JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Mau]

4 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

Christmas Week 2019 - Daily Estimates (12/23-27):

Monday (12/23)
¥225,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥1,795,000,000 ($16.5 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) Day 04
¥x90,000,000 ($820,000), +13%, ¥8,360,000,000 ($76.5 million), Frozen II (Disney) Day 32
¥x50,000,000 ($455,000), 0, ¥470,000,000 ($4.3 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) Day 04
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), 0, ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) Day 03
¥x18,000,000 ($165,000), -38%, ¥485,000,000 ($4.5 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) Day 11
¥x17,000,000 ($155,000), -09%, ¥630,000,000 ($5.8 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) Day 18
¥x16,000,000 ($145,000), -56%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) Day 11
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), -33%, ¥747,000,000 ($6.9 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) Day 18
¥x08,000,000 ($x75,000), 0, ¥x65,000,000 ($0.6 million), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Toho-Towa) Day 04
¥x07,000,000 ($x65,000), +46%, ¥231,000,000 ($2.2 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) Day 11

Tuesday (12/24): Christmas Eve
¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥1,960,000,000 ($18.0 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) Day 05
¥105,000,000 ($960,000), +74%, ¥8,465,000,000 ($77.5 million), Frozen II (Disney) Day 33
¥x40,000,000 ($365,000), 0, ¥510,000,000 ($4.7 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) Day 05
¥x22,000,000 ($200,000), +43%, ¥652,000,000 ($6.0 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) Day 19
¥x20,000,000 ($185,000), 0, ¥295,000,000 ($2.7 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) Day 04
¥x20,000,000 ($185,000), -19%, ¥507,000,000 ($4.6 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) Day 12
¥x17,000,000 ($155,000), -49%, ¥492,000,000 ($4.5 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) Day 12
¥x11,000,000 ($100,000), -03%, ¥758,000,000 ($7.0 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) Day 19
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), +228%, ¥241,000,000 ($2.3 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) Day 12
¥x08,000,000 ($x75,000), 0, ¥x73,000,000 ($0.7 million), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Toho-Towa) Day 05

Wednesday (12/25): Christmas Day
¥195,000,000 ($1.8 million), +106%, ¥8,660,000,000 ($79.3 million), Frozen II (Disney) Day 34
¥175,000,000 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥2,135,000,000 ($19.6 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) Day 06
¥x55,000,000 ($500,000), 0, ¥565,000,000 ($5.2 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) Day 06
¥x35,000,000 ($320,000), +67%, ¥687,000,000 ($6.3 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) Day 20
¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), -08%, ¥537,000,000 ($4.9 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) Day 13
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), 0, ¥320,000,000 ($2.9 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) Day 05
¥x21,000,000 ($190,000), +436%, ¥262,000,000 ($2.5 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) Day 13
¥x21,000,000 ($190,000), -32%, ¥513,000,000 ($4.7 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) Day 13
¥x20,000,000 ($185,000), +43%, ¥778,000,000 ($7.2 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) Day 20
¥x13,000,000 ($120,000), 0, ¥x86,000,000 ($0.8 million), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Toho-Towa) Day 06
 

So frozen 2 has now 0% chance of getting 150M USD?

[KP1025]

So I thought Frozen 2 being over TROS yesterday may have just been the Ladies Day boost, but it's winning so far today as well (almost 4x last Thursday). 

[keysersoze123]

8 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

So I thought Frozen 2 being over TROS yesterday may have just been the Ladies Day boost, but it's winning so far today as well (almost 4x last Thursday). 

Corpse did say wed-fri would be highly boosted for family flicks as kids are on break but that means weekend would be flat for weekday numbers while SW9 will increase big on saturday.

[OffTheHizzle]

Frozen 2 held at #1 Thursday.

Quote

From Mimorin:

2019/12/26 23:42更新 最新デイリー詳細速報（約20分毎更新）

順位 販売(前回比)　座席(消化率)　先週比　95分率　全日推定　映画作品タイトル名

*1　*88914(+***4)　394156(1.00)　274.4%　47.0%　******　アナと雪の女王２

*2　*86323(+***3)　656841(1.00)　765.5%　43.7%　******　スター・ウォーズ スカイウォ…

*3　*25548(+***6)　248640(1.00)　******　62.0%　******　僕のヒーローアカデミア ＴＨ…

 

Slightly wider gap including independents:

[順位] [販売数] [映画作品タイトル名]

　*1　*96181　アナと雪の女王２

　*2　*92022　スター・ウォーズ スカイウォ…

　*3　*28236　僕のヒーローアカデミア ＴＨ…

It'll be interesting to see if it can hold #1 on Friday, before SW9 moves back to the top on Saturday.

