JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[JustLurking]

17 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

It has believe have reached ½ of that number. Though, we will see tomorrow. However, I am a bit off to see JWD grossing more than LightYear.

 

Interesting, Avatar 2 isn't in the list so Hollywood might take No.1 highest grossing film in 2023 (in Japan)....

JP BO is december-december instead of calendar so makes sense. I actually kind of wonder about avatar, obviously the first one made a lot in jp but it wasn't the crazy phenomenon it was in most box offices only placing 8th at the time. It's been a long time and Japan can often be unfavourable to sequels so not really sure what to think of it.

 

The minions "expectation" makes no sense to me though, the first minions barely made 5 billion in 2015 so I see little reason why 2 would be up 40% on it, I think it's more likely it decreases instead. 9 billion for TG seems possible depending on how well it holds from here on out though 8 seems safer.

 

Lightyear and the shinkai film are kind of oddballs, will depend on reception I guess especially the shinkai one. The One Piece film is probably gonna outperform minions 2 imho, maybe even kingdom 2.

 

I still think slam dunk is going to be a strong performer, december might be more likely though.

[Issac Newton]

I am aware that of Calendar. Just thinking if Avatar 2 is going to release on Jan/March 2023. Though site says Dec 2022.

 

These are just expectations so we don't need to feel irritate/frustrated about it. NWH didn't reach ¥5.0B when Sony was highly anticipating it.

 

Minions 2 (expectation as you said) is like a joke to me. (I am thinking that) Kingdom 2 likely going to crash it.

 

Shinkai Movie feels like ¥15.0B+. Though I won't over hype it.

 

One Piece Red will affect the screen share of JWD. But with OS review being so bad, I think ¥7.0B is already high for JWD.... But will see..

 

LightYear is a dark horse. Some talking about Toy Story-type final. Well, being Pixar's 1st Theatrical Release since 2019, I think anything is possible. But, I hope no Streaming Window in 60/120 days run. At least, keep Japan out of that scheme.

 

Maverick is lately being compared with Avatar &sub-Bohemian Rhapsody legs. I have no idea about where it will end. But, at present, I am going with ¥7B but will be happy if it exceeds Mission Impossible II .....

[JustLurking]

I don't remember how avatar went in japan, but TG has little in common with BoRap imho. That started fairly small and then increased for a ton of weekends consecutively, I think it has one of the best multipliers ever in Japan. Top Gun's legs are very good but definitely not BoRap crazy,  300M weekend/400M 3days to 13B finish is jacked.

 

I doubt avatar 2 misses december, I don't think there's going to be a JJK-NWH repeat where something opens so big that it just has to dodge it and sacrifice new years.

Edited June 12, 2022 by JustLurking

[BruiseCruise]

Do you think Slam Dunk movie can make 5b or more?

[JustLurking]

I do, yeah, but that's just my gut feeling, no reason to treat it as anything more than that. The series is a cult classic that still shows exceptional resilience, and with inoue directing I think so long as the entry barrier isn't steep (needing to read the whole series, for instance) if the film is good this can be very strong, I think even higher than 5 can be in the cards.

[MG10]

2 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

2022 Industry Expectations 

 

#1 Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 : ~¥13.8B

#2 Suzume's Locking-Up : ¥10.0B

#3 Top Gun Maverick : ¥9.0B

#4 Conan 2022 : ¥9.0B

#5 Jurassic World Dominion : ¥8.0B

#6 LightYear : ¥7.0B

#7 Minions 2 : ¥7.0B

 

As of June 2022

 

What the hell is this prediction for Minions 2? 😅

Edited June 12, 2022 by MG10

[SchumacherFTW]

I'm curious how Suzume will go, ¥10bn seems like a good base line given the drop from Your Name to Weathering with You. Very wide range if the reception is good though. 

[Issac Newton]

On 6/6/2022 at 12:08 PM, Issac Newton said:

Top Gun: Maverick

 

2nd WKend : ¥757,410,130 / 471,261 attendees (-8.2%)

Total Until 06/05 (Sun) : ¥2,889,707,640 / 1,883,940 attendees 

3rd WKend : ¥669,128,700 / 417,955 attendees (-11.7%)

Total Until 06/12 (Sun) : ¥4,373,328,300 / 2,839,650 attendees 

[Issac Newton]

Reported WK Numbers (Approx.)

