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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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Weekend Actuals (03/26-27)/2016年03月26日-2016年03月27日
01 (--) ¥639,139,900 ($5.7 million), 0, ¥860,730,100 ($7.6 million), Assassination Classroom 2: Graduation (Toho) NEW
02 (--) ¥371,254,400 ($3.3 million), 0, ¥501,228,500 ($4.4 million), Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) NEW
03 (01) ¥270,888,500 ($2.4 million), -32%, ¥2,552,345,400 ($22.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK4
04 (--) ¥155,290,500 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥155,290,500 ($1.4 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) NEW
05 (02) ¥147,210,600 ($1.3 million), -34%, ¥688,629,700 ($6.0 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK2
06 (03) ¥130,252,400 ($1.2 million), -34%, ¥997,539,900 ($8.8 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK3
07 (04) ¥118,221,400 ($1.0 million), -35%, ¥558,691,800 ($5.0 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK2
08 (06) ¥79,574,400 ($704,000), -41%, ¥330,392,800 ($3.0 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK2
09 (05) ¥75,684,000 ($669,000), -49%, ¥872,485,500 ($7.7 million), The Summit of the Gods (Toho) WK3
10 (07) ¥71,839,600 ($635,000), -43%, ¥904,871,900 ($8.0 million), What a Wonderful Family (Shochiku) WK3

>Assassination Classroom 2: Graduation dethrones Doraemon from atop the box office, just as its predecessor did last year. The second film in the hugely popular Assassination Classroom series scored the largest debut for a domestic live-action film in the month of March, selling 544,641 admissions across 319 screens over the weekend frame. And since opening on Friday, to take advantage of Spring Break, its three-day admissions rose to an incredible 750,353.

While a big opening was expected given the hype surrounding the film's release, and the series reaching its conclusion this month as well, few were expecting it to sell so many tickets so far. By comparison, it sold 56% more admissions than its predecessor over the weekend frame. So with a debut this high, a total over ¥3 billion ($25 million+) is pretty much guaranteed, and it'll be aiming for a total of ¥3.5-4 billion ($30-35 million) with likely 3 million+ admissions.

>Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice debuts in second place, selling 231,377 admissions on some 717 screens over the weekend frame, for an avg. ticket price of a whopping ¥1,606 ($14.2). Also after opening on Friday to take advantage of Spring Break, its three-day admissions climbed to 316,628.

In terms of admissions, this opening is behind every other modern Batman/Superman film except for Man of Steel. So in that regard, this opening is quite disappointing. However, thanks to the very high avg. ticket price, it recorded the second highest debut for a DC film in the market (trailing The Dark Knight Rises by a mere 0.2%!). One can't really gauge WOM/reception this early in a market like Japan, but even with expected poor legs that most superhero films receive, a total of ¥2 billion ($18 million), though not much more, should be attainable.

>Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan finally falls out of first place, but has done so with another great week/weekend. After four weeks in release, it has exceeded 2.2 million admissions; now trailing last year's release by 1.7% after being slightly ahead the past couple weeks. This year's film does have a couple more days of Spring Break left that its predecessor didn't after its fourth weekend, so let's see if it can pull ahead once again come next week.

>Kamen Rider 1 comes in an expected fourth place, but unexpectedly, it landed itself the lowest debut in the long-running series since at least 2007 (perhaps a couple years earlier). The 53rd theatrical release, and marking the 45th anniversary of the film franchise, only sold 123,702 admissions across 307 screens. I'm sure that with bringing back the first Kamen Rider, Takeshi Hongo, playing the role once again after 45 years, Toei was certainly expecting a rebound or slight uptick for their stagnant series.
 
