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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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It's glitched and missing the numbers from earlier in the day. Probably only started counting when it came back online. 

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5 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

It's glitched and missing the numbers from earlier in the day. Probably only started counting when it came back online. 

So the numbers from morning to 2.30pm are missed....

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Frozen 2 at Monday 13: 12,2BYen 9,55M adm. Passes Aladdin. Breaking top 20 all-time later this week. 

Other: Frozen 1+2 (37,7Byen) are the biggest original+sequel ever beating Harry Potter 1+2 (37,6Byen). 

Edited by edroger3
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4 minutes ago, edroger3 said:

Frozen 2 at Monday 13: 12,2BYen 9,55M adm. Passes Aladdin. Breaking top 20 all-time later this week. 

Other: Frozen 1+2 (37,7Byen) are the biggest original+sequel ever beating Harry Potter 1+2 (37,6Byen). 

Do you have the actual number after the Monday yet? 

Harry Potter has more than 1 sequel, right? 

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11 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Do you have the actual number after the Monday yet? 

Harry Potter has more than 1 sequel, right? 

Do you have the actual number after the Monday yet? 

As usual: https://twitter.com/moviewalker_bce

 

Harry Potter has more than 1 sequel, right? 

I mean original + first direct sequel, all of us know well that the HP saga has 8+2 movies for now (my nieces aged 4 and 5 too).

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Just now, edroger3 said:

Do you have the actual number after the Monday yet? 

As usual: https://twitter.com/moviewalker_bce

 

Harry Potter has more than 1 sequel, right? 

I mean original + first direct sequel, all of us know well that the HP saga has 8+2 movies for now (my nieces aged 4 and 5 too).

Thank you.

So F2 is currently at ¥12.2B/$111.5M, do you think it can gross ¥2B/$20M more? 

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Corpse is away this week, but here are the Top 3 film's actuals for last weekend.

 

1. Kaiji: Final Game: ¥362 million / 248,000 admissions

2. Frozen II: ¥345 million(-30%) / 265,000 admissions

3. Star Wars 9: ¥331 million(-32%) / 221,000 admissions

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The sing a long version is only for domestic market or overseas markets too? When can we expect it will be released?

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(C)福本伸行 講談社/2020映画「カイジ ファイナルゲーム」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (01/11-12)
01 (---) ¥362,435,300 ($3.3 million), 0, ¥461,549,800 ($4.2 million), Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥344,856,200 ($3.1 million), -30%, ¥11,993,131,400 ($109.9 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK8
03 (02) ¥331,229,410 ($3.0 million), -32%, ¥5,948,781,990 ($54.4 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) WK4
04 (---) ¥193,593,940 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥244,824,850 ($2.2 million), Ford v. Ferrari (Fox) NEW
05 (---) ¥140,059,660 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥224,404,860 ($2.0 million), Parasite (Bitter's End) NEW
06 (03) ¥x95,913,050 ($872,000), -43%, ¥1,035,321,020 ($9.6 million), Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku) WK3
07 (04) ¥x72,909,050 ($663,000), -25%, ¥1,323,255,050 ($12.0 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) WK4
08 (05) ¥x46,463,710 ($424,000), -32%, ¥824,085,910 ($7.6 million), Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei) WK4
09 (06) ¥x40,195,200 ($366,000), -40%, ¥977,920,050 ($9.0 million), Murder at Shijinso (Toho) WK4
10 (08) ¥x36,011,600 ($327,000), -36%, ¥1,075,222,800 ($9.9 million), Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku) WK6


>Kaiji: Final Game managed to narrowly, but impressively, debut atop the box-office in revenue (it ranked second in admissions), selling 248,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 333 screens; it sold 436,745 admissions over its first four-days in release. This debut is 3% higher than the previous film, released way back in 2011. Expect a total between ¥1.5-2.0 billion ($15-20 million).

>Frozen II drops to second place (though remained #1 in admissions), selling an additional 265,000 admissions in its eighth-weekend of release. The film has now sold an incredible 9.55 million admissions after 53-days in release. So, does this weekend give is a better idea of where this sequel is headed? Mostly. It's still doing big enough numbers that varying percentage changes week-to-week can change its trajectory a good deal, but a total between ¥14-15 billion ($130-140 million) remains its likely final range.

>Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker settles for third place, selling a further 221,000 admissions, bringing its 25-day admissions up to 4.07 million. Its hold this weekend was good, but it'll need to experience a couple slightly better holds in the upcoming weeks if it wants to beat Star Wars: The Last Jedi. Its tracking somewhat similarly with its predecessor, so look for a finish around ¥7.5 billion ($70 million) again.

>Ford v. Ferrari debuted in fourth place, selling a solid 132,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 500 screens. I imagine legs will be pretty good, so it should manage to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone.

