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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Weekend Actuals (08/21-22)
01 (01) ¥182,686,350 ($1.66 million), -53%, ¥2,758,155,040 ($25.2 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK3
02 (---) ¥164,000,000 ($1.49 million), 0, ¥251,789,300 ($2.3 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥161,570,250 ($1.47 million), -33%, ¥5,215,649,400 ($47.6 million), Belle (Toho) WK6
04 (---) ¥131,000,000 ($1.19 million), 0, ¥193,471,090 ($1.8 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) NEW
05 (03) ¥109,691,500 ($999,000), -50%, ¥2,065,638,350 ($18.8 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK3
06 (05) ¥x73,137,110 ($666,000), -43%, ¥3,845,704,250 ($35.1 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK7
07 (06) ¥x59,800,750 ($544,000), -52%, ¥1,394,860,950 ($12.6 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy(Toho) WK4
08 (04) ¥x59,328,780 ($540,000), -54%, ¥399,296,870 ($3.6 million), The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK2
09 (---) ¥x55,000,000 ($501,000), 0, ¥x72,319,460 ($0.7 million), Paw Patrol: The Movie (Towa Pictures) NEW
10 (07) x¥53,015,680 ($483,000), -40%, ¥288,657,720 ($2.6 million), Free Guy (Disney) WK2


NOTE: This is the post-Obon Festival weekend, so drops are rough as a result. 

F9: The Fast Saga achieved a third-consecutive weekend atop the box-office, though it definitely felt the post-Obon Festival drop. It sold 113,200 admissions in its third outing, bringing its 17-day admissions up to 1,817,795. The tenth film in the overall series fell harder over the weekend than I would have liked, so it might not surpass Furious 7 to become the second biggest film in the franchise. It's still possible, but it certainly needs to recover this week to do it. Still, it's going to at least become the third biggest film in the franchise, which is probably more than most were expecting.

Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final debuted in second place, selling a respectable 124,500 admissions over the weekend frame on 320 screens(which was enough for a #1 debut in admissions), and 195,181 admissions over its first three-days in release. This was a pretty large 48% decline from the first film, although I'm unsure if it was just a natural result from less interest among the fans, or if the expanding restrictions due to COVID may have limited it a bit (such as limiting/postponing stage greetings). It should still get above ¥1 billion (~$10 million) though, so while down a lot, it won't be at a loss or anything.  

Belle held the best in the Top 10 in its post-Obon Festival weekend, which isn't surprising since it's continued to hold well throughout its entire run so far. It sold 110,000 admissions in its sixth weekend, bringing its total admissions up to 3,760,833 admissions after 38 days. It exceeded the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion ahead of the weekend (Friday, day 36), becoming the third film of 2021 to achieve this status. It's also director Mamoru Hosoda's second film to reach blockbuster status, after 2015's The Boy and the Beast. It's ¥635 million away from surpassing that film, which should occur in very early September.  

Last of the Wolves, either a sequel or follow-up to The Blood of Wolves, debuted in fourth place, selling 90,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 323 screens, and 135,863 admissions after its first three-days in release. Decent enough debut. Probably won't reach the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone, but this opening is high enough to make it a possibility.  

My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission exceeded the ¥2 billion milestone, surpassing both of its predecessors after just three weeks in release, and has become the first MHA film to reach this milestone. Not going to predict where it may be heading until next week though since it's receiving a 4DX/MX4D expansion on August 28th which should increase its ceiling.  

Tokyo Revengers continues its steady track to the ¥4 billion milestone, and should get there in about two weeks. It'll also exceed 3 million admissions around the same time. I'm sure some of you may correct me, but I can't think of any other film adaptation of a Kodansha property that has earned more than Tokyo Revengers has now. Pretty huge success for them here, as well as for Warner Bros. which continue to have great success this year in Japan with their Japanese productions.

 

Edited by KP1025
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Weekend Actuals (08/28-29)
01 (05) ¥204,210,550 ($1.64 million), +86%, ¥2,407,196,800 ($21.9 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK4
02 (03) ¥132,653,100 ($1.21 million), -18%, ¥5,568,867,200 ($50.8 million), Belle (Toho) WK7
03 (01) ¥116,070,460 ($1.06 million), -36%, ¥3,078,729,080 ($28.1 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK4
04 (02) ¥109,611,700 ($999,000), -33%, ¥533,392,800 ($4.9 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK2
05 (04) ¥x80,468,450 ($733,000), -39%, ¥412,781,720 ($3.8 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) WK2
06 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($683,000), 0, ¥111,000,000 ($1.0 million), The Method of Repulsing the Dove (Shochiku) NEW
07 (---) ¥x73,696,350 ($672,000), 0, ¥x73,696,350 ($0.7 million), Earwig and the Witch (Toho) NEW
08 (---) ¥x62,000,000 ($565,000), 0, ¥x83,265,010 ($0.8 million), Old (Toho-Towa) NEW
09 (06) ¥x59,098,270 ($539,000), -19%, ¥4,003,312,770 ($36.6 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK8
10 (07) ¥x41,067,700 ($374,000), -31%, ¥1,511,441,050 ($13.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy(Toho) WK5