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Star Wars Box-Office History

01. ¥12.70 billion ($109.9 million) / 8.30 million - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999) #16 All-Time
02. ¥11.58 billion ($96.0 million) / 7.45 million - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) [Final] #19 All-Time
03. ¥9.35 billion ($78.4 million) / 6.80 million - Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002) #39 All-Time
04. ¥9.17 billion ($82.7 million) / 6.60 million - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005) #43 All-Time
05. ¥5.30 billion ($22.2 million) / 4.85 million - Star Wars: Episode VI - Return of the Jedi (1983)
06. ¥4.95 billion ($21.9 million) / 4.90 million - Star Wars: Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back (1980)

No data available on Star Wars: Episode I - A New Hope.

 

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Walt Disney Picture's Top Grossing Films (1980-)

01. ¥25.48 billion ($249.6 million) / 20.03 million - Frozen (2014) #3 All-Time
02. ¥11.80 billion ($142.8 million) / 7.30 million - Alice in Wonderland (2010) #18 All-Time
03. ¥11.58 billion ($96.0 million) / 7.45 million - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) [Final] #19 All-Time
04. ¥11.00 billion ($102.4 million) / 8.60 million - Finding Nemo (2003) #20 All-Time
05. ¥10.90 billion ($102.4 million) / 8.40 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007) #24 All-Time
06. ¥10.80 billion ($130.7 million) / 7.20 million - Toy Story 3 (2010) #25 All-Time
07. ¥10.02 billion ($82.3 million) / 7.75 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006) #29 All-Time
08. ¥9.37 billion ($76.8 million) / 7.60 million - Monsters, Inc. (2002) #38 All-Time
09. ¥9.18 billion ($77.7 million) / 7.22 million - Big Hero 6 (2014) #42 All-Time
10. ¥8.96 billion ($91.3 million) / 7.05 million - Monsters University (2013) #47 All-Time
11. ¥8.87 billion ($114.9 million) / 5.86 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011) #48 All-Time
12. ¥6.86 billion ($56.4 million) / 5.60 million - The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe (2006) #80 All-Time
13. ¥6.80 billion ($60.3 million) / 5.10 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (2003) #82 All-Time
14. ¥6.54 billion ($63.5 million) / 4.98 million - Maleficent (2014) #86 All-Time
15. ¥5.73 billion ($46.6 million) / 4.46 million - Cinderella (2015) 
16. ¥5.26 billion ($51.1 million) / 4.40 million - The Incredibles (2004) 
17. ¥5.00 billion ($60.5 million) / 3.80 million - Up (2009)
18. ¥4.90 billion ($40.2 million) / 3.95 million - Dinosaur (2001)
19. ¥4.25 billion ($37.2 million) / 3.50 million - Aladdin (1993)
20. ¥4.04 billion ($33.6 million) / 3.40 million - Inside Out (2015)
21. ¥4.00 billion ($44.2 million) / 3.20 million - Wall-E (2008)

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Weekend Forecast (04/02-03)/2016年04月02日-2016年04月03日
01 (01) ¥371,000,000 ($3.3 million), -42%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($19.6 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK2
02 (02) ¥223,000,000 ($2.0 million), -40%, ¥1,050,000,000 ($9.3 million), Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK2
03 (03) ¥209,000,000 ($1.9 million), -23%, ¥3,400,000,000 ($30.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK5
04 (06) ¥98,000,000 ($875,000), -24%, ¥1,400,000,000 ($12.4 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK4
05 (05) ¥94,000,000 ($840,000), -36%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK3
06 (07) ¥92,000,000 ($825,000), -23%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.1 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK3
07 (04) ¥78,000,000 ($700,000), -50%, ¥330,000,000 ($2.9 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) WK2
08 (--) ¥60,000,000 ($535,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($535,000), Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) NEW
09 (08) ¥56,000,000 ($500,000), -30%, ¥480,000,000 ($4.3 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK3
10 (09) ¥43,000,000 ($385,000), -43%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($9.0 million), The Summit of the Gods (Toho) WK4

The post-Spring Break weekend, like every other post-holiday weekend, is a dead weekend.

