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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I must admit I was disappointed by its OW and shocked at its cinemascore. But the legs made up for it and its OS box office was crazy. If I am not wrong it was 2nd or 3rd biggest hollywood movie in China(2012 had very similar BO). 

 

Nolan is much bigger brand than when Inception released and So Oppenheimer opening huge is not a surprise to me.  


Inception had some pretty helpful elements going for it. DiCaprio in his prime as a major star. “From the Director of TDK” in every trailer and TV ad only two years after TDK. Pretty cool visual effects in the marketing as well. 

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2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Saw just moved up almost a month to September 29 (makes sense since it would've been overshadowed in October by The Exorcist and Five Nights at Freddy's). This is what the month looks like now in terms of wide releases:

 

9/1: Equalizer 3

9/8: The Nun 2, My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3

9/15: A Haunting in Venice, Challengers

9/22: Expendables 4, Dumb Money, Drive-Away Dolls

9/29: The Creator, PAW Patrol 2, Saw

 

Some of these are already rumored to potentially being on the move due to the strike impacting promo (Challengers, in particular) but overall this is going to be quite a busy (and sequel-heavy) September.

Not joking, Paw Patrol could be the highest grossing of all these movies

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Just now, Flip said:

Not joking, Paw Patrol could be the highest grossing of all these movies

I'm thinking Equalizer 3 is easily the biggest movie of the month even if Denzel does no press for it (though apparently he did a bunch of interviews that the studio will put out during the weeks leading up to the movie's release), but it's possible PAW Patrol takes advantage of being the first kids film since TMNT and the last until Trolls 3.

 

Speaking of which, White Bird is the first release date casualty as a result of the strike and will no longer open next month (it'll now open TBA Q4).

 

‘Dirty Dancing’, ‘White Bird’ Change Release Dates: WGA, SAG-AFTRA Strikes – Deadline

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Barbie numbers at my local theater at 8:30 this morning

 

Showings - 3

Seats Sold - 279

Total Seats - 459

% Seats Sold - 62%

 

Now, at T-2 hours

 

Seats Sold - 349

Total Seats - 459

% Seats Sold - 76%

 

~25% growth on the day before walkups, and that's with most of the available seats being in the front two rows.

 

Should note that this is the only theater within a 30 min drive and they are somehow screening Flash, The Boogeyman, and Terrifier tonight. 😅

 

 

Edited by jeffthehat
bad at math
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20 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

T-1

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

303

10592

56355

18.8%

*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

1695

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

21

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

EA

T-0

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

9

1642

1747

93.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

41

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

7

 

 

COMPS 

T-1

*Excludes any EA

 

(2.816x) of RoTB

~$24.78M THUR Previews

 

(3.570x) of Fast X

~$26.77M THUR Previews

 

(1.277x) of ATSV

~$22.15M THUR Previews

 

(1.130x) of GOTG 3

~$19.77M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $23.37M THUR Previews 

 

Excellent day. From the looks of it ~$23M previews including EA and adjusted down for ATP difference

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

T-0 *Final Update 3PM 

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

310

13425

57629

23.3%

*numbers taken as of 2:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2833

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS 

T-0

*Excludes any EA

 

(2.955x) of RoTB

~$26M THUR Previews

 

(3.489x) of Fast X

~$26.2M THUR Previews

 

(1.202x) of ATSV

~$20.85M THUR Previews

 

(1.242x) of GOTG 3

~$21.73M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $23.7M THUR Previews 

 

Definitely over $20M previews, I'll go with $23M +/- .5M 

 

Its going to have the biggest 3 day opening of the year. 

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4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Barbie

 

Thursday

T-0 *Final Update 3PM 

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

310

13425

57629

23.3%

*numbers taken as of 2:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2833

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

7

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

 

COMPS 

T-0

*Excludes any EA

 

(2.955x) of RoTB

~$26M THUR Previews

 

(3.489x) of Fast X

~$26.2M THUR Previews

 

(1.202x) of ATSV

~$20.85M THUR Previews

 

(1.242x) of GOTG 3

~$21.73M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $23.7M THUR Previews 

 

Definitely over $20M previews, I'll go with $23M +/- .5M 

 

Its going to have the biggest 3 day opening of the year. 

