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baumer

ALL SOTM ANSWERS CAN GO HERE (starting with SOTM2)

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Some pretty large differences between a lot of user's predictions. Some people are going to lose a lot of points :P

MIB3: 13m diffPrometh: 7.3mSWATH: 15mNot huge diffs considering the range is 4.5m on either side or 9m total. Some will lose points, but I think most will make a bunch and I wasn't about to get left behind.
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I think this weekend will almost certainly have resulted in over $175m for MIB 3 and over $150m for SWATH by mid-July. For me Prometheus is the wildcard here. Will it keep freefalling like GL (remember their second weekend Friday drop was identical, although Prom had a much better second Sat increase and a strong hold on Father's Day, thus a better 2nd weekend) or stabilize somewhat, like Wanted, Matrix Reloaded, I Robot, SWATH and many other films that dropped around 60% in their second weekend?

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Legs.

Not that I won't like to see it... but isn't 178m a bit too much?For example...last year First Class made 23.8M in the corresponding period after 11.9M weekend. Plus that 11.9M came from the weekend on which GL opened.After a 10M weekend for MIB3, I would expect around 20M but 25M+ seems a bit too much....Hoping that it is around 175M so that everybody gets points and it is also 20M within my 195M prediction. :)
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Only thing going against MIB3, IMO, is the further loss of 3D screens. But the share of them should already be low enough by now that it won't make a big impact in the next month. Other than that, its been tracking well ahead of Night at the Museum 2.

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Only thing going against MIB3, IMO, is the further loss of 3D screens. But the share of them should already be low enough by now that it won't make a big impact in the next month. Other than that, its been tracking well ahead of Night at the Museum 2.

NATM2 is a fair comparison... it made 16.5M after 7.8M weekend. MIB3 will be at 174m or so if it follows NATM2.Okay... now I feel like I should have gone a million or two higher.... but still can't see reaching 176m by July 22nd.
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You have to consider that NATM lost all its IMAX screens to TF2, also the main blockbuster of the summer anyway, and suffered quite a big drop as a result. MIB 3, on the other hand, has two more strong weekends to come until serious competition hits.

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