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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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I'd say $75 million now looks pretty likely assuming JW2 plays like a regular summer blockbuster. 

 

Corpse:

 

Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [REVENUE]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Revenue [Screen Count] - Film (Year)
01 (09) ¥1,628,893,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (17) ¥1,372,054,050 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012) 
03 (19) ¥1,316,539,200 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
04 (20) ¥1,301,851,375 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
05 (18) ¥1,295,834,500 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
06 (21) ¥1,286,928,000 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
07 (23) ¥1,245,023,900 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 
08 (24) ¥1,225,913,932 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009) 
09 (25) ¥1,225,000,000 [???] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) *Estimate*
10 (26) ¥1,209,158,900 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
11 (28) ¥1,205,116,126 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011) 
12 (29) ¥1,155,771,000 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 
13 (30) ¥1,133,513,323 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012) 
14 (31) ¥1,125,800,000 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
15 (32) ¥1,065,362,800 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
16 (33) ¥1,057,808,800 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 
17 (34) ¥1,048,271,900 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
18 (35) ¥1,038,295,232 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009) 
19 (36) ¥1,034,459,534 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008) 
20 (39) ¥1,005,428,333 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)

 

Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [ADMISSIONS]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Year)
01 (02) 1,484,916 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (14) 1,140,081 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012)
03 (16) 1,012,000 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
04 (19) 987,568 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
05 (20) 987,387 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009)
06 (21) 974,577 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
07 (23) 933,781 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
08 (27) 880,697 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
09 (28) 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
10 (29) 825,000 [???] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) *Estimate*
11 (30) 820,830 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
12 (31) 819,738 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009)
13 (32) 812,557 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008) 
14 (33) 805,350 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)
15 (34) 805,297 [844] - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (July, 2009)
16 (35) 800,258 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
17 (36) 773,184 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011)
18 (37) 771,764 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012)
19 (38) 771,516 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
20 (39) 766,633 [872] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (Nov., 2010)
21 (41) 747,451 [454] - The Wind Rises (July, 2013)
22 (43) 737,467 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
23 (44) 729,114 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
24 (46) 717,958 [434] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Sept., 2014)
25 (47) 716,629 [381] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
26 (48) 715,727 [653] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
27 (50) 707,339 [447] - Bayside Shakedown 3: Set the Guys Loose! (July, 2010)

 

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Weekend Estimates (07/14-15)
01 (---) ¥1,225,000,000 ($10.9 million), 0, ¥1,475,000,000 ($13.1 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) NEW
02 (---) ¥505,000,000 ($4.5 million), 0, ¥580,000,000 ($5.2 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) NEW
03 (01) ¥189,000,000 ($1.7 million), -35%, ¥1,625,000,000 ($14.5 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK3
04 (02) ¥143,000,000 ($1.3 million), -15%, ¥3,780,000,000 ($34.3 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK6
05 (04) ¥86,000,000 ($765,000), -13%, ¥1,500,000,000 ($13.3 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK5
06 (03) ¥70,000,000 ($625,000), -36%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK2
07 (05) ¥59,000,000 ($525,000), -27%, ¥330,000,000 ($3.0 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK3
08 (08) ¥28,000,000 ($250,000), -29%, ¥8,580,000,000 ($78.5 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK14
09 (06) ¥27,000,000 ($240,000), -43%, ¥1,200,000,000 ($11.0 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK7
10 (07) ¥21,000,000 ($190,000), -50%, ¥250,000,000 ($2.2 million), Punk Samurai Slash Down (Toei) WK3


