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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Weekend Forecast (12/12-13):
01 (01) ¥950,000,000 ($9.1 million), +45%, ¥30,285,000,000 ($288.6 million), Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Toho/Aniplex) WK9
02 (---) ¥425,000,000 ($4.1 million), 0, ¥585,000,000 ($5.6 million), New Interpretation Records of the Three Kingdoms (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), -50%, ¥1,100,000,000 ($10.5 million), Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie (Shochiku) WK2
04 (03) ¥190,000,000 ($1.8 million), -22%, ¥1,780,000,000 ($17.1 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 (Toho) WK4
05 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥225,000,000 ($2.2 million), Tengaramon (Giggly Box) NEW
06 (04) ¥x77,000,000 ($740,000), -55%, ¥320,000,000 ($3.1 million), Fate/Grand Order - Divine Realm of the Round Table: Camelot 1 (Aniplex) WK2
07 (05) ¥x51,000,000 ($490,000), -44%, ¥280,000,000 ($2.7 million), Silent Tokyo (Toei) WK2
08 (06) ¥x41,000,000 ($395,000), -33%, ¥185,000,000 ($1.8 million), The Witches (Warner Bros.) WK2
09 (---) ¥x35,000,000 ($335,000), 0, ¥x55,000,000 ($0.5 million), Evangelion 2.0: You Can (Not) Advance [4DX re-release] (Toho/Toei/Khara) NEW
10 (09) ¥x18,000,000 ($175,000), -24%, ¥395,000,000 ($3.8 million), The Legend of Hei (Aniplex/Team Joy) WK6


First Weekend Forecast in a awhile, but I'm going to begin doing them again, along with Weekend Estimates on Sundays, on a weekly basis.

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train is a bit of a shot in the dark this weekend. It has the reservations for Saturday that would normally guarantee a weekend above ¥1 billion, and I think it might get there, but again, just in case it doesn't, I'm predicting below that mark with a "safe" (LOL) 45% increase.

Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie is the only one I'm not very confident on since its average ticket price was greatly inflated last weekend. Its going to have a decent Saturday hold based on reservations, but I'm expecting a very large decline on Sunday. Still, a 50% decline is more of a guess than prediction.

 

 

Biggest Ninth Weekends/Nine Week Totals (2000-)

¥950.0 million ($9.1 million), +45%, ¥30.29 billion ($288.6 million) - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020) *Weekend Prediction*
¥737.8 million ($7.2 million), -34%, ¥17.08 billion ($167.4 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥700.3 million ($6.2 million), -07%, ¥20.16 billion ($166.5 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥476.3 million ($4.6 million), +02%, ¥16.41 billion ($159.8 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥419.2 million ($4.0 million), +21%, ¥10.47 billion ($98.8 million) - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥404.7 million ($4.4 million), -20%, ¥11.87 billion ($131.1 million) - Avatar (2009)
¥377.4 million ($3.1 million), -11%, ¥15.27 billion ($129.6 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥343.5 million ($3.4 million), -45%, ¥15.76 billion ($154.9 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥335.8 million ($3.1 million), -08%, ¥8.46 billion ($75.3 million) - Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)
¥324.9 million ($3.4 million), -29%, ¥10.62 billion ($108.7 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥296.5 million ($2.2 million), -31%, ¥17.89 billion ($133.2 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥278.1 million ($2.2 million), -45%, ¥15.23 billion ($129.6 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥259.9 million ($2.4 million), -31%, ¥13.88 billion ($129.2 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥220.3 million ($2.0 million), -23%, ¥11.41 billion ($101.1 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥214.9 million ($2.0 million), -11%, ¥10.29 billion ($97.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥212.5 million ($2.0 million), -16%, ¥12.72 billion ($118.3 million) - Weathering With You (2019)
¥205.8 million ($1.9 million), -40%, ¥12.51 billion ($114.7 million), Frozen II (2019)
¥201.2 million ($1.9 million), -51%, ¥11.92 billion ($108.4 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥200.3 million ($1.9 million), -30%, ¥6.91 billion ($64.0 million) - Zootopia (2016)
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On 12/9/2020 at 11:17 PM, WandaLegion said:

Pretty much assured. I think we will see ¥850M-1.05B range 👀

Skadoosh, my midrange exactly agreed with Corpse”s forecast 2 days early 😈  

 

Of course it will be a kind of unprecedented and volatile weekend, with the better giveaway item than last two, less supply, and the baseline numbers much less. So maybe it will have insanely low PSm and just do 800 or something.

