JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[titanic2187]

Parasite jumps around 556% to number 1 position on Holiday Tuesday 

[Barnack]

Will see how much it legs out (despite being out on bluray I think ?), could calm down the Oscar are irrelevant talk (or the logic that if the movie that win is small that make the award irrelevant, instead of being the best way for them to have actual relevance)

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Barnack said:

could calm down the Oscar are irrelevant talk

An Indian film, which was just announced to be India's official entry to Oscar made atleast 4 times more than it would have done without that announcement 🤭

https://boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=3276

[Barnack]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

An Indian film, which was just announced to be India's official entry to Oscar made atleast 4 times more than it would have done without that announcement 🤭

https://boxofficeindia.com/report-details.php?articleid=3276

For the foreign film that get in (and the people making them) it must be almost always quite the big deal.

[charlie Jatinder]

25 minutes ago, Barnack said:

For the foreign film that get in (and the people making them) it must be almost always quite the big deal.

In case of India just being India's official entry bring those numbers, I wonder what if some film actually won it.

[titanic2187]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

In case of India just being India's official entry bring those numbers, I wonder what if some film actually won it.

If Baahubali 2 can do 20m in NA without any Oscar buzz and distributed by non-USA distributor with its main audience are Indian dispora,

 

An indian film starring Aamir Klhan, Shah Khan & Irfan Khanm with 99% RT score and A+ cinemascore, plus multiple Oscar win including best picture. would easily double what parasite did in NA or even approaching 100m.

 

Not to mention the potential near 600m worldwide gross

 

125m India + 250 China gross + 100m NA gross +  100m from rest of the world

[PKMLover]

Tuesday 11th Feb

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

If Baahubali 2 can do 20m in NA without any Oscar buzz and distributed by non-USA distributor with its main audience are Indian dispora,

Baahubali 2's 12mn is on higher ticket than usual for Telugu version reaching $40 in 1st weekend. Footfalls will be par or lower than Dangal which grossed $12.6mn in 2016.

 

Yeah an Oscar buzz film will do well in USA but not in India or even with diaspora audience. Then it will be doing for overseas audience only. Prime example is "The Lunchbox" by Irrfan Khan. It did really well in overseas, grossing $20mn IIRC outside India but India & diaspora audience hardly paid attention. It did $4.25mn in USA, par that in France and India.

 

 

 

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

What happened to Hustlers?

[charlie Jatinder]

Let's try $40mn for Parasite. 30mn is locked.

[titanic2187]

OSCAR contenders dominate Japanese cinema.  

 

Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (02/15-16)

(C)2019 CJ ENM CORPORATION, BARUNSON E&A ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Weekend Forecast (02/15-16)
01 (03) ¥375,000,000 ($3.4 million), +200%, ¥2,425,000,000 ($22.2 million), Parasite (Bitter's End) WK6
02 (---) ¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), 1917 (Toho-Towa) NEW
03 (01) ¥139,000,000 ($1.3 million), -39%, ¥680,000,000 ($6.2 million), Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho) WK2
04 (02) ¥105,000,000 ($955,000), -32%, ¥480,000,000 ($4.4 million), Howling Village (Toei) WK2
05 (04) ¥x71,000,000 ($645,000), -40%, ¥755,000,000 ($6.9 million), AI Amok (Warner Bros.) WK3
06 (06) ¥x51,000,000 ($465,000), -43%, ¥1,180,000,000 ($10.8 million), Cats (Toho-Towa) WK4
07 (---) ¥x50,000,000 ($455,000), 0, ¥x65,000,000 ($0.6 million), Goodbye: Life Comedy of Starting From a Lie (Kino Films) NEW
08 (05) ¥x44,000,000 ($400,000), -56%, ¥195,000,000 ($1.8 million), Kishiryu Sentai Ryusoulger VS Lupinranger VS Patranger (Toei) WK2
09 (08) ¥x41,000,000 ($375,000), -35%, ¥13,185,000,000 ($120.8 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK13
10 (07) ¥x36,000,000 ($330,000), -45%, ¥1,920,000,000 ($17.6 million), Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK6
11 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($275,000), 0, ¥x40,000,000 ($0.4 million), Man With A Mission The Movie: Trace the History (Toho Video Division) NEW
12 (09) ¥x26,000,000 ($235,000), -48%, ¥7,145,000,000 ($65.4 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) WK9

