JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[The Toymaker]

Fuck yes! Great news just before I go to bed.

[StephenN18]

Corpse, how much should RE be up to by Sunday? Thanks!

[Corpse]

The dollar has gained a little bit on the yen this week so I expect about $46/47 million.

[baumer]

Definitely not, lol.Saturday Data has 'The Expendables 2' on track for 175-200 million yen ($2-2.5 million) for the weekend. A pretty good increase over the original, and it'll even be enough (despite possibly being the weakest film to top a weekend in 2012) to debut on top this weekend.

Sorry, I didn't know the last one opened that low.

[Corpse]

Oct. 20-21

Weekend Estimates

1 (-) The Expendables 2 (Shochiku) ¥183 million ($2.3 million), 0, NEW

2 (2) Connection (Toho) ¥112 million ($1.4 million), -20%, Week 3

3 (4) Bayside Shakedown THE FINAL (Toho) ¥87 million ($1.1 million), -32%, Week 7

4 (3) Outrage 2: Beyond (Warner Bros.) ¥84 million ($1 million), -41%, Week 3

5 (6) The Lorax (Toho-Towa) ¥69 million ($875,000), -31%, Week 3

6 (7) The Mystical Laws (Nikkatsu) ¥61 million ($775,000), -29%, Week 3

7 (-) Space Sheriff Gaven (TOEI) ¥59 million ($750,000), 0, NEW

8 (5) Resident Evil: Retribution (Sony) ¥55 million ($700,000), -45%, Week 6

9 (1) Madoka Magica 2 (Aniplex) ¥51 million ($650,000), -70%, Week 2

10 (8) The Raven (Disney) ¥37 million ($475,000), -52%, Week 2

'The Expendables 2' pulls off a first place debut, though it's the second weakest film to top a weekend this year (first being 'Madoka Magica 2' opening on top last weekend with ¥172 million). For the weekend frame, it's about a 5% increase over 'The Expendables' not including it's take from opening on Friday. I expect the 3-day total is around ¥225 million ($2.8 million).

'Space Sheriff Gaven' disappoints. TOEI didn't give it as wide of a release as they usually do (about 100 less screens actually) which probably explains a lot of it.

October is usually the weakest month of the year in Japan, though this one has been especially weak. The strength of September ('Bayside' and 'Resident Evil') offsets the weakness of this month though, and November has some big films coming up, one that may do ¥5 billion ($60 million) in 'Evangelion 3.0'.

Edited October 21, 2012 by Corpse

[Corpse]

Upcoming Release Schedule (Complete)

[Major Studios and Notable Releases]

October 26 (Friday)

Argo (Warner Bros.)

October 27

The Terminal Trust (Toho)

Smile Pretty Cure! The Movie: Big Mismatch in a Picture Book! (TOEI)

Resident Evil: Damnation (Sony) (3D Only)

Raid: Redemption (Kadokawa Pictures)

A Dangerous Method (Broad Media Studios)

___________________________________________________

November 1 (Thursday)

Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter (Fox)

Paranormal Activity 4 (Paramount)

GothicMADE (Kadokawa Pictures)

November 2 (Friday)

The Floating Castle (Toho/Asmik Ace)

A Chorus of Angels (TOEI)

November 9 (Friday)

Cirque du Soleil: Worlds Away (Paramount)

November 10

Lesson of the Evil (Toho)

Nerawareta Gakuen (Shochiku)

Stolen (Nikkatsu)

Poulet aux prunes (Gaga)

November 17

Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (T-Joy)

Spirit Helper (Toho)

November 23 (Friday)

Crow's Thumb (Fox)

Trouble with the Curve (Warner Bros.)

Tug of War!! (Toho)

Dream House (Showgate)

November 24

[Numerous Limited Release]

National Holidays in November:

Cultural Day (11/3)

A day for promotion of culture and the love of freedom and peace.

Labor Thanksgiving Day (11/23)

A national holiday for honoring labor.

Other Notes:

2012 Box Office Year Ends (11/31)

_________________________________________

December 1

Skyfall (Sony)

Inazuma Eleven GO! VS Danball Senki W: The Movie (Toho)

The Woman in Black (Broad Media Studios)

Anpanman's Birthday (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)

The Darkest Hour (SPO)

December 8

Today, I Started Loving You (Toho)

Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Wizard & Fourze (TOEI)

Salmon Fishing in the Yemen (Gaga)

December 14 (Friday)

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.)