>My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission experienced a huge weekend increase to go from fifth place last weekend, all the way to first place this weekend, its first weekend at #1. It rose a whopping 86% due to its 4DX/MX4D expansion/giveaway event, selling 128,000 admissions over the weekend, bringing its overall admissions up to 1,819,354. The third film in the MHA franchise is going to finish over ¥1 billion higher than either of its predecessor, and just might be able to reach the ¥3 billion milestone. This growth, even if boosted by giveaways, will end up being somewhere around 60/70% above its predecessors which is huge for a pretty well established series now.  

>Belle continues to hold very well, delivering one of its best holds to date. It's only ¥281 million away now from outgrossing director Mamoru Hosoda's The Boy and the Beast to become his and Studio Chizu's highest grossing film. It also exceeded 4 million admissions with 4,015,626. It'll either claim the title after next weekend, or just a couple of days (maybe just one) afterwards. It'll then exceed ¥6 billion a week later, and probably finish somewhere around ¥6.3 billion (~$58 million) or so with 4.5 million+ admissions.  

>F9: The Fast Saga surpasses Hobbs & Shaw to become the third highest grossing film in the Fast & Furious film franchise. Its admissions exceeded 2 million with 2,026,035. It also had a pretty good week, and fourth weekend hold, so as long as it can average 30/35% holds or so from this point forward, it will outgross Furious 7. 50/50 chance I'd say, and I'd bet on it managing to do so.

>Tokyo Revengers exceed both the ¥4 billion milestone and 3 million admissions with 3,012,624 over its 8th weekend of release, giving Warner Bros. a second nice hit for 2021 after part one of the Rurouni Kenshin finale. This is only the sixth Shonen live-action film to reach the ¥4 billion milestone as well, unless I miss counted.  

>So, the openers... I think there are some errors, mainly with Earwig and the Witch. Its number above is its reported 3-day total, but it more closely matches what I'd estimate its 2-day opening weekend to be. I can be off, of course, but I don't see how it could be that low for the 3-day. So, I'm putting its reported 3-day total as BOTH its 2-day opening weekend and 3-day opening weekend until its actual opening weekend is reported (I'm pretty confident it's the figure above, and the 2-day was mistakenly updated for the 3-day).  The Method of Repulsing the Dove's reported 3-day is the ¥110 million figure, which looks good and a much more reasonable 11% off what I estimated versus the 39%(!) for Earwig. Similar thing with Old. A little lower than estimated, but close enough that the ¥83 million is almost certainly its 3 day total.

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Weekend Actuals (09/04-05)
01 (---) ¥217,000,000 ($1.97 million), 0, ¥301,138,970 ($2.7 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) NEW
02 (01) ¥100,170,000 ($909,000), -51%, ¥2,669,855,850 ($24.3 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK5
03 (02) ¥x95,578,950 ($867,000), -28%, ¥5,791,309,250 ($52.8 million), Belle (Toho) WK8
04 (---) ¥x85,000,000 ($771,000), 0, ¥119,006,880 ($1.1 million), The Woman of S.R.I.: The Movie (Toei) NEW
05 (03) ¥x80,695,720 ($732,000), -30%, ¥3,283,372,280 ($30.0 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK5
06 (04) ¥x63,106,200 ($573,000), -42%, ¥683,196,300 ($6.3 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK3
07 (09) ¥x54,199,190 ($492,000), -08%, ¥4,123,355,070 ($37.7 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK9
08 (05) ¥x52,484,380 ($476,000), -35%, ¥553,268,820 ($5.0 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) WK3
09 (06) ¥x52,249,940 ($474,000), -37%, ¥254,164,590 ($2.3 million), The Method of Repulsing the Dove (Shochiku) WK2
10 (08) ¥x40,806,840 ($370,000), -35%, ¥194,463,450 ($1.8 million), Old (Toho-Towa) WK2


>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings debuted atop the weekend box-office, becoming Disney's first film since Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker to debut at #1 in Japan. However, it's not Disney's biggest opener since 2019, having just barely opened below Black Widowfrom earlier this year.  

The latest entry in the the MCU sold a solid 140,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 779 screens, and 196,414 admissions over its first three-days in release. This debut is about inline with the standard or average Marvel/DC release when you exclude all the Spider-Man and Avengers related films. (Might seem odd to exclude them, but they, especially Spider-Man, perform significantly better than other Marvel/DC franchises.) Disney has yet to have a single film earn over ¥1 billion in Japan since the pandemic, setting them behind many other distributors in the market (I believe they're only around 7th or 8th biggest distributor right now), but Shang-Chi should become their first success since 2019 as it aims to finish a little above the milestone.  