The only wide opener is Suspicious Woman, and its pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales are expectedly awful. It doesn't have any chance of making a run at the Top 5, and will likely barely settle for a Top 10 debut.

Also, it's definitely worth noting that the final Love Live! performance from the Tokyo Dome, titled μ's Final Love Live! Forever, is being broadcast in theaters on Saturday. It's a 2-day event, which began yesterday, and its admissions from yesterday appeared to be high enough to propel it into the Top 5 for the day.

So even though it only has Saturday, that day alone could very well be enough to earn it a Top 10 position for the weekend. In fact, I'd be surprised if it doesn't make the Top 10. Ticket prices are likely absurdly high, too, so it wouldn't even need the necessary admissions to pull of a Top 10 debut, either.

 

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On 4/2/2016 at 6:52 PM, cremino said:

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Weekend Forecast (04/02-03)/2016年04月02日-2016年04月03日
01 (01) ¥371,000,000 ($3.3 million), -42%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($19.6 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK2
02 (02) ¥223,000,000 ($2.0 million), -40%, ¥1,050,000,000 ($9.3 million), Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK2
03 (03) ¥209,000,000 ($1.9 million), -23%, ¥3,400,000,000 ($30.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK5
04 (06) ¥98,000,000 ($875,000), -24%, ¥1,400,000,000 ($12.4 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK4
05 (05) ¥94,000,000 ($840,000), -36%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($8.9 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK3
06 (07) ¥92,000,000 ($825,000), -23%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.1 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK3
07 (04) ¥78,000,000 ($700,000), -50%, ¥330,000,000 ($2.9 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) WK2
08 (--) ¥60,000,000 ($535,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($535,000), Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) NEW
09 (08) ¥56,000,000 ($500,000), -30%, ¥480,000,000 ($4.3 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK3
10 (09) ¥43,000,000 ($385,000), -43%, ¥1,000,000,000 ($9.0 million), The Summit of the Gods (Toho) WK4

The post-Spring Break weekend, like every other post-holiday weekend, is a dead weekend.

The only wide opener is Suspicious Woman, and its pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales are expectedly awful. It doesn't have any chance of making a run at the Top 5, and will likely barely settle for a Top 10 debut.

Also, it's definitely worth noting that the final Love Live! performance from the Tokyo Dome, titled μ's Final Love Live! Forever, is being broadcast in theaters on Saturday. It's a 2-day event, which began yesterday, and its admissions from yesterday appeared to be high enough to propel it into the Top 5 for the day.

So even though it only has Saturday, that day alone could very well be enough to earn it a Top 10 position for the weekend. In fact, I'd be surprised if it doesn't make the Top 10. Ticket prices are likely absurdly high, too, so it wouldn't even need the necessary admissions to pull of a Top 10 debut, either.

 

Two corrections:

1. The concert name is μ's Final Love Live! ~μ'sic Forever♪♪♪♪♪♪♪♪♪~

2. The event itself was held on 3/31 and 4/1. The 4/2 broadcast is indeed rebroadcast of 4/1's performance. Although both 3/31 and 4/1 has live viewings and both gets into top 5 in projected bo on that day.

 

Additional update:

 

From the data known, the 4/2's attendance from 95 screens is 21736. (each ticket costs 3800, gross 82596800JPY), if that was a film it would have ranked 8th in gross of 4/2 to 4/3 weekend.

 

P.S. I was at the Dome in 4/1 performance.