December 15

One Piece Film Z (TOEI)

Frankenweenie (Disney)

G'mor evian! (Showgate)

December 21 (Friday)

Les Miserables (Toho-Towa)

December 22

Ooku: The Inner Chambers 2 (Shochiku/Asmik Ace)

Kaiketsu Zorori Da-Da-Da-Daibouken (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)

Anonymous (Phantom Film)

Comme un chef (Gaga)

December 28 (Friday)

The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn 2 (Kadokawa Pictures)

Blue Exorcist: The Movie (Shochiku)

National Holidays in December:

Emperor's Birthday (12/23)

The birthday of the current emperor is always a national holiday.

Christmas/New Years Eve (12/24-31)

This week isn't a national holiday, but is one of three biggest weeks of the year (extending into New Years), alongside Golden Week and Obon Week, at the box office.

New Years (1/1-3)

This is the most important holiday in Japan.

Other Notes:

2013 Box Office Year Begins (12/1)

[John Marston]

when does Looper open, or did it already happen

[Corpse]

Jan. 12

[John Marston]

not only extremely late, but on the same opening weekend as Taken 2. Fuck

[The Toymaker]

Great for TE2. Cannot wait for actual Yen, dollar and admissions totals.

[Corpse]

not only extremely late, but on the same opening weekend as Taken 2. Fuck

They won't hurt one another. Competition, even if direct, rarely has any affect on the box office in Japan. There are just two examples from this past year that it may have happened (Thermae Romae smothering Space Brothers, and Wolf Children eating Merida).But don't get your hopes up for any big grosses for Taken 2 or Looper. The first Taken only grossed 500-600 million yen ($5 million or so) and Looper is being released by an independent studio which puts it at a disadvantage from the start. The good reviews though and good bo results it's currently having will probably benefit it a lot though and help with it's promotion (the advantage of being release so late). Edited October 22, 2012 by Corpse

[StephenN18]

Hopefully, we will see a rise for RE with Damnation coming out next week!

[The Toymaker]

Oct 20 - 21Nationwide Box OfficeThisWeek LastWeek Title Distributor Week# 1 NEW THE EXPENDABLES 2 Shochiku 1 2 1 Until The Break Of Dawn (JPN.) Toho 3 3 4 Bayside Shakedown 4 - The Final (JPN.) Toho 7 4 3 Outrage Beyond (JPN.) WB/Office Kitano 3 5 NEW Space Sheriff Gavan The Movie (JPN.) Toei 1 6 5 DR. SEUSS' THE LORAX Toho Towa 3 7 6 The Mystical Laws (JPN.Animation) Nikkatsu 3 8 7 RESIDENT EVIL: RETRIBUTION SPE 6 9 2 Puella Magi Madoka Magica The Movie Part 2 Eternal (JPN.Animation) Aniplex 2 10 9 Bakaleya High School (JPN.) Showgate 6

[Corpse]

2012 Box Office Charts

As of Sunday, 10/21:

Top Grossing Films (¥1 billion+)

Rank :: Revenue ¥ (billion) / $ (million) :: Title :: Release :: Admissions (million) :: Days In Release :: Distributor

01 :: ¥7.25 / $92.88 (8.20x) :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: 5.70 :: OE :: Toho

02 :: ¥5.95 / $76.03 (13.75x) :: Thermae Romae :: Apr. :: 4.70 :: OE :: Toho

03 :: ¥5.42 / $71.01 (6.74x) :: Bayside Shakedown THE FINAL :: Sept. :: 4.26 :: 45 :: Toho

04 :: ¥5.38 / $70.55 (9.39x) :: Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol :: Dec '10 :: 4.24 :: OE :: Paramount

05 :: ¥4.18 / $53.49 (11.45x) :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: 3.40 :: OE :: Toho

06 :: ¥3.63 / $46.41 (5.36x) :: Resident Evil: Retribution :: Sept. :: 2.42 :: 38 :: Sony

07 :: ¥3.62 / $46.27 (6.56x) :: Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles :: Mar. :: 3.35 :: OE :: Toho

08 :: ¥3.56 / $45.56 (7.12x) :: The Avengers :: Aug. :: 2.35 :: TE :: Disney

09 :: ¥3.51 / $44.88 (6.89x) :: Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo :: July :: 3.35 :: TE :: Toho

10 :: ¥3.44 / $43.68 (6.19x) :: ALWAYS: Sunset on Third Street '64 :: Jan. :: 2.70 :: OE :: Toho

11 :: ¥3.28 / $42.32 (5.21x) :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker :: Apr. :: 2.74 :: OE :: Toho

12 :: ¥3.16 / $40.88 (5.51x) :: MIB 3 :: May :: 2.12 :: TE :: Toho-Towa

13 :: ¥3.13 / $40.64 (5.34x) :: Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie :: Nov '10 :: 2.39 :: OE :: Toho

14 :: ¥3.11 / $39.49 (5.36x) :: The Amazing Spider-Man :: June :: 2.12 :: TE :: Sony

15 :: ¥2.92 / $37.21 (7.31x) :: Rurouni Kenshin :: Aug. :: 2.34 :: TE :: Warner Bros.

