Flip Posted July 16 Posted July 16 (edited) On insidekino it’s saying Inside Out 2 broke the OW record (since 2011), does anyone know if this is because early previews were rolled in or if this is valid? also, wanted to create this thread since I don’t think there is one for Portugal yet. Edited July 16 by Flip 1 Quote
Flip Posted July 30 Author Posted July 30 115,170 admits for Deadpool & Wolverine OW + 13k last Wednesday. +18% vs. Deadpool 2. Inside Out 2 3rd weekend was 103,563 admits (43% drop). It’s just 26k admits away from entering the top 10 all time. At the very least it will pass Minions for #4 all time. Total at same time vs. TLK (#1) is 787k-840k. 4 Quote
Flip Posted August 6 Author Posted August 6 On 7/30/2024 at 12:42 PM, Flip said: 115,170 admits for Deadpool & Wolverine OW + 13k last Wednesday. +18% vs. Deadpool 2. Inside Out 2 3rd weekend was 103,563 admits (43% drop). It’s just 26k admits away from entering the top 10 all time. At the very least it will pass Minions for #4 all time. Total at same time vs. TLK (#1) is 787k-840k. 2nd weekend for Deadpool came in at 90.5k, just a 21% drop and should final around 530-550k. Inside Out 2 also had a 21% drop, gaining 81.6k admits over the weekend, placing it #4 all time. The gap between itself and TLK widened to 75k, but it should close back up, but I don’t think enough to reach #1. 50/50 shot at passing Avatar for #2 most attended film. 4 Quote
Flip Posted August 13 Author Posted August 13 On 8/6/2024 at 1:21 AM, Flip said: 2nd weekend for Deadpool came in at 90.5k, just a 21% drop and should final around 530-550k. Inside Out 2 also had a 21% drop, gaining 81.6k admits over the weekend, placing it #4 all time. The gap between itself and TLK widened to 75k, but it should close back up, but I don’t think enough to reach #1. 50/50 shot at passing Avatar for #2 most attended film. It Ends With Us had a strong debut at #1 (64.7k admits), 4x Challengers and just 5k behind Dune 2. 2nd weekend for Deadpool came in at 56.4k, a 38% drop and should final around 520-550k. Inside Out 2 had a similar drop as Deadpool, earning 51.3k, remaining in 1st position. 5th weekend total is 76k behind Lion King, but it’s dropping better. Avatar 2 will be passed next weekend. DM4 is legging well, can end up 490-500k admits, 110k drop from Minions 2 3 2 Quote
Flip Posted August 20 Author Posted August 20 On 8/13/2024 at 2:34 PM, Flip said: It Ends With Us had a strong debut at #1 (64.7k admits), 4x Challengers and just 5k behind Dune 2. 2nd weekend for Deadpool came in at 56.4k, a 38% drop and should final around 520-550k. Inside Out 2 had a similar drop as Deadpool, earning 51.3k, remaining in 1st position. 5th weekend total is 76k behind Lion King, but it’s dropping better. Avatar 2 will be passed next weekend. DM4 is legging well, can end up 490-500k admits, 110k drop from Minions 2 Local movie at #1, IEWU 33% drop, decent and should pass 250k admits. Deadpool had the same drop, passing DM4 to become the 2nd most admits of the year (should end around 550k admits). Inside Out 2 had a strong 22% drop, reducing the gap to TLK to 58k. I think it will end around 1.26m-1.27m admits, ahead of Avatar, but just behind TLK. Romulus had a mediocre opening of 30k admits, will head for final of 100k admits. 1 1 Quote
Flip Posted August 27 Author Posted August 27 On 8/20/2024 at 12:11 AM, Flip said: Local movie at #1, IEWU 33% drop, decent and should pass 250k admits. Deadpool had the same drop, passing DM4 to become the 2nd most admits of the year (should end around 550k admits). Inside Out 2 had a strong 22% drop, reducing the gap to TLK to 58k. I think it will end around 1.26m-1.27m admits, ahead of Avatar, but just behind TLK. Romulus had a mediocre opening of 30k admits, will head for final of 100k admits. - Local movie remains at #1 - IEWU 23% drop, very strong and should now pass 300k admits. - Deadpool had a slightly larger drop, it should end around 550k admits). - Inside Out 2 had a superb 19% drop, reducing the gap to TLK to 42k. In the last week it did 62k, and I think it will end around 1.28-1.3m admits, just barely squeezing ahead of TLK for #1 all time. - Romulus had the worst drop of the top 10, it’s likely to miss 100k admits. 1 3 Quote
