JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Incarnadine]

As for golden week, anyone that can read Japanese could help. From what I gathered most businesses are closed for 7 to 10 days so I assume that means Sunday thru the following Monday. I also assume that schools are closed, but I'm not sure if you could find that out, that would be a big help to figure out the week. With both adults and students off this week it should be bigger than either spring break week. We should have Sat/ Sun type numbers all week with Monday being a vacation day, Tuesday holiday, Wednesday Ladies Day, Thursday national discount day also known as May Day and Friday another vacation day.

The thread was at 140 pages for the first two years, 50 pages for the first 5 weeks of frozen and 30 pages for the past week. I think we'll be over 300 by the end of golden week. The numbers are going to get crazy.

 

Yeah, I looked back for this thread a few days ago, the Frozen dominance started with the first post on page 138.

So, 2 years to reach 137 pages and just 6 weeks for the next 82 pages, and the post numbers seem to be gaining momentum. I think in 3 weeks or less more than half of this thread will be from the "Frozen era".

[Mojoguy]

Yeah, I looked back for this thread a few days ago, the Frozen dominance started with the first post on page 138.

Thanks for finding the EXACT page the Frozen talk began!

[mfantin65]

Here is roman bath 2012. Frozens competition this GW. Holidays May 3,4,5 fell on thur fri sat in 2012. The midweek was 15.6m, triple its pre GW weekend. Then a 29% bump the following weekend. This year the 29th holiday is tues. May 3rd-5th is sat-mon. If the mid week plays out similarly then frozen will be much larger than 15m. 1...$5,269,888 .................304.....$17,335.......$5,269,888 1...$6,835,550. +29.7%....304.....$22,485.....$27,758,574........................................................................$74,000,000 total

Edited April 25, 2014 by mfantin65

[LABAS]

Here is roman bath 2012. Frozens competition this GW. Holidays May 3,4,5 fell on thur fri sat in 2012. The midweek was 15.6m, triple its pre GW weekend. Then a 29% bump the following weekend. This year the 29th holiday is tues. May 3rd-5th is sat-mon. If the mid week plays out similarly then frozen will be much larger than 15m.1...$5,269,888 .................304.....$17,335.......$5,269,8881...$6,835,550. +29.7%....304.....$22,485.....$27,758,574........................................................................$74,000,000 total

May 6 is also a day off because May 4 is Sunday and the national holiday falls on this day.

[Ray]

Yeah, I looked back for this thread a few days ago, the Frozen dominance started with the first post on page 138.

So, 2 years to reach 137 pages and just 6 weeks for the next 82 pages, and the post numbers seem to be gaining momentum. I think in 3 weeks or less more than half of this thread will be from the "Frozen era".

 

Might be eye-opening to see a graph of the total number of topic posts with respect to the number of days it's existed...

[mfantin65]

May 6 is also a day off because May 4 is Sunday and the national holiday falls on this day.

I'm going have to bump the following midweek to 12m then. Could be 170m by may12th. You may want to contemplate your total. :)From what you've seen so far, is frozen way ahead in presales over RB2? How about compared to last week?I think there is room for both to do huge business.. north America's biggest weekend has 10% of the population going to the movies. Japans biggest is just 2.5%. It leaves a lot of room for more moviegoers to fill theaters for multiple popular movies. The weekend is going to be huge. . 34b+ yen Edited April 25, 2014 by mfantin65

[LABAS]

I'm going have to bump the following midweek to 12m then. Could be 170m by may12th. You may want to contemplate your total. :)From what you've seen so far, is frozen way ahead in presales over RB2? How about compared to last week?I think there is room for both to do huge business.. north America's biggest weekend has 10% of the population going to the movies. Japans biggest is just 2.5%. It leaves a lot of room for more moviegoers to fill theaters for multiple popular movies. The weekend is going to be huge. . 34b+ yen

It's really hard to say for me. Too many holidays , I am not sure, if there are so many people really want to see Frozen.

However, I research last year's data, finding that even in the GW, there is a huge difference of TOHO daily number

between national and non-national holidays. Take Conan for example,

last May ist (Toho day and )  around 18000

  2   7930

          3-5 (national holidays)         37000

So, in my opinion, the TOHO number of Frozen will be espeially low campared with other days on May 2  (Friday)

April 30 , ladies' day May 1st  Toho day  good number but not as godd as  April 29 and May 3~6 , maybe half

May 7 is another ladie's day, also good number

[mfantin65]

Sounds like a coin toss. Conan didnt do well last year but roman bath did 15m the year before, both with 2 holidays during the week.