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Tried to project DS holidays numbers.

 

Bold Gold is Weekend.

Bold Black is Specific Holiday.

Bold Grey is Holiday.

Normal is normal day.

 

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20 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Tried to project DS holidays numbers.

 

Bold Gold is Weekend.

Bold Black is Specific Holiday.

Bold Grey is Holiday.

Normal is normal day.

 

Still thinking about Chritmas week > New year week > Extented new year week ?

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1 hour ago, LPLC said:

Still thinking about Chritmas week > New year week > Extented new year week ?

I never said Xmas Week > New Year

 

I said New Year > New Year Week 2 > Xmas > New Year Week 3

 

Now I am saying New Year > New Year Week 2 > Xmas = New Year Week 3.

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from corpse

 

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥620,000,000 ($5.9 million) / 460,000
10/27 - Tues.: ¥410,000,000 ($3.9 million) / 300,000
10/28 - Wed.: ¥575,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 430,000
10/29 - Thur.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000
10/30 - Fri.: ¥555,000,000 ($5.3 million) / 405,000
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,212,312,550 ($11.6 million) / 887,893
11/01 - Sun.: ¥1,286,354,600 ($12.3 million) / 1,140,390 *Discount Day*
11/02 - Mon: ¥820,000,000 ($7.8 million) / 605,000 *Holiday Boosted*
11/03 - Tues.: ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.3 million) / 900,000 *Holiday*
11/04 - Wed.: ¥350,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 260,000
11/05 - Thur.: ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 170,000
11/06 - Fri.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 240,000
11/07 - Sat.: ¥863,827,750 ($8.3 million) / 628,614
11/08 - Sun.: ¥909,098,150 ($8.8 million) / 667,179
11/09 - Mon.: ¥315,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 230,000
11/10 - Tues.: ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million) / 160,000
11/11 - Wed.: ¥295,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 230,000
11/12 - Thur.: ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 145,000
11/13 - Fri.: ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 225,000
11/14 - Sat.: ¥795,343,500 ($7.6 million) / 611,418
11/15 - Sun.: ¥726,313,550 ($6.9 million) / 535,986
11/16 - Mon.: ¥265,000,000 ($2.5 million) / 195,000
11/17 - Tues.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/18 - Wed.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 185,000
11/19 - Thur.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/20 - Fri.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 170,000
11/21 - Sat.: ¥439,606,550 ($4.2 million) / 314,726
11/22 - Sun.: ¥592,738,550 ($5.7 million) / 433,315
11/23 - Mon.: ¥460,110,250 ($4.4 million) / 357,741 *Holiday*
11/24 - Tues.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 90,000
11/25 - Wed.: ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million) / 120,000
11/26 - Thur.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million) / 85,000
11/27 - Fri.: ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000
11/28 - Sat.: ¥556,443,300 ($5.3 million) / 392,017
11/29 - Sun: ¥448,060,450 ($4.3 million) / 320,031
11/30 - Mon.: ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million) / 105,000
12/01 - Tues.: ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 145,000 *Discount Day*
12/02 - Wed.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) /100,000
12/03 - Thur.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000
12/04 - Fri.: ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million) / 105,000
12/05 - Sat.: ¥319,013,550 ($3.1 million) / 225,976
12/06 - Sun.: ¥336,505,700 ($3.2 million) / 239,874
12/07 - Mon.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000 *est.*
12/08 - Tues.: ¥x70,000,000 ($0.7 million) / x50,000 *est.*
12/09 - Wed.: ¥110,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x85,000 *est.*
12/10 - Thur.: ¥x80,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x55,000 *est.*
12/11 - Fri.: ¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million) / x75,000 *est.*
12/12 - Sat.: ¥590,000,000 ($5.7 million) / 420,000 *est.*


58-Day Cumulative Total: ¥29,925,575,300 ($285.2 million) / 22,280,216

Note: Mon.-Fri. are estimates (excluding Holiday Mondays), therefore adding up each day won't equal the actual total.
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Oh my, we're literally less than 2 weeks away from Spirited Away being overtaken!