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Weekend Actuals (04/02-03)/2016年04月02日-2016年04月03日
01 (01) ¥393,471,200 ($3.5 million), -38%, ¥2,228,475,800 ($19.8 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK2
02 (03) ¥234,597,000 ($2.1 million), -14%, ¥3,382,985,800 ($30.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK5
03 (02) ¥223,038,900 ($2.0 million), -40%, ¥1,092,268,300 ($9.6 million), Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK2
04 (07) ¥104,211,800 ($933,000), -12%, ¥912,162,800 ($8.2 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK3
05 (06) ¥101,426,000 ($908,000), -22%, ¥1,380,084,200 ($12.3 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK4
06 (05) ¥96,942,200 ($868,000), -34%, ¥1,012,613,100 ($9.0 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK3
07 (04) ¥91,386,800 ($818,000), -41%, ¥350,543,400 ($3.1 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) WK2
08 (08) ¥61,515,900 ($500,000), -23%, ¥482,615,200 ($4.3 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK3
09 (--) ¥60,260,400 ($539,000), 0, ¥60,260,400 ($539,000), Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) NEW
10 (09) ¥44,628,200 ($385,000), -41%, ¥1,019,099,700 ($9.1 million), The Summit of the Gods (Toho) WK4

>Assassination Classroom: Graduation goes unchallenged for the top position, claiming its second week atop the charts. The final film in the series held just as well as its predecessor, surprisingly enough, selling 335,418 admissions over its second weekend frame.

The conclusion film in the popular Assassination Classroom series has already exceeded two million admissions after only ten days in release, and is now outpacing its predecessor by 76%. That percentage should shrink a bit since the original film was released one week earlier, thus didn't receive as much of a boost from Spring Break, but this final film is still well on track for possibly ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+), if not ¥4 billion ($35 million+) with over three million admissions.

>Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan rises one spot to claim second place in its fifth weekend of release, delivering an excellent hold. The 36th installment in the most-attended film franchise sold an additional 198,103 admissions over the weekend, bringing its five-week total admissions just shy of three million with 2,985,122.

The remake of the 1989 original continues to post great numbers (very similar to last year's film), and should eventually finish quite close to the ¥4 billion ($35 million) mark with nearly 3.5 million admissions.

>Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to third place thanks to its expected rough second weekend drop, as nearly every superhero film experiences, selling 136,402 admissions.

After ten days in release, DC's most popular heroes have managed to sell over 700,000 admissions. In terms of admissions, the film is performing quite poorly, but thanks to healthy 3D and other premium shares, its gross is pretty good. Unless it fails to stabilize, even if only just slightly, there's still a good chance it'll outgross The Dark Knight Rises to become the highest-grossing film based on a DC property in the market, though only just with about ¥2 billion ($17/18 million).

>The Town Where Only I Am Missing exceeded the ¥1 billion milestone in its third week of release, adding itself among the ever growing list of successful domestic films released by Warner Bros.. Since 2012, Warner Bros. has found more success in Japan by distributing domestic pictures versus their own releases.

>Suspicious Woman bombs, as expected, only coming in ninth place in its debut weekend. Mizuta Nobuo's remake of the hit Korean film only sold 47,827 admissions across 280 screens.

>Just outside the Top 10 this week, Yoji Yamada's latest, What a Wonderful Family, exceeded the ¥1 billion ($9 million) milestone after four weeks in release.
 
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Weekend Forecast (04/09-10)/2016年04月09日-2016年04月10日
01 (01) ¥228,000,000 ($2.1 million), -42%, ¥2,700,000,000 ($24.0 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK3
02 (03) ¥156,000,000 ($1.4 million), -30%, ¥1,450,000,000 ($12.8 million), Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK3
03 (02) ¥122,000,000 ($1.1 million), -48%, ¥3,750,000,000 ($33.4 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK6
04 (04) ¥66,000,000 ($610,000), -37%, ¥1,125,000,000 ($10.9 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK4
05 (06) ¥65,000,000 ($600,000), -32%, ¥1,175,000,000 ($11.2 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK4
06 (05) ¥59,000,000 ($545,000), -42%, ¥1,575,000,000 ($14.1 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK5
07 (07) ¥54,000,000 ($500,000), -40%, ¥450,000,000 ($3.9 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) WK3
08 (09) ¥39,000,000 ($360,000), -35%, ¥175,000,000 ($1.5 million), Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) WK2
09 (08) ¥35,000,000 ($325,000), -43%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.8 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK4
10 (10) ¥29,000,000 ($270,000), -31%, ¥1,100,000,000 ($9.9 million), The Summit of the Gods (Toho) WK5

The post-Spring Break weekend (the second weekend of April) is well-known for poor holds for most films, especially those targeting kids/teens, although the films attracting an older/adult audience can sometimes hold on well-enough post the holiday period.

