The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[VanillaSkies]

Cineplex Cinemas in Vaughan, Ontario Canada is definitely going to have one of the top 3 PTA for Animal this weekend. 
 

Just tonight, between 8:30pm and 12:30am it has 14 near sold out showings, all in 150+ seat screens. I almost didn’t believe it. They keep adding shows onto the night. 

They are already adding midnight shows for tomorrow too. Incredible. 
I wish I knew more about the area/theatre so I could give an explanation to everyone.

Edited December 2, 2023 by VanillaSkies

[Giorno]

25 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

Cineplex Cinemas in Vaughan, Ontario Canada is definitely going to have one of the top 3 PTA for Animal this weekend. 
 

Just tonight, between 8:30pm and 12:30am it has 14 near sold out showings, all in 150+ seat screens. I almost didn’t believe it. They keep adding shows onto the night. 

They are already adding midnight shows for tomorrow too. Incredible. 
I wish I knew more about the area/theatre so I could give an explanation to everyone.

Are there a lot of sikhs living in the area I assume 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 11/30/2023 at 8:17 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	859	36197	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-14

 

(0.444x) of Indy 5 $3.20M Previews

(0.347x) of TLM $3.57M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.39M

 

I still haven't seen the social media boost yet. Interesting  

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	885	36197	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.443x) of Indy 5 $3.19M Previews

(0.340x) of TLM $3.50M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.35M

[TheFlatLannister]

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Color Purple

 

Previews 

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
160	715	29935	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-24

 

Comp with Thursday previews 

(1.246x) of Wish $2.24M Previews

(0.731x) of Haunted Mansion $2.27M Previews

(0.384x) of TLM $3.95M Previews

Comps AVG: $2.82M

 

Holy hell @abracadabra1998 was not exaggerating when they said this was selling like crazy 

Edited December 2, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

On 11/30/2023 at 8:59 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	794	38536	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

11

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-21

 

(0.372x) of The Marvels $2.45M Previews

(0.458x) of Indy 5 $3.30M Previews

(0.169x) of GOTG 3 $2.96M Previews

(0.459x) of The Flash $4.45M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.29M

 

Well, Blue beetle comp will probably spit out $6.5M. Not sure if I'm going to add it 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-20

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	811	38536	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-20

 

(0.377x) of The Marvels $2.49M Previews

(0.459x) of Indy 5 $3.30M Previews

(0.170x) of GOTG 3 $2.97M Previews

(0.464x) of The Flash $4.50M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.32M

[vafrow]

1 hour ago, VanillaSkies said:

Cineplex Cinemas in Vaughan, Ontario Canada is definitely going to have one of the top 3 PTA for Animal this weekend. 
 

Just tonight, between 8:30pm and 12:30am it has 14 near sold out showings, all in 150+ seat screens. I almost didn’t believe it. They keep adding shows onto the night. 

They are already adding midnight shows for tomorrow too. Incredible. 
I wish I knew more about the area/theatre so I could give an explanation to everyone.

 

I haven't been paying attention to this at all, but it's selling well everywhere in the region, nothing with the same showtime allocation

 

The South Asian population here explains tjat to some degree, but, Vaughan isn't exactly the centre of that (but it's not far off from Brampton, which is).

 

There must have been someone in the Vaughan location that saw what was happening here. But, there's big Bollywood films released all the time here. I don't think I've seen this.

 

[el sid]

So our true Thursday estimates (around 1M) for Godzilla was pretty ok, I guess 🙂.

 

Silent Night did even slightly worse than expected...but it was also mentioned here that its advertisement was non-existent. 

 

And the previews for Renaissance are in line with expectations ( @TheFlatLannister, @Porthos, @keysersoze123, @abracadabra1998...).

 

So overall, a quite good job again 😉.

Edited December 2, 2023 by el sid

[TheFlatLannister]

On 11/30/2023 at 8:15 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	194	33106	0.59%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-21

 

(0.681x) of Trolls 3 $885k Previews

(0.494x) of Elemental $1.18M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.03M

 

 

But seriously last 7 days: 

194

193

194

193

195

192

192

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-20

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	202	33106	0.61%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-20

 

(0.704x) of Trolls 3 $915k Previews

(0.508x) of Elemental $1.22M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.07M

 

Finally, something lol 

[keysersoze123]

On 11/23/2023 at 9:23 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 29765/259194 363556.35 1862 shows

12/26 - 7158/256348 86876.40 1822 shows

 

Really good pace for Christmas but nothing much beyond that. 

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 49245/264598 616373.95 1900 shows

12/26 - 11625/262122 142673.25 1866 shows

 

Insane number for the christmas day. Also it just falls off the cliff on 26th. Look at the pace over past 8 days for both the days. I think it hits double digit on christmas and then a big drop. Of course ATP is low as it does not seem to have PLF. 

[MovieMan89]

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 49245/264598 616373.95 1900 shows

12/26 - 11625/262122 142673.25 1866 shows

 

Insane number for the christmas day. Also it just falls off the cliff on 26th. Look at the pace over past 8 days for both the days. I think it hits double digit on christmas and then a big drop. Of course ATP is low as it does not seem to have PLF. 

it seems unlikely a movie like that could fall of a cliff, especially during holidays, barring toxic WOM. 

