JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Ray]

I can't believe how easily Frozen will surpass IM3 both OS and WW. I always figured it had a chance and hoped it would, but thanks to Japan, it's going to do so like a hot knife through butter. Or ice. Or gold-titanium alloy.

[LABAS]

Corpse

Toho Cinemas Saturday Admissions (05/03-04)

Saturday (05/03) Admissions:

Admissions (% change from last Sat.) - Film (Dis.) Week in Release
82,483 (+47.0%) - Frozen (Disney) Week 8
44,494 (+11.7%) - Thermae Romae II (Toho) Week 2
33,001 (+3.0%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) Week 3
14,794 (+20.1%) - Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho) Week 3
22,765(-17.8%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) Week 2
16,390 (-16.2%) - Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) Week 2
15,083 (NEW) - My Little Nightmare (Toho) NEW
14,958 (NEW) - Enchanted Kingdom 3D (Toho-Towa) NEW

>Frozen should have done about 420,000 admissions for the day using Toho's admissions from last weekend vs. overall admissions. So... ¥550/560 million ($5.3/5.4 million) day, easily its biggest day-to-date, and dare I say it, makes a ¥1 billion+ ($10 million+) 8th weekend possible.

[mfantin65]

Even though 5.5m would be good for my 10.8 weekend estimate I'm hoping Saturday is closer to 6m.

sunday could be larger. There were holidays on sat/sun last year.labas, was sunday bigger than Saturday last year?

[LABAS]

sunday could be larger. There were holidays on sat/sun last year.labas, was sunday bigger than Saturday last year?

Yes, and last year Monday was the biggest (holiday )

Tomorrow's morning presale looks like way better than today.

[Incarnadine]

Ouch for TASM2. Not even GW weekend could help it have a good hold.

I wonder how long until Frozen gets to the roughly 190m it needs in Japan to dethrone IM3 for the #1 movie worldwide of 2013 title?

That will be a very good day.

[mfantin65]

Ouch for TASM2. Not even GW weekend could help it have a good hold.

I wonder how long until Frozen gets to the roughly 190m it needs in Japan to dethrone IM3 for the #1 movie worldwide of 2013 title?

That will be a very good day.

should do at least 20m next week. Then 12m, 10.5m. 5/25 weekend or a few days later. Definitely before June.

[Quigley]

Ouch for TASM2. Not even GW weekend could help it have a good hold.

I wonder how long until Frozen gets to the roughly 190m it needs in Japan to dethrone IM3 for the #1 movie worldwide of 2013 title?

That will be a very good day.

 

Prediction: By Sunday, June 1st, it will have surpassed Iron Man 3.

Breakdown:

$769M overseas by tomorrow

May 5 - May11: $20M

May 12 - May 18: $11M

May 19 - May 25: $9M

May 26 - June 1: $7M

Total: $816M (plus $400M in North America)

Edited May 3, 2014 by Quigley

[edroger3]

Adm Seats  Satur  Movie 
55117 100293 54,96% Frozen dub   66,81%
11135  17710 62,87% Frozen singalong  13,50%
 8798  17894 49,17% Frozen 3d dub 10,67%
 3730 7041 52,98% Frozen 3d sub   4,52%
 3712  12811 28,98% Frozen sub 4,50%
 

82492 155749 52,96% Frozen 
44494 100921 44,09% Thermae Romae
33001  81758 40,36% Detective Conan 2014
22765  62342 36,52% The Amazing Spider - Man 2

[catlover]

Ouch for TASM2. Not even GW weekend could help it have a good hold.

I wonder how long until Frozen gets to the roughly 190m it needs in Japan to dethrone IM3 for the #1 movie worldwide of 2013 title?

That will be a very good day.

 

Can't wait for that day!

 

Btw, it's not that bad for TASM2. IM3 opened on the same weekend last year with similar 2-day and 3-day OW and it dropped 13% in its 2nd weekend. So I think TSAM2 will have around the same drop and maybe a similar total too.

Edited May 3, 2014 by catlover

[edroger3]

Tokio presales on 11 toho cinemas

 

Shows   64

Soldout  10

+80% 20

+50%     7

-50% 27

 

about 60% saturation

[Omni]

Kind of a weak evening, not only for Frozen but for pretty much everything else. Any reason?

 

I don't think 100k admissions can happen tomorrow. Hopefully it'll at least beat Incardine's prediction.

[edroger3]

Kind of a weak evening, not only for Frozen but for pretty much everything else. Any reason?

 

I don't think 100k admissions can happen tomorrow. Hopefully it'll at least beat Incardine's prediction.

Morning, afternoon ans early evening = big screens

late evening and night = small screens

[mfantin65]

Sunday was up 3-6% for top 3 movies last year. Hopefully frozen can up it by 10%

[FrozenFan626]

Well it looks like my 9m prediction is going to be way off 

 

Also, Ray Subers can suck it! IM3 is going down for sure 

[mfantin65]

Prediction: By Sunday, June 1st, it will have surpassed Iron Man 3.Breakdown:$769M overseas by tomorrowMay 5 - May11: $20MMay 12 - May 18: $11MMay 19 - May 25: $9MMay 26 - June 1: $7MTotal: $816M (plus $400M in North America)

Predicting 20% drops post gw? you think they will will be that steep?

[mfantin65]

Well it looks like my 9m prediction is going to be way off   Also, Ray Subers can suck it! IM3 is going down for sure 

"Thats absurd! Dont email me any more!I gotta email him again

[Quigley]

Predicting 20% drops post gw? you think they will will be that steep?

 

This is an average-to-worst-case scenario. By Sunday June 1st, it will have surpassed IM3 but that doesn't mean it can't happen earlier.

[SamComedian]

I said $10 million for Frozen this weekend.... could be true....   

[Robertron]

So what's Frozen looking to be at come the end of this weekend?

[Quigley]

font='courier new']Golden Week

1.9m Monday

5.7m Tuesday

2.4m Wednesday

3.0m Thursday

1.9m Friday

 

Corpse: It was reported that Frozen exceeded ¥13.3 billion ($130 million) on Friday, its 50th day in release, adding approx. ¥1.2 billion ($11.8 million) to its total over the past five days. [Mon-Fri]

 

The numbers posted by mfantin65 are overestimates, as they add up to $14.9M

 

However, both mfantin65 and Corpse agree on approx. $5.5M for Saturday. If Sunday shows even the slightest increase, the film will earn over $11M for the weekend. Total week (Mon-Sun) at around $22-$23.5M