[Moviefanfr]

Any final gross estimation for TROS after a few days ? 

 

[Tower]

 

6 hours ago, Moviefanfr said:

Any final gross estimation for TROS after a few days ? 

 

 

From Corpse regarding Frozen and SW:

 

It should be over $100 million by January 5th, perhaps as high as $110 million. As for what's a lock, $120 million is a lock, $130 million is close to a lock (say, 90%), and $140 million is probably 50/50 at the moment. It's behaving very good during the first stages of the holiday period, so I'm feeling confident in it finishing strong.

Star Wars IX is harder to gauge right now since it just opened, but I imagine it'll be around $45 million, maybe $50 million by January 5th. I'm still projecting it'll finish around $70/80 million, but nothing so far has really happened to change that projection since it's so early in its run.

 

Thursday (12/26)
¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥2,315,000,000 ($21.2 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) Day 07
¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), +169%, ¥8,830,000,000 ($80.9 million), Frozen II (Disney) Day 35
¥x50,000,000 ($455,000), 0, ¥615,000,000 ($5.6 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) Day 07
¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), +721%, ¥292,000,000 ($2.8 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) Day 14
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), +57%, ¥712,000,000 ($6.5 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) Day 21
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), 0, ¥345,000,000 ($3.1 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) Day 06
¥x22,000,000 ($200,000), +01%, ¥559,000,000 ($5.1 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) Day 14
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +69%, ¥798,000,000 ($7.4 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) Day 21
¥x19,000,000 ($175,000), -34%, ¥532,000,000 ($4.9 million), Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony) Day 14
¥x12,000,000 ($110,000), 0, ¥x98,000,000 ($0.9 million), How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (Toho-Towa) Day 07

Edited December 26, 2019 by Tower

[edroger3]

F2 is seeing a over 100% increase Mon-Fri but weekend will haven't this number.... It is losing 1,5 admission by F1 at the end of week 6.

[PKMLover]

11 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

F2 is seeing a over 100% increase Mon-Fri but weekend will haven't this number.... It is losing 1,5 admission by F1 at the end of week 6.

I mean... this was already expected. The gap will bigger and bigger...

-------

Assume that Friday will +175% from last week, then this week from the last saturday to this friday is around +72% from the previous week.

Edited December 27, 2019 by PKMLover

[edroger3]

53 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

I mean... this was already expected. The gap will bigger and bigger...

 

For now is only -16/17% that means 17M+ final for F2, but unfortunately the real frozen-mania started later with 3,7M adm (48M$) in 12 days (44/55). At least a frozen-mania 2 will happens, I think F2 will end to something a bit lower or higher of 12M (-40%) or 15Byen

Edited December 27, 2019 by edroger3

[PKMLover]

16 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

For now is only -16/17% that means 17M+ final for F2, but unfortunately the real frozen-mania started later with 3,7M adm (48M$) in 12 days (44/55). At least a frozen-mania 2 will happens, I think F2 will end to something a bit lower or higher of 12M (-40%) or 15Byen

15B yen = $138M, thats nice

Corpse said $130M is around 90%, $140M is around 50%

Edited December 27, 2019 by PKMLover

[Madhuvan]

There is nothing wrong in Frozen 2 finishing with 130m in Japan. That's very good total in my opinion. 

[edroger3]

9 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

15B yen = $138M 

Corpse said $130M is around 90%, $140M is around 50%

So my bet has 58% odds in favour, much better than the 47% of a Rouge/Noir ot Pair/Impair bet at the French Roulette.

[PKMLover]

1 minute ago, edroger3 said:

So my bet has 58% odds in favour, much better than the 47% of a Rouge/Noir ot Pair/Impair bet at the French Roulette.

Tbh, I hope it can pass $140M, the number looks more nice than $13X which seems odd

[catlover]

I personally hope it can reach ¥15B. Cause that's the number I've had since the first time Frozen 2 was anounced. Although of course, the higher the better.