>Parasite rounded out the Top 5 in its debut weekend, and it was an impressive debut indeed. The award-winning favorite sold 101,000 admissions over the weekend frame across just 131 screens; it has sold 200,141 admissions after its first four-days in release plus limited previews last year. Expect this one to hold strong for several weeks to come due to its award recognition, especially if it manages to win any of the big awards at the Academy Awards. A Best Picture win would go a long, long way. I'd be surprised if it misses ¥1 billion ($10 million).
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From Corpse:

 

Weekend Forecast (01/18-19)
01 (02) ¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), -33%, ¥12,605,000,000 ($115.5 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK9
02 (01) ¥224,000,000 ($2.0 million), -38%, ¥1,100,000,000 ($10.0 million), Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK2
03 (03) ¥213,000,000 ($1.9 million), -36%, ¥6,550,000,000 ($59.9 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) WK5
04 (05) ¥154,000,000 ($1.4 million), +10%, ¥620,000,000 ($5.6 million), Parasite (Bitter's End) WK2
05 (---) ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.6 million), Last Letter (Toho) NEW
06 (04) ¥126,000,000 ($1.1 million), -35%, ¥595,000,000 ($5.4 million), Ford v. Ferrari (Fox) WK2
07 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($905,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($0.9 million), High School Fleet: The Movie (Aniplex) NEW
08 (---) ¥x80,000,000 ($725,000), 0, ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), The Memory Eraser (Shochiku) NEW
09 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($680,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($0.9 million), Made in Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul (Kadokawa) NEW
10 (06) ¥x56,000,000 ($510,000), -42%, ¥1,250,000,000 ($11.5 million), Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku) WK4
11 (07) ¥x53,000,000 ($480,000), -27%, ¥1,470,000,000 ($13.3 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) WK5


Interesting weekend ahead in regard to which film will come out on top, and in overall Top 10 ranking. If I predicted the Top 10 ranking correctly, I'll be shocked.

>Frozen II, Kaiji: Final Game, and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker will be battling it out in the Top 3. All three films were close last weekend with Kaiji debuting in 1st in revenue but Frozen II being 1st in admissions, but Star Wars wasn't far behind either film. Kaiji will probably have the bigger drop this weekend, while Frozen II should have the better hold, so I'm going with Frozen II winning the weekend. But it's going to be close.

And speaking of Frozen II... Unless it has a better hold than I'm predicting (it really needs a 20/25% decline), we can likely rule out it reaching the ¥15 billion ($140 million) milestone after this weekend. It's been holding fine post the holidays, but not good enough. Meaning, it'll be on course for ¥14 billion ($130 million) and make the showdown between it and Weathering With You a nail bitter for sure.

>Parasite, unsurprisingly, is targeting either a very strong hold, as in sub-10%, or a possible small increase which I'm predicting. Reviews are strong, audience scores are high, and the film was released after winning many awards and then being nominated for six Oscars. It's going to thrive for several weeks to come.

>Last Letter will be the top debut this weekend (unless one of the limited anime films has an unknown fan greeting event I'm not aware of that really boosts their attendance and ticket prices), but won't open to anything remarkable. It's just that time of year with plenty of mediocre openers.

>High School Fleet and Made in Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul are both limited release anime films, which are always difficult to predict. They tend to have dedicated fanbases, and as such, their average ticket prices are typically very high, so I'm treating both of them as I would any other limited anime release.

>My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising will probably fall outside the Top 10 this weekend, but I'm going to include it here just in case it manages to hang on. And because it's receiving a 4DX expansion next weekend which could keep it in the Top 10 for another weekend.

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@Corpse

 

182095_2.jpg


(C)福本伸行 講談社/2020映画「カイジ ファイナルゲーム」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (01/18-19)
01 (01) ¥225,010,600 ($2.0 million), -38%, ¥1,042,728,200 ($9.5 million), Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK2
02 (02) ¥205,795,350 ($1.9 million), -40%, ¥12,517,150,100 ($114.7 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK9
03 (03) ¥180,132,940 ($1.6 million), -46%, ¥6,470,818,760 ($59.2 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) WK5
[highlight=yellow]04 (---) ¥136,254,500 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥181,833,100 ($1.7 million), Last Letter (Toho) NEW[/highlight]
04 (05) ¥133,276,460 ($1.2 million), -05%, ¥597,246,580 ($5.4 million), Parasite (Bitter's End) WK2
06 (04) ¥110,046,510 ($1.0 million), -43%, ¥566,945,110 ($5.1 million), Ford v. Ferrari (Fox) WK2
[highlight=yellow]07 (---) ¥104,125,100 ($945,000), 0, ¥136,621,950 ($1.2 million), The Memory Eraser (Shochiku) NEW[/highlight]
[highlight=yellow]08 (---) ¥x72,236,400 ($656,000), 0, ¥102,284,000 ($0.9 million), Made in Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul (Kadokawa) NEW[/highlight]
[highlight=yellow]09 (---) ¥x66,387,158 ($602,000), 0, ¥x67,113,338 ($0.6 million), High School Fleet: The Movie (Aniplex) NEW[/highlight]
[highlight=yellow]10 (---) ¥x65,564,800 ($595,000), 0, ¥x86,350,700 ($0.6 million), Richard Jewell (Warner Bros.) NEW[/highlight]
11 (06) ¥x44,956,230 ($408,000), -53%, ¥1,235,864,640 ($11.4 million), Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku) WK4
12 (07) ¥x41,273,150 ($375,000), -43%, ¥1,439,882,600 ($13.1 million), My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho) WK5