16 :: ¥2.51 / $31.67 (8.50x) :: We Were There: Part I :: Mar. :: 2.10 :: OE :: Asmik Ace/Toho

17 :: ¥2.40 / $30.36 (5.16x) :: SPEC: The Movie :: Apr. :: 1.85 :: OE :: Toho

18 :: ¥2.20 / $27.50 (7.00x) :: Liar Game: Reborn :: Mar. :: 1.76 :: OE :: Toho

19 :: ¥2.16 / $27.21 (5.35x) :: Dark Shadows :: May :: 1.71 :: TE :: Warner Bros.

20 :: ¥2.13 / $27.16 (9.14x) :: Dearest :: Aug. :: 1.99 :: TE :: Toho

21 :: ¥2.04 / $26.01 (8.75x) :: Heruta Skelter :: July :: 1.55 :: TE :: Asmik Ace

22 :: ¥2.01 / $25.87 (11.16x) :: Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted :: Aug. :: 1.58 :: TE :: Paramount

23 :: ¥1.96 / $24.49 (6.46x) :: Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows :: Mar. :: 1.67 :: TE :: Warner Bros.

24 :: ¥1.92 / $24.27 (5.16x) :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: 1.46 :: TE :: Warner Bros.

25 :: ¥1.90 / $24.14 (6.01x) :: K-ON! The Movie :: Dec '10 :: 1.45 :: OE :: Shochiku

26 :: ¥1.84 / $23.54 (5.88x) :: Glow of Fireflies :: June :: 1.49 :: TE :: Toho

27 :: ¥1.80 / $23.07 (6.49x) :: In Time :: Feb. :: 1.40 :: TE :: FOX

28 :: ¥1.77 / $22.70 (5.86x) :: Prometheus :: Aug. :: 1.22 :: TE :: FOX

29 :: ¥1.71 / $22.01 (5.45x) :: We Were There: Part II :: Apr. :: 1.37 :: TE :: Asmik Ace/Toho

30 :: ¥1.71 / $21.98 (5.67x) :: Snow White and the Huntsman :: June :: 1.33 :: TE :: Toho-Towa

31 :: ¥1.70 / $21.97 (6.15x) :: Shizanmono: The Movie :: Jan. :: 1.36 :: OE :: Toho

32 :: ¥1.56 / $19.86 (3.81x) :: Kamen Rider x Super Sentai: Super Hero Taisen :: Apr. :: 1.34 :: TE :: TOEI

33 :: ¥1.55 / $19.85 (4.06x) :: Space Brothers :: May :: 1.21 :: TE :: Toho

34 :: ¥1.51 / $19.78 (4.01x) :: Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: War Mega Max :: Dec '10 :: 1.30 :: TE :: TOEI

35 :: ¥1.50 / $19.28 (5.13x) :: Battleship :: Apr. :: 1.18 :: OE :: Toho-Towa

36 :: ¥1.47 / $19.11 (10.42x) :: Friends: Naki On Monster Island :: Dec '10 :: 1.10 :: TE :: Toho

37 :: ¥1.45 / $18.92 (6.41x) :: Real Steel :: Dec '10 :: 1.13 :: OE :: Walt Disney

38 :: ¥1.43 / $18.72 (9.47x) :: Fleet Admiral, Isoroku Yamamoto :: Dec '10 :: 1.13 :: TE :: TOEI

39 :: ¥1.41 / $18.04 (4.67x) :: Naruto: Road to Ninja :: July :: 1.21 :: TE :: Toho

40 :: ¥1.39 / $17.87 (8.47x) :: Tale of Genji :: Dec '10 :: 1.15 :: TE :: Toho

41 :: ¥1.37 / $17.37 (5.57x) :: Sadako 3D :: May :: .969 :: TE :: Kadokawa Pictures

42 :: ¥1.28 / $15.86 (5.54x) :: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo :: Feb. :: .996 :: TE :: Sony

43 :: ¥1.27 / $15.86 (4.96x) :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: Aug. :: 1.04 :: TE :: TOEI

