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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Yeah, mostly because of the Disney brand-name..true. But while I do I think Moana will be big....I don't know if it's gonna be Frozen-big. Frozen had advantages going for that. But I think Moana will do around $800-900M WW. Third place behind those 2 other animated sequels KFP3 & FD.

Unlike KFP3 which has literally no big competition in February....Moana is coming out in November with more toughies like Fantastic Beasts, Trolls, Dr. Strange.

In Japan....I think Moana will do pretty great. Maybe not as great as Frozen, but still great enough.

Moana in Japan would be bigger than Big Hero 6 I think thanks to a more girly audience. As for KFP3 I think its biggest advantage is China, that will help it quite a lot, but in the rest of the world I mostly see it stagnating or slightly lower because of the exchange rates, KFP2 was not much bigger outside China as well.

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On ‎2015‎-‎10‎-‎17‎ ‎14‎:‎36‎:‎30, Fullbuster said:

Moana in Japan would be bigger than Big Hero 6 I think thanks to a more girly audience. As for KFP3 I think its biggest advantage is China, that will help it quite a lot, but in the rest of the world I mostly see it stagnating or slightly lower because of the exchange rates, KFP2 was not much bigger outside China as well.

Well, the thing with KFP3 though is it's a threequel. All the other animated threequels has done the biggest OS in their respective franchises (I know Shrek 3 didn't..but that was an exception because it wasn't well liked). And I think that's where KFP3 will go, it will be the biggest, OS-wise. $450-500M OS minus China.

 

And like a said before...it has no blockbuster competitor in February. So it has more room to make more until Zootopia.

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34
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Corpse

 

Weekend Actuals (10/17-18)

166836_3.jpg
©2015“Library Wars -LM-“Movie Project"

01 (01) ¥173,819,400 ($1.46 million), -47%, ¥856,463,800 ($7.1 million), Library Wars: The Last Mission (Toho) Week 2
02 (03) ¥151,906,300 ($1.27 million), -15%, ¥594,525,600 ($5.0 million), The Intern (Warner Bros.) Week 2
03 (02) ¥137,680,800 ($1.15 million), -35%, ¥1,044,899,900 ($8.7 million), Bakuman (Toho) Week 3
04 (04) ¥101,389,300 ($849,000), -27%, ¥2,070,404,830 ($17.3 million), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) Week 5
05 (--) ¥78,559,100 ($658,000), 0, ¥104,715,500 ($877,000), John Wick (Pony Canyon) DEBUT
06 (05) ¥65,442,050 ($548,000), -44%, ¥279,489,250 ($2.3 million), The Laws of the Universe - Part 0 (Nikkatsu) Week 2
07 (09) ¥47,193,400 ($395,000), -23%, ¥891,811,350 ($7.4 million), The Anthem of the Heart (Aniplex) Week 5
08 (07) ¥42,250,000 ($354,000), -44%, ¥184,817,400 ($1.5 million), Gamba & His Friends (Toei) Week 2
09 (08) ¥37,878,900 ($317,000), -45%, ¥1,532,114,400 ($12.8 million), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) Week 5
10 (06) ¥35,113,400 ($294,000), -63%, ¥250,386,700 ($2.1 million), Fantastic Four (Fox) Week 2

>Library Wars: The Last Mission wins its second-consecutive weekend atop the box office, with very little competition over the weekend.

The film did however suffer a fairly heavy 47% drop, selling 130,351 tickets in its second weekend. This could be due to last Monday's holiday inflating its opening a bit, but it's still a little concerning moving forward. It's on track to exceed ¥1.5 billion, though here's hoping it can still manage to reach the ¥2 billion milestone.

>The Intern pulled off an excellent weekend hold, down just 15% from its opening weekend, selling 106,352 tickets in its second frame.

The Hathaway/De Niro lead comedy has proven popular among females based on its strong weekday results so far, too, so this one could be in for quite the leggy performance. It's certainly going to reach the ¥1 billion milestone, proving to be a pleasant surprise from Warner Bros. and for the month of October.

>Bakuman slips to third place in its third week of release, selling 103,271 tickets over the weekend.

The manga/anime live-action adaptation is continue to hold pretty well, and exceeded the ¥1 billion milestone over the weekend. It should have little trouble exceeding the ¥1.5 billion mark, which is fine, though it'll fall short of the ¥2 billion milestone, which is slightly disappointing.

>Fantastic Four collapses after its dismal sixth-place debut last weekend. It'll become of the of the lowest-grossing Marvel/DC films of all-time, ahead of only three or four others, I believe.

>John Wick finally arrived in Japan, and entire year later, and got off to an expected poor start.

The action film, starring the once popular Keanu Reeves, only sold 54,369 tickets over the course of the weekend frame across 169 screens. It's going to be lucky to even reach ¥400 million ($3 million).

