JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[PKMLover]

42 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

yup surely will increase on 4-5th January weekend. It will be close but i think it will pass $100m on 11-12 January weekend. We'll see first how strong its next weekdays.

If it cross $100M on 11-12 Jan weekend, then how much for the final gross?

Edited December 22, 2019 by PKMLover

[Bart Allen]

12 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

If it cross $100M on 11-12 Jan weekend, then how much for the final gross?

I'd be curious of that too :3

[charlie Jatinder]

Frozen 2

Probable Dailies

Spoiler

Day	Date	Gross	% +/- YD / LW*		Gross-to-date	Weekend	Weekly
Fri	Nov. 22, 2019	$2,783,000			$2,783,000		$2,783,000
Sat	Nov. 23, 2019	$7,710,000	177.04%		$10,493,000
Sun	Nov. 24, 2019	$7,403,000	-3.98%		$17,896,000	$15,113,000
Mon	Nov. 25, 2019	$2,156,000	-70.88%		$20,052,000
Tue	Nov. 26, 2019	$1,316,000	-38.96%		$21,368,000
Wed	Nov. 27, 2019	$2,121,000	61.17%		$23,489,000
Thu	Nov. 28, 2019	$1,229,000	-42.06%		$24,718,000
Fri	Nov. 29, 2019	$1,595,000	29.78%	-42.69%	$26,313,000		$23,530,000
Sat	Nov. 30, 2019	$5,248,000	229.03%	-31.93%	$31,561,000
Sun	Dec. 1, 2019	$7,934,000	51.18%	7.17%	$39,495,000	$13,182,000
Mon	Dec. 2, 2019	$1,703,000	-78.54%	-21.01%	$41,198,000
Tue	Dec. 3, 2019	$930,000	-45.39%	-29.33%	$42,128,000
Wed	Dec. 4, 2019	$1,514,000	62.80%	-28.62%	$43,642,000
Thu	Dec. 5, 2019	$884,000	-41.61%	-28.07%	$44,526,000
Fri	Dec. 6, 2019	$1,197,000	35.41%	-24.95%	$45,723,000		$19,410,000
Sat	Dec. 7, 2019	$4,090,000	241.69%	-22.07%	$49,813,000
Sun	Dec. 8, 2019	$5,435,000	32.89%	-31.50%	$55,248,000	$9,525,000
Mon	Dec. 9, 2019	$1,188,000	-78.14%	-30.24%	$56,436,000
Tue	Dec. 10, 2019	$778,000	-34.51%	-16.34%	$57,214,000
Wed	Dec. 11, 2019	$1,273,000	63.62%	-15.92%	$58,487,000
Thu	Dec. 12, 2019	$762,000	-40.14%	-13.80%	$59,249,000
Fri	Dec. 13, 2019	$953,000	25.07%	-20.38%	$60,202,000		$14,479,000
Sat	Dec. 14, 2019	$2,948,000	209.34%	-27.92%	$63,150,000
Sun	Dec. 15, 2019	$4,198,000	42.40%	-22.76%	$67,348,000	$7,146,000
Mon	Dec. 16, 2019	$900,000	-78.56%	-24.24%	$68,248,000
Tue	Dec. 17, 2019	$685,000	-23.89%	-11.95%	$68,933,000
Wed	Dec. 18, 2019	$1,079,000	57.52%	-15.24%	$70,012,000
Thu	Dec. 19, 2019	$688,000	-36.24%	-9.71%	$70,700,000
Fri	Dec. 20, 2019	$811,000	17.88%	-14.90%	$71,511,000		$11,309,000
Sat	Dec. 21, 2019	$2,169,000	167.45%	-26.42%	$73,680,000
Sun	Dec. 22, 2019	$2,900,000	33.70%	-30.92%	$76,580,000	$5,069,000

 

Note: Don't quote this post. When you quote the spoiler box is open and that make page messy on mobile, defeats the whole point of putting it in spoiler box.

[Stewart]

2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Note: Don't quote this post.

I live dangerously 

 

_{(but thanks for the dailies)}

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, Stewart said:

I live dangerously 

 

_{(but thanks for the dailies)}

well, you seem to be deriving powers from dark side.

[PKMLover]

So sub 30% drop for F2 this weekend? At least it is better than the 45% drop for Fantastic Beast when RO opened.

Edited December 22, 2019 by PKMLover

[POTUS 2020]

11 hours ago, PKMLover said:

If it cross $100M on 11-12 Jan weekend, then how much for the final gross?