>My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission had a rough drop following its huge 86% increase last weekend, but its fifth weekend still nearly matched its third weekend before the 4DX expansion. It's grossed almost ¥1 billion more than either of its predecessors now, and is less than 20,000 admissions shy of 2 million.  

>Belle held well again, and is now just ¥69 million away from outgrossing The Boy and the Beast, Mamoru Hosoda's previous highest grossing film. It'll take a few more days than I projected over the weekend, but it'll get there either before or over next weekend. Ultimately, it's on track to exceed the ¥6 billion mark.

>F9 has developed good enough legs that its chance of outgrossing Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the Fast and Furious franchise (after The Fate and th Furious) are pretty good. It may take just about its remaining time in theaters to get there, but I expect it'll manage this achievement.  

>Tokyo Revengers held exceptionally well in its ninth weekend of release, and if it can keep this up, it could outgross Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final to become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021. It's ¥202 million away from this goal, which is certainly doable if its weekends remain strong (weekdays will likely back off a bit now with schools back in session).

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Weekend Actuals (09/11-12)
01 (02) ¥155,064,200 ($1.41 million), +55%, ¥2,904,730,700 ($26.4 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK6
02 (01) ¥128,684,210 ($1.17 million), -41%, ¥600,700,150 ($5.5 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK2
03 (03) ¥x83,355,450 ($758,000), -13%, ¥5,958,247,600 ($54.3 million), Belle (Toho) WK9
04 (05) ¥x61,973,100 ($564,000), -23%, ¥3,424,904,810 ($31.3 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK6
05 (04) ¥x57,541,720 ($524,000), -34%, ¥281,307,240 ($2.6 million), The Woman of S.R.I.: The Movie (Toei) WK2
06 (06) ¥x53,052,750 ($482,000), -16%, ¥787,279,150 ($7.2 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK4
07 (07) ¥x48,349,130 ($440,000), -11%, ¥4,221,248,860 ($38.6 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK10
08 (12) ¥x39,578,260 ($360,000), +05%, ¥123,196,000 ($1.1 million), The Prince of Tennis: Ryoma! Rebirth (Gaga) WK2
09 (08) ¥x38,799,980 ($353,000), -26%, ¥649,602,470 ($5.8 million), Last of the Wolves (Toei) WK4
10 (09) ¥x32,508,070 ($296,000), -38%, ¥337,296,450 ($3.1 million), The Method of Repulsing the Dove (Shochiku) WK3


I've overestimated the totals of most films in the Weekend Estimates the past two weeks, but I'll make adjustments this upcoming week to get closer to actuals again. I haven't been super off or anything, but the differences are enough to adjust a bit.  

>My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission took advantage of the slow weekend with its third giveaway event, increasing a huge 55% in its sixth weekend. This is its 2nd weekend at #1, its first occurring over its fourth weekend when it expanded to 4DX/MXD locations and started its second giveaway event. The third MHA film will exceed the ¥3 billion milestone later this week, either right before next weekend or on Saturday. The giveaways will give it some life for a bit longer, but it'll also see a nice bump over the 3-day holiday next weekend a well as some of the dailies over Silver Week. Expect a finish near ¥3.5 billion (~$32/33 million), or almost double the combined totals of its two predecessors. 

>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings dipped a little hard, slightly better than the average Marvel/DC film. Its weekdays were rather weak though, so it's going to have to make up for those (which it's continuing to have this week so far) with some better weekend holds in the future. It'll likely finish a little above ¥1 billion with ¥1.2 billion ($11 million) or so. Nothing to write home about, but it will become the first Disney film since 2019's Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker to even reach the milestone, so gotta restart somewhere.  

>Belle enjoyed one of its best holds to date in an impressive list of good holds. It outgrossed The Boy and the Beast to become director Mamoru Hosoda's highest grossing film on Friday ahead of the weekend and is about to exceed the ¥6 billion (~$55 million) milestone now. The biggest film of the summer has yet to leave the weekend top 3. It'll enjoy a healthy Silver Week I'm sure, and then just from playing naturally from there, should be able to finish near the ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million) mark.

>F9: The Fast Saga held very well too, and as a result (as well as nice weekdays), has guaranteed that it'll outgross Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the entire Fast & Furious film franchise. It should get there over either after next Sunday or the holiday Monday. And it'll still have a bit in the tank from there, too, with the help of Silver Week, so it could end up finishing with ¥3.7 billion (~$34/35 million) or so, or just 9% shy of The Fate of the Furious, the highest grossing film in the franchise.  