 

#1 DBS: SH : ¥670M / 498K attendees

#2 TGM : (see above)

#3 Shin Ultraman : ¥203M / 126K attendees

 

Total -

⚪ Shin Ultraman - ¥3.5B / 2.39M attendees

⚪ Conan 2022 - ¥8.79B / 6.3M attendees (ATG : 62nd)

⚪ Shin Chan 2022 - ¥1.9B / 1.61M attendees

 

Speedy Note : DBS: SH in No.1 in attendees but revenue need to be confirmed

 

Only 3 Imported Works has exceeded ¥4.0B (Post-CoVid-19)

 

#1 Fantastic Beasts 3 - ¥4.55B

#2 Top Gun Maverick - ¥4.37B

#3 Spider-Man: No Way Home - ¥4.19B

 

Fastest Imported Films to break ¥4.0B 

 

#1 Top Gun Maverick : 17th day

#2 Fantastic Beasts 3 : 31st day

#3 Spider-Man: No Way Home : 49th day

Edited June 13, 2022 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

6 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Speedy Note : DBS: SH in No.1 in attendees but revenue need to be confirmed

DBS win Opening Weekend both in revenue and attendees (Approx. 300K SAT + 200K SUN)

 

DBS : ¥669,890,220

TGM: ¥669,128,700

 

Difference - ¥761,520 /// 😷

[keysersoze123]

7 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

3rd WKend : ¥669,128,700 / 417,955 attendees (-11.7%)

Total Until 06/12 (Sun) : ¥4,373,328,300 / 2,839,650 attendees 

I hope we see a great run towards 10B yen. 

[JustLurking]

Would need to start having softer drops for 10B or even 9 imo since it's still very far from holidays. Current ones are really good but not quite enough.

[Brainbug]

I know its still like 1 1/2 months away, but Japan could become one of Dominions biggest markets.

 

JW in 2015 did 74,5M and Fallen Kingdom in 2018 did 72,3M per Box office Mojo. 

 

I would expect Dominion to gross at least 50M in Japan. I hope ofc that it will be able to match the prior installments, but im not sure WOM will be good enough for that. 

[JustLurking]

12 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

I know its still like 1 1/2 months away, but Japan could become one of Dominions biggest markets.

 

JW in 2015 did 74,5M and Fallen Kingdom in 2018 did 72,3M per Box office Mojo. 

 

I would expect Dominion to gross at least 50M in Japan. I hope ofc that it will be able to match the prior installments, but im not sure WOM will be good enough for that. 

50M jp is like best case scenario I think. Mostly because ER for the yen is horrible atm. Only -10% drop from FK is pretty much your 50M in usd with current exchanges. So, uh, yeah, kind of puts into perspective how bad they are I guess.

Edited June 13, 2022 by JustLurking

[Brainbug]

7 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

50M jp is like best case scenario I think. Mostly because ER for the yen is horrible atm. Only -10% drop from FK is pretty much your 50M in usd with current exchanges. So, uh, yeah, kind of puts into perspective how bad they are I guess.

 

Oh wow i didnt know ER was this bad. Yeah, then 40M probably is more realistic with 50M beeing the high end.

[Issac Newton]

WK: June 11-12, 2022 (Sat-Sun)

Ranking based on WK attendees

1️⃣ Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero : ¥669,890,220 (OW / 🆕) 

2️⃣ Top Gun: Maverick : ¥669,128,700 / ¥4,373,328,300 (3rd WK / P.W. : 1st /↘️)

3️⃣ Shin Ultraman : ¥202,877,850 / ¥3,563,280,950 (5th WK / P.W. : 2nd /↘️)

4️⃣ The Quintessential Quintuplets the Movie : ¥132,490,060 / ¥1,399,386,140 (4th WK / P.W. : 4th /➡️)

5️⃣ Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween : ¥98,001,300 / ¥8,794,664,000 (9th WK / P.W. : 5th /➡️)

6️⃣ Teasing Master Takagi-san: The Movie : ¥N/A / ¥140,974,460 (OW / 🆕) 

7️⃣ Mobile Suit Gundam: Cucuruz Doan's Island : ¥126,323,720 / ¥695,892,260 (2nd WK / P.W. : 3rd /↘️)

8️⃣ The Way of the Househusband : ¥70,198,680 / ¥297,965,950 (2nd WK / P.W. : 6th /↘️)

9️⃣ 2022 Shin Chan Movie : ¥36,756,500 / ¥1,937,601,300 (8th WK / P.W. : 7th /↘️)

🔟 Lesson in Murder : ¥40,741,280 / ¥925,909,020 (6th WK / P.W. : 8th /↘️)

 

Spoiler

Bonus Ranking!