>The best debut outside the Top 10 this weekend was Survivor, starring Milla Jovovich and Pierce Brosan, opening in fourteenth place in its limited release.
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Corpse

So, unfortunately there's an error gathering Aeon Cinema's seating/showtimes for Saturday, so for the time being, the Usual Locations updates will consist of the same five chains (the 43%) as normal:

Usual Locations - Saturday Seating [Theaters/Showings] (43% of Market)

ImageImageImage

10/24
Seats (% change) [Theaters/Showings], Film (Week of Release)
328,997 (---) [145/938], Galaxy Turnpike (NEW)
121,848 (-46%) [139/619], Library Wars: The Last Mission (Week 3)
119,665 (---) [101/511], The Transporter Refueled (NEW)
113,379 (---) [126/538], Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials (NEW)

80,799 (-33%) [137/539], Bakuman (Week 4)
80,008 (-20%) [121/469], The Intern (Week 3)
63,128 (-25%) [135/382], No Longer Heroine (Week 6)
62,051 (-54%) [98/384], John Wick (Week 2)
43,277 (-46%) [140/297], Fantastic Four (Week 3)
38,769 (-43%) [138/263], Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Week 6)
28,637 (-50%) [121/204], Gamba & His Friends (Week 3)
25,030 (-09%) [83/155], The Anthem of the Heart (Week 6)
23,434 (---) [32/120], PriPara: Aim for it with Everyone! Idol☆Grand Prix (NEW)
22,140 (---) [34/139], I'm a Monk (NEW)

20,704 (-09%) [134/140], Unfair: The End (Week 8)
16,182 (---) [35/70], Sound Horizon - 9th Story Concert (Live Viewing)
13,917 (-47%) [44/80], The Laws of the Universe - Part 0 (Week 3)
13,699 (---) [22/67], Trash (NEW)
13,292 (-53%) [31/107], Survivor (Week 2)
12,512 (-62%) [45/96], The Divergent Series: Insurgent (Week 2)
11,515 (---) [12/64], The Visit (NEW)
11,470 (-66%) [54/95], Pitch Perfect 2 (Week 2)
10,394 (-40%) [37/60], Arpeggio of Blue Steel - Ars Nova Cadenza (Week 4)
9,896 (-41%) [46/53], Fathers and Daughters (Week 4)
9,878 (-39%) [54/76], Teacher and Stray Cat (Week 3)

Galaxy Turnpike is playing on nearly all of the largest screens, and is one of the widest openers of the year as a result (third-widest for a single format release this year). Its pre-sales are looking pretty good, too, so it should be heading toward an impressive debut this weekend.

The film is also incredibly likely to be the biggest release until Star Wars and Yo-Kai Watch open in December.

 

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On 10/20/2015, 4:50:20, Arthur Pendragon said:

What are the numbers for Star Wars movies there?

¥12.70 billion/8.30 million - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)

¥9.35 billion/6.80 million - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)

¥9.17 billion/6.60 million - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)

¥4.95 billion/ < 5 million - Star Wars: Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back (1980)

¥5.30 billion/ < 5 million - Star Wars: Episode VI - Return of the Jedi (1983)

 

Edited by Cynosure
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1 hour ago, Cynosure said:

¥12.70 billion/8.30 million - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)

¥9.35 billion/6.80 million - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)

¥9.17 billion/6.60 million - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)

¥4.95 billion/ < 5 million - Star Wars: Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back (1980)

¥5.30 billion/ < 5 million - Star Wars: Episode VI - Return of the Jedi (1983)

 

Applying those same ratios for Empire and Jedi to Star Wars (from here: http://www.geocities.co.jp/Hollywood-Stage/8993/70_6.html )

It made about 6.51b.

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Corpse

Usual Locations (66% of Market)
Saturday Admissions (10/31)

ImageImageImage

29,556 (-54%), Galaxy Turnpike (Toho) Week 2
26,866 (---), Princess Pretty Cure The Movie: Go! Go!! Splendid Triple Feature!!! (Toei) NEW
24,729 (---), Pan (Warner Bros.) NEW
23,911 (---), My Love Story!! (Toho) NEW

16,936 (-31%), The Intern (Warner Bros.) Week 4
15,520 (---), Mobile Suit Gundam The Origin II: Artesia's Sorrow (Shochiku) NEW
14,598 (-43%), Library Wars: The Last Mission (Toho) Week 4
12,301 (-39%), Bakuman (Toho) Week 5
11,449 (-45%), The Transporter Refueled (Asmik Ace) Week 2
10,076 (---), We Are Perfume: 3rd World Tour Documentary (Nikkatsu) NEW
9,645 (-51%), Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials (Fox) Week 2
6,328 (-51%), No Longer Heroine (Warner Bros.) Week 7
4,172 (-52%), John Wick (Pony Canyon) Week 3
3,637 (-46%), The Anthem of the Heart (Aniplex) Week 6
3,252 (---), Yale! (Clock Works) NEW
2,419 (-67%), PriPara: Aim for it with Everyone! Idol☆Grand Prix (Avex Pictures) Week 2
2,146 (-52%), Gamba & His Friends (Toei) Week 4
1,658 (-54%), Attack on Titan - Part 2: End of the World (Toho) Week 7
1,638 (-47%), Arpeggio of Blue Steel - Ars Nova Cadenza (Showgate) Week 5
1,574 (-27%), Sound Horizon: 9th Story Concert (Live Viewing Japan) Week 2
1,500+

A fairly heavy decline for Galaxy Turnpike, but considering it had stage greetings last Saturday, it could recover tomorrow and post a more impressive hold. And it's very likely to repeat at #1, too.

The three wide openers appear to be performing within expectations. All three being average ¥150-200 million openers, and ¥1 billion earner candidates. If all three actually manage to go on to gross ¥1 billion, that'd give October a very impressive total of 7 ¥1 billion films.

Mobile Suit Gundam The Origin II is performing very, very well in its limited release (selling through nearly 50% of its available tickets). It's only playing in 15 screens (10 accounted for above), but it'll easily make the weekend Top 10.

Sunday, being the 1st of the month, is a national discount day (tickets at 40% discount), so expect tomorrow to greatly outpace Saturday's performance.
 
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So, what can SHIN-GOJIRA make next summer? Toho hasn't announced a release date, but I'd imagine it would be in July like they did with GODZILLA in 2014. I'd love to think Toho's next entry can make 30m like the Hollywood 2014 version did, but is that unrealistic, or can that happen?

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