>Kaiji: Final Game managed to secure its second weekend atop the box-office (in revenue, still second in admissions), selling an additional 154,000 admissions its its sophomore frame.  And after ten-days in release, the presumably final film in the Kaiji series has sold 738,000 admissions.  This is a solid enough second weekend hold to likely guarantee a total above ¥1.5 billion, so expect a finish around ¥1.6/1.7 billion ($15/16 million).      

>Frozen II unfortunately took a hit this weekend--one that it really couldn't afford to have at this crucial stage of its release.  It was still able to hold onto the #1 spot in its ninth-weekend in admissions, selling a further 159,000 admissions over the weekend frame, but the harsh 40% drop is probably too much to come back from and puts a much lower ceiling on it.  After 59-days in release, the film has sold a huge 9.80 million admissions.  

Its chances of reaching the ¥15 billion milestone are now gone, and reaching ¥14 billion ($130 million) and surpassing Weathering With You (¥14.05 billion) has become unlikely.  The latter target isn't impossible yet, there are a couple holidays next month, but it really can't have any more drops above 20/25% moving forward or it's going to miss.  All of this reads like a lot of doom & gloom, but it's still going to finish with a huge total that shouldn't be considered disappointing.  But it is a bit on the underwhelming side, especially after its opening weekend and first couple weeks in release.  

>Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker also took a big hit this weekend that it couldn't afford in its battle to avoid becoming the lowest grossing Star Wars film since Episode XI, as it's likely to fall below Star Wars: The Last Jedi (¥7.51 billion) now.  Episode IX sold a further 116,000 admissions in its fifth weekend of release, bringing its 31-day total up to 4.31 million admissions.  Expect a finish around ¥7 billion ($64/65 million) and 4.7 million admissions.

>Last Letter was the top debut this weekend, selling 101,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 261 screens; it sold 136,143 admissions over its first three-days in release.  This is as mediocre as it gets, really, but very expected for this time of year, so it's hard to really call it a disappointing start; it's just a boring one.    

>Parasite held extraordinary well in its second weekend.  Look for it to have a lot of holds similar to this one in the weeks to come, especially if it continues its award-winning ways.

>And finally, The Memory Eraser clearly didn't do much, but it at least managed to break the ¥100 million mark, selling 82,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 327 screens; it sold 108,000 admissions over its first three-days in release.


 

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So F2 won't end up much higher than China's $122 😲

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11 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

Disaster

Embarassing 

LOL. if finishing at 125m is a disaster and embarassment, disney should stop releasing movies in Japan 🙂 

 

As Corpse said, its higher than all other hollywood movies and could still beat Weathering with couple of good holds. Last week it was coming after a holiday weekend when sunday BO was boosted. Next weekend its drop wont be so bad. I would say 125m finish. 

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7 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

LOL. if finishing at 125m is a disaster and embarassment, disney should stop releasing movies in Japan 🙂 

 

As Corpse said, its higher than all other hollywood movies and could still beat Weathering with couple of good holds. Last week it was coming after a holiday weekend when sunday BO was boosted. Next weekend its drop wont be so bad. I would say 125m finish. 

Considering Japan market is big and all about animated movie.

50% drop in USD comparing to the first one  is dissapointing for me.

Does it still have chance to pass Harry Potter 3 there? ¥13.5B/125M

Edited by PKMLover

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Likely missing WWY here, Endgame in SK, and Dory domestically is a rather sad turn of events. Still, between the strong openings, strong Christmas, and solid China+Europe it should spend a decent amount of time in the WW top 10. That’ll have to do.

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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To me its impressive that even tho it fell in japan, it made even much more money overseas and domestic to make it pass the first movie’s gross. This is not a dissapointment

Maybe frozen III makes 110 M in japan, 70M in south korea and 200M in China

Edited by Mau
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2 hours ago, PKMLover said:

Considering Japan market is big and all about animated movie.

50% drop in USD comparing to the first one  is dissapointing for me.

Does it still have chance to pass Harry Potter 3 there? ¥13.5B/125M

 

Correction. Japan is very big for local animated films by big name directors like Miyazaki or Shinkai. Other than Frozen, no other imported animated film has gotten much higher than the ¥10 billion milestone (only Finding Nemo and Toy Story 3/4). 

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