>Assassination Classroom: Graduation is likely to repeat atop the box office for a third-consecutive weekend; Batman vs Superman may have the best weekend hold (it's skewing strongly towards the adult crowd); Doraemon will begin to fade as it does every year at this time; and remaining holdovers will be making what little they can before the onslaught of mid/late April releases arrive in time for Golden Week in three weeks.

>Room is a darkhorse this weekend, and could see a debut around the bottom of the Top 10. Its pre-sales are decent, and with Brie Larson having won Best Actress for the film, it has generated some interest before opening.
 
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Weekend Estimates (04/09-10)/2016年04月09日-2016年04月10日
01 (01) ¥197,000,000 ($1.8 million), -50%, ¥2,675,000,000 ($23.8 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK3
02 (03) ¥152,000,000 ($1.4 million), -32%, ¥1,450,000,000 ($12.8 million), Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK3
03 (02) ¥112,000,000 ($1.0 million), -52%, ¥3,750,000,000 ($33.4 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK6
04 (04) ¥85,000,000 ($790,000), -28%, ¥1,150,000,000 ($11.1 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK4
05 (06) ¥66,000,000 ($610,000), -32%, ¥1,175,000,000 ($11.2 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK4
06 (05) ¥57,000,000 ($530,000), -43%, ¥1,575,000,000 ($14.1 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK5
07 (07) ¥57,000,000 ($525,000), -37%, ¥450,000,000 ($3.9 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) WK3
08 (09) ¥46,000,000 ($420,000), -24%, ¥175,000,000 ($1.5 million), Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) WK2
09 (--) ¥45,000,000 ($415,000), 0, ¥45,000,000 ($415,000), Room (Gaga) NEW
10 (08) ¥38,000,000 ($350,000), -39%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.8 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK4

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Weekend Actuals (04/09-10)/2016年04月09日-2016年04月10日
01 (01) ¥201,085,000 ($1.9 million), -49%, ¥2,890,646,300 ($25.7 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK3
02 (03) ¥146,200,900 ($1.4 million), -35%, ¥1,433,148,200 ($12.7 million), Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK3
03 (02) ¥115,511,200 ($1.1 million), -51%, ¥3,778,527,800 ($33.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK6
04 (04) ¥77,752,000 ($720,000), -25%, ¥1,133,036,100 ($10.3 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK4
05 (06) ¥67,854,900 ($628,000), -31%, ¥1,188,977,700 ($10.6 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK4
06 (05) ¥60,360,500 ($558,000), -41%, ¥1,581,788,900 ($14.1 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK5
07 (07) ¥57,242,300 ($531,000), -36%, ¥463,584,800 ($4.0 million), Kamen Rider 1 (Toei) WK3
07 (--) ¥57,242,300 ($531,000), 0, ¥57,242,300 ($531,000), Room (Gaga) NEW
09 (09) ¥45,946,800 ($419,000), -24%, ¥220,908,500 ($1.9 million), Suspicious Woman (Shochiku) WK2
10 (08) ¥39,377,900 ($364,000), -39%, ¥568,352,600 ($5.0 million), Precure All Stars: Sung by Everyone♪ Miracle Magic! (Toei) WK4

>Assassination Classroom: Graduation claims its third-consecutive week atop the box office, but suffered a sharp decline due to the post-Spring Break weekend. The conclusion film in the popular multi-media series sold an additional 167,429 admissions, which brought its overall admissions to nearly 2.6 million after three weeks in release.