3-Day Holiday Weekend Estimates (07/14-16)
01 (---) ¥1,825,000,000 ($16.2 million), 0, ¥2,075,000,000 ($18.4 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) NEW
02 (---) ¥765,000,000 ($6.8 million), 0, ¥840,000,000 ($7.5 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) NEW
03 (01) ¥281,000,000 ($2.5 million), -04%, ¥1,725,000,000 ($15.3 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK3
04 (02) ¥208,000,000 ($1.8 million), +24%, ¥3,850,000,000 ($34.8 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK6
05 (04) ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), +25%, ¥1,540,000,000 ($13.7 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK5
06 (03) ¥119,000,000 ($1.1 million), +08%, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK2
07 (05) ¥87,000,000 ($775,000), +07%, ¥375,000,000 ($3.3 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK3
08 (08) ¥41,000,000 ($365,000), +03%, ¥8,595,000,000 ($78.6 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK14
09 (06) ¥39,000,000 ($345,000), -19%, ¥1,210,000,000 ($11.1 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK7
10 (07) ¥30,000,000 ($265,000), -28%, ¥260,000,000 ($2.3 million), Punk Samurai Slash Down (Toei) WK3


As stated, absolutely huge for Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom. It may have exceeded the ¥2 billion milestone after a mere four days in release, which would tie 2011's Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 and 2014's Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! as the fastest films reach the mark in the past ten years. Jurassic World 2 won't have nearly as strong of legs as its predecessor due to the release date difference, but with such an explosive debut, it'll rival the original's total with a likely gross of ¥8 billion ($70 million+), and even ¥9 billion ($80 million+) is doable. It may have the Summer Crown locked up already, even though Summer just began, and it'll be a serious contender to win the Yearly Crown as well.

Pokemon: Everyone's Story performed very well, and pretty much matched (possibly beat) last year's film reboot of the long-running animated franchise. A total between ¥3-3.5 billion ($30 million+) is likely. This is very encouraging because a couple years back, the franchise was in a downward spiral. The new strategy of releasing original Pokemon films that aren't apart of the TV anime definitely appears to have brought back a lot of fans to the theaters. 

Solo: A Star Wars Story, thankfully, held better than it really should have this weekend (severe screen/showtime & premium format cuts), and while it's still not performing particularly well, a total above ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) is likely.

Shoplifters continues its incredible run, and is going to exceed the ¥4 billion milestone very soon. Hirokazu Kore-eda's hit is now targeting a total over ¥4.5 billion ($40 million+).

Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer continues to remain in the Top 10, now achieving a remarkable fourteenth-consecutive week there! I still believe it has the advantage of winning the Yearly Crown, especially now that it's still in the Top 10 with Summer beginning, but it'll be in for a close race now with Jurassic World 2.
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Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (Umi no Hi)
Image
(C)Universal Pictures

Weekend Actuals + Monday Totals (07/14-15+16)
01 (---) ¥1,216,654,000 ($10.8 million), 0, ¥2,106,772,700 ($18.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) NEW
02 (---) ¥500,312,000 ($4.5 million), 0, ¥836,812,900 ($7.4 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) NEW
03 (01) ¥171,958,700 ($1.5 million), -41%, ¥1,690,000,000 ($15.0 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK3
04 (02) ¥130,257,000 ($1.2 million), -22%, ¥3,879,486,600 ($35.1 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK6
05 (04) ¥81,068,400 ($721,000), -19%, ¥1,526,000,000 ($13.6 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK5
06 (03) ¥64,345,800 ($573,000), -42%, ¥327,000,000 ($2.9 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK2
07 (05) ¥58,381,900 ($519,000), -28%, ¥361,000,000 ($3.2 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK3
08 (08) ¥27,886,200 ($248,000), -30%, ¥8,599,241,600 ($78.7 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK14
09 (06) ¥24,452,900 ($218,000), -49%, ¥1,200,000,000 ($11.0 million), 50 First Kisses (Sony) WK7
10 (07) ¥21,508,300 ($191,000), -49%, ¥260,000,000 ($2.3 million), Punk Samurai Slash Down (Toei) WK3


Cumulative Totals as of Monday (07/16)

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom kicked-off the Summer Box-Office Season on an enormous scale. The sequel to Jurassic World, and the fifth entry in the overall series, dominated the box-office, becoming the fastest film since 2011's Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 and 2014's Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! to reach the ¥2 billion milestone in just four days. By comparison, it took Jurassic World seven days to reach the same milestone.

