JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[Tower]

(C)2020 Warner Bros Entertainment Inc. All Rights Reserved

Weekend Estimates (10/03-04):
01 (01) ¥199,000,000 ($1.9 million), -19%, ¥1,645,000,000 ($15.6 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK3
02 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), The Asadas! (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥122,000,000 ($1.2 million), -07%, ¥1,110,000,000 ($10.6 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) WK3
04 (03) ¥x64,000,000 ($605,000), -37%, ¥930,000,000 ($8.8 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK4
05 (04) ¥x54,000,000 ($510,000), -38%, ¥2,150,000,000 ($20.3 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK6
06 (06) ¥x44,000,000 ($415,000), -45%, ¥260,000,000 ($2.4 million), Midnight Swan (Kino Films) WK2
07 (---) ¥x40,000,000 ($380,000), 0, ¥x55,000,000 ($0.5 million), Trolls: World Tour (Toho-Towa/Gaga) NEW
08 (08) ¥x36,000,000 ($340,000), -37%, ¥3,155,000,000 ($29.7 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK9
09 (07) ¥x33,000,000 ($310,000), -46%, ¥2,080,000,000 ($19.6 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK7
10 (05) ¥x32,000,000 ($305,000), -61%, ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), Keep Your Hands Off Eizouken! (Toho Video Division) WK2
11 (12) ¥x27,000,000 ($255,000), -38%, ¥610,000,000 ($5.8 million), The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film) WK4
12 (09) ¥x26,000,000 ($245,000), -47%, ¥1,865,000,000 ($17.7 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK7

Not a very exciting weekend, especially compared to the last 6-8 weeks.

Tenet achieves a great third weekend though, and was able to defend its hold atop the box-office. Depending on where the actual figure ends up, after just three weeks in release it has already outgrossed The Dark Knight and possibly Dunkirk as well. And it's a lock to reach the ¥2 billion milestone now, so it'll end up outgrossing The Dark Knight Rises to become Nolan's second biggest film in the market after Inception. It should get near a ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) total.

The Asadas!, I would say, opened below expectations, becoming one of the first films not appealing to younger audiences to under-perform on opening weekend. But I won't call it a disappointment at this time because: 1. Sometimes opening weekends aren't indicative of a final total (especially in a leggy market like Japan) and 2. This could definitely be a weekday film that appeals toward much older moviegoers (50-65+), and these films can earn more than 60% of their total on the weekdays versus weekends. We'll see what happens over the next few days.

And Trolls: World Tour bombed, but that's not surprising and completely expected. I don't even think the first one received a theatrical release in the market, and if it did, it was a limited release. While DreamWorks animated films have been able to find a little more success in the market after Toho-Towa took over distribution rights, it's still a rare occurrence when one does find success in the market.

I'll have more analysis when when I post the Weekend Actuals tomorrow. The holdovers, a couple aside, largely experienced rough drops this weekend based on estimates. This isn't exactly unusual for this time of year as October is one of the weakest months of the year (weakest on average), but I was expecting some better holds and hope I underestimate a bit.

[Tower]

(C)2020 Warner Bros Entertainment Inc. All Rights Reserved

Weekend Actuals (10/03-04):
01 (01) ¥210,166,260 ($2.0 million), -15%, ¥1,674,531,690 ($15.9 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK3
02 (---) ¥172,045,900 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥280,330,250 ($2.7 million), The Asadas! (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥128,641,400 ($1.2 million), -03%, ¥1,117,052,200 ($10.7 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) WK3
04 (03) ¥x69,681,900 ($660,000), -31%, ¥958,691,700 ($9.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK4
05 (04) ¥x60,084,130 ($570,000), -31%, ¥2,162,791,570 ($20.4 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK6
06 (06) ¥x46,979,800 ($445,000), -41%, ¥276,288,100 ($2.5 million), Midnight Swan (Kino Films) WK2
07 (---) ¥x42,695,320 ($404,000), 0, ¥x48,934,740 ($0.5 million), Trolls: World Tour (Toho-Towa/Gaga) NEW
08 (08) ¥x40,336,300 ($382,000), -30%, ¥3,173,949,500 ($29.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK9
09 (07) ¥x36,560,700 ($346,000), -40%, ¥2,096,150,050 ($19.7 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK7
10 (09) ¥x31,034,400 ($294,000), -38%, ¥1,879,521,300 ($17.8 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK8

>Tenet earns its third-consecutive weekend atop the box-office, delivering an excellent hold off just 15% to sell a further 122,000 admissions. After 17-days in release, Nolan's latest has sold 1.03 million admissions. The film is holding astoundingly better than any of Nolan's past films, and it has already outgross both The Dark Knight and Dunkirk to become his third biggest film in the market; and it's very likely to surpass The Dark Knight Rises next weekend to become his second biggest film. It won't be able to match the success of Inception, but it's on track for an impressive ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) total.