Flip Posted September 10 Author Posted September 10 On 8/27/2024 at 11:18 AM, Flip said: - Local movie remains at #1 - IEWU 23% drop, very strong and should now pass 300k admits. - Deadpool had a slightly larger drop, it should end around 550k admits). - Inside Out 2 had a superb 19% drop, reducing the gap to TLK to 42k. In the last week it did 62k, and I think it will end around 1.28-1.3m admits, just barely squeezing ahead of TLK for #1 all time. - Romulus had the worst drop of the top 10, it’s likely to miss 100k admits. - Beetlejuice 2 was #1, opening to 31,850 admissions. Similar opening to Ferrari, Poor Things, Fall Guy, Beekeeper. Should comfortably pass 100k admits. - IEWU is still very strong and has passed 300k admits. 400k is the new goal. It will soon pass Dune Part 2 to become the #4 movie of the year - Deadpool had two slight drops, it should end around 600k admits. If it can pass Minions 2 (602k admits), it will be the 6th most attended movie since 2020. - Inside Out 2 had two good drops even after summer ended. It’s just 19k behind TLK, and considering it made 18k admits last weekend it should squeeze ahead of TLK for #1 all time this weekend. - Romulus can reach 100k admits. - Despicable Me 4 will end around 510k admits, 90k below Minions 2, but still a good performance when you consider that it went up against the #1 movie of all time (IO2) which was direct competition 1 2 Quote
Flip Posted September 10 Author Posted September 10 Outlook for the rest of the year: Mufasa: 2019 TLK is the current ATG, obviously Mufada will drop, but I think it will still have a respectable total: 510-590k admissions. Sonic 3: Mufasa will hurt it, but the holidays will cancel out that effect; it should equal Sonic 2: 220-240k admissions. Joker 2: With the reports of a boring movie + mixed reviews, I think this will drop a large amount. The original made 915k admits, and did so by being a WOM monster (6.12x legs). This won’t replicate that, opening may be similar but legs will be lucky to be half: 340-380k admissions. Moana 2: The first installment made 331k admits. I don’t think this will have as big a jump as IO2, but doubling up is possible: 700-770k admits. Venom 3: First made 290k, 2nd made 204k. Apparently this movie is pretty enjoyable, it should increase since there’s no more Covid effect: 290-340k admissions. Others: Transformers One shouldn’t do anything significant: Rise of the Beasts did 72k last year. Smile could be massive, the original did 9x legs and ended at 165k admits. Maybe a 200k total is possible. The Wild Robot could do 200k+, considering worse movies like Lyle Crocodile and DC Superpets passed 100k admits. A good benchmark would be Garfield, which made 218k admits. Kraven should do over 110k admits, because even Morbius did around that number. Gladiator 2 and Wicked are total wildcards: I think Gladiator should pass 200k admits unless it’s a total dud: Napoleon almost did so last year. As to how far it could go, the limit is probably around 475k (100k below Oppenheimer). Wicked could do anywhere between 80k and 250k and I really wouldn’t be surprised. 1 2 Quote