Jurassic World 2 sold an incredible 833,190 admissions over the weekend frame across 1,002 screens (second highest screen count in modern history), and brought its 4-day admissions up to an astounding 1,453,273. This entry won't have nearly as strong of legs as its predecessor due to the release date difference of the two films, but even a standard performance for a blockbuster this time of year will easily get it to the ¥8 billion ($70 million) milestone, and it could certainly rival the first film with a total of ¥9 billion ($80 million), as well. It has very likely won the Summer Crown already, and will be in the running for the Yearly Crown. 

Pokemon: Everyone's Story performed very well, selling 440,242 admissions over the weekend frame on 370 screens, which bested last year's reboot of the animated film franchise by 0.9%. Its 4-day admissions reached an excellent 733,488. However, it did come in slightly lower in revenue, trailing last year's film by just 3.1%. This is very encouraging because a couple years back, the franchise was in a downward spiral. A total between ¥3-3.5 billion ($30 million+) is likely. The new strategy of releasing original Pokemon films that aren't apart of the TV anime definitely appears to have brought back a lot of fans to the theaters. 

Solo: A Star Wars Story did end up falling a bit harshly in its third weekend due to severe screen/showtime & premium format cuts), after all, and while it's still not performing particularly well, I believe total around ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) is likely. Certainly not good, but respectable given its performance elsewhere.

Shoplifters continues its incredible run, and is going to exceed the ¥4 billion milestone very soon. Hirokazu Kore-eda's hit is now targeting a total over ¥4.5 billion ($40 million+).

Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer continues to remain in the Top 10, now achieving a remarkable fourteenth-consecutive week there! I still believe it has the advantage of winning the Yearly Crown, especially now that it's still in the Top 10 with Summer beginning, but it'll be in for a close race now with Jurassic World 2.
 
2018 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥8.60 billion ($78.7 million) / 6.58 million [95] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥7.50 billion ($66.2 million) / 5.05 million [E] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥5.30 billion ($49.4 million) / 4.63 million [E] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥5.13 billion ($47.8 million) / 3.67 million [E] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.93 billion ($46.0 million) / 3.93 million [E] - Coco (Disney)
¥3.88 billion ($35.1 million) / 3.17 million [39] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥3.70 billion ($33.8 million) / 2.48 million [E] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥3.41 billion ($31.7 million) / 2.92 million [E] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥3.20 billion ($28.5 million) / 2.54 million [F] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.80 billion ($25.0 million) / 2.23 million [F] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥2.50 billion ($22.8 million) / 1.53 million [E] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥2.11 billion ($18.7 million) / 1.45 million [04] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥2.01 billion ($18.0 million) / 1.81 million [F] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.80 billion ($16.4 million) / 1.53 million [E] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥1.78 billion ($16.2 million) / 1.18 million [46] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥1.70 billion ($15.3 million) / 1.22 million [F] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥1.69 billion ($15.0 million) / 1.22 million [18] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)
¥1.64 billion ($15.3 million) / 1.41 million [E] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥1.62 billion ($14.8 million) / 1.35 million [E] - Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥1.62 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.28 million [F] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥1.56 billion ($14.2 million) / 1.25 million [E] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥1.53 billion ($13.6 million) / 1.24 million [31] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥1.52 billion ($14.2 million) / 1.01 million [E] - Black Panther (Disney)
¥1.35 billion ($12.2 million) / 1.04 million [E] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥1.26 billion ($11.3 million) / 1.06 million [E] - Kamen Hensei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid With Legend Riders (Toei)
¥1.23 billion ($11.2 million) / 0.90 million [E] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥1.20 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)
¥1.20 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [45] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.87 million [E] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥1.11 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥1.01 billion ($9.5 million) / 0.79 million [E] - Tonight, at the Movies (Warner Bros.)

¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)[/quote]
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From corpse

Jurassic Park - Box Office History (1993-)

Opening Weekends:
¥1.217 billion ($10.8 million) / 833,190 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥845.1 million ($6.8 million) / 544,759 - Jurassic World (2015) *Wednesday Opener*
¥805.0 million ($6.7 million) / 608,000 - Jurassic Park III (2001)
Unavailable - Jurassic Park (1993)
Unavailable - The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997)

Totals:
¥12.85 billion ($120.6 million) / 8.55 million - Jurassic Park (1993) 
¥9.53 billion ($77.9 million) / 6.26 million - Jurassic World (2015) 
¥9.50 billion ($85.6 million) / 6.30 million - The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997) 
¥5.13 billion ($41.3 million) / 3.90 million - Jurassic Park III (2001)

 

Pokemon Box-Office History (1998-)

Opening Weekends:
¥780.9 million ($6.5 million) / 742,978 - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: The Rise of Darkrai (2007)
¥703.8 million ($6.7 million) / 670,285 - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Giratina and the Sky Warrior - Shaymin (2008)
¥672.5 million ($7.1 million) / 641,700 - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Arceus - To a Conquering Spacetime (2009)
¥629.7 million ($7.7 million) / 600,602 - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Master of Illusions - Zoroark (2010)
¥540.1 million ($6.7 million) / 515,905 - Pokemon Best Wishes: Victini and the Black Hero - Zekrom/Victini and the White Hero - Reshiram (2011)
¥516.2 million ($4.6 million) / 436,078 - Pokemon: I Choose You! (2017)
¥515.2 million ($4.7 million) / 491,192 - Pokemon Advanced: Mew and the Wave Hero - Lucario (2005)
¥509.1 million ($6.4 million) / 489,862 - Pokemon Best Wishes: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo (2012) 
¥500.3 million ($4.5 million) / 440,242 - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (2018)
¥500.2 million ($4.6 million) / 475,462 - Pokemon Advanced: Deoxys - Sky-Splitting Visitor (2004)
¥486.3 million ($5.0 million) / 464,839 - Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect - Mewtwo Awakens (2013)
¥450.2 million ($3.8 million) / 427,104 - Pokemon Advanced: Jirachi - Wishing Star of Seven Nights (2003)
¥416.4 million ($3.6 million) / 396,472 - Pokemon Advanced: Pokemon Ranger and the Prince of the Sea (2006)
¥393.2 million ($3.9 million) / 360,190 - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (2014)
¥384.1 million ($3.1 million) / 351,592 - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (2015)
¥380.5 million ($3.1 million) / 354,328 - Pokemon: Celebi - A Timeless Encounter (2001)
¥323.9 million ($3.0 million) / 289,971 - Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (2016)
¥292.6 million ($2.4 million) / 273,209 - Pokemon: Guardians of Altomare - Latias and Latios (2002)