Edited by shachi86

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17 minutes ago, shachi86 said:

Oh my, we're literally less than 2 weeks away from Spirited Away being overtaken!

Less than one week :)

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With around $315M internationally, Demon Slayer surpasses Sonic and becomes the 5th biggest box office hit of this year. Does any one have the top 10 box office hits of 2020 list ?

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Weekend Estimates (12/12-13):
01 (01) ¥935,000,000 ($9.0 million), +43%, ¥30,270,575,300 ($288.5 million), Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Toho/Aniplex) WK9
02 (---) ¥590,000,000 ($5.7 million), 0, ¥750,000,000 ($7.2 million), New Interpretation Records of the Three Kingdoms (Toho) NEW
03 (03) ¥186,000,000 ($1.8 million), -24%, ¥1,780,000,000 ($17.1 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 (Toho) WK4
04 (02) ¥156,000,000 ($1.5 million), -61%, ¥1,050,000,000 ($10.0 million), Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie (Shochiku) WK2
05 (---) ¥x80,000,000 ($770,000), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), Tengaramon (Giggly Box) NEW
06 (04) ¥x67,000,000 ($645,000), -61%, ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million), Fate/Grand Order - Divine Realm of the Round Table: Camelot 1 (Aniplex) WK2
07 (05) ¥x42,000,000 ($405,000), -53%, ¥270,000,000 ($2.6 million), Silent Tokyo (Toei) WK2
08 (---) ¥x35,000,000 ($335,000), 0, ¥x55,000,000 ($0.5 million), Evangelion 2.0: You Can (Not) Advance [4DX re-release] (Toho/Toei/Khara) NEW
09 (06) ¥x33,000,000 ($315,000), -47%, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), The Witches (Warner Bros.) WK2
10 (09) ¥x19,000,000 ($180,000), -19%, ¥395,000,000 ($3.8 million), The Legend of Hei (Aniplex/Team Joy) WK6


Demon Slayer: Mugen Train continues to be covered in the thread discussions and charts, so check the many pages/posts in recent days for information on it. 

New Interpretation Records of the Three Kingdoms scores the third biggest debut of the 2020 calendar year, and the second highest for a live-action film (behind the same director's From Today, It's My Turn! back in July). Look for a total around ¥4-5 billion ($40-50 million).

Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 is still holding well, and is doing what it needs to do in order to benefit enough from the upcoming holiday season to get above the ¥3 billion ($30 million) milestone I believe.

Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie drop is solely based on its decline in admissions, but given the special screenings greatly inflating its average ticket price, it'll probably come in noticeably lower in revenue with actuals tomorrow.


Another great weekend. Based on the estimates above, the Top 10 is up 25% versus the same weekend last year.
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Weekend actual: ¥30.289.307.700 ( 22.539.385 admits )
From 26/12, 4DX and MX4D version will be released.
300k giveaway (special key) will be given to people who join in the 4DX/ MX4D version showings.

But I don't know if this giveaway is only an extra gifts for people who join in 4DX and MX4D version? And there will be other giveaway?