Looks like $125m to me. 

[Mau]

41 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Looks like $125m to me. 

Any chance for frozen 2: sing-a-long in japan? And how much could it add?

[Tower]

From Corpse:

 

My estimate for Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker:

2-Day Opening Weekend: ¥1.075 billion ($9.8 million) / 705,000 admissions.
3-Day Opening Weekend: ¥1.595 billion ($14.6 million) / 1,045,000 admissions.

Star Wars Box-Office History:

Opening Weekends (3-Day/Previews Included):
01. ¥1.879 billion / 1,357,977 - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
02. ¥1.619 billion / 1,044,330 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
03. ¥1.617 billion / 1,058,269 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (2017)
04. ¥1.604 billion / 1,138,689 - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack on the Clones (2002)
05. ¥1.595 billion / 1,045,000 - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (2019) *Estimate*
06. ¥920.6 million / 599,943 - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016)
07. ¥658.3 million / 486,380 - Solo: A Star Wars Story (2018)

Note: The opening weekends for the original trilogy are unknown, as is the opening weekend for Star Wars: Episode I: The Phantom Menace, which is surprising. However, Episode I reportedly sold 500,000+ tickets on its first day, and if Sunday behaved the same way then as it does today, it should have sold 1.1/1.2 million tickets on its opening weekend.

Totals:
01. ¥12.70 billion ($109.9 million) / 8.30 million - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)
02. ¥11.63 billion ($96.3 million) / 7.48 million - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
03. ¥9.35 billion ($78.4 million) / 6.80 million - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
04. ¥9.17 billion ($82.7 million) / 6.60 million - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
05. ¥7.51 billion ($66.3 million) / 5.05 million - Star Wars: Last Jedi (2017)
06. ¥6.58 billion ($33.9 million) / 6.87 million - Star Wars: Episode I - A New Hope (1978)
07. ¥5.30 billion ($22.2 million) / 4.85 million - Star Wars: Episode VI - Return of the Jedi (1983)
08. ¥4.95 billion ($21.9 million) / 4.90 million - Star Wars: Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back (1980)
09. ¥4.63 billion ($39.9 million) / 3.08 million - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016)
10. ¥2.14 billion ($19.2 million) / 1.52 million - Solo: A Star Wars Story (2018)

[charlie Jatinder]

Seems like +25% last Monday today. Will be projecting something like.

Spoiler

	Frozen 2	Change
Week 1	$26,313,000
Week 2	$19,410,000	-26.23%
Week 3	$14,479,000	-25.40%
Week 4	$11,309,000	-21.89%
Week 5	$11,988,000	6.00%
Week 6	$12,468,000	4.00%
Week 7	$8,728,000	-30.00%
Week 8	$6,110,000	-30.00%
Week 9	$3,972,000	-34.99%
Week 10	$2,185,000	-44.99%
Rest	$13,100,000
Total	$130,062,000

 

[LPLC]

I had a discussion with Corpse and he said Frozen 2 is lock to make 13 billion yen (about $120M), let's wait and see how much frozen 2 could add from this 13 billion yen

[edroger3]

Est.

SW 2day 670/1,04b - 3day 1.020/1,57b 

F2 2day 400/0,51b (tot 6.400/8,2b) 😭

 

Today SW 0,25/0.30b - F2 +15% 0,12b

Edited December 23, 2019 by edroger3

[Tower]

(C)2019 ILM and Lucasfilm Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Actuals (12/21-22)
01 (---) ¥1,037,341,850 ($9.5 million), 0, ¥1,570,469,850 ($14.4 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥513,778,200 ($4.7 million), -34%, ¥8,280,321,650 ($75.7 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK5
03 (---) ¥283,061,950 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥422,479,000 ($3.9 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) NEW
04 (---) ¥248,578,270 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥248,578,270 ($2.3 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) NEW
05 (03) ¥x95,880,550 ($876,000), -42%, ¥468,185,050 ($4.3 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) WK2
06 (02) ¥x82,044,400 ($750,000), -56%, ¥460,971,100 ($4.2 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) WK2
07 (06) ¥x81,203,800 ($742,000), -30%, ¥613,484,200 ($5.6 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) WK3
08 (05) ¥x75,947,550 ($694,000), -43%, ¥224,349,950 ($2.1 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) WK2
09 (04) ¥x68,240,900 ($624,000), -52%, ¥737,117,750 ($6.8 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) WK3
10 (---) ¥x45,373,890 ($415,000), 0, ¥x57,268,440 ($0.5 million), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Toho-Towa) NEW

>Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker debuted atop the box-office, unsurprisingly, selling 671,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 962 screens; it sold 1,018,851 admissions since opening on Friday. Overall, this is a strong start, one that was probably deflated from a few weary fans who really disliked Star Wars: The Last Jedi (yes, it was very disliked in Japan, too).

