JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

XXRDJisDoctorDoom · July 12, 2019

10 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

Does anyone know toy story 4 and Mewtwo strikes back evolution opening day in japan

Today

Minnale101 · July 12, 2019

2 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Today

Thank you. Looking forward to seeing numbers.

hope toy story doesn’t have a big drop from third one like other Pixar sequels have been the past years in japan

Olive · July 12, 2019

TS4 OD admissions 10% higher than Aladdin

ThomasNicole · July 12, 2019

8 minutes ago, Olive said:

TS4 OD admissions 10% higher than Aladdin

Hope this means it won’t drop that much compared to TS3.

I want around $ 80-90M, maybe now it’s possible.

titanic2187 · July 12, 2019

With so many breakout this year in Japan, I wonder how much space left for Weathering with you and Frozen 2 to be a mega breakout.

catlover · July 12, 2019

56 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

With so many breakout this year in Japan, I wonder how much space left for Weathering with you and Frozen 2 to be a mega breakout.

I was wondering that too. Frozen 2 is in November with no other strong competitions until Star Wars one month later. So I think it will be okay. We can't say the same about Weathering with You. Now that Aladdin is going to cross 10B yen, I think there are still 3 more movies with the potential to do the same this summer: TS4, Weathering with You, and TLK.

TS4's OD is promising (11% above Aladdin's OD at the usual place), so 10B is still possible. But if TS4, Weathering with You and TLK all do that, we will have four 10B grossers in the span of only 3 months. That never happened before, not even in a year. Not to mention there's the new One Piece movie that could do 5B+ yen. So I'm afraid at least one of them will underperform.

Edited July 12, 2019 by catlover

KP1025 · July 12, 2019

58 minutes ago, catlover said:

TS4's OD is promising (11% above Aladdin's OD at the usual place), so 10B is still possible. But if TS4, Weathering with You and TLK all do that, we will have four 10B grossers in the span of only 3 months. That never happened before, not even in a year.

2003 actually had 4 films pass ¥10 billion, but you're right that it's never happened in such a short time frame before.

KP1025 · July 13, 2019

Corpse:

Weekend Forecast (07/13-14)
01 (---) ¥1,000,000,000 ($9.2 million), 0, ¥1,300,000,000 ($12.0 million), Toy Story 4 (Disney) NEW
02 (---) ¥525,000,000 ($4.8 million), 0, ¥615,000,000 ($5.7 million), Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (Toho) NEW
03 (01) ¥489,000,000 ($4.5 million), -30%, ¥9,525,000,000 ($87.8 million), Aladdin (Disney) WK6
04 (02) ¥228,000,000 ($2.1 million), -42%, ¥2,350,000,000 ($21.7 million), Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) WK3
05 (03) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), -32%, ¥600,000,000 ($5.6 million), The Diner (Warner Bros.) WK2
06 (04) ¥x82,000,000 ($755,000), -40%, ¥1,440,000,000 ($13.3 million), The Fable (Toho) WK4
07 (05) ¥x65,000,000 ($600,000), -20%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.5 million), Uta no Prince-sama The Movie: Maji LOVE Kingdom (Shochiku) WK6
08 (06) ¥x52,000,000 ($480,000), -31%, ¥325,000,000 ($3.0 million), Anpanman: Sparkle! Princess Van./Land of Ice Cream (Tokyo Theaters) WK3
09 (08) ¥x36,000,000 ($330,000), -25%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.8 million), The Journalist (Star Sands) WK3
10 (12) ¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), -15%, ¥425,000,000 ($4.0 million), Rascal Does Not Dream of a Dreaming Girl (Aniplex) WK5

>Toy Story 4 debuts this weekend, and it's looking to make Japanese box-office history by becoming the first ever imported animated film to open above ¥1 billion. I think it has a better than 50% chance of doing it based on its pre-sales and early morning Saturday ticket sales, but I'm going to leave its weekend forecast right at said milestone just in case it comes in barely shy. And to claim the record for biggest opening weekend for an imported animated film (held by its predecessor, Toy Story 3), it needs to beat ¥977 million.