Flip Posted September 17 Author Posted September 17 On 9/10/2024 at 1:03 PM, Flip said: - Beetlejuice 2 was #1, opening to 31,850 admissions. Similar opening to Ferrari, Poor Things, Fall Guy, Beekeeper. Should comfortably pass 100k admits. - IEWU is still very strong and has passed 300k admits. 400k is the new goal. It will soon pass Dune Part 2 to become the #4 movie of the year - Deadpool had two slight drops, it should end around 600k admits. If it can pass Minions 2 (602k admits), it will be the 6th most attended movie since 2020. - Inside Out 2 had two good drops even after summer ended. It’s just 19k behind TLK, and considering it made 18k admits last weekend it should squeeze ahead of TLK for #1 all time this weekend. - Romulus can reach 100k admits. - Despicable Me 4 will end around 510k admits, 90k below Minions 2, but still a good performance when you consider that it went up against the #1 movie of all time (IO2) which was direct competition - Beetlejuice 2 was #1, but the hold wasn’t very impressive, it could miss 100k admits - IEWU is still very strong (best hold in the top 10) and has passed Dune Part 2 to become the #4 movie of the year - Deadpool should end around 605k admits, passing Minions 2 (602k admits) to be the 6th most attended movie since 2020. - Inside Out 2 is just 2k behind TLK. It should squeeze ahead of TLK for #1 all time sometime this week. However, it is already #1 in terms of gross, as it passed Avatar 2 1 1 Quote
CJohn Posted September 17 Posted September 17 On 7/16/2024 at 2:31 AM, Flip said: On insidekino it’s saying Inside Out 2 broke the OW record (since 2011), does anyone know if this is because early previews were rolled in or if this is valid? also, wanted to create this thread since I don’t think there is one for Portugal yet. It is valid. IO2 became the biggest movie ever here this week (since there is record so 2004). 2 Quote
CJohn Posted September 17 Posted September 17 I actually thought Venom 2 didn't pass the 200k. It lives rent free in my mind with Wonka, Migration and John Wick 4 as movies that ended at 199k. Local Mourão Movie is joining that club with its 99k total. Last weekend was shit. Holds were pretty horrific. The huge fires at the center and north of the country combined with kids being back to school is having a big effect that will continue this weekend. Last weekend of September might have zero movies above 10k. Quote
CJohn Posted September 23 Posted September 23 IO2 is officially the biggest movie ever in Portugal. It was 4th this weekend with 8.6k tickets sold. Transformers One bombed at 5th place with 8.5k tickets sold (including previews from last weekend). 1 2 Quote
Flip Posted October 29 Author Posted October 29 October Update: - Joker 2 flopped here, but not as bad as in other countries. It will end up around 215k admits - Wild Robot had a small OW, but is legging out well, it maybe can reach 140k admits. - Venom 3 had an OW just a few thousands under Venom 2, it will aim for 180k admits - Smile 2 will reach 100k admits - Other: We Live in Time was a small breakout, it can maybe reach 90k admits. Holdovers - Beetlejuice 2 will end up around 130k admits, a bit of a disappointing run but it had good legs off a subpar OW - IO2 finally exited the top 10 last weekend, it will end 1.317m admits 4 Quote
MCKillswitch123 Posted November 4 Posted November 4 (edited) On 10/29/2024 at 9:57 PM, Flip said: October Update: - Joker 2 flopped here, but not as bad as in other countries. It will end up around 215k admits - Wild Robot had a small OW, but is legging out well, it maybe can reach 140k admits. - Venom 3 had an OW just a few thousands under Venom 2, it will aim for 180k admits - Smile 2 will reach 100k admits - Other: We Live in Time was a small breakout, it can maybe reach 90k admits. Holdovers - Beetlejuice 2 will end up around 130k admits, a bit of a disappointing run but it had good legs off a subpar OW - IO2 finally exited the top 10 last weekend, it will end 1.317m admits Even still, Folie à Deux's 215k admits are about less than a fourth of Joker 2019's 915k. I guess the amount of incels we have drove that first movie beyond any expectations lol. Compared to the performance of another recent comic book disaster, The Marvels' drop from Captain Marvel, that was about less than a 3rd of the admits, from Captain Marvel's 287k+ to Marvels' sub-80k, which just puts in perspective how much Joker 2 did not resonate with the Portuguese