JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[mfantin65]

Golden Week P26.8m Monday5.5m Tuesday1.7m Wednesday0.75m Thursday0.95m Friday3.30m Saturday19.0m Week163.40m TotalProjectionSun 20%+ increase over Sat has been typical. 7.2- 7.6m weekend... WE9 record22.9-23.3m week.....Wk9 record167.30-167.7m Total...just ahead of SA at summers end. 260-320m closing total ...World record foriegn total US $

Edited May 10, 2014 by mfantin65

[Omni]

70k Toho would mean a saturday-sunday increase of almost 40%. That's a bit too ambitious.

65k is my guess though. I'm banking on toho's sat being deflated. It would have probably been around 53-54k without the discount at 109. Presales suggest a very strong bump, higher than 20%.

We can't let Corpse overestimate it! Weekend has to be at least 7.301M

[Omni]

Also, don't you see how sexy I am? That alone is a very good reason for a 40% bump!

[edroger3]

Also, don't you see how sexy I am? That alone is a very good reason for a 40% bump!

Another good reason: the anna vs elsa snowball battle. It's fantastic.

 

BTW if evening/night isn't so weak, 70K is doable.

Edited May 10, 2014 by edroger

[rhfqkddl45]

Presale Numbers 5/11 (Sun) - Toho  some Theaters

 

Shibuya - https://hlo.tohotheater.jp/net/schedule/043/TNPI2000J01.do

 

297/297...dub (10:30)

234/234...dub (14:50) 

218/234...dub (17:20)

165/234...dub (19:50)

  41/297...dub (21:30)

 

*Frozen Total 955/1296 -- 73.6%

*Thermae2 Total 440/694------63.4%

 

Nihonbashi  - https://hlo.tohotheater.jp/net/schedule/073/TNPI2000J01.do

 

 196/290...3d eng (13:00)

 188/290...3d eng (15:30)

   16/290...3d eng (21:10)

177/226...dub (11:50)

202/226...dub (14:15)

130/226...dub (16:40)

  33/226...dub (19:05) 

    6/226...dub (21:30) 

123/226...S-A (9:30) 

 

*Frozen Total 1071/2226 -- 48%

*Thermae2 Total 360/1503------24%

 

Roppongi Hills - https://hlo.tohotheater.jp/net/schedule/009/TNPI2000J01.do

 

    70/79...eng (13:35)

    62/79...eng (16:15)

    11/79...eng (19:00)

    13/79...eng (21:45) 

149/644...S-A (10:30) 

211/369...3d eng (13:10) 

212/369...3d eng (15:50) 

  48/644...3d eng (20:10) 

 

*Frozen Total 776/2342 -- 33.1%

*Thermae2 Total 422/1573----26.8%

 

Yurakucho/Hibiya - https://hlo.tohotheater.jp/net/schedule/034/TNPI2000J01.do

 

122/654...eng (9:15)

  37/654...eng (18:40)

339/654...dub (11:50)

442/654...dub (14:25)

104/654...dub (17:00)

 

*Frozen Total 1044 / 3270 -- 32%

*Thermae2 Total  71/1044 --------- 7%

 

 

**Frozen 4 Theaters Total 3846 / 9134 -- 42.1%

 

Thermae romae 2  4 Total 1293 / 4814 -- 26.8% 

Edited May 11, 2014 by Hans13

[Mojoguy]

Corpse

 

I'm not going to bother with Saturday estimates since most figures from last Saturday aren't known (yet) besides being estimates themselves, but Frozen looks like it could drop close to 40% this weekend and may miss ¥700 million ($7 million) or finish barely above the mark.That's still very, very strong post-Golden Week, obviously, and would be the biggest 9th-weekend ever if it's above ¥650 million (Spirited Away), but percentage hold isn't strong enough to suggest that won't begin to slow down now.Here is my projected run if it drops 40% this weekend:¥16.9/17.0 ($167 million)¥17.9/18.0 ($176 million)¥18.6/18.7 ($183 million)¥19.2/19.3 ($189 million)¥19.7/19.8 ($194 million)¥20.1/20.2 ($198 million)¥20.4/20.5 ($201 million) (Week 15)¥20.6/20.7 ($203 million)Final: ¥21/22 billion ($210/215 million)

[keysersoze123]

I am surprised mfantin has not gone to kj to "teach" corpse that its not slowing down and its gonna crush her beloved SA. 