>The Woman of S.R.I. didn't have as strong of weekdays as I estimated yesterday, so it's not going to make a run at ¥1 billion or get within striking distance, really.  

>Kagyua-sama: Love is War held great in its fourth weekend, renewing its hopes at reaching/exceeding the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone after it was looking pretty unlikely. And it probably wouldn't get there normally, but Silver Week should go a long way in helping it get there next week.  

>Tokyo Revengers continues to post incredible holds late in its run. It's only ¥100 million away from outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final to become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of the year, which it should achieve over the Silver Week holiday period next week. Can it make a play at ¥4.5 billion (~$41 million)? Possibly. Great run ever since it opened, and has certainly assured that more films will be greenlit to continue adapting the manga/anime for the future.  

>The Prince of Tennis: Ryoma! Rebirth rises into the Top 10 in its second weekend, and not just in 10th place which I mentioned it had a chance at in the Weekend Estimates, but shot up to 8th place thanks to a weekend increase. Good for it.

As I mentioned analyzing a few films above, this upcoming weekend is a 3-day holiday weekend (next Monday being a holiday), as well as the start of Silver Week. The dates don't align for a 5-day holiday period this year, but the extended weekend and additional national holiday in the middle of the week will provide a nice bump for most films.  

Also, as you can see, no major films opened this weekend with studios waiting until this upcoming weekend to take advantage of the holiday week. So look for next weekend to liven things up. In particular, keep an eye on Masquerade Night to do big numbers. It's the sequel to 2019's Masquerade Hotel which grossed ¥4.64 billion ($42.2 million).

 

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Weekend Actuals (09/18-19)
01 (---) ¥536,000,000 ($4.89 million), 0, ¥691,000,000 ($6.3 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) NEW
02 (---) ¥x90,000,000 ($820,000), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) NEW *Est.*
03 (03) ¥x75,019,600 ($685,000), -10%, ¥6,106,857,550 ($55.6 million), Belle (Toho) WK10
04 (02) ¥x66,838,500 ($610,000), -49%, ¥759,892,440 ($7.0 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK3
05 (---) ¥x64,000,000 ($584,000), 0, ¥x85,007,820 ($0.8 million), Reminiscence (Warner Bros.) NEW
06 (01) ¥x60,038,550 ($548,000), -62%, ¥3,051,648,600 ($27.7 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK7
07 (04) ¥x40,138,670 ($366,000), -35%, ¥3,522,157,610 ($32.2 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK7
08 (07) ¥x35,385,540 ($323,000), -27%, ¥4,296,410,480 ($39.3 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK11
09 (06) ¥x33,737,250 ($308,000), -37%, ¥856,925,650 ($7.9 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK5
10 (05) ¥x32,462,240 ($296,000), -44%, ¥379,264,760 ($3.5 million), The Woman of S.R.I.: The Movie (Toei) WK3


Again, this is the regular Weekend Actuals updated as usual each week. HOWEVER, the totals in the Top Grossing Films of 2021 below this post will be as of MONDAY, 09/20.

>Masquerade Night dominated the box office in its debut, selling a very impressive 374,000 admissions over the weekend frame (5th Biggest Debut of 2021), and 678,000 admissions over its first four days in release. Its opening weekend is 15% below the first film, but its total, thanks to the holiday, is currently running ahead after four days thanks to the holiday. I was expecting the opening to come in below its predecessor, due to the widespread restrictions (theaters closing by 8pm), so to come within 15% is great, and as expected, it more than made up for that over the long four-day holiday weekend.

A total north of ¥4 billion (~$40 million) and ~3 million admissions is likely.  

>Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 remains an estimate. It debuted in third place in admissions, but I'm expecting its average ticket price to be pretty high, so I'm going to keep it in second place in revenue with its estimated opening here until its figures are (hopefully) released.

>Belle held amazingly well (even rising to second place in admissions, and possibly third pending the actuals for Free!). I see no reason not to expect strong weekly holds like it's been having for weeks now for most of the remainder of its run, so look for a finish around ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million) and ~4.6 million admissions or so.

>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings had a hefty decline, but that's to be expected for a Marvel/DC release. What I'm more surprised about is how weak its weekdays have been. Weekdays are very important, more so than weekends, really, in the market, so you need to at least post fair numbers over them. So it's definitely not going to finish nearly as high as I was predicting, and due to the poor weekdays, it's going to end up being on the more frontloaded end of Marvel/DC releases (even by their standards). It's still likely to become Disney's first film in 2 years to reach ¥1 billion (~$10 million), but it'll be a crawl now.

>Reminiscence disappointed/bombed, but no real surprise there. The film sold 57,414 admissions over its first three-days in release. I wouldn't expect more than ¥400 million (~$4 million) finish or so.