Totals:
¥7.54 billion ($67.8 million) / 6.54 million - Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back (1998)
¥6.36 billion ($64.8 million) / 5.60 million - Pokemon: Revelation Lugia (1999)
¥5.02 billion ($47.2 million) / 4.78 million - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: The Rise of Darkrai (2007)
¥4.85 billion ($45.7 million) / 4.50 million - Pokemon: Lord of the Unown Tower - Entei (2000)
¥4.80 billion ($53.3 million) / 4.66 million - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Giratina and the Sky Warrior - Shaymin (2008)
¥4.67 billion ($51.6 million) / 4.40 million - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Arceus - To a Conquering Spacetime (2009)
¥4.50 billion ($38.4 million) / 4.28 million - Pokemon Advanced: Jirachi - Wishing Star of Seven Nights (2003)
¥4.38 billion ($39.1 million) / 4.16 million - Pokemon Advanced: Deoxys - Sky-Splitting Visitor (2004)
¥4.33 billion ($56.1 million) / 4.13 million - Pokemon Best Wishes: Victini and the Black Hero - Zekrom/Victini and the White Hero - Reshiram (2011)
¥4.30 billion ($38.9 million) / 4.10 million - Pokemon Advanced: Mew and the Wave Hero - Lucario (2005)
¥4.16 billion ($50.3 million) / 3.97 million - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Master of Illusions - Zoroark (2010)
¥3.90 billion ($32.5 million) / 3.63 million - Pokemon: Celebi - A Timeless Encounter (2001)
¥3.61 billion ($46.0 million) / 3.44 million - Pokemon Best Wishes: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo (2012)
¥3.55 billion ($32.3 million) / 3.03 million - Pokemon: I Choose You! (2017)
¥3.40 billion ($28.2 million) / 3.23 million - Pokemon Advanced: Pokemon Ranger and the Prince of the Sea (2006)
¥3.17 billion ($33.0 million) / 3.01 million - Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect - Mewtwo Awakens (2013) 
¥2.91 billion ($28.2 million) / 2.70 million - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (2014)
¥2.67 billion ($21.8 million) / 2.55 million - Pokemon: Guardians of Altomare - Latias and Latios (2002)
¥2.61 billion ($21.3 million) / 2.40 million - Pokemon XY: Hoopa and the Clash of Ages (2015)
¥2.15 billion ($20.8 million) / 1.95 million - Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (2016)

 

Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [REVENUE]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Revenue [Screen Count] - Film (Year)
01 (09) ¥1,628,893,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (17) ¥1,372,054,050 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012) 
03 (19) ¥1,316,539,200 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
04 (20) ¥1,301,851,375 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
05 (21) ¥1,295,834,500 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
06 (22) ¥1,286,928,000 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
07 (24) ¥1,245,023,900 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 
08 (25) ¥1,225,913,932 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009) 
09 (26) ¥1,216,654,000 [1002] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
10 (27) ¥1,209,158,900 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
11 (28) ¥1,205,116,126 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011) 
12 (30) ¥1,155,771,000 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 
13 (31) ¥1,133,513,323 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012) 
14 (32) ¥1,125,800,000 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
15 (33) ¥1,065,362,800 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
16 (34) ¥1,057,808,800 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 
17 (35) ¥1,048,271,900 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
18 (36) ¥1,038,295,232 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009) 
19 (37) ¥1,034,459,534 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008) 
20 (40) ¥1,005,428,333 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)
¥1 Billion+


Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [ADMISSIONS]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Year)
01 (02) 1,484,916 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (14) 1,140,081 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012)
03 (16) 1,012,000 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
04 (19) 987,568 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
05 (20) 987,387 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009)
06 (21) 974,577 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
07 (23) 933,781 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
08 (27) 880,697 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
09 (29) 833,190 [1002] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
10 (28) 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010) 
11 (30) 820,830 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
12 (31) 819,738 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009)
13 (32) 812,557 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008) 
14 (33) 805,350 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)
15 (34) 805,297 [844] - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (July, 2009)
16 (35) 800,258 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
17 (36) 773,184 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011)
18 (37) 771,764 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012)
19 (38) 771,516 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
20 (39) 766,633 [872] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (Nov., 2010)
21 (41) 747,451 [454] - The Wind Rises (July, 2013)
22 (43) 737,467 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
23 (44) 729,114 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
24 (46) 717,958 [434] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Sept., 2014)
25 (47) 716,629 [381] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
26 (48) 715,727 [653] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
27 (50) 707,339 [447] - Bayside Shakedown 3: Set the Guys Loose! (July, 2010)
700,000+


*Modern = Post-Previews/Early Showings Era.
Edited by titanic2187
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12 hours ago, Olive said:

seems 2nd weekend drop will be in line with POTC5

10B will be unlikely

 

So what do you see as the final total?  And what is the conversion to US dollars?

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3 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

So what do you see as the final total?  And what is the conversion to US dollars?