>The Asadas! settled for a second place debut in revenue, but actually managed a first place start in admissions by selling 126,000 over the weekend frame across 343 screens. This is likely a little below expectations, but I expect this one to be quite leggy as it's going to be a weekday film since it's skewing toward older audiences (50+). It should finish near ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Violet Evergarden: The Movie remained nearly flat compared to last weekend and exceeded the ¥1 billion milestone after 17-days in release. It already surpassed the total of the last Violet Evergarden film, and at this rate, might come close to doubling it wit ha total around/above ¥1.5 billion ($15 million).

>Trolls: World Tour bombed, but that's not surprising and completely expected. I don't even think the first one received a theatrical release in the market, and if it did, it was a limited release. While DreamWorks animated films have been able to find a little more success in the market after Toho-Towa took over distribution rights, it's still a rare occurrence when one does find success in the market.

[charlie Jatinder]

I am guessing ¥2.6 bllion full run.

Edited October 6, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[The Gotham Bank]

To me, these really good performances in some markets like Japan are like a double-edged sword because they make me feel even more disappointed about the market in the US. What it could've been vs. what it actually is... a bitter taste.

[Tower]

(C)2020 Warner Bros Entertainment Inc. All Rights Reserved

Weekend Estimates(10/10-11):
01 (01) ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), -19%, ¥2,065,000,000 ($19.6 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK4
02 (02) ¥119,000,000 ($1.1 million), -31%, ¥650,000,000 ($6.1 million), The Asadas! (Toho) WK2
03 (03) ¥x70,000,000 ($660,000), -46%, ¥1,330,000,000 ($12.8 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) WK4
04 (---) ¥x65,000,000 ($615,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million), Hope (Kadokawa) NEW
05 (04) ¥x55,000,000 ($520,000), -21%, ¥1,040,000,000 ($10.0 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK5
06 (05) ¥x39,000,000 ($370,000), -35%, ¥2,255,000,000 ($21.3 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK7
07 (08) ¥x35,000,000 ($330,000), -12%, ¥3,220,000,000 ($30.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK10
08 (06) ¥x35,000,000 ($330,000), -25%, ¥380,000,000 ($3.5 million), Midnight Swan (Kino Films) WK3
09 (07) ¥x32,000,000 ($300,000), -26%, ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million), Trolls: World Tour (Toho-Towa/Gaga) WK2
10 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($285,000), 0, ¥x45,000,000 ($0.4 million), Kim Ji-young: Born 1982 (Klockworks) NEW
11 (---) ¥x25,000,000 ($235,000), 0, ¥x35,000,000 ($0.3 million), Under the Stars (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
12 (09) ¥x24,000,000 ($225,000), -34%, ¥2,165,000,000 ($20.3 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK7

>Tenet is now Nolan's second biggest film in Japan, only behind Inception, after another excellent hold. A total north of ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) is locked up now, and it might even get pretty close to reaching the ¥3 billion (~$30 million) milestone. But I wouldn't expect a total quite that high, however, since it's losing all its IMAX screens to Demon Slayer next weekend.

>The Asadas! opened to a so-so result last weekend, but as expected since it's an older-skewing film, it did exceptionally well over the weekdays (around 50% better than its opening weekend) and won't end up with a disappointing total after all. It'll probably end up finishing near the ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million) mark.

The Weekend Top 10 is down a respectable 24% versus the same weekend last year, based on estimates. Monday is a national holiday, so the Weekend Actuals will be delayed until Tuesday. I'll post Monday's estimates tomorrow though while we wait.

[charlie Jatinder]

So official opening weekend record can break next weekend. Matrix Reloaded has the record.

[Jamiem]

11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

So official opening weekend record can break next weekend. Matrix Reloaded has the record.

Stand By Me Doraemon 2 about to make some huge bank? 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Jamiem said:

Stand By Me Doraemon 2 about to make some huge bank? 

Corpse is mentioning some "Demon Slayer"

[Jamiem]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Corpse is mentioning some "Demon Slayer"

Ah that seems more likely, huge anime TV show and Manga so certainly possible. 
 

Gonna be honest I have no idea what’s releasing at the moment so I just looked on Wikipedia and that was the only kinda big release I could see. 

[charlie Jatinder]

36 minutes ago, Jamiem said:

Gonna be honest I have no idea what’s releasing at the moment so I just looked on Wikipedia and that was the only kinda big release I could see. 

that's cool. I am japanese indutry illiterate, so....

[The Gotham Bank]

Demon Slayer will make $100M in Japan. Its popularity is unprecedented.

[CoolK]

Demon slayer ..this one??

 

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9335498/?ref_=nv_sr_srsg_0

 

if yes, then im not surprised..its extremely well made & ticks all the boxes..

[Jamiem]

1 minute ago, CoolK said:

Demon slayer ..this one??

 

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9335498/?ref_=nv_sr_srsg_0

 

if yes, then im not surprised..its extremely well made & ticks all the boxes..

That the tv series but yeah thats the one. Here’s the imdb page for the movie if you want to check it out. 
 