And one record that is very likely to be broken is breaking the opening weekend admissions record for an imported animated film (held by Finding Nemo). But, if it's likely to break that record, why won't it open above Toy Story 3 and break ¥1 billion? Because Toy Story 3 opened at the peak of the 3D craze which gave it a huge average ticket sale boost that isn't as prevalent in today's market.

>Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution looks to debut in second place, and based on pre-sales, might just outopen last year's film, Pokemon: Everyone's Story. I was expecting a slight drop from last year's film, so any debut of a similar figure, or higher obviously, is certainly encouraging for the franchise after reaching a low-point a few years back. This film is the first CGI Pokemon film in the series, and is a remake of the original Pokemon film from 1998.

>Aladdin may slip to third place and have a normal hold for the first time in its run, but it's still doing very, very impressive numbers (some of its day-to-day drops were in the single-digits this week). It'll become the highest-grossing film of 2019 over the weekend and likely be less than ¥500 million away from reaching the ¥10 billion uber-milestone.

catlover · July 13, 2019

6 hours ago, KP1025 said:

2003 actually had 4 films pass ¥10 billion, but you're right that it's never happened in such a short time frame before.

Ah yes, 2003. The peak of Hollywood movies in Japan. It actually had five 10B grosser in the span one year! Matrix Reloaded (June), Bayside Shakedown 2 (July), Finding Nemo (Dec), The Last Samurai (Dec), Return of the King (Feb 2004).

July 13, 2019

Corpse:

Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales:

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL

31,164 > x55,849 > x76,346 > x99,994 > 132,246 - Toy Story 4

Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-]

43,557 > x71,681 > x93,992 > 122,021 > 151,314 > 175,522 > 207,502 > 229,798 > 277,427 > 342,959 > 348,024 - Detective Conan 21

39,732 > x64,094 > x90,575 > 118,008 > 155,118 > 174,599 > 209,900 > 236,090 > 282,310 > 341,011 > 345,143 - Detective Conan 22

46,010 > x75,560 > x92,582 > 120,114 > 161,255 > 191,961 > 224,019 > 243,554 > 278,997 > 323,437 > 332,987 - Detective Conan 23

43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5

74,565 > 116,519 > 144,266 > 177,687 > 206,086 > 240,279 > 271,568 > 281,438 > 308,702 > 317,438 > 317,709 - Yo-Kai Watch 2

52,996 > x60,631 > x75,890 > 117,855 > 124,236 > 147,342 > 187,892 > 197,398 > 226,441 > 286,005 > 293,246 - Star Wars VII

39,622 > x55,638 > x79,473 > x99,228 > 124,143 > 156,171 > 176,298 > 194,209 > 229,193 > 285,429 > 289,656 - Detective Conan 20

25,090 > x33,718 > x65,555 > x82,521 > x92,695 > 133,900 > 157,507 > 164,428 > 207,078 > 266,202 > 271,313 - Aladdin

30,914 > x42,990 > x62,982 > x85,904 > 102,185 > 140,690 > 163,724 > 174,087 > 209,595 > 261,046 > 266,911 - Jurassic World 2

35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast

63,854 > x89,438 > 109,249 > 128,842 > 148,074 > 177,219 > 197,555 > 209,978 > 235,145 > 283,231 > 286,726 - One Piece Film Gold

37,688 > x51,536 > x78,625 > x96,317 > 110,615 > 147,556 > 158,990 > 176,601 > 209,065 > 278,130 > 283,482 - Star Wars VIII

25,090 > x33,718 > x65,555 > x82,521 > x92,695 > 133,900 > 157,507 > 164,428 > 207,078 > 266,202 > 271,313 - Aladdin

30,914 > x42,990 > x62,982 > x85,904 > 102,185 > 140,690 > 163,724 > 174,087 > 209,595 > 261,046 > 266,911 - Jurassic World 2