But, how does this debut stack up to other Star Wars films? Mostly good, even if it's the weakest opening in the main series of films since the OT. That sounds bad, but its debut still came pretty close to its predecessors. It's more accurate to compare franchise films to each other from the day they opened, so looking at the 3-day total, its opening is: 16% less than Revenge of the Sith; 3% less than The Force Awakens and The Last Jedi; and just 2% less than Attack of the Clones. So... despite being the lowest opener among its predecessors, it's not by very much.

I would be really surprised if this film, the final film in the saga, is more frontloaded than The Last Jedi, so I think a total of ¥7.5 billion ($70 million) should be nearly locked up. I expect a run more closely to the other films in the series, so look for a total between ¥8-9 billion ($75/80 million).

NOTE: All the charts with the weekend estimate for The Rise of Skywalker on the last page have been edited with the actual.

>Frozen II dropped a little higher than expected, but still not high enough to raise any alarms. It's fallen behind the original at this point, and it won't be catching up, not even close. But that's not unexpected. It's now entering the holiday break and will see some impressive numbers over the next couple weeks, so look for its cumulative total to really grow soon. I expect it'll be around ¥11-12 billion ($100-110 million) by January 5th, the last day of the holiday period, and finish around the ¥15 billion ($140 million) milestone.

>My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising, the second film in the popular anime/manga series, debuted in third place, selling 224,000 admissions over the weekend across 313 screens; it sold 332,409 admissions since opening on Friday. The film closely followed the weekend performance of the original, dropping just 1% versus its predecessor's debut. Look for a finish between ¥1.5-2.0 billion ($15-20 million). The franchise has peaked, but it also hasn't really lost much, if any, popularity since manga sales and TV ratings also remain stable.

>Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation, the first film of Japan's Reiwa Era, debuted in fourth place with 195,939 admissions over the weekend on 328 screens. The film serves as a tribute of sorts to the prior generation of Kamen Rider films, and is the 62nd overall theatrical release in the overall film franchise. Expect a total just above ¥1 billion ($10 million).

>And finally, and with great honor, I can announce that How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World debuted in 10th place! It is the first film in the series to reach the Top 10, with the second film not even receiving a theatrical release due to how badly DreamWorks animated films were bombing in the market. Clearly, the final Dragon film didn't gross very much, but breaking the Top 10 and going on to become the highest grossing film in the series is a wonderful sendoff for the franchise in the market.

[Tower]

Christmas Week 2019 - Daily Estimates (12/23-27):

Monday (12/23)
¥225,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥1,795,000,000 ($16.5 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) Day 04
¥x90,000,000 ($820,000), +13%, ¥8,360,000,000 ($76.5 million), Frozen II (Disney) Day 32
¥x50,000,000 ($455,000), 0, ¥470,000,000 ($4.3 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) Day 04
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), 0, ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) Day 03
¥x18,000,000 ($165,000), -38%, ¥485,000,000 ($4.5 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) Day 11
¥x17,000,000 ($155,000), -09%, ¥630,000,000 ($5.8 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) Day 18
¥x16,000,000 ($145,000), -56%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) Day 11
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), -33%, ¥747,000,000 ($6.9 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) Day 18
¥x08,000,000 ($x75,000), 0, ¥x65,000,000 ($0.6 million), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Toho-Towa) Day 04
¥x07,000,000 ($x65,000), +46%, ¥231,000,000 ($2.2 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) Day 11

Note: A lot of schools had their last day of the semester on Monday, and just let out early, so the day itself wasn't too impressive. Tuesday onward, especially Wednesday through Friday, will be stronger, particularly for younger skewing films. Except for Jumanji perhaps...it nearly collapsed in its second weekend and its Monday number is abysmal.