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from Corpse

 

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000 
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000 
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000 
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182 
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654 
10/26 - Mon.: ¥620,000,000 ($5.9 million) / 460,000
10/27 - Tues.: ¥410,000,000 ($3.9 million) / 300,000 
10/28 - Wed.: ¥575,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 430,000
10/29 - Thur.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000
10/30 - Fri.: ¥555,000,000 ($5.3 million) / 405,000
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,212,312,550 ($11.6 million) / 887,893
11/01 - Sun.: ¥1,286,354,600 ($12.3 million) / 1,140,390 *Discount Day*
11/02 - Mon: ¥820,000,000 ($7.8 million) / 605,000 *Holiday Boosted*
11/03 - Tues.: ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.3 million) / 900,000 *Holiday*
11/04 - Wed.: ¥350,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 260,000 
11/05 - Thur.: ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 170,000 
11/06 - Fri.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 240,000 
11/07 - Sat.: ¥863,827,750 ($8.3 million) / 628,614
11/08 - Sun.: ¥909,098,150 ($8.8 million) / 667,179
11/09 - Mon.: ¥315,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 230,000 
11/10 - Tues.: ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million) / 160,000 
11/11 - Wed.: ¥295,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 230,000 
11/12 - Thur.: ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 145,000 
11/13 - Fri.: ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 225,000 
11/14 - Sat.: ¥795,343,500 ($7.6 million) / 611,418 
11/15 - Sun.: ¥726,313,550 ($6.9 million) / 535,986
11/16 - Mon.: ¥265,000,000 ($2.5 million) / 195,000 
11/17 - Tues.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000 
11/18 - Wed.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 185,000
11/19 - Thur.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000 
11/20 - Fri.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 170,000 
11/21 - Sat.: ¥439,606,550 ($4.2 million) / 314,726 
11/22 - Sun.: ¥592,738,550 ($5.7 million) / 433,315
11/23 - Mon.: ¥460,110,250 ($4.4 million) / 357,741 *Holiday*
11/24 - Tues.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 90,000 
11/25 - Wed.: ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million) / 120,000 
11/26 - Thur.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million) / 85,000 
11/27 - Fri.: ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000 
11/28 - Sat.: ¥556,443,300 ($5.3 million) / 392,017 
11/29 - Sun: ¥448,060,450 ($4.3 million) / 320,031
11/30 - Mon.: ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million) / 105,000 
12/01 - Tues.: ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 145,000 *Discount Day*
12/02 - Wed.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) /100,000 
12/03 - Thur.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000 
12/04 - Fri.: ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million) / 105,000 
12/05 - Sat.: ¥319,013,550 ($3.1 million) / 225,976 
12/06 - Sun.: ¥336,505,700 ($3.2 million) / 239,874
12/07 - Mon.: ¥100,000,000 ($1.0 million) / x75,000 
12/08 - Tues.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x55,000 
12/09 - Wed.: ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x90,000 
12/10 - Thur.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x60,000 
12/11 - Fri.: ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x80,000 
12/12 - Sat.: ¥588,408,200 ($5.7 million) / 407,286
12/13 - Sun.: ¥351,003,000 ($3.4 million) / 248,024


59-Day Cumulative Total: ¥30,289,307,700 ($288.9 million) / 22,539,385 

Note: Mon.-Fri. are estimates (excluding Holiday Mondays), therefore adding up each day won't equal the actual total.

Monday-Friday (12/07-11) have been readjusted (all up) to account for the new cumulative total. I've gotten the weekend numbers very close for most of this film's run, but I keep underestimating the weekdays a bit, even after upping my estimates more and more each week to avoid this. It's not a lot, really, but I'll just keep estimating higher and higher until it matches up better! LOL.

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Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker

10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥620,000,000 ($5.9 million) / 460,000
10/27 - Tues.: ¥410,000,000 ($3.9 million) / 300,000
10/28 - Wed.: ¥575,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 430,000
10/29 - Thur.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000
10/30 - Fri.: ¥555,000,000 ($5.3 million) / 405,000
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,212,312,550 ($11.6 million) / 887,893
11/01 - Sun.: ¥1,286,354,600 ($12.3 million) / 1,140,390 *Discount Day*
11/02 - Mon: ¥820,000,000 ($7.8 million) / 605,000 *Holiday Boosted*
11/03 - Tues.: ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.3 million) / 900,000 *Holiday*
11/04 - Wed.: ¥350,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 260,000
11/05 - Thur.: ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 170,000
11/06 - Fri.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 240,000
11/07 - Sat.: ¥863,827,750 ($8.3 million) / 628,614
11/08 - Sun.: ¥909,098,150 ($8.8 million) / 667,179
11/09 - Mon.: ¥315,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 230,000
11/10 - Tues.: ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million) / 160,000
11/11 - Wed.: ¥295,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 230,000
11/12 - Thur.: ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 145,000
11/13 - Fri.: ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 225,000
11/14 - Sat.: ¥795,343,500 ($7.6 million) / 611,418
11/15 - Sun.: ¥726,313,550 ($6.9 million) / 535,986
11/16 - Mon.: ¥265,000,000 ($2.5 million) / 195,000
11/17 - Tues.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/18 - Wed.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 185,000
11/19 - Thur.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/20 - Fri.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 170,000
11/21 - Sat.: ¥439,606,550 ($4.2 million) / 314,726
11/22 - Sun.: ¥592,738,550 ($5.7 million) / 433,315
11/23 - Mon.: ¥460,110,250 ($4.4 million) / 357,741 *Holiday*
11/24 - Tues.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 90,000
11/25 - Wed.: ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million) / 120,000
11/26 - Thur.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million) / 85,000
11/27 - Fri.: ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000
11/28 - Sat.: ¥556,443,300 ($5.3 million) / 392,017
11/29 - Sun: ¥448,060,450 ($4.3 million) / 320,031
11/30 - Mon.: ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million) / 105,000
12/01 - Tues.: ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 145,000 *Discount Day*
12/02 - Wed.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) /100,000
12/03 - Thur.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000
12/04 - Fri.: ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million) / 105,000
12/05 - Sat.: ¥319,013,550 ($3.1 million) / 225,976
12/06 - Sun.: ¥336,505,700 ($3.2 million) / 239,874
12/07 - Mon.: ¥100,000,000 ($1.0 million) / x75,000
12/08 - Tues.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x55,000
12/09 - Wed.: ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x90,000
12/10 - Thur.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x60,000
12/11 - Fri.: ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x80,000
12/12 - Sat.: ¥588,408,200 ($5.7 million) / 407,286
12/13 - Sun.: ¥351,003,000 ($3.4 million) / 248,024
12/14 - Mon.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.2 million) / x85,000 *est.*


60-Day Cumulative Total: ¥30,409,307,700 ($290.1 million) / 22,624,385
 

 

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Records expected to be broken by this weekend

 

1st film to gross $300mn USD in JP

#1 film in JPY , current record  - ¥30.80 billion Spirited Away

 

early next week

#1 film by admissions, current record  - 23.5mn Spirited Away 

 

Edited by CoolK

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10 hours ago, CoolK said:

Records expected to be broken by this weekend

 

1st film to gross $300mn USD in JP

#1 film in JPY , current record  - ¥30.80 billion Spirited Away

 

early next week

#1 film by admissions, current record  - 23.5mn Spirited Away 

 

Demon Slayer will break these records faster than I expected, but I really don't understand why Japan doesn't count re-releases in the total gross of movies

 

Apart from Princess Mononoke and Titanic (both ¥0.85/0.90 billion to add), which have already been surpassed, Spirited Away also had a re-release. We know that its ¥30.8 billion total is actually ¥31.66, and its 23.5 million admissions are actually 24.3

 

Considering those actual totals, do you think Demon Slayer will still be able to break both records by Christmas?

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1 hour ago, MG10 said:

Demon Slayer will break these records faster than I expected, but I really don't understand why Japan doesn't count re-releases in the total gross of movies

 

Apart from Princess Mononoke and Titanic (both ¥0.85/0.90 billion to add), which have already been surpassed, Spirited Away also had a re-release. We know that its ¥30.8 billion total is actually ¥31.66, and its 23.5 million admissions are actually 24.3

 

Considering those actual totals, do you think Demon Slayer will still be able to break both records by Christmas?