>My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission saw a very large drop, but not surprising since it increased 55% last weekend. The third MHA film exceeded the ¥3 billion milestone over the weekend, and is probably aiming for a finish around ¥3.3 billion (~$31 million) or so if it doesn't receive any other giveaways). That will be about 95% of the COMBINED totals of both its predecessors.  

>F9: The Fast Saga is right on the cusp of surpassing Furious 7 (it's only ¥1.049 million away, or about 700 admissions, after Monday!), and will on Tuesday. One of the better performances this year, and it should be targeting a final total around ¥3.7 billion (~$34 million).

>Tokyo Revengers continues its great run, and after Monday, is a mere ¥6.3 million (or about 4,700 admissions) away from outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final to become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021. It'll claim this title on Tuesday.

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Weekend Actuals (09/25-26)
01 (01) ¥347,653,850 ($3.14 million), -35%, ¥1,854,742,500 ($16.9 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK2
02 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($679,000), 0, ¥122,841,440 ($1.1 million), The First Gentleman (Toei/Nikkatsu) NEW
03 (02) ¥x60,912,420 ($550,000), -30%, ¥280,929,400 ($2.5 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK2
04 (03) ¥x52,073,350 ($470,000), -31%, ¥6,270,106,850 ($57.1 million), Belle (Toho) WK11
05 (06) ¥x44,226,650 ($399,000), -26%, ¥3,183,773,400 ($29.0 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK8
06 (04) ¥x36,543,940 ($330,000), -45%, ¥880,924,910 ($8.1 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK4
07 (08) ¥x31,399,140 ($283,000), -11%, ¥4,380,828,440 ($40.0 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK12
08 (---) ¥x30,828,070 ($278,000), 0, ¥x58,305,560 ($0.5 million), Blank (Star Sands/Kadokawa) NEW
09 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($271,000), 0, ¥x55,347,210 ($0.5 million), Minamata (Long Ride/Albatross Film) NEW
10 (NA) ¥x29,684,740 ($268,000), N/A, ¥265,551,760 ($2.4 million), Ryoma! Rebirth: The Prince of Tennis (Gaga) WK4
11 (07) ¥x28,269,160 ($255,000), -30%, ¥3,603,318,740 ($32.9 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK8
12 (09) ¥x28,036,000 ($253,000), -17%, ¥937,977,250 ($8.6 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK6


>Masquerade Night is dominating the box office right now, and enjoyed a robust Silver Week holiday frame to bring its 10-day total near ¥2 billion already. It should go on to become the highest-grossing film of the Fall (Sept.-Nov.), likely grossing around ¥4 billion ($35-40 million).

>The First Gentleman's weekend gross remains an estimate, but its 4-day total (slipped my mind the openers opened on Thursday last week due to the holiday) was revealed. It sold 95,589 admissions over its first four-days in release. As I said in the estimates, this isn't good by any means, but it's not too far off a standard opening for a smaller film in the Fall.  

>Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 held pretty well in its second weekend. Not quite as strong as I estimated, and its 10-day total came down a bit, but it's respectable. If it plays out normally, it'll gross around ¥400 million, but it'll likely receive sort of boost during its run (like new merchandise in theaters or something) to push it a bit higher.  

>Belle experienced one of its bigger drops to date, but it was also very strong last weekend and throughout Silver Week, too, so a cooldown isn't unusual. Still looking at a finish around ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), besting Mamoru Hosoda's previous highest grossing film by about 10%. Hosoda and Studio Chizu can claim they had the biggest film of the Summer for the first time, too.

>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings... I said it was still likely to reach ¥1 billion, becoming Disney's first film to reach this mark since 2019, but I don't know now. Both its weekend and total came in below estimates a bit, and while "a bit" shouldn't normally be too impactful, it definitely is when the numbers are at this level. I don't think it's going to reach ¥1 billion. Not impossible, but it's really unlikely heading into October (the weakest month). 

>Tokyo Revengers has become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021 by outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final. The manga has sold over 20 million copies so far this year, and the anime has been popular, but it can still be tricky to find this level of success for a live-action adaptation despite major success in other formats, so big win here for everyone involved.

>Blank sold 43,169 admissions over its first 4-days in release, while Minamata sold 41,302 admissions in its first 4-days (its weekend gross above remains an estimate, but its 4-day total was released).

>F9: The Fast Saga has outgrossed Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the franchise. Japan also became its second biggest overseas market several weeks ago, but I forgot to mention this in previous update. Its run is winding down though, so expect a finish a little shy of ¥3.7 billion (~$33.5 million). Pretty impressive.

I expanded the Top 10 to a Top 12 this weekend and will probably keep it as such for the weaker Fall period.