44 :: ¥1.20 / $15.36 (7.04x) :: Puss in Boots :: Mar. :: .925 :: OE :: Paramount

45 :: ¥1.18 / $15.29 (5.84x) :: Robo-G :: Jan. :: 1.01 :: TE :: Toho

46 :: ¥1.14 / $14.81 (9.47x) :: Chronicle of My Mother :: Apr. :: .876 :: TE :: Shochiku

47 :: ¥1.12 / $14.58 (8.11x) :: Inazuma Eleven GO :: Dec '10 :: .926 :: TE :: Toho

48 :: ¥1.11 / $14.53 (14.05x) :: The Intouchables :: Sept. :: .880 :: 51 :: Gaga

49 :: ¥1.09 / $14.13 (4.96x) :: The Adventures of Tintin :: Dec '10 :: .754 :: TE :: Toho-Towa

50 :: ¥1.05 / $13.44 (6.76x) :: Eight Ranger :: July :: .880 :: TE :: Toho

51 :: ¥1.03 / $12.90 (5.28x) :: Crayon Shin-chan (2012) :: Apr. :: .963 :: TE :: Toho

52 :: ¥1.03 / $12.87 (5.88x) :: Hugo :: Mar. :: .732 :: TE :: Paramount

53 :: ¥1.02 / $12.85 (5.23x) :: Pretty Cure All Stars New Stage: Friends of the Future :: Mar. :: .881 :: TE :: TOEI

54 :: ¥1.01 / $12.78 (4.69x) :: Total Recall :: Aug. :: .800 :: TE :: Sony

'Bayside Shakedown THE FINAL' surpasses 'Mission Impossible IV' and becomes the #3 film of 2012. #1 is well out of reach for it now, though it could still reach #2.

'Resident Evil: Retribution' jumps 3 more spots, but it won't be moving any higher up. I think it still has a 50/50 chance at ¥4 billion ($51 million), though.

'The Intouchables' enters the Top 50 after 8 weeks in release.

A few Official Estimates (OE) were released this past week and have been updated in the charts.

***************************************************************

***************************************************************

Top Opening Weekends (2-Days ONLY, ¥250 million+)

Rank :: Revenue ¥ (million) / $ (million) :: Title :: Release :: Admissions (thousand) :: Screen Count :: Distributor

01 :: ¥878.23 / $11.08 :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: 686.98 :: 450 :: Toho

(¥1.563 / $19.91 :: 1.223 :: 4-Day Opening Weekend)

02 :: ¥804.27 / $10.29 :: Bayside Shakedown THE FINAL :: Sept. :: 604.09 :: 452 :: Toho

(¥1.047 / $13.41 :: 798.38 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend)

03 :: ¥676.99 / $8.58 :: Resident Evil: Retribution :: Sept. :: 433.94 :: 779 :: Sony

(¥1.248 / $15.84 :: 820.09 :: 4-Day Opening Weekend)

04 :: ¥629.74 / $7.82 :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker :: Apr. :: 540.98 :: 351 :: Toho

05 :: ¥583.89 / $7.61 :: The Amazing Spider-Man :: June :: 426.16 :: 1,092 :: Sony

(¥901.46 / $11.32 :: 620.21 :: 2-Day Opening Weekend Plus Previews)

06 :: ¥581.04 / $7.50 :: Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie :: Nov '10 :: 431.09 :: 446 :: Toho

07 :: ¥573.57 / $7.35 :: MIB 3 :: May :: 372.97 :: 979 :: Toho-Towa

(¥701.80 / $8.80 :: 461.85 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend)

08 :: ¥573.22 / $7.34 :: Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol :: Dec '10 :: 437.75 :: 636 ::Paramount

(¥725.83 / $9.29 :: 563.25 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend)

09 :: ¥555.66 / $7.22 :: ALWAYS: Sunset on Third Street '64 :: Jan. :: 421.27 :: 473 :: Toho

10 :: ¥552.62 / $6.86 :: Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles :: Mar. :: 485.47 :: 359 :: Toho

11 :: ¥509.94 / $6.42 :: Pokemon BW: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo :: July :: 489.86 :: 351 :: Toho

(¥753.76 / $9.61 :: 724.07 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend)

12 :: ¥500.93 / $6.34 :: The Avengers :: Aug. :: 326.11 :: 844 :: Disney

(¥1.386 / $17.49 :: 940.17 :: 6-Day Opening Week Plus Previews)

13 :: ¥468.70 / $5.81 :: SPEC: The Movie :: Apr. :: 351.47 :: 279 :: Toho

14 :: ¥432.55 / $5.40 :: Thermae Romae :: Apr. :: 325.69 :: 304 :: Toho

15 :: ¥410.04 / $5.16 :: Kamen Rider x Super Sentei: Super Hero Taisen :: Apr. :: 355.99 :: 292 :: TOEI

16 :: ¥404.53 / $5.07 :: Dark Shadows :: May :: 311.16 :: 571 :: Warner Bros.