Just a question, why did the ATSV comp specifically drop that much? Review bump for ATSV? I thought it ended slow

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Something pretty remarkable regarding Barbie:

 

Barbie comp pace:

  • T-29 = 0.227x of GOTG vol 3 ($3.9M)
  • T-0  = 1.242x of GOTG Vol 3 ($21.7M)

 

  • T-23 = 0.751x of ATSV ($13.0M)
  • T-0 = 1.202x of ATSV ($20.85M)

 

  • T-28 = 1.459x of RoTB ($12.8M)
  • T-0 = 2.955x of RoTB ($26M)

 

  • T-23 = 1.349x of Fast X ($10.1M)
  • T-0 = 3.489x of Fast X ($26.2M)
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12 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 day and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

3

268

20134

29587

9453

31.95%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today

3

Total Showings Added Today

24

Total Seats Added Today

2144

Total Seats Sold Today

1837

 

T-1 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-1

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

TGM

97.90

 

945

9656

 

2/345

33356/43012

22.45%

 

11474

82.39%

 

18.86m

JWD

112.28

 

1560

8419

 

0/290

25319/33738

24.95%

 

10966

86.20%

 

20.21m

BA

299.71

 

585

3154

 

0/249

28462/31616

9.98%

 

4494

210.35%

 

22.48m

Ava 2

130.55

 

971

7241

 

0/309

27735/34976

20.70%

 

8986

105.20%

 

22.19m

Scream 6

414.79

 

498

2279

 

0/116

11326/13605

16.75%

 

3134

301.63%

 

23.64m

Wick 4

241.46

 

716

3915

 

0/173

17327/21242

18.43%

 

5448

173.51%

 

21.49m

GOTG3

113.03

 

1174

8363

 

0/343

33312/41675

20.07%

 

10750

87.93%

 

19.78m

FX

322.85

 

545

2928

 

0/243

30319/33247

8.81%

 

4122

229.33%

 

24.21m

TLM

190.05

 

1002

4974

 

0/225

24182/29156

17.06%

 

6561

144.08%

 

19.57m

AtSV

134.37

 

1632

7035

 

0/251

23809/30844

22.81%

 

9744

97.01%

 

23.31m

RotB

275.44

 

930

3432

 

0/201

22254/25686

13.36%

 

4973

190.09%

 

24.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       2410/10440  [23.08% sold]
Matinee:    1032/4204  [24.55% | 10.92% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:         400/422 [94.79% sold] [+10 tickets sold] [FINAL]
Thr:    9053/29165 [31.04% sold] [+1827 tickets sold]

 

===

 

Right about what I was expecting, tbh, if on the higher end of my expectations.  Probably zeroing in on 21m to 23m unadjusted (up slightly from earlier gun-to-my-head range of 19m to 22m a couple of days ago).  

 

Perhaps not too surprisingly, this is still playing an awful lot like "JWD But With Good-to-Great Reviews". 

 

Current comp against JWD is 112% and today Barbie sold 18% more tickets than JWD did on its T-1.  Should have continued growth against JWD (the new showings, for instance, were filling up rapidly), but then there's that pesky PLF factor to worry about.  Not to mention no 3D (JWD had a decent clip of 3D sales at 11% or so of all sales locally).  Frankly, if it wasn't for that, I'd feel much more comfortable with 23m as a target.

 

Still, no matter how it's sliced, an excellent day for Barbie.  And one that augurs very well for Opening Night.