It's already outgrossed its predecessor, and continues to outpace it by almost 40% after three weeks in release. It'll begin to slow down now that Spring Break is over, but it's almost certain to exceed ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+) and probably exceed 3 million admissions as well.

>Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice wasn't affected much by the post-Spring Break weekend, and delivered a fairly strong third weekend hold, especially for a superhero film.

DC's biggest stars sold a further 90,014 tickets in its third weekend, but it still hasn't been able to reach 1 million admissions yet. Overall, its admission figures in the market are quite disappointing, but due to such a high avg. ticket price from premium format screenings, it's still tracking at a good pace to outgross The Dark Knight Rise's (even if it's just barely) to become DC's highest grossing film in the market.

>Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan experiences its usual huge drop-off over the post-Spring Break weekend, selling 96,707 admissions over its sixth weekend of release, but there's some excellent news following this weekend.

Since this year's film was able to play into a second week of Spring Break, it's very likely now to outgross last year's film, and has a strong likelihood become the highest-grossing film in the franchise. Doraemon films collapse from this point forward, but even though it will, it seems almost certain that the 36th installment in the franchise will exceed the ¥3.93 billion required to earn that title.

>Room finally reached Japan, and managed quite the strong debut. Playing in limited release on only 78 screens, starring Best Actress Brie Larson, the film sold a solid 38,127 admissions over the weekend. It ranked eighth over the weekend in terms of admissions, but actually tied Kamen Rider 1 to come in seventh place in terms of gross.

 

Marvel/DC Box-Office History

Top Opening Weekends
¥1.226 billion ($9.6 million) - Spider-Man (2002)
¥1.207 billion ($10.1 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007)
¥1.084 billion ($10.0 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004)
¥793.9 million ($6.5 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥580.9 million ($7.4 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥500.9 million ($6.3 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥420.3 million ($4.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)
¥414.7 million ($4.3 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)

¥372.0 million ($4.6 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥371.3 million ($3.3 million) - Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016)
¥368.9 million ($3.4 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥361.9 million ($3.1 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)
¥333.2 million ($3.1 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥290.2 million ($2.7 million) - Batman Begins (2005)

¥276.6 million ($2.4 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥272.5 million ($2.7 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)

¥268.3 million ($2.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥264.6 million ($2.9 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥247.5 million ($2.1 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥224.1 million ($2.1 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥211.7 million ($2.0 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥204.7 million ($1.9 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥200.4 million ($1.7 million) - Ant-Man (2015)
¥198.4 million ($1.9 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥194.3 million ($1.6 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥187.1 million ($1.8 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥184.3 million ($1.9 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥176.8 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥160.9 million ($1.4 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥158.5 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥129.9 million ($1.6 million) - Thor (2011)

¥109.7 million ($1.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥88.3 million ($1.1 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥65.1 million ($0.6 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥42.6 million ($0.6 million) - The Green Lantern (2011)

¥41.5 million ($0.4 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)


Top Grossing Films
¥7.50 billion ($59.2 million) - Spider-Man (2002) #68 All-Time
¥7.12 billion ($66.9 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007) #73 All-Time
¥6.70 billion ($61.1 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004) #83 All-Time
¥3.61 billion ($46.2 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥3.21 billion ($26.0 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥3.16 billion ($39.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥3.14 billion ($30.7 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)

¥3.00 billion ($20.0 million) - Batman (1989)
¥2.57 billion ($26.4 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)
¥2.55 billion ($12.0 million) - Superman II (1981)
¥1.97 billion ($24.2 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥1.85 billion ($18.1 million) - X-Men (2000)
¥1.80 billion ($15.9 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)