If it follows the same pattern than last week i think the day will be 25 th or 26 th maximum

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(C)吾峠呼世晴/集英社・アニプレックス・ufotable

Weekend Actuals (12/12-13):
01 (01) ¥939,411,200 ($9.2 million), +43%, ¥30,289,307,700 ($288.9 million), Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Toho/Aniplex) WK9
02 (---) ¥593,000,000 ($5.7 million), 0, ¥771,861,100 ($7.2 million), New Interpretation Records of the Three Kingdoms (Toho) NEW
03 (03) ¥186,101,750 ($1.8 million), -24%, ¥1,790,491,100 ($17.2 million), Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 (Toho) WK4
04 (02) ¥140,574,400 ($1.4 million), -65%, ¥1,063,878,000 ($10.2 million), Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie (Shochiku) WK2
05 (---) ¥x90,000,000 ($865,000), 0, ¥166,537,600 ($1.6 million), Tengaramon (Giggly Box) NEW
06 (04) ¥x61,257,500 ($588,000), -66%, ¥300,937,098 ($2.9 million), Fate/Grand Order - Divine Realm of the Round Table: Camelot 1 (Aniplex) WK2
07 (05) ¥x43,644,610 ($419,000), -52%, ¥284,040,070 ($2.7 million), Silent Tokyo (Toei) WK2
08 (---) ¥x37,500,000 ($360,000), 0, ¥x59,367,450 ($0.6 million), Evangelion 2.0: You Can (Not) Advance [4DX re-release] (Toho/Toei/Khara) NEW
09 (06) ¥x32,896,350 ($316,000), -47%, ¥179,043,250 ($1.7 million), The Witches (Warner Bros.) WK2
10 (09) ¥x19,162,800 ($183,000), -19%, ¥395,000,000 ($3.8 million), The Legend of Hei (Aniplex/Team Joy) WK6


>Demon Slayer: Mugen Train repeats for a ninth-weekend atop the box-office, experiencing a huge increase to set a new 9th weekend record. It's now only the second film to ever gross over ¥30 billion, behind Spirited Away, and will surpass Spirited Away to become the new #1 film of all-time around Christmas, maybe a day or two earlier.

>New Interpretation Records of the Three Kingdoms scores the third biggest debut of the 2020 calendar year, and the second highest for a live-action film (behind the same director's From Today, It's My Turn! back in July). It sold a very impressive 423,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 348 screens, and sold 555,640 admissions over its first 3-days in release. Look for a total around ¥4-5 billion ($40-50 million).

>Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 is still holding well, and is doing what it needs to do in order to benefit enough from the upcoming holiday season to get above the ¥3 billion ($30 million) milestone I believe. After four weeks, it has sold 1.43 million admissions.

>Tengaramon's weekend box office is still an estimate (revised upward), but its cumulative total was released. Since it's from an independent distributor, it'll be another day or two before its weekend box office is released, but I'll update it when it is.

>Evangelion 2.0: You Can (Not) Advance sold 34,956 admissions in its 4DX re-release over its first 3-days in release.


Another great weekend. The Top 10 is up 25% versus the same weekend last year.
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Charlie, in your predictions, next week (12/19-25) we can expect a bigger drop than 30%, right ? Because this weekend should drop a lot (around 45%-55%) compared to last weekend or maybe I'm wrong ?

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7 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Charlie, in your predictions, next week (12/19-25) we can expect a bigger drop than 30%, right ? Because this weekend should drop a lot (around 45%-55%) compared to last weekend or maybe I'm wrong ?

I think Charlie is bullish on the weekdays. Not sure if he’s accounted for Dec 23 being the emperor’s birthday holiday for TFA but not for DS (new emperor, new birthday).

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34 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

accounted for Dec 23 being the emperor’s birthday holiday for TFA but not for DS (new emperor, new birthday).

Accounted. But 23rd onward across world you will see the holiday boost starting. 

 

Frozen 2 usually was dropping 75% on Monday from Sunday, but on 23rd it only dropped 60%.

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