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [11:30am - 12:10pm]

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

3

271

19233

29816

10583

35.49%

 

Total Showings Added Since Last Night

3

Total Seats Added Since Last Night

229

Total Seats Sold Since Last Night

1130

 

T-0 (Mid-Day)

 

   

%

 

Sold Since
Last Night

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

TGM [11:30-12:30]

102.12

 

707

10363

 

2/345

32649/43012

24.09%

 

11474

92.23%

 

19.67m

JWD [1200-12:50]

111.52

 

1071

9490

 

0/290

24248/33738

28.13%

 

10966

96.51%

 

20.07m

BA [11:35-12:25]

292.35

 

466

3620

 

0/250

28058/31678

11.43%

 

4494

235.49%

 

21.93m

Ava 2 [11:30-12:15]

133.84

 

666

7907

 

0/310

27128/35035

22.57%

 

8986

117.77%

 

22.75m

Scrm6[12:05-12:25]

406.57

 

324

2603

 

0/118

11473/14076

18.49%

 

3134

337.68%

 

23.17m

Wick4 [11:45-12:20]

243.57

 

430

4345

 

0/185

18230/22575

19.25%

 

5448

194.25%

 

21.68m

GOTG [11:30-12:20]

115.05

 

836

9199

 

0/345

32602/41801

22.01%

 

10750

98.45%

 

20.13m

FX [11:30-12:05]

310.81

 

477

3405

 

0/243

29842/33247

10.24%

 

4122

256.74%

 

23.31m

TLM [11:40-12:15]

188.88

 

629

5603

 

0/225

23553/29156

19.22%

 

6561

161.30%

 

19.45m

AtSV [11:40-12:15]

131.17

 

1033

8068

 

0/251

22776/30844

26.16%

 

9744

108.61%

 

22.76m

RotB [11:40-12:10]

270.04

 

487

3919

 

0/202

21893/25812

15.18%

 

4973

212.81%

 

23.76m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      2794/10440  [26.76% sold]
Matinee:    1223/4204  [29.09% | 11.56% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:          400/422 [94.79% sold] [FINAL]
Thr:    10183/29394 [34.64% sold] [+1130 tickets sold]

 

===

 

Comp came down slightly versus JWD's Mid-Day pace, but also sampled about 30 minutes earlier.  Comps will prob come between 20.5m to 22m when all is said and done and probably looking at 20m to 21m after PLF/3D adjustments are made.  Just depends on how strong those walkups are the rest of the day.

 

Will also probably look at other films which didn't have 3D, as I'm concerned that some of the GA-skewed films here have too high of an ATP, if I have the time (which I actually might!).

 

No real time for other thoughts, I'm afraid (already late with this as it is).

Edited by Porthos
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12 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 day and counting

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

1

80

7152

10859

3707

34.14%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today

1

Total Net Showings Added Today

0

Total Net Seats Added Today

177

Total Seats Sold Today

594

 

T-1 Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold
T-1

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD

133.06

 

556

2786

 

0/178

21932/24718

11.27%

 

3737

99.20%

 

8.25m

Dune

175.94

 

365

2107

 

0/109

12686/14793

14.24%

 

2915

127.17%

 

8.97m

JWD

44.03

 

1560

8419

 

0/290

25319/33738

24.95%

 

10966

33.80%

 

7.93m

BP2

27.21

 

1695

13622

 

2/375

29516/43138

31.58%

 

16800

22.07%

 

7.62m

Ava 2

51.19

 

971

7241

 

0/309

27735/34976

20.70%

 

8986

41.25%

 

8.70m

Wick4

94.69

 

716

3915

 

0/173

17327/21242

18.43%

 

5448

68.04%

 

8.43m

FX

126.61

 

545

2928

 

0/243

30319/33247

8.81%

 

4122

89.93%

 

9.50m

Indy5

105.76

 

613

3505

 

0/184

21339/24844

14.11%

 

4767

77.76%

 

7.61m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.


Regal:       964/3693  [26.10% sold]
Matinee:          32/81  [39.51% | 0.86% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                   760/776 [+53 tickets] [20.50% of all tickets sold]
All other PLF:    1766/4557 [+224 tickets] [47.64% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           1181/5526 [+317 tickets] [31.86% of all tickets sold]

 

========

 

Probably converging somewhere on 8m to 9m, if Sacto isn't over-performing to a huge degree thanks to that 15/70mm print (one of which SOLD OUT tonight — with the other only having 16 tickets left).  But even if it is, this is gonna have by far the highest ATP since Ava 2.