17 :: ¥399.53 / $5.05 :: Rurouni Kenshin :: Aug. :: 295.32 :: 327 :: Warner Bros.

(¥555.82 / $7.01 :: 424.14 :: 2-Day Opening Weekend Plus Previews)

18 :: ¥382.32 / $4.87 :: Space Brothers :: May :: 285.34 :: 322 :: Toho

19 :: ¥378.03 / $4.84 :: Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: War Mega Max :: Dec '10 :: 333.13 :: 301 :: TOEI

20 :: ¥372.02 / $4.75 :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: 269.17 :: 546 :: Warner Bros.

(¥455.18 :: $5.81 :: 331.67 :: 2-Day Opening Weekend Plus Previews)

21 :: ¥365.15 / $4.67 :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: 276.33 :: 381 :: Toho

22 :: ¥316.31 / $4.08 :: K-ON! The Movie :: Dec '10 :: 237.82 :: 137 :: Shochiku

23 :: ¥314.89 / $3.97 :: We Were There: Part II :: Apr. :: 242.92 :: 297 :: Asmik Ace/Toho

24 :: ¥314.70 / $3.96 :: Liar Game: Reborn :: Mar. :: 242.19 :: 318 :: Toho

25 :: ¥313.66 / $3.95 :: Glow of Fireflies :: June :: 242.82 :: 316 :: Toho

26 :: ¥303.35 / $3.87 :: Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows :: Mar. :: 237.98 :: 464 :: Warner Bros.

27 :: ¥302.49 / $3.84 :: Prometheus :: Aug. :: 200.18 :: 768 :: FOX

(¥754.03 / $9.68 :: 502.11 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend Plus Previews)

28 :: ¥302.08 / $3.77 :: Naruto: Path to Ninja :: July :: 254.03 :: 262 :: Toho

29 :: ¥301.78 / $3.76 :: Snow White and the Huntsman :: June :: 234.87 :: 572 :: Toho-Towa

(¥374.83 / $4.71 :: 296.16 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend)

30 :: ¥295.31 / $3.75 :: We Were There: Part I :: Mar. :: 227.24 :: 295 :: Asmik Ace/Toho

31 :: ¥292.16 / $3.68 :: Battleship :: Apr. :: 237.87 :: 545 :: Toho-Towa

(¥364.01 / $4.52 :: 298.15 :: 3-Day Opening Weekend)

32 :: ¥279.24 / $3.67 :: Outrage 2: Beyond :: Oct. :: 206.61 :: 225 :: Warner Bros.

33 :: ¥277.13 / $3.63 :: In Time :: Feb. :: 203.05 :: 427 :: FOX

34 :: ¥276.41 / $3.62 :: Shizanmono: The Movie :: Jan. :: 217.18 :: 377 :: Toho

35 :: ¥254.17 / $3.25 :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: Aug. :: 217.66 :: 304 :: TOEI

KEY-

New Entry

[highlight=yellow]Indicates a film still in release or being tracked.[/highlight]

Days in Release: TE (Tracking Ends, Awaiting OE/FT) / OE (Official Estimate) / FT (Final Total)

[The Toymaker]

Are there no actuals?BOM said that TE2 made $2.1m (167m yen) but you had it estimated at $2.3m (187m yen). Did it really go down that far from estimates?

[Corpse]

Estimates are just based on 15% of the market. They can be plus or minus a fair bit sometimes.BOM has the "actuals", but they're about 1.5% too high on everything (in yen). The Expendables 2 opened to 164 million yen, not 167 million yen. It takes awhile for local sites to update, but full actuals will be up in the morning or sometime tomorrow.

Edited October 24, 2012 by Corpse

[The Toymaker]

Ok. Thanks Corpse.

[baumer]

So it's off to a good start.

[The Toymaker]

Off to a start that is less than TE1. So not a great start. I expect worse legs, so maybe an $8-$9m finish, instead of TE1's $10.8m.

[baumer]

Off to a start that is less than TE1. So not a great start. I expect worse legs, so maybe an $8-$9m finish, instead of TE1's $10.8m.

I'm confused. I thought it was a better start that the first.Did it not make 2.3 mill? Edited October 24, 2012 by Halloween baumer