JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[GOGODanca]

what kind of OD/OW are you forecasting for each?

[Issac Newton]

10:00 < 11:00 < 12:00 < 13:00 < 14:00

 

24,075 < 31,396 < 37,180 < 46,707 < 53,858 - Suzume's Locking-Up

07,710 < 11,576 < 16,699 < 19,382 < 21,289 - Wakanda Forever 

[Issac Newton]

18 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

what kind of OD/OW are you forecasting for each?

¥550M OD / ¥1100M OP / ¥1650M OW - Suzume's Locking-Up

¥150M OD / ¥350M OP / ¥500M OW - WAKANDA FOREVER

[thajdikt]

1 minute ago, Issac Newton said:

¥550M OD / ¥1100M OP / ¥1650M OW - Suzume's Locking-Up

¥150M OD / ¥350M OP / ¥500M OW - WAKANDA FOREVER

How did the first Black Panther do in this market?

[Issac Newton]

— Marvel's Phase IV —

 

① Black Widow - ¥949.42M

② Shang Chi - ¥964.76M

③ Eternals - ¥1,200.36M

④ No Way Home - ¥4,190.13M

⑤ Dr Strange 2 - ¥2,160.15M

⑥ Love &Thunder - ¥1,371.68M

 

— Opening Day (OD) —

 

¥461,829,040 / 309,003 attendees - No Way Home

¥430,135,780 / 308,623 attendees - Dr Strange 2

¥198,561,330 / 121,823 attendees - Love &Thunder

¥122,160,590 / x80,362 attendees - Eternals 

¥x84,381,700 / x56,170 attendees - Shang Chi 

 

— Opening Weekend (OP) —

 

¥905,036,630 / 583,916 attendees - No Way Home

¥387,450,620 / 237,089 attendees - Love &Thunder 

¥343,760,000 / 208,797 attendees - Dr Strange 2

¥293,560,000 / 184,396 attendees - Eternals 

¥218,839,800 / 141,357 attendees - Black Widow 

¥216,757,270 / 140,244 attendees - Shang Chi 

 

— Opening Week (OW) —

 

¥1,367,174,950 / 895,919 attendees - No Way Home 

¥586,011,950 / 358,912 attendees - Love &Thunder

¥415,720,590 / 264,758 attendees - Eternals 

¥301,138,970 / 196,414 attendees - Shang Chi 

 

— Extended Opening Week (OX) —

 

¥1,691,681,940 / 1,115,937 attendees - No Way Home [4-days]

¥1,213,385,750 / 788,537 attendees - Dr. Strange 2 [5-days]

¥359,769,340 / 234,817 attendees - Black Widow [4-days]

[Issac Newton]

14 minutes ago, thajdikt said:

How did the first Black Panther do in this market?

Thursday Release - ¥1.56B

 

631 Scr / 356 locs

 

OD - ¥193,609,200 / 143,805 attendees (T+F)

OP - ¥309,716,400 / 199,345 attendees

OX - ¥503,325,600 / 343,150 attendees

[Issac Newton]

10:00 < 11:00 < 12:00 < 13:00 < 14:00 < 15:00

 

24,075 < 31,396 < 37,180 < 46,707 < 53,858 < 67,318 - Suzume's Locking-Up

07,710 < 11,576 < 16,699 < 19,382 < 21,289 < 26,929 - Wakanda Forever 

[Issac Newton]

10:00 < 11:00 < 12:00 < 13:00 < 14:00 < 15:00 < 16:00

 

24,075 < 31,396 < 37,180 < 46,707 < 53,858 < 67,318 < 78,301 - Suzume's Locking-Up

07,710 < 11,576 < 16,699 < 19,382 < 21,289 < 26,929 < 28,557 - Wakanda Forever 

[Issac Newton]

10:00 < 11:00 < 12:00 < 13:00 < 14:00 < 15:00 < 16:00 < 17:00

 

24,075 < 31,396 < 37,180 < 46,707 < 53,858 < 67,318 < 78,301 < 87,637 - Suzume's Locking-Up

07,710 < 11,576 < 16,699 < 19,382 < 21,289 < 26,929 < 28,557 < 32,362 - Wakanda Forever 

[JustLurking]

Seems like a bit below Weathering with You for its OD. Weathering With You -AEON was 181k, this looks like it'll finish 160-170k. BP2 OD seems a bit better than BP1 (but the yen has plummeted since so it'll be lower anyway in usd).