 

Per Corpse:

 

"Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is going to enjoy a strong second weekend atop the box-office, following its incredible debut weekend. The film will either be just shy, or slightly above the ¥4 billion milestone after just ten days in release. It's still on course to exceed the ¥8 billion ($70 million) milestone, and is likely to hit ¥9 billion ($80 million) as well. "

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12 hours ago, POTUS said:

You were hoping for $1.2b a while back.  Looks like it'll get close to 1.3b

 

It's not really that I was hoping...I just thought it would get there.  But if Japan does 70, I think it does have a chance to hit 1.3 billion.  That's pretty good retention from a movie that blew up three years ago.

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5 minutes ago, Infernus said:

What's the news on the Bleach Live Action Film? I hope it does well. Does anyone know how it's been recieved critically?

Image
(C) Universal Pictures

Weekend Estimates (07/21-22)
01 (01) ¥741,000,000 ($6.6 million), -39%, ¥3,475,000,000 ($30.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK2
02 (---) ¥380,000,000 ($3.4 million), 0, ¥470,000,000 ($4.2 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥246,000,000 ($2.2 million), -51%, ¥1,200,000,000 ($10.7 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK2
04 (---) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥155,000,000 ($1.4 million), Bleach (Shochiku) NEW
05 (03) ¥88,000,000 ($780,000), -49%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($16.5 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK4
06 (04) ¥73,000,000 ($650,000), -44%, ¥4,040,000,000 ($36.5 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK7
07 (05) ¥50,000,000 ($445,000), -38%, ¥1,615,000,000 ($14.4 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK6
08 (07) ¥37,000,000 ($365,000), -36%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.8 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK4
09 (06) ¥35,000,000 ($310,000), -46%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.5 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK3
10 (08) ¥17,000,000 ($150,000), -41%, ¥8,640,000,000 ($79.0 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK15


I made a miscalculation regarding JW2's cumulative total on Friday (seen above), adding its Monday gross twice, so that's been corrected in the Weekend Estimates.

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom enjoys a strong second weekend atop the box-office, following its incredible debut weekend. However, due to the release date difference between it and Jurassic World, the sequel has now fallen behind it by about 20% despite the much larger opening. You can compare the two films in the Biggest Second Weekends post that's coming up soon. 

It's still on course to reach the ¥8 billion ($70 million) milestone, though, and could still reach ¥9 billion ($80 million) if it benefits enough from Obon Festival next month. 

>Mirai of the Future settles for second place, coming in slightly above director Mamoru Hosoda's Wolf Children based on estimates. It does, however, come in well-below the debut of Hosoda's last film, The Boy and the Beast, by over 40%, but I'm sure if this is a good comparison given Mirai isn't as ambitious and is less-fantastical in its more family-oriented story. 

Legs for animated films released in mid-late July are often great due to Summer Vacation and the upcoming holiday period, so Mirai should be good for at least ¥3 billion ($25-30 million), but could go as high as ¥4 billion ($35 million).

>Pokemon: Everyone's Story sees the typical ~50% decline in its second weekend that the franchise consistently experiences. It'll rebound as we get deeper into Summer, and is still on track for ¥3-3.5 billion ($30 million+).

>Bleach, the live-action adaptation of the popular 2000's manga/anime, bombs as expected. It certainly wasn't expected to do very well, but opening to about half of what the live-action adaptations Fullmetal Alchemist and Tokyo Ghoul did last year is very disappointing. Simply put, this film came out way too late.

>Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer will achieve its fifteenth-consecutive week in the Top 10! It's benefited a lot in the past two weeks from the lack of openers -- and a film earning less than ¥20 million in the tenth place position is very low, especially for this time of year -- but a fifteenth weekend in the Top 10 is still a fifteenth weekend in the Top 10 and is incredibly impressive, regardless. July usually has a few more wide openers then has been seen this year, with studios stacking early-mid August more than usual this time.
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8 hours ago, Infernus said:

What's the news on the Bleach Live Action Film? I hope it does well. Does anyone know how it's been recieved critically?