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Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (10/02-03)
01 (---) ¥430,736,220 ($3.88 million), 0, ¥610,902,320 ($5.5 million), 007: No Time to Die (Toho-Towa) NEW
02 (01) ¥234,057,000 ($2.11 million), -33%, ¥2,458,529,350 ($22.3 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK3
03 (---) ¥126,415,410 ($1.14 million), 0, ¥177,964,010 ($1.6 million), In The Wake (Shochiku) NEW
04 (02) ¥x49,532,360 ($446,000), -19%, ¥387,208,020 ($3.5 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK3
05 (---) ¥x47,528,700 ($428,000), 0, ¥x63,200,060 ($0.6 million), The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It (Warner Bros.) NEW
06 (04) ¥x34,209,250 ($308,000), -34%, ¥6,346,134,800 ($57.8 million), Belle (Toho) WK12
07 (05) ¥x32,013,400 ($288,000), -28%, ¥3,249,072,650 ($29.6 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK9
08 (03) ¥x28,938,440 ($261,000), -53%, ¥230,903,620 ($2.1 million), The First Gentleman (Toei/Nikkatsu) WK2
09 (12) ¥x20,458,250 ($184,000), -27%, ¥976,682,600 ($8.9 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK7
10 (---) ¥x19,072,100 ($172,000), 0, ¥x25,315,040 ($0.2 million), Is Lupin III Still Burning (Toho Video Division) NEW


>007: No Time to Die got October off to a strong start, earning the 9th Biggest Opening Weekend for the month of October on record. The final Daniel Craig entry in the James Bond franchise sold 281,676 admissions over the weekend frame across 762 screens, and sold 421,995 admissions since Friday (discount day). The weekend itself was the third highest among the Daniel Craig 007 films, while the 3-day total was the second highest (or even the highest if you exclude Quantum of Solance's previews).  

So not really a breakout above the franchise's standard debuts, but it was right around the series' best openings. It'll be trying to outgross Spectre to become Daniel Craig's highest grossing 007 film, but that'll be a bit difficult since Spectre had great legs. I'm going to predict it'll behave more closely to Skyfall, and since its opening was comparable, I'm expecting it'll finish with around the same total of ¥2.75 billion (~$25 million) or so. But again, it *could* have better legs than Skyfall and worse legs than Spectre and become the highest grossing Craig release. We'll probably have a good idea after next week.

>Masquerade Night is performing well as expected and is still aiming for a total around ¥4 billion (~$36 million). ¥3.5 billion (~$32 million) is about locked up, but that extra ¥500 million will require a couple better holds over the next week or two. It has a spot in the Top 10 of 2021 pretty much guaranteed either way though, so another big win for Toho.  

>In the Wake debuted in third place, selling 95,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 348 screens, and sold 139,338 admissions since Friday (a discount day). This is more or less a standard opening for an average film this time of year, so nothing to really discuss here. It'll be on track for around ¥750 million ($6.5-7 million) or so with a standard performance.  

>The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It managed to debut inside the Top 5, a rare feat for an imported horror film. Granted, it only did so since the bottom half of the Top 10 is pretty weak right now, but impressive accomplishment either way. The film sold 43,982 admissions over its first three days of release on 275 screens.

>Belle is starting to slow down now that we're a couple weeks into the Fall season. Achieving 12 weeks in the Top 10 (after being in the Top 3 for 10 weeks and Top 4 for 11 weeks) is very impressive though, and it'll probably add at least one more week to that total. It has an unusually late--very, very late--4DX expansion in a few weeks, so we'll have to see what that does for it, but right now, expect a total around ¥6.5 billion (~$59/60 million).

>My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission is holding on much better than I would have expected now that we're in October, perhaps due to the last remaining fans who haven't gotten ahold of the giveaways from earlier in its run. The third film in the MHA franchise has now earned 92.6% of the combined grosses of its two predecessors.

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I just checked that the highest grossing 007 film in Japan is The Spy who loved me?? It was 44 years ago...I know James Bond was super incredible popular in Japan during Sean Conerry and Roger Moore era,I just don't know it was that popular