[mfantin65]

CorpseI'm not going to bother with Saturday estimates since most figures from last Saturday aren't known (yet) besides being estimates themselves, but Frozen looks like it could drop close to 40% this weekend and may miss ¥700 million ($7 million) or finish barely above the mark.That's still very, very strong post-Golden Week, obviously, and would be the biggest 9th-weekend ever if it's above ¥650 million (Spirited Away), but percentage hold isn't strong enough to suggest that won't begin to slow down now.Here is my projected run if it drops 40% this weekend:¥16.9/17.0 ($167 million)¥17.9/18.0 ($176 million)¥18.6/18.7 ($183 million)¥19.2/19.3 ($189 million)¥19.7/19.8 ($194 million)¥20.1/20.2 ($198 million)¥20.4/20.5 ($201 million) (Week 15)¥20.6/20.7 ($203 million)Final: ¥21/22 billion ($210/215 million)

if it did 700m this weekend, that would be a 7% drop from two weeks ago. 3% per week after 3m admission burn off. Not strong enough? RUFKM! Yikes! I said it before, I think he really doesnt want SA beat and is obviously not looking at the numbers correctly with his veiled bias. He is predicting 30% declines.as he was post SB with 3 consecutive $6.5m weekend predictions that just wouldnt and havent materialized for 6weeks now.crying wolf too many times. Enough already. Wolf eats corpse! Corpse wolf poop...Im in charge now! Edited May 11, 2014 by mfantin65

[Incarnadine]

I'm not going to bother with Saturday estimates since most figures from last Saturday aren't known (yet) besides being estimates themselves, but Frozen looks like it could drop close to 40% this weekend and may miss ¥700 million ($7 million) or finish barely above the mark.

 

Is using the drop from GW really good in Frozen's case? Frozen seems to be in kind of a unique situation, GW was its 8th weekend after nothing but bettoer than OW holds and increases followed by a huge GW weekend increase. Has there ever been anything comparable to this situation?

I still think the best way to judge Frozen this weekend is from its last pre-GW weekend, from which it looks like it will have a sub 10% drop, maybe even as low as -5%.

[Cynosure]

Yeah, I think it's a bit too early for that. The next weekend will be the ultimate decider : if it drops in the single digits again, or barely above 10%, then we'll be looking at really really big numbers, however if it has another drop above 20% or more than Corpse's scenario could well happen.

[mfantin65]

Yeah, I think it's a bit too early for that. The next weekend will be the ultimate decider : if it drops in the single digits again, or barely above 10%, then we'll be looking at really really big numbers, however if it has another drop above 20% or more than Corpse's scenario could well happen.

with 15% drops it gets to 240 when summer starts. Even if his scenario played out, he failed to mention that once Ponyo, avatar, HMC and SA got down to 1m weekends, they all had extended runs and earned 20-40m more. That will bring his number up to 235-255m. 250 is a worst/corpse case then

[LABAS]

No kidding. This morning / afternoon presale is very very impressive.

40 k in the afternoon is not a dream.

[mfantin65]

.................1430......eve est add 75%Movix ....11852......21000 up 31% from satSat .........................16058

[mfantin65]

109........9190 down 5% from 4/20Cant compare to yesterday discount.................1430......eve estKinezo.....7962......14000 up 30% from sat

Edited May 11, 2014 by mfantin65

[mfantin65]

.................1430.........eve estToho .......35139. .....61000 up 21% from sat3.8-4.1m day.Its down 11% average on the three chains from 4/20, 8m we, before 3d bump.7.0-7.4m WE

Edited May 11, 2014 by mfantin65

[Omni]

Please, no weak afternoon-evening-night business like yesterday.

[Spidey Freak]

Is IM3 OS a lock yet? If yes, when is it going down?

[Hider]

Is IM3 OS a lock yet? If yes, when is it going down?

 

Definitely yes, it's going down in next 2 weeks, and IM3 WW will be taken in 4 weeks.

[Spidey Freak]

Definitely yes, it's going down in next 2 weeks, and IM3 WW will be taken in 4 weeks.

 

[SamComedian]

Estimates for Frozen this sunday? $