 

Can't even say there wasn't a review bounce, coz I honestly think there was.  Just an utter lack of capacity for desired seats/showtimes/premium screens is holding it back. 

 

Which will be... interesting for tomorrow.  Just how many of the standard seats/less desirable PLF seats will in fact be taken tomorrow?  Hell if I know.  Heck, might even be spillover from Barbie if a desired Barbie showtime looks unappealing for whatever reason. Find out one way or the other in short order.

 

Oppenheimer Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [12:15pm - 12:25pm]

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

2

80

6785

10859

4074

37.52%

 

Total Sellouts Added Since Last Night

1

Total Seats Sold Since Last Night

367

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Comps:

 

   

%

 

Sold Since
Last Night

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

NTTD [12:00-12:35]

131.89

 

303

3089

 

0/178

21629/24718

12.50%

 

3737

109.02%

 

8.18m

Dune [12:00-12:20]

170.39

 

284

2391

 

0/109

12402/14793

16.16%

 

2915

139.76%

 

8.69m

JWD [12:00-12:50]

42.93

 

1071

9490

 

0/290

24248/33738

28.13%

 

10966

37.15%

 

7.73m

BP2 [11:30-12:20]

27.63

 

1125

14747

 

2/375

28391/43138

34.19%

 

16800

24.25%

 

7.74m

Ava 2 [11:30-12:15]

51.52

 

666

7907

 

0/310

27128/35035

22.57%

 

8986

45.34%

 

8.76m

Wick4[11:45-12:15]

93.76

 

430

4345

 

0/185

18230/22575

19.25%

 

5448

74.78%

 

8.34m

FX [11:30-12:05]

119.65

 

477

3405

 

0/243

29842/33247

10.24%

 

4122

98.84%

 

8.97m

Indy5 [11:45-12:15]

102.28

 

478

3983

 

0/183

20730/24713

16.12%

 

4767

85.46%

 

7.36m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Oppenheimer's current tickets sold versus that final number.


Regal:     1083/3693  [29.33% sold]
Matinee:          38/81  [46.91% | 0.93% of all tickets sold]
----    
70mm:                    776/776    [+16 tickets] [19.05% of all tickets sold] [SOLD OUT]
All other PLF:     1892/4557  [+126 tickets] [46.44% of all tickets sold]
Standard:           1406/5526 [+225 tickets] [34.51% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Yeaaah, this is getting squeezed.  Standard sales aren't even that bad!  Just a horrendous screen crunch.  Comps will prob point to somewhere between 7.75m to 8.5m.  Not getting anymore sales out of Esquire IMAX is gonna hurt though.

Edited by Porthos
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57 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

 

Did you happen to forget than Nun is the second highest grossing movie in the Conjuring universe?

Sequel will decrease a lot IMO, first one did not have good reception. Plus Paw Patrol is bound to increase from the pandemic installment, and it has no competition until Trolls almost 2 months after it releases

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Barbie, counted today for tomorrow:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 886 (13 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 1.748 (18 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 537 (20 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 572 (10 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 699 (13 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.623 (17 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.868 (23 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 7.933.

Up quite good 18.5% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Thursday of the release week for Friday): TLC (9M true Friday) had 695 sold tickets,
TLM (27.7M) had 2.523,
JC (10.7M) had 817,

Minions 2 (37.4M) had 2.893,
Sonic 2 (20.55M) had 1.851,
JWD (41.55M) had 5.623,
Thor 4 (40.5M) had 6.946
and GotG 3 (30.7M) had 4.484 sold tickets.

As you can see Barbie didn't even lose that much in the comps since yesterday. The range is now 50-100M true Friday BUT Barbie would again lose a bit in the comps when counted tomorrow because it was way easier for the other films to have a better jump percentage-wise till Friday (with 8k tickets it's hard to have a big jump). So it's not really 75M on average, it's a bit lower. But still stellar.
And because I don't really know what to do with this film/phenomenon and just think 150M OW is way too low I say 175M OW.

