +4300

Wednesday - 27557/680570 376089.33 4366 shows +5860

 

Let us see how walkups go tomorrow. 

[M37]

54 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

And people will ignore this so they can go on and on about how horrible things are. If this hits and Wonka is good and does well but sure let's go on and on about the flops. Once again  maybe it's the movies themselves that are the issue not people are abandoning the movies in general. When  people are given a reason to be excited they will go.

Hmm … Fences made less than 9x its XMas opening (basically) day gross, so let’s maybe pump the breaks on calling this a hit beyond what looks (for now) to be a very good, holiday impacted first day 

[YM!]

6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Wish MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 20371/389578 302400.43 2576 shows +4300

Wednesday - 27557/680570 376089.33 4366 shows +5860

 

Let us see how walkups go tomorrow. 

Elemental MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 21913/340828 329714.67 2519 shows +5062
 

Decent-ish rebound but about 7% behind Elemental at the same point in time. Take 30% for ATP but more PLFs and that puts us at 1.56M for previews, so ~1.5M previews/~2M with EA. DHD says presales are 60% ahead of Elemental as it all comes down to walkups. As you said Encanto did about 32k (is that T-2 or final total?) for previews and Wish should (borderline) get there. Guessing around 40-50m five day then but sub 40m could happen if bad walkups.

Edited November 21, 2023 by YM!

[Mojoguy]

6 minutes ago, YM! said:

Elemental MTC1 Previews(T-1) - 21913/340828 329714.67 2519 shows +5062
 

Decent-ish rebound but about 7% behind Elemental at the same point in time. Take 30% for ATP but more PLFs and that puts us at 1.56M for previews. DHD says presales are 60% ahead of Elemental as it all comes down to walkups. As you said Encanto did about 32k (is that T-2 or final total?) for previews and Wish should (borderline) get there. Guessing around 40-50m five day then but sub 40m could happen if bad walkups.

Wish under Encanto's 40m five day would disastrous for Disney. No excuses for not beating the film highly impacted by covid fears in 2021.

Edited November 21, 2023 by Mojoguy