¥1.60 billion ($15.8 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥1.53 billion ($14.3 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥1.50 billion ($11.9 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥1.43 billion ($12.7 million) - Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) [3 Weeks in Release] / Projected Finish: ¥1.9-2.1 billion (~$18 million)
¥1.40 billion ($14.1 million) - Batman Begins (2005)
¥1.21 billion ($10.0 million) - Ant-Man (2015)
¥1.20 billion ($13.7 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥1.07 billion ($9.7 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥1.03 billion ($10.1 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)

¥970 million ($9.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥950 million ($10.1 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥900 million ($9.3 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥900 million ($9.8 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥850 million ($8.2 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥830 million ($6.9 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥820 million ($8.4 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥800 million ($8.9 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥750 million ($8.0 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥700 million ($6.8 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥650 million ($6.3 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥550 million ($7.0 million) - Thor (2011)

¥420 million ($4.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥400 million ($5.0 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥370 million ($3.3 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥240 million ($2.0 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)
¥200 million ($1.9 million) - Green Lantern (2011)
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2016 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days in Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥11.58 billion ($96.0 million) / 7.45 million [E] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) #19 All-Time
¥10 billion ↨
¥5.45 billion ($46.0 million) / 4.95 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho)
¥5 billion ↨
¥4.54 billion ($39.1 million) / 3.56 million [79] - Nobunaga Concerto (Toho)
¥3.78 billion ($33.8 million) / 3.33 million [37] - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho)
¥3.48 billion ($30.7 million) / 2.41 million [E] - The Martian (Fox)
¥3.22 billion ($26.8 million) / 2.72 million [E] - Orange (Toho)
¥3 billion ↨
¥2.89 billion ($25.7 million) / 2.60 million [17] - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho)
¥2.85 billion ($23.8 million) / 2.18 million [E] - Spectre (Sony)
¥2 billion ↨
¥1.75 billion ($14.7 million) / 1.49 million [E] - Living With My Mother (Shochiku)
¥1.58 billion ($14.1 million) / 1.26 million [30] - The Good Dinosaur (Disney)
¥1.52 billion ($12.8 million) / 1.21 million [E] - Saraba Abunai Deka: Long Goodbye (Toei)
¥1.43 billion ($12.7 million) / 0.93 million [17] - Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.)
¥1.19 billion ($10.6 million) / 1.06 million [30] - What a Wonderful Family (Shochiku)
¥1.19 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.98 million [23] - The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.)
¥1.15 billion ($9.7 million) / 0.97 million [E] - Persona Non Grata (Toho)
¥1.13 billion ($10.3 million) / 0.96 million [23] - Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho)
¥1.10 billion ($9.8 million) / 0.91 million [30] - The Summit of the Gods (Toho)
¥1.08 billion ($9.6 million) / 0.92 million [44] - The Black Devil and the White Prince (Showgate)
¥1 billion ↑
 

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Corpse :

 

Weekend Forecast (04/16-17)/2016年04月16日-2016年04月17日
01 (--) ¥1,000,000,000 ($9.2 million), 0, ¥1,000,000,000 ($9.2 million), Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) NEW
02 (--) ¥325,000,000 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥325,000,000 ($3.0 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Fast Asleep! Great Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) NEW

03 (01) ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), -38%, ¥3,075,000,000 ($27.5 million), Assassination Classroom: Graduation (Toho) WK4
04 (02) ¥104,000,000 ($955,000), -29%, ¥1,650,000,000 ($14.8 million), Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (Warner Bros.) WK4
05 (--) ¥65,000,000 ($600,000), 0, ¥65,000,000 ($600,000), Spotlight (Long Ride) NEW
06 (03) ¥63,000,000 ($580,000), -45%, ¥3,875,000,000 ($34.7 million), Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Toho) WK7
07 (04) ¥62,000,000 ($570,000), -20%, ¥1,250,000,000 ($11.4 million), Chihayafuru - Part 1 (Toho) WK5
08 (05) ¥47,000,000 ($430,000), -31%, ¥1,275,000,000 ($11.5 million), The Town Where Only I Am Missing (Warner Bros.) WK4
09 (06) ¥38,000,000 ($350,000), -37%, ¥1,650,000,000 ($14.7 million), The Good Dinosaur (Disney) WK5
10 (07) ¥34,000,000 ($315,000), -40%, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), Room (Gaga) WK2