[abracadabra1998]

19 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 49245/264598 616373.95 1900 shows

12/26 - 11625/262122 142673.25 1866 shows

 

Insane number for the christmas day. Also it just falls off the cliff on 26th. Look at the pace over past 8 days for both the days. I think it hits double digit on christmas and then a big drop. Of course ATP is low as it does not seem to have PLF. 

 

No PLF and a lot of Christmas Day matinee tickets, very low ATP for sure 

[Relevation]

49 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 49245/264598 616373.95 1900 shows

12/26 - 11625/262122 142673.25 1866 shows

 

Insane number for the christmas day. Also it just falls off the cliff on 26th. Look at the pace over past 8 days for both the days. I think it hits double digit on christmas and then a big drop. Of course ATP is low as it does not seem to have PLF. 

That is 11.23x what Wish was standing at for pure TUE at T-24, and their ATPs are pretty similar with all the discounts

 

That Wish comp spits out a busted $20.4M for Christmas Day, and while I don't think it goes that high, maybe like $14-17M? and around $120-140M DOM final?

[keysersoze123]

10 minutes ago, Relevation said:

That is 11.23x what Wish was standing at for pure TUE at T-24, and their ATPs are pretty similar with all the discounts

 

That Wish comp spits out a busted $20.4M for Christmas Day, and while I don't think it goes that high, maybe like $14-17M? and around $120-140M DOM final?

Nah. Its ATP is really low without PLF plus it will over index in large markets. low double digits is what i see. 

[HummingLemon496]

14 minutes ago, Relevation said:

That is 11.23x what Wish was standing at for pure TUE at T-24, and their ATPs are pretty similar with all the discounts

 

That Wish comp spits out a busted $20.4M for Christmas Day, and while I don't think it goes that high, maybe like $14-17M? and around $120-140M DOM final?

INB4 color purple beats 5/7 live action superheroes in 2023 domestically 

Edited December 2, 2023 by HummingLemon496

[filmlover]

FYI The Color Purple is being advertised as being shown in Dolby Cinema, but that's likely only in places like LA/NYC. I've also noticed that The Iron Claw (12/13) and Ferrari (12/20) are getting some PLF screens for their Early Access shows on those days.

[JustLurking]

Any chance anyone could take a quick look at Boy and the Heron? Even a quick comparison to Godzilla as somewhat limited release foreign films would be appreciated.

[vafrow]

On 12/1/2023 at 5:36 AM, vafrow said:

 

Wonka, T-14, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Theatres: 5

Total Sales: 23

New Sales since last update: 6

Growth: 35%

Showtimes: 20

Radius 19km

 

Showtimes by timeslot:

Late afternoon: 4

Early Evening: 8

Late Evening: 8

 

Showtimes by format

Regular: 0

Dolby: 7

VIP: 4

IMAX: 6

4DX: 3

 

Comps

0.303x of HG:BoSS (D2) for $1.7M

 

It's showing growth, but still far off a reasonable sales level.

 

Wonka, T-13, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Theatres: 5

Total Sales: 24

New Sales since last update: 1

Growth: 4%

Showtimes: 20

Radius 19km

 

Showtimes by timeslot:

Late afternoon: 4

Early Evening: 8

Late Evening: 8

 

Showtimes by format

Regular: 0

Dolby: 7

VIP: 4

IMAX: 6

4DX: 3

 

Comps

0.250x of HG:BoSS for $1.4M

 

Not much movement 

Edited December 2, 2023 by vafrow

[filmlover]

Poor Things confirmed for wide release on 12/22 (assuming that means at least a couple hundred theaters):

 

 

So this is what the wide release schedule for Christmas weekend looks like:

 

Aquaman 2

Migration

The Color Purple

The Iron Claw

Ferrari

Poor Things

Anyone But You

The Boys in the Boat

American Fiction

[arlandriaff]

Hello, guys, I'm new here so I'm sorry if this is the wrong thread, but I've been wondering about some future concert film releases. AMC already said they aren't stopping with Taylor and Beyoncé, so I think a very possible candidate for the near future is Lady Gaga's Chromatica Ball film. She revealed she was working on its edit back in June and it still haven't been officially announced.

 

Do you guys think there's any quiet weekend in January or February where this release could fit? From March onwards it will all be about Dune 2, and Joker: Folie à Deux promo could possibly start around that date too (I don't think Lady Gaga/her team would want to clash these two projects), so I think that if it's indeed getting a theatrical release, it will be in either January or February. What do you guys think?

[VanillaSkies]

2 hours ago, arlandriaff said:

Hello, guys, I'm new here so I'm sorry if this is the wrong thread, but I've been wondering about some future concert film releases. AMC already said they aren't stopping with Taylor and Beyoncé, so I think a very possible candidate for the near future is Lady Gaga's Chromatica Ball film. She revealed she was working on its edit back in June and it still haven't been officially announced.

 

Do you guys think there's any quiet weekend in January or February where this release could fit? From March onwards it will all be about Dune 2, and Joker: Folie à Deux promo could possibly start around that date too (I don't think Lady Gaga/her team would want to clash these two projects), so I think that if it's indeed getting a theatrical release, it will be in either January or February. What do you guys think?

I think 5-10 years ago maybe. 
But Lady Gaga isn’t at the same star wattage she used to be. If Beyoncé is pulling in just around 20 million, I can’t see people paying $20/ticket for Gaga. I think that one is better left for Streaming.