[charlie Jatinder]

Frozen 2

Day	Date	Gross	% +/- YD / LW*		Gross-to-date	Weekend	Weekly
Fri	Nov. 22, 2019	$2,783,000			$2,783,000		$2,783,000
Sat	Nov. 23, 2019	$7,710,000	177.04%		$10,493,000
Sun	Nov. 24, 2019	$7,403,000	-3.98%		$17,896,000	$15,113,000
Mon	Nov. 25, 2019	$2,156,000	-70.88%		$20,052,000
Tue	Nov. 26, 2019	$1,316,000	-38.96%		$21,368,000
Wed	Nov. 27, 2019	$2,121,000	61.17%		$23,489,000
Thu	Nov. 28, 2019	$1,229,000	-42.06%		$24,718,000
Fri	Nov. 29, 2019	$1,595,000	29.78%	-42.69%	$26,313,000		$23,530,000
Sat	Nov. 30, 2019	$5,248,000	229.03%	-31.93%	$31,561,000
Sun	Dec. 1, 2019	$7,934,000	51.18%	7.17%	$39,495,000	$13,182,000
Mon	Dec. 2, 2019	$1,703,000	-78.54%	-21.01%	$41,198,000
Tue	Dec. 3, 2019	$930,000	-45.39%	-29.33%	$42,128,000
Wed	Dec. 4, 2019	$1,514,000	62.80%	-28.62%	$43,642,000
Thu	Dec. 5, 2019	$884,000	-41.61%	-28.07%	$44,526,000
Fri	Dec. 6, 2019	$1,197,000	35.41%	-24.95%	$45,723,000		$19,410,000
Sat	Dec. 7, 2019	$4,090,000	241.69%	-22.07%	$49,813,000
Sun	Dec. 8, 2019	$5,435,000	32.89%	-31.50%	$55,248,000	$9,525,000
Mon	Dec. 9, 2019	$1,188,000	-78.14%	-30.24%	$56,436,000
Tue	Dec. 10, 2019	$778,000	-34.51%	-16.34%	$57,214,000
Wed	Dec. 11, 2019	$1,273,000	63.62%	-15.92%	$58,487,000
Thu	Dec. 12, 2019	$762,000	-40.14%	-13.80%	$59,249,000
Fri	Dec. 13, 2019	$953,000	25.07%	-20.38%	$60,202,000		$14,479,000
Sat	Dec. 14, 2019	$2,948,000	209.34%	-27.92%	$63,150,000
Sun	Dec. 15, 2019	$4,198,000	42.40%	-22.76%	$67,348,000	$7,146,000
Mon	Dec. 16, 2019	$867,000	-79.35%	-27.02%	$68,215,000
Tue	Dec. 17, 2019	$659,000	-23.99%	-15.30%	$68,874,000
Wed	Dec. 18, 2019	$1,036,000	57.21%	-18.62%	$69,910,000
Thu	Dec. 19, 2019	$661,000	-36.20%	-13.25%	$70,571,000
Fri	Dec. 20, 2019	$781,000	18.15%	-18.05%	$71,352,000		$11,150,000
Sat	Dec. 21, 2019	$2,041,000	161.33%	-30.77%	$73,393,000
Sun	Dec. 22, 2019	$2,637,000	29.20%	-37.18%	$76,030,000	$4,678,000
Mon	Dec. 23, 2019	$929,000	-64.77%	7.15%	$76,959,000
Tue	Dec. 24, 2019	$1,082,000	16.47%	64.19%	$78,041,000
Wed	Dec. 25, 2019	$2,016,000	86.32%	94.59%	$80,057,000
Thu	Dec. 26, 2019	$1,683,000	-16.52%	154.61%	$81,740,000
Fri	Dec. 27, 2019	$1,937,000	15.09%	148.02%	$83,677,000		$12,325,000

[Tower]

From Corpse:

 

It won't be an easy path for Frozen II to surpass Weathering With You, and if it would collapse after the holiday period, it won't beat Weathering With You, but I believe it has the advantage still. It will need a strong boost next week, admittingly.

I'm going to do some "projecting" right now, but do NOT take this as a prediction:

It's going into the weekend right around ¥9 billion ($82/83 million), and assuming a sixth-weekend around ¥450 million, it'll enter New Year Week (next Monday) with around ¥9.5 billion ($86/87 million). Then its New Year Week will probably be stronger than Christmas Week (mostly due to the gains it'll see Mon-to-Mon), so let's assume it adds around ¥800/900 million more from next Mon.-Fri.. It'll be at ¥10.3/10.4 billion ($95/96 million) going into the the first weekend of January, which is typically strong and can sometimes see increases, but let's say it just stays flat and does another ¥450 million again next weekend. So, coming out of the holiday period (January 5th), it should be somewhere around ¥10.8 billion ($99/100 million). That'll be about ¥800 million, or 7%, behind Weathering With You after seven weeks in release. Its weekdays will begin to drop-off again, but after the initial post-New Year weekend drop on the weekend of Jan. 11-12th, its weekends should remain pretty strong, and should ultimately lead it to around ¥15 billion (which is almost $140 million).