Major Earthquake News

There have been two large earthquakes hit Japan over the last couple days (the first being a 6.2), and the most recent one hitting early this morning (about 2AM), measuring a significant 7.3. Japan is no stranger to quakes, obviously, but these recent quakes have caused a bit of damage and a few deaths, too. These power earthquakes, and aftershocks, are occurring near Japan's southern most island, which wouldn't normally affect the box office much, but given the intensity and quick succession they've struck, it's understandable that the rest of the country may be weary of going to a cinema today or this weekend since they could be the prelude of a more severe earthquake still to come.

Hopefully, the worst is over, (tsunami warning has been lifted) though five more quakes measuring 4.0 or greater have hit in the past hour, with dozens more being 3.0 or greater.

Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare appeared (or still appears) to be heading for a massive opening weekend, potentially the biggest of 2016 (even after considering the rest of the year's releases), but these recent earthquakes and powerful aftershocks might put a damper on its debut this weekend. We'll see. It depends on how train schedules have been affected this morning/afternoon; how much damage this morning's significant quake has caused; and how people feel about going to the cinema after/during all this.

Conan's 20th anniversary release has such strong pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales, that it's guaranteed to set a franchise record and make a serious play for ¥1 billion+ this weekend. And in fact, its ticket sales so far have been almost on par with those of Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

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OMG! Possibly 1B yen OW for Conan? That's amazing! Conan's box office history is interesting. It once dropped as low as 2.1b yen total in the early 2000s, but for most years it was stabilizing at around 3-3.5b yen. Suddenly since 2013 I think, it broke franchise record every single year, by a pretty big margin each time. What happened?

 

Anyway, it's so sad what's happening in Japan. And Ecuador too. I've experience earthquake in Japan several times when I lived there. No matter how prepared you are, it's still scary when it actually happens. Thank god it was never that bad.

Edited by catlover
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Corpse

 

Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Weekend Admissions

Saturday Results:
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity) - Film Title [Theaters/Showings]
317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity) - Yo-Kai Watch 2 [231/1,727]
293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity) - Star Wars VII [236/2,789]
289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity) - Detective Conan 20 [230/1,502]

Sunday Results:
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity) - Film Title [Theaters/Showings]
303,414/524,359 (57.9% capacity) - Yo-Kai Watch 2 [231/1,688]
282,386/512,761 (55.1% capacity) - Detective Conan 20 [226/1,434]
275,491/670,208 (41.1% capacity) - Star Wars VII [236/2,636]

Weekend Results:
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity) - Film Title [Theaters/Showings]
621,123/1,051,181 (59.1% capacity) - Yo-Kai Watch 2 [231/3,415]
572,042/1,043,666 (54.8% capacity) - Detective Conan 20 [230/2,936]
569,497/1,392,147 (40.9% capacity) - Star Wars VII [236/5,431]

I don't really have time to put together weekend estimates, but these numbers are massive for Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare. It likely sold around 900,000 admissions, if not more, over the weekend, which will best The Force Awakens (800,258). I don't believe it'll quite match Yo-Kai Watch 2's (974,557) admissions, but it could very well have topped in in terms of gross due to its higher avg. ticket price. And a third uber-blockbuster opening of ¥1 billion+ in the span of 4 months is pretty crazy when some years go without a single one.

Detective Conan 20 also had to deal with the earthquake scare and its aftershocks over the weekend, which effectively shut down ~8% of the nation's theaters, too, yet still managed this massive opening.

I'll provide a more thorough weekend analysis after I return home this evening.
 
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