Edited by Bruce
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Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (10/09-10)
01 (01) ¥290,180,360 ($2.60 million), -32%, ¥1,330,955,870 ($11.9 million), 007: No Time to Die (Toho-Towa) WK2
02 (02) ¥176,372,850 ($1.58 million), -25%, ¥2,848,528,800 ($25.9 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK4
03 (---) ¥166,557,610 ($1.49 million), 0, ¥220,065,730 ($2.0 million), Laws of the Universe: The Age of Elohim (Nikkatsu) NEW
04 (03) ¥x93,187,960 ($834,000), -26%, ¥434,765,120 ($3.9 million), In The Wake (Shochiku) WK2
05 (---) ¥x61,000,000 ($546,000), 0, ¥x83,151,250 ($0.7 million), Wrath of Man (Klockworx) NEW
06 (---) ¥x60,000,000 ($537,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million), Macross Δ Movie: Absolute Live!!!!!! (Filmarks) NEW
07 (04) ¥x40,718,780 ($365,000), -18%, ¥478,124,020 ($4.3 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK4
08 (---) ¥x37,460,002 ($335,000), 0, ¥x37,460,002 ($0.3 million), Dakaichi: I’m Being Harassed by the Sexiest Man of the Year - Spain Arc (Aniplex) NEW
09 (05) ¥x32,837,000 ($294,000), -31%, ¥139,106,380 ($1.2 million), The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It (Warner Bros.) WK2
10 (06) ¥x27,492,900 ($246,000), -19%, ¥6,397,159,950 ($58.2 million), Belle (Toho) WK13
11 (07) ¥x25,878,350 ($232,000), -19%, ¥3,295,467,500 ($30.1 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK10
12 (---) ¥x25,000,000 ($224,000), 0, ¥x40,000,000 ($0.4 million), Space Battleship Yamato 2205: Zensho -TAKE OFF- (Shochiku) NEW


>No Time to Die's repeated atop the box office, improving a little bit over yesterday's estimate. Good hold, 3% higher than Spectre's second weekend, but 10% bigger drop. It's ¥211 million behind its predecessor's two-week total though, and being an October release, it'll probably continue to fall behind, or at the very least, won't be able to catch up. This may sound bad, but it's not, really. It just means that it's probably not going to match/outgross Spectre to become the highest grossing Daniel Craig 007 film. But it still has a fair shot at coming in around Skyfall's total, so expect a finish around ¥2.5 billion ($22/23 million) or a little more. 

>Masquerade Night delivered a good hold, keeping its chances at reaching ¥4 billion ($35 million+) alive. But will need to deliver a few better holds in the next two weeks to get there. Either way, it's going to outgross My Hero Academia and likely F9: The Fast Saga to become the 7th Biggest Film of 2021, unless a big breakout occurs in the next month or so. Admissions exceeded 2 million after four weeks in release.

>Laws of the Universe: The Age of Elohim came in MUCH higher than estimated, and not only opened higher than 2019's film, but also managed to match almost exactly (¥166.6 million vs 166.7 million) the opening weekend of 2018's film. Age of Elohim sold an impressive 134,653 admissions over the weekend frame on 225 screens, setting a new franchise record by beating 2018's release by 564(!) admissions!  

>Wrath of Man is currently estimated for the weekend, and I only have it above Macross since it came in 5th place over the weekend in admissions. But chances are Macross had sky-high ticket prices and likely opened in 5th place instead in revenue. Wrath of Man did sell 62,162 admissions in its first three-days in release though on 210 screens, and its three-day total is available above.  

>Macross Δ Movie: Absolute Live!!!!!! debuted in 6th place in admissions over the weekend, but its gross is estimated as no figures have been released. I was going to include it in yesterday's Weekend Estimates, but most Live! broadcasts are excluded from box office rankings. But I think this is an actual film, not a concert or performance. I don't expect we'll get numbers from it, but if they're released, I'll let everyone know.  

>Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 continues to hold very well, and is going to break the ¥500 million mark this week. It's now the second highest grossing Free! film, and may come a lot closer, or perhaps even challenge, Free! High Speed! (¥691 million) to become the highest grossing film in the franchise. Nice win here for Kyoto Animation.  

>Dakaichi: I’m Being Harassed by the Sexiest Man of the Year - Spain Arc is the first BL (Boys-Love) film that I could find to ever debut in the Top 10, selling 24,695 admissions over the weekend on just 62 screens. Pretty big accomplishment for Dakaichi and BL films in general. Someone correct me if I forgot a past BL film that managed to crack the Top 10 (or mention one so I can go back and check).

>Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final fell out of the Top 10 (14th this weekend), and is nearing the end of its run but not before it managed to exceed the ¥1 billion milestone!

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36 minutes ago, luiperz said:

question.. what are the current restriction for cinemas in Japan right now?

Emergency is lifted from 19 prefectures on early October 2021. So, Theatres in 19/47 prefectures can open after 8 pm (since April.) But, these restrictions has never impact on Box Office. However, Western Release especially Disney is struggling here.

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5 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Emergency is lifted from 19 prefectures on early October 2021. So, Theatres in 19/47 prefectures can open until 8 pm (since April.) But, these restrictions has never impact on Box Office. However, Western Release especially Disney is struggling here.

and is there any capacity limit?