35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast

40,886 > x48,964 > x59,752 > x94,729 > 107,521 > 119,125 > 142,006 > 167,255 > 178,584 > 239,359 > 248,613 - Avengers: Endgame

37,850 > x52,209 > x81,753 > 101,473 > 119,605 > 161,180 > 177,321 > 188,231 > 210,871 > 235,354 > 241,332 - Code Blue

00,000 > x00,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 227,517 - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F

25,910 > x32,060 > x57,063 > x73,610 > x84,101 > 120,336 > 134,258 > 141,719 > 171,620 > 211,793 > 217,221 - Fantastic Beasts 2

00,000 > x00,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 209,804 - Detective Conan 19

17,886 > x31,861 > x46,109 > x55,320 > x84,164 > x94,353 > 114,193 > 134,889 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 202,075 - Your Name.

00,000 > x00,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 196,491 - Jurassic World

26,792 > x41,467 > x59,601 > x72,157 > x99,348 > 117,861 > 135,650 > 147,193 > 165,271 > 185,998 > 193,053 - Dragon Ball Super: Broly

30,062 > x52,132 > x69,597 > x80,552 > 115,470 > 128,413 > 141,480 > 160,560 > 183,484 > 185,333 > 187,901 - Doraemon 38

22,790 > x29,291 > x44,300 > x56,439 > x65,324 > x90,408 > 101,566 > 107,419 > 130,880 > 166,900 > 174,835 - Spider-Man: Far From Home

31,532 > x41,391 > x68,734 > x84,425 > 116,091 > 129,657 > 143,882 > 158,848 > 171,269 > 174,628 > 174,797 - Doraemon 37

14,564 > x18,126 > x38,232 > x49,350 > x55,948 > x82,147 > x96,840 > 104,265 > 129,089 > 162,764 > 166,650 - Fantastic Beasts

29,064 > x44,099 > x66,420 > x80,789 > 104,701 > 124,875 > 137,005 > 144,884 > 153,968 > 157,751 > 157,910 - Doraemon 39

titanic2187 · July 13, 2019

12 hours ago, catlover said:

I was wondering that too. Frozen 2 is in November with no other strong competitions until Star Wars one month later. So I think it will be okay. We can't say the same about Weathering with You. Now that Aladdin is going to cross 10B yen, I think there are still 3 more movies with the potential to do the same this summer: TS4, Weathering with You, and TLK.

TS4's OD is promising (11% above Aladdin's OD at the usual place), so 10B is still possible. But if TS4, Weathering with You and TLK all do that, we will have four 10B grossers in the span of only 3 months. That never happened before, not even in a year. Not to mention there's the new One Piece movie that could do 5B+ yen. So I'm afraid at least one of them will underperform.

I actually think that Frozen 2 will suffer and weathering with you will stay ok because the there is still spaces for local film to breakout.

KP1025 · July 13, 2019

10 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

I actually think that Frozen 2 will suffer and weathering with you will stay ok because the there is still spaces for local film to breakout.

I think the market will naturally expand to accommodate phenomenon-level hits. It's the smaller films in between that will suffer, as people save up for the big event.

MeowwoeM · July 13, 2019

4 hours ago, GrandierHorror said:

Corpse:

Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales:

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL

31,164 > x55,849 > x76,346 > x99,994 > 132,246 - Toy Story 4

Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-]

43,557 > x71,681 > x93,992 > 122,021 > 151,314 > 175,522 > 207,502 > 229,798 > 277,427 > 342,959 > 348,024 - Detective Conan 21

39,732 > x64,094 > x90,575 > 118,008 > 155,118 > 174,599 > 209,900 > 236,090 > 282,310 > 341,011 > 345,143 - Detective Conan 22

46,010 > x75,560 > x92,582 > 120,114 > 161,255 > 191,961 > 224,019 > 243,554 > 278,997 > 323,437 > 332,987 - Detective Conan 23

43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5

74,565 > 116,519 > 144,266 > 177,687 > 206,086 > 240,279 > 271,568 > 281,438 > 308,702 > 317,438 > 317,709 - Yo-Kai Watch 2