#11. The Wandering Moon : ¥23,405,880 / ¥750,772,100

#12. Inu-Oh : ¥28,673,720 / ¥180,676,854

 

Note: P.W. : Previous Weekend Rank

 

Reported Attendees Until 06/12 (Sun)

Ranking are unbiased

■ Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero : 497,526 attendees (2-days) 🆕

■ Top Gun: Maverick : 2,839,650 attendees (17-days) 

■ Shin Ultraman : 2,390,586 attendees (31-days)

■ The Quintessential Quintuplets the Movie : 1,058,747 attendees (24-days) 

■ Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween : 6,307,279 attendees (59-days)

■ Teasing Master Takagi-san: The Movie : 102,758 attendees (3-days) 🆕

■ Mobile Suit Gundam: Cucuruz Doan's Island : 351,237 attendees (10-days) 

■ The Way of the Househusband : 225,391 attendees (10-days) 

■ 2022 Shin Chan Movie : 1,612,457 attendees (52-days)

■ Lesson in Murder : 651,167 attendees (38-days)

 

Miscellaneous Numbers:

⚪ Tokyo 2020 Olympics: Side A : ¥39,397,900 / 29,692 attendees (10-days)

⚪ Dreaming of the Meridian Arc : ¥455,000,000 / 368,000 attendees (24-days)

⚪ Fullmetal Alchemist: Revenge Scar : ¥259,893,470 / 193,551 attendees (24-days) 

⚪ Anime Supremacy! : ¥183,429,560 (24-days) 

⚪ Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness : ¥2,134,056,550 / 1,391,909 attendees (40-days)

⚪ Radiation House : ¥918,638,500 / 716,356 attendees (45-days)

⚪ Free! The Final Stroke Part II : ¥850,366,420 (52-days)

⚪ Fantastic Beast 3 : ¥4,549,264,960 / 3,107,290 attendees (66-days)

 

Note: Mini-Theatre Numbers are not reported.

 

Weekend Share%: No of Seats (06/11-06/12):

[Issac Newton]

— May 2022 Results —

 

▶ ¥10,686,156,150 (+197.6%)

 

⚪ TOHO : ¥8,719,197,550 (+182.4%)

⚪ Shochiku : ¥1,798,229,730 (+2157.7%)

⚪ Toei : ¥168,728,870 (-60.3%)

 

TOP Works [Distributor Numbers]

 

- Toho -

① Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 : ¥13.76B

② Conan 2022 : ¥9.0B-¥9.2B

③ Shin Ultraman : ~¥4.5B

④ Mr. Osomatsu : ¥2.0B - ¥2.1B

⑤ 2022 Shin Chan : ¥1.95B

 

- Shochiku - 

① ARASHI Anniversary Tour 5x20 "Records of Memories" : ¥5.0B

② Free! The Final Stroke Part II : ¥900M

③ xxxHolic : ¥600M

④ Dreaming of the Meridian Arc : ¥500M

 

- Toei -

① Ushikubi Village : ¥560M

② What To Do With The Dead Kaiju ? : ¥500M

③ Anime Supremacy! : ¥190M

 

Note : Numbers in Range are expected finals by Distributor.

 

— Jan-May 2022 Results —

 

▶ ¥39,509,034,518 (+6.2%)

 

⚪ TOHO : ¥31,270,842,954 (-4.2%)

⚪ Shochiku : ¥6,526,343,020 (+196.6%)

⚪ Toei : ¥1,711,848,544 (-27.3%)

Edited June 14, 2022 by Issac Newton

[Issac Newton]

"Sword Art Online Progressive: Scherzo of a Dark Dusk" will open on 10 September, 2022.

 

◤￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣￣◥
　　　　劇場版
ソードアート・オンライン
　　-プログレッシブ-
冥き夕闇のスケルツォ
◣＿＿＿＿＿＿＿＿＿＿◢

◆第1弾キービジュアル解禁

◇公開日は 9月10日㈯に決定

□□
君と一緒なら——https://t.co/rivYvY6aHD #sao_anime #SAO10th pic.twitter.com/fMG0aXKXVq

— アニメ ソードアート・オンライン 公式 (@sao_anime) June 15, 2022

[simoimo19]

🇯🇵 Japan BO
 Jun. 15.

1 #TopGunMaverick $1,1M / $36,3M (-13 % Last Wed)
2 #DragonBallSuperSuperHero 
$450k/ $6,4M 
3 #ShinUltraman $260k/ $28,26M
4 #DetectiveConan25  $110k/ $68,65M 
5 #TheWayoftheHouseHusband $100k/ $2,3M. https://t.co/7gdvIwlY9H

[Issac Newton]

I don't follow USD much, so I can't say how much accurate would that be in JPY (USD is also an estimate)

 

Here's an official update confirming that it has defeated FB3 (¥4.56B) with ¥4.6B until Tues.

 

おかげさまで興収46億円突破致しました✈
ありがとうございます👍！#トップガン #トップガン胸熱 https://t.co/ygPevjbZwO

— 『トップガン』公式 (@TopGunMovie_jp) June 15, 2022

 

&Estimate Total Until Wed — ¥4.77B

#トップガンマーヴェリック
6/15(水)推定興収47.7億円

🎊2022年洋画1位🎉
🎊2022年実写1位🎉 pic.twitter.com/yU1lwsArKR

— おーみ (@pen_oomi) June 15, 2022

Edited June 15, 2022 by Issac Newton