Weekday Thread June 24-27. Inside Out 2 $11.2m, Bad Boys $1.6m Thursday

[Flip]

2nd week should be ~157m. 
 

this is how it compares to other movies that finished between 600-700m and the final of it follows each movie:

 

Incredibles 2: 124.7m (682m)

Barbie: 147.9m (656m)

Ava2: 160.5m (730.9m)

Top Gun Maverick: 137.7m (837.3m

Jurassic World: 149.6m (629.2m)

 

most likely heading for 660-670m finish

 

[Bob Train]

6 minutes ago, Flip said:

2nd week should be ~157m. 
 

this is how it compares to other movies that finished between 600-700m and the final of it follows each movie:

 

Incredibles 2: 124.7m (682m)

Barbie: 147.9m (656m)

Ava2: 160.5m (730.9m)

Top Gun Maverick: 137.7m (837.3m

Jurassic World: 149.6m (629.2m)

 

most likely heading for 660-670m finish

 

Incredibles 2 is probably the best comp here as it's the only PG animated movie on here.

[Cheddar Please]

14 minutes ago, Flip said:

2nd week should be ~157m. 
 

this is how it compares to other movies that finished between 600-700m and the final of it follows each movie:

 

Incredibles 2: 124.7m (682m)

Barbie: 147.9m (656m)

Ava2: 160.5m (730.9m)

Top Gun Maverick: 137.7m (837.3m

Jurassic World: 149.6m (629.2m)

 

most likely heading for 660-670m finish

 

The fact that comp against Barbie is actually lower than against I2 should really give an indication to some that Barbie's later legs weren't as good as its earlier holds would suggest

[Ryan C]

https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/inside-out-2-box-office-a-quiet-place-day-one-opening-weekend-projections-1236047725/

[JimmyB]

33 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Hear, hear. Couldn't agree more.

It's a standard Monday drop so I don't think the Stanley Cup had much impact expect maybe in Canada.  It's a small number of people who were going to go see Inside Out 2 on Monday but stayed home to watch hockey. 

[Cheddar Please]

Also, even if 13.3m Monday makes 700m unlikely, it's still a good indication that IO2 is still tracking ahead of Barbie at this time, given that Barbie was famously weekday-heavy b/c of demand spillover as a result of limited screenings due to Barbenheimer. Considering Juneteenth, which probably added about 2m to IO2's Tuesday and 10m to Wednesday, IO2 would have done about 89m on its first weekday sans holidays, compared with 96m for Barbie. Meanwhile, both movies are set to gross about 55m this Mon-Fri, which suggests that IO2 is still gaining on Barbie, which would imply that its still on pace for 650m+

Edited June 25 by Cheddar Please

[kayumanggi]

 

[AniNate]

12 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

The fact that comp against Barbie is actually lower than against I2 should really give an indication to some that Barbie's later legs weren't as good as its earlier holds would suggest

 

Incredibles 2 got the typical Pixar Labor Day bump, Barbie was just a steady decline the rest of its run. Does seem likely that IO2 will also get that bump ofc. 

 

 

Edited June 25 by AniNate

[Cheddar Please]

3 minutes ago, AniNate said:

 

Incredibles 2 got the typical Pixar Labor Day bump, Barbie was just a steady decline the rest of its run.

I2 also just had better holds than Barbie from its 4th week onwards, it managed to stay above 1m for an additional week compared to Barbie despite having weaker weekdays to start out with. What made Barbie's run interesting was that it basically just dropped 40% consistently for essentially its entire run, which was a good figure for its first few weeks, but slowly got worse relative to its competition as most big BO runs tend to see increasingly strong holds in later weeks

Edited June 25 by Cheddar Please

[Agafin]

16 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

The fact that comp against Barbie is actually lower than against I2 should really give an indication to some that Barbie's later legs weren't as good as its earlier holds would suggest

Nah, it just means that Barbie didn't have summer weekdays for the latter part of its run.

Edited June 25 by Agafin

[Assassin]

16 minutes ago, Ryan C said:

https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/inside-out-2-box-office-a-quiet-place-day-one-opening-weekend-projections-1236047725/

AQP:DO has a $67M budget, only $6M more than part 2.

[AniNate]

A lot has been said already about how badly Lightyear tanked but it is funny/sad in hindsight that they just didn't even bother with a re-expansion there. Elemental's PTA before its Labor Day was five times that of Lightyear

[Cheddar Please]

3 minutes ago, Agafin said:

Nah, it just means that Barbie didn't have summer weekdays for the latter part of its run.

Not really, since Barbie's weekend holds were consistently stronger than its weekday holds, it just means that the demand shifted. Averaging out the entire week, its drops still average o/u 40% for most of its run

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[toutvabien]

Big start for Inside Out 2 normal weekdays. An opener of this size finsihing with 4× its opening is insane!

[todos]

Imagining BOT was fun when Barbie’s second Monday came in at low $15M. 

[Cheddar Please]

1 minute ago, todos said:

Imagining BOT was fun when Barbie’s second Monday came in at low $15M. 

It was even more fun when Tuesday ended up being flat from the previous day 😜

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Cheddar Please said:

It was even more fun when Tuesday ended up being flat from the previous day 😜

yeah why were Barbie's Tuesdays so flat anyway.

[Cheddar Please]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

yeah why were Barbie's Tuesdays so flat anyway.

Barbie's first 3 Mondays (and its first 3 weekdays in general) had heavy spillover effect from the prior weekend due to lack of available screenings courtesy of Oppenheimer. Basically what should have been a JW level opening week got spread out over 3 weeks instead due to screen splitting, which was a very interesting phenomenon to witness.

Edited June 25 by Cheddar Please