52,996 > x60,631 > x75,890 > 117,855 > 124,236 > 147,342 > 187,892 > 197,398 > 226,441 > 286,005 > 293,246 - Star Wars VII

39,622 > x55,638 > x79,473 > x99,228 > 124,143 > 156,171 > 176,298 > 194,209 > 229,193 > 285,429 > 289,656 - Detective Conan 20

25,090 > x33,718 > x65,555 > x82,521 > x92,695 > 133,900 > 157,507 > 164,428 > 207,078 > 266,202 > 271,313 - Aladdin

30,914 > x42,990 > x62,982 > x85,904 > 102,185 > 140,690 > 163,724 > 174,087 > 209,595 > 261,046 > 266,911 - Jurassic World 2

35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast

63,854 > x89,438 > 109,249 > 128,842 > 148,074 > 177,219 > 197,555 > 209,978 > 235,145 > 283,231 > 286,726 - One Piece Film Gold

37,688 > x51,536 > x78,625 > x96,317 > 110,615 > 147,556 > 158,990 > 176,601 > 209,065 > 278,130 > 283,482 - Star Wars VIII

25,090 > x33,718 > x65,555 > x82,521 > x92,695 > 133,900 > 157,507 > 164,428 > 207,078 > 266,202 > 271,313 - Aladdin

30,914 > x42,990 > x62,982 > x85,904 > 102,185 > 140,690 > 163,724 > 174,087 > 209,595 > 261,046 > 266,911 - Jurassic World 2

35,649 > x44,489 > x58,686 > x69,098 > x88,527 > 103,765 > 131,753 > 161,863 > 196,572 > 255,793 > 262,671 - Beauty and the Beast

40,886 > x48,964 > x59,752 > x94,729 > 107,521 > 119,125 > 142,006 > 167,255 > 178,584 > 239,359 > 248,613 - Avengers: Endgame

37,850 > x52,209 > x81,753 > 101,473 > 119,605 > 161,180 > 177,321 > 188,231 > 210,871 > 235,354 > 241,332 - Code Blue

00,000 > x00,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 227,517 - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F

25,910 > x32,060 > x57,063 > x73,610 > x84,101 > 120,336 > 134,258 > 141,719 > 171,620 > 211,793 > 217,221 - Fantastic Beasts 2

00,000 > x00,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 209,804 - Detective Conan 19

17,886 > x31,861 > x46,109 > x55,320 > x84,164 > x94,353 > 114,193 > 134,889 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 202,075 - Your Name.

00,000 > x00,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 000,000 > 196,491 - Jurassic World

26,792 > x41,467 > x59,601 > x72,157 > x99,348 > 117,861 > 135,650 > 147,193 > 165,271 > 185,998 > 193,053 - Dragon Ball Super: Broly

30,062 > x52,132 > x69,597 > x80,552 > 115,470 > 128,413 > 141,480 > 160,560 > 183,484 > 185,333 > 187,901 - Doraemon 38

22,790 > x29,291 > x44,300 > x56,439 > x65,324 > x90,408 > 101,566 > 107,419 > 130,880 > 166,900 > 174,835 - Spider-Man: Far From Home

31,532 > x41,391 > x68,734 > x84,425 > 116,091 > 129,657 > 143,882 > 158,848 > 171,269 > 174,628 > 174,797 - Doraemon 37

14,564 > x18,126 > x38,232 > x49,350 > x55,948 > x82,147 > x96,840 > 104,265 > 129,089 > 162,764 > 166,650 - Fantastic Beasts

29,064 > x44,099 > x66,420 > x80,789 > 104,701 > 124,875 > 137,005 > 144,884 > 153,968 > 157,751 > 157,910 - Doraemon 39

So is $13M OW expected?

July 13, 2019

Corpse :

Toy Story 4 is doing bonkers.

Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales:

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL

31,164 > x55,849 > x76,346 > x99,994 > 132,246 > 162,745 > 189,448 - Toy Story 4