[Rsyu]

Corpse:

 

Five Popular Toho Cinema Advance Ticket Sales (~24 Hours before first showings)

Tickets Sold / Total Tickets Available (%)

Nishinomiya (04/26)
502/2,578 (19.5%) - Frozen
315/2,489 (12.7%) - Thermae Romae II
242/2,220 (11.0%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
217/1,399 (15.5%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
200/755 (26.5%) - Partners 3

Umeda (04/26)
547/4,770 (11.5%) - Thermae Romae II
474/2,005 (23.6%) - Frozen
470/2,951 (15.9%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
388/2,949 (13.1%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
224/1,380 (16.2%) - Partners 3 (Alt. Fuchu)

Ebina (04/26)
320/4,110 (7.8%) - Frozen
277/2,085 (13.3%) - Thermae Romae II
231/1,000 (23.1%) - Partners 3
163/1,230 (13.3%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
135/1,180 (11.4%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2

Kinshicho (04/26)
556/1,311 (42.4%) - Frozen
276/1,510 (18.3%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
275/2,700 (10.2%) - Thermae Romae II
227/954 (23.8%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension 
223/1,260 (17.7%) - Partners 3 (Alt. Roppongi Hills)

Shibuya (04/26)
968/1,342 (72.1%) - Frozen 
296/1,075 (27.5%) - Thermae Romae II
252/985 (25.6%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension 
198/1,233 (16.1%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
101/932 (10.8%) - Partners 3 (Alt. Article)

Combined:
2,820/11,346 (24.9%) - Frozen
1,710/13,119 (13.0%) - Thermae Romae II
1,296/8,273 (15.7%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
1,272/8,338 (15.3%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
979/5,327 (18.4%) - Partners 3

I'm considering removing Shibuya since Frozen is the go-to film for young people (Shibuya is very popular among young people) at that cinema, and it's been selling out practically every showing since opening weekend. It doesn't really serve as a good example I don't think. 

[Murgatroyd]

Might be eye-opening to see a graph of the total number of topic posts with respect to the number of days it's existed...

 

Will page count over time do?

 

[LABAS]

TOHO  afternoon

 

Frozen   3850

ASAM2 4135Conan 2412

[catlover]

TOHO  afternoon

 

Frozen   3850

ASAM2 4135Conan 2412

 

Great for TASM2, I think. For Frozen -7.6% drop from last Friday, and flat from Thursday.

 

Oh, and my perdiction:

1. Frozen - 8.6m

2. Thermae Romae II - 5.7m

3. Conan - 5m

4. TASM2 - 4m

3. Partners 3 - 3.5m

Edited April 25, 2014 by catlover

[mfantin65]

It's really hard to say for me. Too many holidays , I am not sure, if there are so many people really want to see Frozen.However, I research last year's data, finding that even in the GW, there is a huge difference of TOHO daily numberbetween national and non-national holidays. Take Conan for example,last May ist (Toho day and ) around 18000 2 7930 3-5 (national holidays) 37000So, in my opinion, the TOHO number of Frozen will be espeially low campared with other days on May 2 (Friday)April 30 , ladies' day May 1st Toho day good number but not as godd as April 29 and May 3~6 , maybe halfMay 7 is another ladie's day, also good number

just looked at last years Conan. It may have had some low days but the midweek did triple the previous mw and was 75% greater than the weekend. That puts frozen in a 16-20m range. Roman bath's 2012 model puts frozen in an 18-25m range. Edited April 25, 2014 by mfantin65

[LABAS]

The singalong in Japan is quite different fromwhat happened in Korea. I see the Japanese version singalong and most of them have presales around 40%some even 50 to 80 %. I think Disney has learned the lesdonin Korea and map up the best strategy...one or two showtimes a day and Japanese version.

[mfantin65]

The singalong in Japan is quite different fromwhat happened in Korea. I see the Japanese version singalong and most of them have presales around 40%some even 50 to 80 %. I think Disney has learned the lesdonin Korea and map up the best strategy...one or two showtimes a day and Japanese version.

national tv show definitely kickstarted it. I was hoping for sellouts, if it sticks it'll create yet another level of WOM. One extra nudge on its legs on the road to 300. Edited April 25, 2014 by mfantin65

[rhfqkddl45]

http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x1r4wdo_%E8%88%88%E8%A1%8C%E5%8F%8E%E5%85%A5%EF%BC%91%EF%BC%90%EF%BC%90%E5%84%84%E5%86%86%E7%AA%81%E7%A0%B4-%E3%82%A2%E3%83%8A%E3%81%A8%E9%9B%AA%E3%81%AE%E5%A5%B3%E7%8E%8B_lifestyle

 

I found japanese broadcast

Edited April 25, 2014 by rhfqkddl45

[LABAS]

national tv show definitely kickstarted it. I was hoping for sellouts, if it sticks it'll create yet another level of WOM. One extra nudge on its legs on the road to 300.

15 minutes later May J will perform Let it go on the very popular national TV show...music station.

[Rsyu]

15 minutes later May J will perform Let it go on the very popular national TV show...music station.

 

Is may J more popular than Takako Matsu? I preferred the Takako's version to be honest.

[LABAS]

Is may J more popular than Takako Matsu? I preferred the Takako's version to be honest.

Far from it. Takako enjoys high status in Japan showbiz and many people call her national Godness. However, she does not like to perform quite often on TV...she likes to be a housewife. So, May J takes the job to promote Let it go

[LABAS]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XmA_XzrgOvg

 

Tonight on music station

May J

Let it go !