OW is disappointing, WOM is mixed.

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Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (07/21-22)
Image
(C) Universal Pictures

Weekend Actuals (07/21-22)
01 (01) ¥757,320,800 ($6.8 million), -38%, ¥3,556,950,200 ($31.6 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK2
02 (---) ¥402,203,000 ($3.6 million), 0, ¥504,453,500 ($4.5 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥237,532,600 ($2.1 million), -53%, ¥1,190,745,000 ($10.6 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK2
04 (---) ¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥176,898,600 ($1.6 million), Bleach (Shochiku) NEW
05 (03) ¥85,295,700 ($770,000), -50%, ¥1,860,798,800 ($16.7 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK4
06 (04) ¥73,853,300 ($665,000), -43%, ¥4,056,847,400 ($36.7 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK7
07 (05) ¥42,291,800 ($381,000), -48%, ¥1,615,247,600 ($14.4 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK6
08 (06) ¥38,138,100 ($344,000), -41%, ¥405,641,200 ($3.7 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK3
09 (07) ¥38,015,200 ($343,000), -34%, ¥430,431,400 ($3.9 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK4
10 (08) ¥16,021,200 ($144,000), -42%, ¥8,632,311,900 ($78.9 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho) WK15


>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom enjoys a strong second weekend atop the box-office, selling an additional 486,000 admissions over its second weekend, bringing its 10-day admissions above 2.4 million. It has fallen behind its predecessor, despite the much larger debut, but the difference in release dates makes it very difficult to accurately compare the two films on any level, really. 

Fallen Kingdom is doing very, very well, though, and is on track to reach the ¥8 billion ($70 million) milestone, and if the boost it receives from Obon Festival in three weeks is big enough, it could approach the ¥9 billion ($80 million) milestone.

>Mirai of the Future, the latest animated-family adventure from acclaimed director Mamoru Hosoda, settles for second place, selling a solid 295,828 admissions over the weekend frame across 456 screens, and an impressive 378,022 admissions since Friday. Its opening is 10% higher than Hosoda's Wolf Children which opened on this exact weekend 6 years ago, but did trail his previous film, The Boy and the Beast, by 40% (or 24% if Friday is taken into consideration).

Overall, this is a good debut -- comparable to most other high-profile original anime films (excluding Miyazaki films) -- but not the breakout that may have been possible thanks to Hosoda and Studio Chizu's growing popularity. Legs this time of year are consistently strong for original animated films, so expect a total perhaps around ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+), but ¥4 billion ($35 million) is doable, as well.

>Pokemon: Everyone's Story ends up falling slightly higher than the average Pokemon film in its second weekend, but its two-week total is only about 5% behind last year's film . It'll likely rebound as we get deeper into Summer, as the franchise typically does, and is still on track for ¥3-3.5 billion ($30 million+).

>Bleach, the live-action adaptation of the popular 2000's manga/anime, bombs as expected, only selling 99,122 admissions over the weekend frame on 329 screens, and 132,525 admissions since Friday. It certainly wasn't expected to do very well, and it came in a bit above estimates, but opening to about half of what the live-action adaptations Fullmetal Alchemist and Tokyo Ghoul did last year is very disappointing. Simply put, this film came out way too late and isn't going to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone.

>Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer achieved its fifteenth-consecutive week in the Top 10! It's benefited a lot in the past two weeks from the lack of openers -- and a film earning less than ¥20 million in the tenth place position is very low, especially for this time of year -- but a fifteenth weekend in the Top 10 is still a fifteenth weekend in the Top 10, and is incredibly impressive, regardless.

The Summer Box-Office, so far, has been a little lackluster, but it's primarily due to studios putting more films in August this year. The first two weekends of August are very crowded, and contain several potential blockbuster releases, so expect a much more exciting Top 10 in a few weeks.
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