>Parasite will finally capture the #1 spot in its sixth-weekend in release, after weeks of being blocked by new openers, and it will do so with a monstrous weekend increase. I'm simply tossing out a 200% increase, but given how high of a percentage we're taking here, it will certainly vary. Its Friday was up over 300% compared to last week, and its Saturday pre-sales are up 250% versus last Saturday. So the weekend increase should come in below both of those percentages, but it's going to be huge--150%, at a minimum, should be guaranteed.

>1917 is looking to debut in a solid second place, but one obviously has to wonder just how well it would have opened--and later performed--had it won the big Oscars over Parasite just last Sunday. And do note since the film will very likely appeal heavily toward adult/senior audiences, the weekdays are where it'll play best.

And finally, I expanded the Top 10 to a Top 12 for this Weekend Forecast since the tenth-place position is pretty open this weekend. Kaiji: Final Game should take it, but it seems like it'll have a heavy drop this weekend, so the Man With a Mission documentary, despite being a limited release, could bump it off (its pre-sales are pretty good, too).

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

Wow, wondering could "Parasite" stretch to 40 million?

[PKMLover]

When will we have the movie which can beat Spirited Away (¥30B/$250M/23.5M admits) in Japan? 

[Omni]

3 hours ago, PKMLover said:

When will we have the movie which can beat Spirited Away (¥30B/$250M/23.5M admits) in Japan? 

I honestly don't know if a future film can pass all those three final figures (which basically means passing the adm total). I find it close to impossible.

 

But Frozen already beat the dollar figure of SA by half a million.

[PKMLover]

Sat+Sun 15-16th Feb

 

 

[PKMLover]

Frozen 2 

Japan will be O/U China ($122.3M) ??

[RealLyre]

how much will BoP make here? 10M? 

[keysersoze123]

from KJ(not corpse)

 

Estimated figures. First place in the 6th week of release, "Parasite Semi-Underground Family" admitted 259,000 people on Saturdays and Sundays and earned 372 million yen. Total number of admissions exceeded 1.78 million by 2/16 & gross nears 2.5 billion yen. 

Superb numbers for Parasite, very strong holds incoming and a great finish is on the cards.

Estimated figures. Coming up second, 1917 The Tomorrow's Commander admitted 124,000 people on Saturdays and Sundays and earned 181 million yen. 178,000 people admitted for a total of 3 days of opening, revenue 253 million yen.

Solid numbers for an older-skewing flick, should finish solidly.

"Anna and the Snow Queen 2" has surpassed 10.34 million admissions and 13.211 million yen in revenues as of 2/16. Theatrical screening was announced to end on 3/12.  

Drop this week helped by the first Oscar performance of a Japanese singer who voiced the animated protagonist this past week. Still, this is overall an embarassing decline from Anna and the Snow Queen back in 2014, Disney should rethink how they do the musical numbers for Anna and the Snow Queen 3 in the future or face a further humiliating decline in this market. This would be a great number for most franchises but for this one, sequel to a true American pop culture phenomenon in Japan, this is sad and underwhelming.

 

[Legion Again]

Haha, brutal commentary on F2. I kind of agree though. This market was a disappointment in the end.

[titanic2187]

Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (02/15-16)

