JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[shachi86]

16 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Japan will most likely go around ¥36Bn i.e. $343mn Approx.

Taiwan is looking at $20mn range.
Hong Kong perhaps $7mn.

These 3 will give it $370mn / ¥38.6Bn.

That leaves about $83mn for taking the top spot of 2020 and about ¥9Bn for beating Spirited Away for Biggest Japanese film worldwide, roughly same amount for both benchmark.

Your Name did around $130mn, outside these three but that had a very big Korea and China ($109mn to be precise).

Taiwan numbers suggest a big China for Demon Slayer, but @Gavin Feng told us to expect $30-40mn, so I will hold my horse. Will depend a lot on Korea

What if it does ￥40b+ in Japan?

[Somoset]

Any projections on STAND BY ME DORAEMON 2 this weekend? 

[ymblcza]

Personal projection of DS and Doraemon at usual locations on FSSM (k)

90 240 310 290

50 140 210 220

 

Edit: presales look not good at all, might shave off a bit

Edited November 19, 2020 by ymblcza

[CoolK]

 

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥620,000,000 ($5.9 million) / 460,000
10/27 - Tues.: ¥410,000,000 ($3.9 million) / 300,000
10/28 - Wed.: ¥575,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 430,000
10/29 - Thur.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000
10/30 - Fri.: ¥555,000,000 ($5.3 million) / 405,000
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,212,312,550 ($11.6 million) / 887,893
11/01 - Sun.: ¥1,286,354,600 ($12.3 million) / 1,140,390 *Discount Day*
11/02 - Mon: ¥820,000,000 ($7.8 million) / 605,000 *Holiday Boosted*
11/03 - Tues.: ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.3 million) / 900,000 *Holiday*
11/04 - Wed.: ¥350,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 260,000
11/05 - Thur.: ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 170,000
11/06 - Fri.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 240,000
11/07 - Sat.: ¥863,827,750 ($8.3 million) / 628,614
11/08 - Sun.: ¥909,098,150 ($8.8 million) / 667,179
11/09 - Mon.: ¥315,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 230,000
11/10 - Tues.: ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million) / 160,000
11/11 - Wed.: ¥295,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 230,000
11/12 - Thur.: ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 145,000
11/13 - Fri.: ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 225,000
11/14 - Sat.: ¥795,343,500 ($7.6 million) / 611,418
11/15 - Sun.: ¥726,313,550 ($6.9 million) / 535,986
11/16 - Mon.: ¥265,000,000 ($2.5 million) / 195,000 *est.*
11/17 - Tues.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000 *est.*
11/18 - Wed.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 185,000 *est.*
11/19 - Thur.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000 *est.*

35-Day Cumulative Total: ¥24,184,291,050 ($230.4 million) / 18,125,285 *est.*

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

Demon Slayer till 19th November 2020

 

Japan - $231.3mn Approx

Taiwan - $14.32mn

Hong Kong - $2.37mn

Singapore - numbers awaited

 

Total - $248mn or ¥25.95bn

 

[LPLC]

Demon Slayer should reach $246M-$247M by Monday 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, LPLC said:

Demon Slayer should reach $246M-$247M by Monday 

I think $250mn is quite doable.

[LPLC]

21 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I think $250mn is quite doable.

I'm not sure of that, I don't know what you are thinking or predicting but I was thinking about a 3 day weekend of around $15M- $16M, and Corpse is thinking more about a 3 day weekend of around $14M. To reach $250M by Monday, he would need a 3 day weekend of around $17M- $18M, it seems difficult to me at the moment

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, LPLC said:

I'm not sure of that, I don't know what you are thinking or predicting but I was thinking about a 3 day weekend of around $15M- $16M, and Corpse is thinking more about a 3 day weekend of around $14M. To reach $250M by Monday, he would need a 3 day weekend of around $17M- $18M, it seems difficult to me at the moment

I am thinking $16mn too, which will take it to $249.5mn.

[Legion Again]

16 3-day should take it over 250 when the weekdays adjust up.

