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Presale for Frozen today is really really massive (170k), 93% bigger than TS4 presale ( 88k). 

 

TS4 manages to follow this 88k presale with 274k Saturday. With this multiplier F2 will get 529k today. Unreal number but probably will frontloading a bit. 

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1.5B if it has a 7 total admissions/presales multiplier (Aladdin had 9.1 and BatB had 7.8) and a 1.26K average ticket price

 

Currently 3.7 on eiga. It dropped from 3,8 after it has risen from 3.6. Below its predecessor's score of 3.9, and higher than TLK and TS4's 3.6 scores

 

Could reach 20B, but I'm sticking for 17B for now

 

Edited by StarWarsMemer
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52 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

1.5B if it has a 7 total admissions/presales multiplier (Aladdin had 9.1 and BatB had 7.8) and a 1.26K average ticket price

 

Currently 3.7 on eiga. It dropped from 3,8 after it has risen from 3.6. Below its predecessor's score of 3.9, and higher than TLK and TS4's 3.6 scores

 

Could reach 20B, but I'm sticking for 17B for now

 

Eiga is good at reflecting the legs? 

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Usual Locations (~70% of Market) - Saturday Ticket Sales:

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 3PM > 4PM > 5PM > 7PM > 9PM > FINAL

73,340 > 116,543 > 149,878 > 190,292 - Frozen II

Previous Major Openers (Saturday Results) [2015-]
43,557 > x71,681 > x93,992 > 122,021 > 151,314 > 175,522 > 207,502 > 229,798 > 277,427 > 342,959 > 348,024 - Detective Conan 21
39,732 > x64,094 > x90,575 > 118,008 > 155,118 > 174,599 > 209,900 > 236,090 > 282,310 > 341,011 > 345,143 - Detective Conan 22
46,010 > x75,560 > x92,582 > 120,114 > 161,255 > 191,961 > 224,019 > 243,554 > 278,997 > 323,437 > 332,987 - Detective Conan 23
43,953 > x57,204 > x81,751 > 110,262 > 126,170 > 168,362 > 195,657 > 206,362 > 254,352 > 324,272 > 330,349 - Pirates of the Caribbean 5
74,565 > 116,519 > 144,266 > 177,687 > 206,086 > 240,279 > 271,568 > 281,438 > 308,702 > 317,438 > 317,709 - Yo-Kai Watch 2


31,164 > x55,849 > x76,346 > x99,994 > 132,246 > 162,745 > 189,448 > 204,712 > 234,474 > 267,010 > 274,872 - Toy Story 4

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Weekend Results (~70% of the Market):

748,438/1,436,072 (52.1% capacity), [258/4,368] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)
703,128/1,299,917 (54.1% capacity), [249/3,625] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
697,121/1,487,446 (46.9% capacity), [263/5,175] - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)
676,886/1,200,412 (56.4% capacity), [240/3,324] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
621,123/1,051,181 (59.1% capacity), [231/3,415] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
583,307/1,626,823 (35.9% capacity), [251/6,355] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
572,042/1,043,666 (54.8% capacity), [230/2,936] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
569,497/1,392,147 (40.9% capacity), [236/5,431] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
564,449/1,416,549 (39.8% capacity), [261/4,673] - Weathering With You (July, 2019)
559,049/1,406,597 (39.7% capacity), [261/4,672] - Aladdin (June, 2019)
549,579/1,389,766 (39.6% capacity), [247/5,670] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
547,821/1,330,179 (41.2% capacity), [254/5,015] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
530,132/1,116,138 (47.5% capacity), [250/3,838] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
526,470/1,302,175 (40.4% capacity), [245/4,570] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
494,190/1,298,579 (38.1% capacity), [231/4,461] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
477,529/1,048,231 (45.6% capacity), [261/4,552] - Avengers: Endgame (Apr., 2019)
436,267/x,908,420 (48.0% capacity), [218/2,520] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)
429,097/x,903,746 (47.5% capacity), [221/3,049] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
427,077/x,913,713 (46.8% capacity), [229/2,643] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr., 2015)
413,446/1,823,898 (22.7% capacity), [258/6,439] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)
408,053/x,969,280 (42.1% capacity), [235/3,141] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
407,419/1,271,559 (32.0% capacity), [252/4,010] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Dec., 2018)
398,627/1,101,595 (36.2% capacity), [257/3,337] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Mar., 2019)
395,204/1,150,630 (34.3% capacity), [254/3,559] - One Piece Film Stampede (Aug., 2019)
385,119/x,998,768 (38.6% capacity), [240/2,966] - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Adventure in the Antarctic (Mar., 2017)
371,995/1,021,926 (36.4% capacity), [237/3,331] - Jurassic World (Aug., 2015)
370,390/1,515,394 (24.4% capacity), [243/5,111] - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Nov., 2016)
364,228/x,947,797 (38.4% capacity), [262/4,025] - The Lion King (Aug., 2019)
344,292/1,394,229 (24.7% capacity), [236/4,683] - Finding Dory (July, 2016)
342,594/1,196,457 (28.6% capacity), [259/4,113] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (June, 2019)
338,566/1,028,823 (32.9% capacity), [260/3,645] - Spider-Man: Far From Home (June, 2019)
336,993/x,969,600 (34.8% capacity), [247/2,836] - Masquerade Hotel (Jan., 2019)
327,709/1,025,446 (31.9% capacity), [233/2,903] - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Mar., 2016)
313,592/x,790,757 (39.7% capacity), [259/3,559] - Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (July, 2019)
311,497/x,841,015 (37.0% capacity), [252/3,307] - Avengers: Infinity War (Apr., 2018)

 

500K admissions on Saturday and 400K on Sunday is possible, or approximately ¥1.67B. A 12× multiplier would be over ¥20B

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As of 4pm Japan time, Frozen II has sold 326,797 tickets on Saturday, according to the sample on https://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/

 

For comparison:

 

Detective Conan 23 sold 224,019 at this point

Yo-Kai Watch 2 sold 271,568 at this point

Weathering with you sold 169,920 at this point

One Piece Stampede sold 124,039 at this point

 

 

https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2248591#p2248591

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8 minutes ago, cannastop said:

As of 4pm Japan time, Frozen II has sold 326,797 tickets on Saturday, according to the sample on https://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/

 

For comparison:

 

Detective Conan 23 sold 224,019 at this point

Yo-Kai Watch 2 sold 271,568 at this point

Weathering with you sold 169,920 at this point

One Piece Stampede sold 124,039 at this point

 

 

https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2248591#p2248591

500K admissions is likely then, or ¥900M+

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