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11032374/?ref_=nv_sr_srsg_2

[charlie Jatinder]

On 4/19/2016 at 12:47 AM, Olive said:

All-Time Opening Weekends [REVENUE]

Spoiler

Rank :: Revenue [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)
01. ¥2,222,854,550 [631] - The Matrix Reloaded (Warner Bros.) 
02. ¥2,068,252,580 [919] - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.) 
03. ¥2,050,745,255 [858] - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (Warner Bros.)
04. ¥1,944,562,960 [760] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (Disney) 
05. ¥1,879,423,202 [758] - Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith (Fox) 
06. ¥1,871,164,334 [796] - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (Warner Bros.)
07. ¥1,694,140,004 [826] - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (Warner Bros.) 
08. ¥1,644,716,870 [841] - War of the Worlds (Paramount) 
09. ¥1,628,893,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho)
10. ¥1,617,608,800 [638] - The Matrix Revolutions (Warner Bros.) 
11. ¥1,604,609,245 [639] - Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones (Fox) 
12. ¥1,550,280,200 [578] - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Warner Bros.)
13. ¥1,542,985,506 [729] - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (Herald/Shochiku) 
14. ¥1,483,804,112 [448] - Howl's Moving Castle (Toho) 
15. ¥1,471,311,021 [881] - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (Disney) 
16. ¥1,456,401,175 [550] - Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines (Toho-Towa) 
17. ¥1,372,054,050 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Toei) 
18. ¥1,316,539,200 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Disney) 
19. ¥1,301,851,375 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (Warner Bros.) 
20. ¥1,263,735,608 [408] - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (Toho) 
21. ¥1,258,095,403 [863] - The Da Vinci Code (Sony) 
22. ¥1,245,023,900 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) 
23. ¥1,225,913,932 [428] - Rookies (Toho) 
24. ¥1,209,158,900 [348] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho)
25. ¥1,208,276,812 [807] - Spider-Man 3 (Sony) 
26. ¥1,133,513,323 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (T-Joy) 
27. ¥1,113,116,126 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Disney) 
28. ¥1,057,808,800 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) 
29. ¥1,038,295,232 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Toei) 
30. ¥1,034,459,534 [481] - Ponyo (Toho) 
31. ¥1,013,719,284 [475] - Hero (Toho) 
32. ¥1,010,000,000 [318] - Spirited Away (Toho) 
33. ¥1,005,428,333 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (Toho) 

 

For reference. This is old now however.

Found this news, which give previews separately. Matrix 2 had ¥892mn previews in ¥2222mn reported weekend. So two days was ¥1330mn Approx. I assume that's two days.

 

 

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/entertainment/2975050.stm#:~:text=The Matrix Reloaded has broken,5m) from advanced previews alone.

Edited October 13, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[The Gotham Bank]

Demon Slayer will comfortably beat the OW record.

EDIT: and if it doesn't, blame it on COVID.

Edited October 13, 2020 by The Gotham Bank

[charlie Jatinder]

Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [REVENUE]
 

Spoiler

Modern Rank (All-Time Rank)
01 (09) ¥1,628,893,000 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)

02 (11) ¥1,616,000,000 - Frozen II (Nov, 2019)
03 (17) ¥1,463,827,700 - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)
04 (20) ¥1,377,047,900 - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)
05 (21) ¥1,372,054,050 - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012) 
06 (23) ¥1,316,539,200 - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
07 (24) ¥1,301,851,375 - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
08 (25) ¥1,295,834,500 - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
09 (26) ¥1,286,928,000 - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
10 (27) ¥1,245,023,900 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 
11 (28) ¥1,225,913,932 - Rookies (May, 2009) 
12 (29) ¥1,216,654,000 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
13 (30) ¥1,209,158,900 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
14 (31) ¥1,205,116,126 - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011) 
15 (33) ¥1,185,000,000 - Weathering With You (July, 2019)
 

The Matrix Reloaded will be number 7 of all time in reality unless some film had lower previews.

[charlie Jatinder]

The highest single day record is with Frozen II I reckon. ¥846mn Approx & 790k admits on its second Sunday which was discount day. The usual location admits were 612,645. If opening weekend record is falling, revenue gross will easily fall. Am interested if admission record will fall too.

Edited October 13, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[Brainbug]

Demon Slayers first season was a worlwide phenomenon last year and the manga literally exploded in tandem. I woudnt be surprised at record numbers whatsoever.

[charlie Jatinder]

I have no idea what it is, but will like to see something break some record, more so since that record at times felt virtually impossible. 

Edited October 13, 2020 by charlie Jatinder

[The Gotham Bank]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I have no idea what it is, but will like to see something break some record, more so since that record at times felt virtually impossible. 

But you probably know what One Piece is and how huge that is. Now multiply that by 5 times, that's how big Kimetsu no Yaiba is in Japan right now. For a very long time, One Piece was the best selling manga in Japan with a record of 37 million copies sold in 2011. This year, in just the first 6 months, Demon Slayer sold over 45 million copies. Properties like Naruto and Dragon Ball have sold 250-300 million copies to date, that means Demon Slayer is reaching a third of those sales in just a single year.