[Psylocke]

I think the difference is that Weathering With You was released in the summer season while Suzume is released during an off season.

[JustLurking]

Just now, Psylocke said:

I think the difference is that Weathering With You was released in the summer season while Suzume is released during an off season.

It wasn't summer break yet iirc, that should be like a week later. Let's see the weekend bump though, this will obviously do better during the weekend frame.

[GOGODanca]

 

 

495m yen ($3.55m) OD for Suzume which is higher than than Weathering With You's 458m yen

 

 

Edited November 11, 2022 by GOGODanca

[JustLurking]

1 hour ago, GOGODanca said:

 

 

495m yen ($3.55m) OD for Suzume which is higher than than Weathering With You's 458m yen

 

 

Those calcs aren't exactly reliable, though it came in identical in admissions with some good night shows in the end so it'll depend on urban locations/atp.

[Issac Newton]

8 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

10:00 < 11:00 < 12:00 < 13:00 < 14:00 < 15:00 < 16:00 < 17:00

 

24,075 < 31,396 < 37,180 < 46,707 < 53,858 < 67,318 < 78,301 < 87,637 - Suzume's Locking-Up

07,710 < 11,576 < 16,699 < 19,382 < 21,289 < 26,929 < 28,557 < 32,362 - Wakanda Forever 

FRIDAY FINALS

 

182,189 / 862,056 - 3418 shows - Suzume's Locking-Up (166 locs)

062,951 / 238,289 - 1330 shows - WAKANDA FOREVER (179 locs)

[Psylocke]

Update from @Corpse at WOKJ:

Quote

Definitely a surprise to log on to see Suzume performing MUCH better today than pre-sales suggested! This was roughly where it should have been coming off that Friday.

Friday: ~¥500 million ($3.5 million) / ~350,000 admissions
Saturday: ~¥705 million ($5.0 million) / ~495,000 admissions

I know, annoyingly close to 500,000 admissions on Saturday, and it may have very well hit that mark. I want to be just a *tad* conservative though since this is a Toho film and business might skew slightly more toward Toho Cinemas since they went all-in on it.

Sunday will likely decrease, not unusual for most openers, but I also expect it to be a relatively small decline (~10/15%). That'd give it between ¥600-650 million / 425,000-450,000 admissions or so. So, using this as a prediction, we could be looking at:

OW: ~¥1.3-1.4 billion ($9.1-9.8 million) / ~920,000-950,000 admissions
3-Day: ~¥1.8-1.9 billion ($12.6-13.3 million) / ~1.270-1.300 million admissions

This would be roughly a 10-20% increase (revenue) over Weathering With You.

 

[Issac Newton]

What a exciting year! JJK debut, DC2022 1st in Franchise, TGM legs, OP surprise and now Suzume's Locking-Up!!

 

Will be interesting to watch who will win the crown??

[Issac Newton]

On 11/11/2022 at 10:34 AM, Issac Newton said:

¥550M OD / ¥1100M OP / ¥1650M OW - Suzume's Locking-Up

¥150M OD / ¥350M OP / ¥500M OW - WAKANDA FOREVER

I am estimating ~¥1.95B for Suzume's Locking-Up & ~¥550M for Wakanda Forever 

[SchumacherFTW]

3 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

I am estimating ~¥1.95B for Suzume's Locking-Up & ~¥550M for Wakanda Forever 

Japanese cinemas are eating right now

[Issac Newton]

2023 Tokyo Revengers live action film is getting divided into two parts! One targeting 2023 GW and other part going into Summer 2023!!!

 

 

映画『#東京リベンジャーズ2』
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