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50% restrictions is still on order. I don't think it will be lifted until December (Until a major Toho film release) Other than that late. I don't know much about capacity restrictions but it is still in force in my nearby theatre in Kyoto. While affected prefecture that is 19/47 prefectures can continue shows after 8 pm

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2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

50% restrictions is still on order. I don't think it will be lifted until December (Until a major Toho film release) Other than that late. I don't know much about capacity restrictions but it is still in force in my nearby theatre in Kyoto. While affected prefecture that is 19/47 prefectures can continue shows after 8 pm

Thanks!!

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Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals (10/16-17)
01 (---) ¥214,027,700 ($1.87 million), 0, ¥287,345,250 ($2.5 million), Baragaki: Unbroken Samurai (Toho/Asmik Ace) NEW
02 (01) ¥186,096,600 ($1.63 million), -36%, ¥1,805,878,600 ($16.1 million), 007: No Time to Die (Toho-Towa) WK3
03 (---) ¥147,767,840 ($1.29 million), 0, ¥203,854,150 ($1.8 million), Dune (Warner Bros.) NEW
04 (02) ¥139,395,600 ($1.22 million), -22%, ¥3,163,900,000 ($28.7 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK5
05 (03) ¥131,468,450 ($1.15 million), -21%, ¥424,391,180 ($3.7 million), Laws of the Universe: The Age of Elohim (Nikkatsu) WK2
06 (---) ¥103,350,030 ($904,000), 0, ¥131,101,100 ($1.1 million), Lupin's Daughter (Toei) NEW
07 (04) ¥x55,058,740 ($482,000), -41%, ¥605,704,340 ($5.3 million), In The Wake (Shochiku) WK3
08 (06) ¥x38,116,380 ($334,000), -39%, ¥177,434,360 ($1.6 million), Macross Δ Movie: Absolute Live!!!!!! (Filmarks) WK2
09 (05) ¥x29,076,140 ($254,000), -51%, ¥171,545,800 ($1.5 million), Wrath of Man (Klockworx) WK2
10 (07) ¥x25,794,660 ($22,000), -37%, ¥543,136,940 ($5.0 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK5


>Baragaki: Unbroken Samurai (using its English/Romanized title over "Burning Sword") debuted atop the box-office, selling 154,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 363 screens, and sold 209,502 admissions in its first three-days of release. Solid start, though it's probably less than expected. The film has been delayed for awhile (one of the early COVID delayed films), but it still had a big marketing campaign and has many notable actors attached, not to mention being adapted from a popular novel, so on paper it should have done a little better. Still, solid enough, and it'll be aiming for ¥1.5 billion (~$13 million) or so and 1 million+ admissions.  

>No Time to Die's slips to second place with a decent hold, selling an additional 122,000 admissions over its third weekend, bringing its three-week admissions up to 1,247,319. Its weekend holds haven't been nearly good enough to catch up to Spectre, but Daniel Craig's farewell entry in the 007 franchise will surpass both of his first two films, and come fairly close to Skyfall as long as it can deliver some 20/25% holds (at least) moving forward. As of now, expect a finish a little above ¥2.5 billion (~$22 million) and 1.7/1.8 million admissions. 

>Dune had to settle for third place (though it only debuted in fifth place in admissions), selling just 91,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 712 screens, and sold 127,879 admissions in its first three-days of release. Very disappointing opening, one that I'd call a borderline bomb. It's very unlikely to reach the ¥1 billion milestone, and will likely settle with around ¥800 million (~$7 million). Warner Bros. is doing amazing this year with their local releases, but their imported films are really struggling (as are all Hollywood releases).  

>Masquerade Night delivered a good hold, keeping its chances at reaching ¥4 billion ($35 million+) alive. It will need to deliver a few better holds, or at least no higher, over the next couple weeks to get there though. Either way, it's going to outgross My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission and F9: The Fast Saga to become the 7th Biggest Film of 2021. Its five-week admissions are up to 2,300,491.

>Laws of the Universe: The Age of Elohim surprised a bit last weekend, just shy of the franchise revenue record by 0.12%, but setting a new franchise record in admissions by 534. This is a strong second weekend, too, which puts the ¥1 billion milestone in play if it continues to see similar results again these upcoming weeks.  

>Lupin's Daughter opened in sixth place, selling 79,000 admissions over the weekend across 341 screens, and sold 103,404 admissions in its first three-days in release. Not very good, but not really low enough to rule a disappointment either. Getting above a ¥100 million debut for a smaller live-action in an off-season month is generally considered acceptable.  

>Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 rounded out the top 5, and became the second film in the franchise to exceed the ¥500 million mark. The first film, High Speed!, remains the highest grossing at ¥691 million. Can Part 1 of The Final Stroke beat it? Probably not, but its fans (and Kyoto Animation's) are loyal, so it could certainly end up challenging it. Note: I haven't seen any admissions updates for this film, so I'll have to estimate them on the Top Grossing Films of 2021 list.

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