Again, this is just a very rough, normal projection. I think its gross during New Year will end up a little better than I projected, and I do expect a small increase next weekend, so I wouldn't be surprised if it broke ¥11 billion by January 5th. That should be the milestone to watch. At the end of the holiday period (January 5th): If it's below ¥11 billion, it'll struggle to beat Weathering With You. If it's above ¥11 billion, it's likely to beat Weathering With You.

 

Friday (12/27)
¥220,000,000 ($2.0 million), -58%, ¥2,535,000,000 ($23.2 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) Day 08
¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), +162%, ¥9,010,000,000 ($82.5 million), Frozen II (Disney) Day 36
¥x65,000,000 ($595,000), 0, ¥x65,000,000 ($0.6 million), Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku) NEW
¥x55,000,000 ($500,000), -63%, ¥670,000,000 ($6.1 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) Day 08
¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), 0, ¥x30,000,000 ($0.3 million), Shinkansen-Transforming... Shinkalion: The Mythically Fast ALFA-X (Toho Video Division) NEW
¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), +83%, ¥742,000,000 ($6.8 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) Day 22
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), +678%, ¥317,000,000 ($3.0 million), Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho) Day 15
¥x25,000,000 ($230,000), 0, ¥370,000,000 ($3.4 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) Day 07
¥x21,000,000 ($190,000), -01%, ¥580,000,000 ($5.3 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) Day 15
¥x18,000,000 ($165,000), +70%, ¥816,000,000 ($7.5 million), Lupin III: The First (Toho) Day 22
 

[Tower]

Most Attended Years, Yearly Admissions (1955-):

1958 - 1,127,452,000
1957 - 1,098,882,000
1959 - 1,088,111,000
1960 - 1,014,364,000
1956 - 993,875,000
1955 - 868,912,000
1961 - 863,430,000
1962 - 662,279,000
1963 - 511,121,000
1964 - 431,454,000
1965 - 372,676,000
1966 - 345,811,000
1967 - 335,067,000
1968 - 313,398,000
1969 - 283,980,000
1970 - 254,799,000
1971 - 216,754,000
2019 - 190,000,000 (Rough Projection/Placeholder Rank)
1972 - 187,391,000
1974 - 185,738,000
1973 - 185,324,000
2016 - 180,189,000
2017 - 174,483,000
2010 - 174,358,000
1975 - 174,020,000
1976 - 171,020,000
1983 - 170,430,000
2004 - 170,092,000
2009 - 169,297,000
2018 - 169,210,000
2015 - 166,630,000
1978 - 166,042,000
1977 - 165,172,000
1979 - 165,088,000
2006 - 164,585,000
1980 - 164,422,000
2001 - 163,280,000
2007 - 163,193,000
2003 - 162,347,000
2014 - 161,116,000
2002 - 160,767,000
1986 - 160,758,000
2008 - 160,491,000
2005 - 160,453,000
2013 - 155,888,000
1982 - 155,280,000
2012 - 155,159,000
1985 - 155,130,000
1998 - 153,102,000
1984 - 150,527,000
1981 - 149,450,000
1990 - 146,000,000
1988 - 144,825,000
1999 - 144,762,000
2011 - 144,726,000
1987 - 143,935,000
1989 - 143,573,000
1997 - 140,719,000
1991 - 138,330,000
2000 - 135,390,000
1993 - 130,720,000
1995 - 127,040,000
1992 - 125,600,000
1994 - 122,990,000
1996 - 119,575,000

Legend: '50s / '60s / '70s / '80s / '90s / '00s / '10s

Edited December 27, 2019 by Tower

[edroger3]

Saturday

 

SW -45% 250K 

F2 +4% 160K (7M+ 9,2/9,3BYen Today)

[Moviefanfr]

27 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

Saturday

 

SW -45% 250K 

F2 +4% 160K (7M+ 9,2/9,3BYen Today)

Is it good for SW ? 

[edroger3]

15 hours ago, edroger3 said:

Saturday

 

SW -45% 250K 

F2 +4% 160K (7M+ 9,2/9,3BYen Today)

Sunday 

 

SW -28% 290K

F2 +5% 260K 7,5M adm - 9,5/9,6 BYen - F1 8,6M adm - 10,73 Byen