public. The Wild Robot will come in about the same range as something like DC League of Super Pets (139-140k admits). Given that Pets came out in the Summer and Wild Robot in September/October (albeit 2022 was still lightly hesitant territory post-pandemic for moviegoers), that's a win for the DreamWorks flick. It also beats The Bad Guys, which did come out on Easter/April 2022 (so right around the beginning of the post-pandemic slow burn return to normality), at 108k. We Live in Time at 90k admits would be one of the highest performances for an A24 film domestically, if I'm not wrong. Edited November 4 by MCKillswitch123 3 Quote
Flip Posted November 19 Author Posted November 19 On 10/29/2024 at 4:57 PM, Flip said: October Update: - Joker 2 flopped here, but not as bad as in other countries. It will end up around 215k admits - Wild Robot had a small OW, but is legging out well, it maybe can reach 140k admits. - Venom 3 had an OW just a few thousands under Venom 2, it will aim for 180k admits - Smile 2 will reach 100k admits - Other: We Live in Time was a small breakout, it can maybe reach 90k admits. Holdovers - Beetlejuice 2 will end up around 130k admits, a bit of a disappointing run but it had good legs off a subpar OW - IO2 finally exited the top 10 last weekend, it will end 1.317m admits Mid-November Update: - Gladiator 2 had a strong OW: 90k admits. 4th best opening of the year, behind DM4, IO2, and DP&W. It should easily cross 300k admits, and the potential could be higher if it retains screens - Red One had a small OW, but is legging out well, it maybe can reach 90k admits. - Other: Substance, Terrifier, and Conclave are looking to final at 70k, 45k, and 55k respectively. All decent performances holdovers: - Wild robot will hit 170k admits, almost 7x multi - Joker 2 finals at 210k, currently #10 for the year -Smile 2 will end up at 115-120k admits, good legs - We Live in Time continued strongly, it will reach 100k admits - Venom 3 has had very surprisingly strong legs (probably due to no big releases) and is going to breeze past 200k admits and Venom 2 (204k) 4 1 Quote
CJohn Posted November 20 Posted November 20 4 hours ago, Flip said: Mid-November Update: - Gladiator 2 had a strong OW: 90k admits. 4th best opening of the year, behind DM4, IO2, and DP&W. It should easily cross 300k admits, and the potential could be higher if it retains screens - Red One had a small OW, but is legging out well, it maybe can reach 90k admits. - Other: Substance, Terrifier, and Conclave are looking to final at 70k, 45k, and 55k respectively. All decent performances holdovers: - Wild robot will hit 170k admits, almost 7x multi - Joker 2 finals at 210k, currently #10 for the year -Smile 2 will end up at 115-120k admits, good legs - We Live in Time continued strongly, it will reach 100k admits - Venom 3 has had very surprisingly strong legs (probably due to no big releases) and is going to breeze past 200k admits and Venom 2 (204k) Joker opened bigger than Gladiator as well, you forgot about it. Quote
Flip Posted November 26 Author Posted November 26 On 11/19/2024 at 8:12 PM, CJohn said: Joker opened bigger than Gladiator as well, you forgot about it. it was in the october update, I didn't mention it in this update because it's stopped making any money Quote
CJohn Posted November 26 Posted November 26 6 hours ago, Flip said: it was in the october update, I didn't mention it in this update because it's stopped making any money What I meant is that Gladiator is the 5th biggest OW of the year, not the 4th. 1 Quote
Flip Posted December 4 Author Posted December 4 128k OW admissions for Moana 2, if it follows IO2 it will end at 652k admits. Its more likely it settles ~600k, with the possibility to pass Deadpool 3 for #2 of 2024 if it can reach 612k admissions 1 Quote
CJohn Posted December 4 Posted December 4 We Live in Time crossed the 100k tickets sold. Strong contender for run of the year. 1 Quote