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19 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Barbie Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [11:30am - 12:10pm]

 

 

Capped

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Seats Sold

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

3

271

19233

29816

10583

35.49%

 

Total Showings Added Since Last Night

3

Total Seats Added Since Last Night

229

Total Seats Sold Since Last Night

1130

 

T-0 (Mid-Day)

 

   

%

 

Sold Since
Last Night

Total

Sold

 

Sellouts

Shows

Seats Left

Total Seats

Perct

Sold

 

Final

Sold

% of

Final

 

 

Comp

TGM [11:30-12:30]

102.12

 

707

10363

 

2/345

32649/43012

24.09%

 

11474

92.23%

 

19.67m

JWD [1200-12:50]

111.52

 

1071

9490

 

0/290

24248/33738

28.13%

 

10966

96.51%

 

20.07m

BA [11:35-12:25]

292.35

 

466

3620

 

0/250

28058/31678

11.43%

 

4494

235.49%

 

21.93m

Ava 2 [11:30-12:15]

133.84

 

666

7907

 

0/310

27128/35035

22.57%

 

8986

117.77%

 

22.75m

Scrm6[12:05-12:25]

406.57

 

324

2603

 

0/118

11473/14076

18.49%

 

3134

337.68%

 

23.17m

Wick4 [11:45-12:20]

243.57

 

430

4345

 

0/185

18230/22575

19.25%

 

5448

194.25%

 

21.68m

GOTG [11:30-12:20]

115.05

 

836

9199

 

0/345

32602/41801

22.01%

 

10750

98.45%

 

20.13m

FX [11:30-12:05]

310.81

 

477

3405

 

0/243

29842/33247

10.24%

 

4122

256.74%

 

23.31m

TLM [11:40-12:15]

188.88

 

629

5603

 

0/225

23553/29156

19.22%

 

6561

161.30%

 

19.45m

AtSV [11:40-12:15]

131.17

 

1033

8068

 

0/251

22776/30844

26.16%

 

9744

108.61%

 

22.76m

RotB [11:40-12:10]

270.04

 

487

3919

 

0/202

21893/25812

15.18%

 

4973

212.81%

 

23.76m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Barbie's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      2794/10440  [26.76% sold]
Matinee:    1223/4204  [29.09% | 11.56% of all tickets sold]
------------    
Wed:          400/422 [94.79% sold] [FINAL]
Thr:    10183/29394 [34.64% sold] [+1130 tickets sold]

 

===

 

Comp came down slightly versus JWD's Mid-Day pace, but also sampled about 30 minutes earlier.  Comps will prob come between 20.5m to 22m when all is said and done and probably looking at 20m to 21m after PLF/3D adjustments are made.  Just depends on how strong those walkups are the rest of the day.

 

Will also probably look at other films which didn't have 3D, as I'm concerned that some of the GA-skewed films here have too high of an ATP, if I have the time (which I actually might!).

 

No real time for other thoughts, I'm afraid (already late with this as it is).

Including Wednesday?

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1 minute ago, el sid said:

Barbie, counted today for tomorrow:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 886 (13 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 1.748 (18 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 537 (20 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 572 (10 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 699 (13 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 1.623 (17 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.868 (23 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 7.933.

Up quite good 18.5% since yesterday.
Comps (all films counted on Thursday of the release week for Friday): TLC (9M true Friday) had 695 sold tickets,
TLM (27.7M) had 2.523,
JC (10.7M) had 817,

Minions 2 (37.4M) had 2.893,
Sonic 2 (20.55M) had 1.851,
JWD (41.55M) had 5.623,
Thor 4 (40.5M) had 6.946
and GotG 3 (30.7M) had 4.484 sold tickets.

As you can see Barbie didn't even lose that much in the comps since yesterday. The range is now 50-100M true Friday BUT Barbie would again lose a bit in the comps when counted tomorrow because it was way easier for the other films to have a better jump percentage-wise till Friday (with 8k tickets it's hard to have a big jump). So it's not really 75M on average, it's a bit lower. But still stellar.
And because I don't really know what to do with this film/phenomenon and just think 150M OW is way too low I say 175M OW.

are you taking into account that the other movies would have a greater share of PLFs? Because I feel like Barbie would need to outsell the others by a larger range than normal.

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