Edited November 21, 2020 by WandaLegion

[charlie Jatinder]

Ok not looking like $16mn 3 days, more like $13mn.

[LPLC]

42 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Ok not looking like $16mn 3 days, more like $13mn.

Why do you say that ?

 

the big drop this morning was expected by Corpse since last week people had reserved and went to the cinemas in the morning to collect their gifts, which is why the drop is so big this morning but it will decrease during the day, all of this Corpse had planned it and it's quite normal imo

 

Charlie, do you have a twitter account ?

Edited November 21, 2020 by LPLC

[LPLC]

19 hours ago, LPLC said:

Demon Slayer should reach $246M-$247M by Monday 

I think I was right, expect $246M by Monday

[titanic2187]

Did they just re-release Stand by me Doremon?

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Did they just re-release Stand by me Doremon?

I think its sequel.

[LPLC]

If all goes well Demon Slayer should become 1st in the Japanese box office in dollars and 2nd in the Japanese box office in yen and admissions by next weekend just before December, then it will have around ¥4.5Bn and 4 million admissions to be made to become number 1 and it will surely succeed during the 18 days of vacation in Japan between late December and early January. Charlie, could you updated your predictions ? What is actually lock for you guys ?

[PKMLover]

Top 100 Highest-Grossing Films of All-Time

001. ¥30.80 billion ($253.0 million) / [¥31.66 billion ($261.0 million)] - Spirited Away (2001)*
_______________
002. ¥26.20 billion ($212.0 million) / [¥27.05 billion ($218.0 million)] - Titanic (1997)
003. ¥25.50 billion ($249.6 million) - Frozen (2014)
004. ¥25.45 billion ($242.6 million) - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020) *38-Day Est.*
005. ¥25.03 billion ($236.5 million) - Your Name. (2016)
006. ¥20.30 billion ($163.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
007. ¥19.30 billion ($165.5 million) / [¥20.15 billion ($173.5 million] - Princess Mononoke (1997)*

[LPLC]

Do you think that DS could surpass 19,5 millions admissions (record of Tokyo Olympiad) by the end of today ? and 20,03 millions admissions (record of Frozen) by Friday ?

[charlie Jatinder]

Demon Slayer Projection

 

Demon Slayer
Date	Weekly	% +/- LW	To Date	Week
Oct 10-16	¥1,268,725,000		¥1,268,725,000	0
Oct 17-23	¥6,444,058,000	407.92%	¥7,712,783,000	1
Oct 24-30	¥5,588,449,000	-13.28%	¥13,301,232,000	2
Oct 31-Nov 06	¥5,409,454,000	-3.20%	¥18,710,686,000	3
Nov 07-13	¥3,116,948,000	-42.38%	¥21,827,634,000	4
Nov 14-20	¥2,550,000,000	-18.19%	¥24,377,634,000	5
Nov 21-27	¥2,200,000,000	-13.73%	¥26,577,634,000	6
Nov 28-Dec 04	¥1,650,000,000	-25.00%	¥28,227,634,000	7
Dec 05-11	¥1,072,500,000	-35.00%	¥29,300,134,000	8
Dec 12-18	¥858,000,000	-20.00%	¥30,158,134,000	9
Dec 19-25	¥1,072,500,000	25.00%	¥31,230,634,000	10
Dec 26-Jan 01	¥1,287,000,000	20.00%	¥32,517,634,000	11
Jan 02-08	¥1,158,300,000	-10.00%	¥33,675,934,000	12
Jan 09-15	¥579,150,000	-50.00%	¥34,255,084,000	13
Jan 16-22	¥347,490,000	-40.00%	¥34,602,574,000	14
Jan 23-29	¥260,617,500	-25.00%	¥34,863,191,500	15
Jan 30-Feb 05	¥182,432,250	-30.00%	¥35,045,623,750	16

 

 

ETA Spirited Away unless theaters are closed or something, Dec 27th or Dec 28th.

[LPLC]

Could you make the same predictions but with admissions please ?