(C)2019 CJ ENM CORPORATION, BARUNSON E&A ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Weekend Actuals (02/15-16)
01 (03) ¥371,527,550 ($3.4 million), +197%, ¥2,488,882,260 ($22.8 million), Parasite (Bitter's End) WK6
02 (---) ¥181,000,000 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥253,040,500 ($2.3 million), 1917 (Toho-Towa) NEW
03 (01) ¥143,374,650 ($1.3 million), -37%, ¥735,816,300 ($6.7 million), Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho) WK2
04 (02) ¥142,714,200 ($1.3 million), -08%, ¥578,167,200 ($5.3 million), Howling Village (Toei) WK2
05 (04) ¥x69,885,300 ($636,000), -41%, ¥786,370,600 ($7.2 million), AI Amok (Warner Bros.) WK3
06 (08) ¥x50,555,550 ($460,000), -19%, ¥13,211,093,000 ($121.0 million), Frozen II (Disney) WK13
07 (---) ¥x50,000,000 ($455,000), 0, ¥x61,172,500 ($0.6 million), Goodbye: Life Comedy of Starting From a Lie (Kino Films) NEW
08 (06) ¥x49,262,900 ($449,000), -45%, ¥1,205,272,850 ($11.0 million), Cats (Toho-Towa) WK4
09 (05) ¥x44,000,000 ($401,000), -56%, ¥195,000,000 ($1.8 million), Kishiryu Sentai Ryusoulger VS Lupinranger VS Patranger (Toei) WK2
10 (07) ¥x35,480,750 ($323,000), -44%, ¥1,935,549,950 ($17.7 million), Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK6
11 (09) ¥x27,906,890 ($254,000), -44%, ¥7,161,517,980 ($65.5 million), Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney) WK9
12 (---) ¥x25,000,000 ($227,000), 0, ¥x31,044,893 ($0.3 million), Shadow (Toho Video Division) NEW
13 (---) ¥x20,000,000 ($182,000), 0, ¥x30,000,000 ($0.3 million), Man With A Mission The Movie: Trace the History (Toho Video Division) NEW
14 (10) ¥x19,479,500 ($177,000), -54%, ¥311,599,000 ($0.3 million), Bad Boys For Life (Sony) WK3
15 (11) ¥x17,717,400 ($161,000), -55%, ¥261,783,700 ($0.2 million), Knives Out (Long Ride) WK3

>Parasite rises to the top of the box-office in its sixth-weekend of release, experiencing a huge weekend increase following its incredible Oscar wins and an expansion as a result. The Best Picture winner sold 178,000 admissions over the weekend frame across its new screen count of 277, bringing its cumulative admissions up to 1.78 million. Expect another strong week at the box-office, with the possibility of another weekly increase in its seventh week of release. We'll have to wait a few more weeks to see when it peaks and begins to decline before giving an accurate total projection, but a finish around ¥4 billion ($35-40 million) is likely, but it could go higher.

>1917 had to settle for a second place debut, selling 124,000 admissions over the weekend across 353 screens; it sold 178,102 admissions over its first three-days in release. This is a so-so debut, one that was likely deflated by losing out on any major Oscar wins last Sunday. It'll have good weekday business due to attracting an older audience, but I also don't believe legs will be anything amazing since Parasite has really overshadowed it. It'll be aiming for a total around the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone.

>Howling Village held spectacularly well in its sophomore frame. Its opening weekend was impressive and certainly welcomed by distributor Toei, but this second weekend is more impressive and should allow the film to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone now.

>Frozen II held strong in its thirteenth-weekend of release, and has now become the seventeenth-highest grossing film of all-time, surpassing Bohemian Rhapsody. Expect a total between ¥13.3-13.4 billion ($122/123 million). I know that its performance is being written off as disappointing, even "embarrassing", and I will agree that it's underwhelming, but it's far from an embarrassing performance. A 40% drop-off (giving it ¥15/16 billion) was very expected as a follow-up to a phenomenon, which have always dropped off by that much, so a 47/48% decline, while higher than expected, isn't "sad" and can certainly be attributed to its poor November release date, 6-weeks out from any holiday in the market.

>Cats experienced another rough drop this weekend, and I don't believe Japan will lay claim as its biggest overseas market (currently the U.K.) now. Still, given how poorly received and how awful its numbers were everywhere else, a total a bit above ¥1.3 billion ($12 million) is respectable in that regard. I don't think another attempt at a Cats adaptation will be in the works for quite some time, but hopefully Hollywood (or whoever) does it differently next time--there's easy money to be made from it in the market.

>My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising, now outside of the Top 15 in its ninth-weekend of release, surpassed the total of its predecessor over the weekend and has sold 1.31 million admissions.