[edroger3]

F2 +77 LW / +20 vs Mon

SW - 30 vs Mon

[titanic2187]

So the holiday mode has kick in for Frozen 2

[cannastop]

corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2251338#p2251338

Biggest Fifth Weekends/Five Week Totals (2000-):

¥1.069 billion, +10%, ¥10.52 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥890.0 million, -06%, ¥13.26 billion - Spirited Away (2001)
¥889.1 million, -07%, ¥9.86 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥888.9 million, +16%, ¥10.47 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥862.5 million, -20%, ¥11.16 billion - Your Name. (2016)
¥851.2 million, +13%, ¥9.94 billion - Ponyo (2008)
¥841.0 million, -01%, ¥9.28 billion - Frozen (2014)
¥834.5 million, +47%, ¥7.50 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥782.5 million, +44%, ¥6.68 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥756.6 million, -18%, ¥9.69 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥698.9 million, -20%, ¥8.56 billion - Aladdin (2019)
¥532.7 million, -17%, ¥9.65 billion - Weathering With You (2019)
¥526.7 million, -23%, ¥8.37 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥520.8 million, -07%, ¥6.95 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥518.4 million, +02%, ¥7.00 billion - Avatar (2009)
¥513.8 million, -34%, ¥8.28 billion - Frozen II (2019)
¥505.1 million, +02%, ¥4.39 billion - Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)
¥504.1 million, +10%, ¥4.55 billion - Zootopia (2016)

Forgot to post this yesterday.
Now, before anyone (I see you Danhjpn  ) begins calling this a bad fifth weekend for Frozen II, it kind of is, but it's also misleading. Most of the films on this list entered a holiday frame already, or did in their fifth week. Frozen II hasn't reached any holidays yet, and its sixth and seventh weekends could come in nearly as high, or even higher than its fifth here. Its rankings on the Biggest Sixth and Seventh Weekend list will look more impressive than this one.

Honestly, the underlining reason that Frozen II's numbers look a bit underwhelming after its first two weeks is because of the unfavorable November release date. It's had to go almost six-weeks with zero support. Nothing to boost its weekends, nothing to boost its weekdays. That's changing this week, although it is coming a bit later in its run, after having burned off a good bit of interest. So, while it will benefit a lot of Christmas/New Year, it won't be as much as it could have been with a different release date.

_

Edited December 25, 2019 by cannastop

[Mau]

1 hour ago, cannastop said:

corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2251338#p2251338

Biggest Fifth Weekends/Five Week Totals (2000-):

¥1.069 billion, +10%, ¥10.52 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥890.0 million, -06%, ¥13.26 billion - Spirited Away (2001)
¥889.1 million, -07%, ¥9.86 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥888.9 million, +16%, ¥10.47 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥862.5 million, -20%, ¥11.16 billion - Your Name. (2016)
¥851.2 million, +13%, ¥9.94 billion - Ponyo (2008)
¥841.0 million, -01%, ¥9.28 billion - Frozen (2014)
¥834.5 million, +47%, ¥7.50 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥782.5 million, +44%, ¥6.68 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥756.6 million, -18%, ¥9.69 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥698.9 million, -20%, ¥8.56 billion - Aladdin (2019)
¥532.7 million, -17%, ¥9.65 billion - Weathering With You (2019)
¥526.7 million, -23%, ¥8.37 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥520.8 million, -07%, ¥6.95 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥518.4 million, +02%, ¥7.00 billion - Avatar (2009)
¥513.8 million, -34%, ¥8.28 billion - Frozen II (2019)
¥505.1 million, +02%, ¥4.39 billion - Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)
¥504.1 million, +10%, ¥4.55 billion - Zootopia (2016)

Forgot to post this yesterday.
Now, before anyone (I see you Danhjpn  ) begins calling this a bad fifth weekend for Frozen II, it kind of is, but it's also misleading. Most of the films on this list entered a holiday frame already, or did in their fifth week. Frozen II hasn't reached any holidays yet, and its sixth and seventh weekends could come in nearly as high, or even higher than its fifth here. Its rankings on the Biggest Sixth and Seventh Weekend list will look more impressive than this one.

Honestly, the underlining reason that Frozen II's numbers look a bit underwhelming after its first two weeks is because of the unfavorable November release date. It's had to go almost six-weeks with zero support. Nothing to boost its weekends, nothing to boost its weekdays. That's changing this week, although it is coming a bit later in its run, after having burned off a good bit of interest. So, while it will benefit a lot of Christmas/New Year, it won't be as much as it could have been with a different release date.

_

If frozen 2 get a sing-a-long version in japan, how much could that add to its total gross?

[cannastop]

Just now, Mau said:

If frozen 2 get a sing-a-long version in japan, how much could that add to its total gross?

Probably not that much if they wait too long.

[Mau]

Does anyone have data of how is Frozen 2 doing the 25th of december so far? And how much is heading for the 25?