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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

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1 hour ago, Mr Impossible said:

Fate of the Furious is doing great! Is $50M possible?

 

Its opening weekend and dailies were inflated substantially by Golden Week. I wouldn't be surprised by a >50% drop next weekend. Corpse says to expect a total close to $30 million since F&F films have weak legs in Japan. 

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BATB Third weekend over 1B yen is happening.

 

Biggest Third Weekends/Third Week Totals (2001-)

 

¥1.205 billion, (-11%), ¥6.73 billion, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion, (-15%), ¥6.67 billion, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.134 billion, (-02%), ¥6.28 billion, Your Name. (2016)
¥1.078 billion, (+05%), ¥5.89 billion, Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.012 billion, (-16%), ¥6.78 billion, Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million, (-21%), ¥5.86 billion, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥935.7 million,(-20%), ¥6.13 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥890.0 million, (-09%), ¥7.22 billion, Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million, (+01%), ¥5.28 billion, Frozen (2014) 
¥848.1 million, (-22%), ¥4.98 billion, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥826.7 million, (+14%), ¥6.40 billion, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥799.6 million, (-24%), ¥4.86 billion, Rookies (2009)
¥776.5 million, (-05%), ¥5.26 billion, Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million, (-30%), ¥6.37 billion, The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million, (-23%), ¥5.95 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥710.3 million, (-13%), ¥4.91 billion, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million, (-37%), ¥5.03 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million, (-34%), ¥5.18 billion, The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million, (+30%), ¥4.14 billion, Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million, (-06%), ¥4.67 billion, Avatar (2009)
¥624.6 million, (-27%), ¥4.59 billion, Finding Nemo (2003)

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42 minutes ago, Olive said:

BATB Third weekend over 1B yen is happening.

 

Biggest Third Weekends/Third Week Totals (2001-)

 

¥1.205 billion, (-11%), ¥6.73 billion, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion, (-15%), ¥6.67 billion, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.134 billion, (-02%), ¥6.28 billion, Your Name. (2016)
¥1.078 billion, (+05%), ¥5.89 billion, Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.012 billion, (-16%), ¥6.78 billion, Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million, (-21%), ¥5.86 billion, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥935.7 million,(-20%), ¥6.13 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥890.0 million, (-09%), ¥7.22 billion, Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million, (+01%), ¥5.28 billion, Frozen (2014) 
¥848.1 million, (-22%), ¥4.98 billion, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥826.7 million, (+14%), ¥6.40 billion, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥799.6 million, (-24%), ¥4.86 billion, Rookies (2009)
¥776.5 million, (-05%), ¥5.26 billion, Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million, (-30%), ¥6.37 billion, The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million, (-23%), ¥5.95 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥710.3 million, (-13%), ¥4.91 billion, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million, (-37%), ¥5.03 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million, (-34%), ¥5.18 billion, The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million, (+30%), ¥4.14 billion, Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million, (-06%), ¥4.67 billion, Avatar (2009)
¥624.6 million, (-27%), ¥4.59 billion, Finding Nemo (2003)

 

Is a weekend increase in play? If it matches the 2.7% rise in presales that Cynosure mentioned, then it hits ¥1.15b, which gives it 3rd best 3rd weekend! Can BATB's insane WOM propel it to finally take down HP1's 16 year record?

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CORPSE

Friday (05/05) - Children's Day
¥575,000,000 ($5.1 million), +202%, ¥6,020,000,000 ($53.8 million), Beauty and the Beast (Day 15)
¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), +361%, ¥4,925,000,000 ($44.0 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Day 21)
¥255,000,000 ($2.3 million), +15%, ¥1,935,000,000 ($17.7 million), The Fate of the Furious (Day 8)
¥135,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥700,000,000 ($6.2 million), Blade of the Immortal (Day 7)
¥105,000,000 ($930,000), +1,529%, ¥1,180,000,000 ($10.5 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Shiriri (Day 21)
¥65,000,000 ($575,000), 0, ¥550,000,000 ($4.9 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Day 7)
¥60,000,000 ($530,000), 0, ¥190,000,000 ($1.7 million), The Last Cop: The Movie (Day 3)
¥45,000,000 ($400,000), +630%, ¥4,855,000,000 ($43.5 million), Sing (Day 50)
¥30,000,000 ($265,000), +698%, ¥5,025,000,000 ($45.1 million), Moana (Day 57)
¥25,000,000 ($220,000), +64%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.7 million), March Comes in Like a Lion - Part 2 (Day 14)

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2 hours ago, Olive said:

BATB Third weekend over 1B yen is happening.

 

Biggest Third Weekends/Third Week Totals (2001-)

 

¥1.205 billion, (-11%), ¥6.73 billion, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion, (-15%), ¥6.67 billion, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.134 billion, (-02%), ¥6.28 billion, Your Name. (2016)
¥1.078 billion, (+05%), ¥5.89 billion, Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.012 billion, (-16%), ¥6.78 billion, Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million, (-21%), ¥5.86 billion, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥935.7 million,(-20%), ¥6.13 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥890.0 million, (-09%), ¥7.22 billion, Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million, (+01%), ¥5.28 billion, Frozen (2014) 
¥848.1 million, (-22%), ¥4.98 billion, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥826.7 million, (+14%), ¥6.40 billion, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥799.6 million, (-24%), ¥4.86 billion, Rookies (2009)
¥776.5 million, (-05%), ¥5.26 billion, Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million, (-30%), ¥6.37 billion, The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million, (-23%), ¥5.95 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥710.3 million, (-13%), ¥4.91 billion, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million, (-37%), ¥5.03 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million, (-34%), ¥5.18 billion, The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million, (+30%), ¥4.14 billion, Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million, (-06%), ¥4.67 billion, Avatar (2009)
¥624.6 million, (-27%), ¥4.59 billion, Finding Nemo (2003)

Olive, where do you see it finishing? I've hard time seeing BATB collapse next weekend. I really think it's going to hit 150M+ with a shot at 200M.

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Corpse is predicting a sharper drop on Sunday, so it's possible BatB still finishes above 1 billion yen.
 
 
Weekend Forecast (05/06-07)
01 (01) ¥986,000,000 ($8.7 million), -12%, ¥7,025,000,000 ($62.4 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK3
02 (03) ¥479,000,000 ($4.3 million), -18%, ¥5,400,000,000 ($48.3 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK4
03 (02) ¥424,000,000 ($3.8 million), -33%, ¥2,350,000,000 ($21.5 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK2
04 (---) ¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), Memory (Toho) NEW
05 (04) ¥169,000,000 ($1.5 million), -21%, ¥725,000,000 ($6.4 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK2
06 (06) ¥147,000,000 ($1.3 million), -17%, ¥1,325,000,000 ($11.8 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Alien Shiriri (Toho) WK4
07 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥325,000,000 ($2.8 million), The Last Cop: The Movie (Shochiku) NEW
08 (05) ¥102,000,000 ($905,000), -46%, ¥800,000,000 ($7.1 million), Blade of the Immortal (Warner Bros.) WK2
09 (07) ¥57,000,000 ($505,000), -16%, ¥4,925,000,000 ($44.1 million), Sing (Toho-Towa) WK8
10 (09) ¥38,000,000 ($335,000), -22%, ¥5,075,000,000 ($45.4 million), Moana (Disney) WK9


Saturday was off to an excellent start, and afternoon ticket sales also look strong. So far, numbers are indicating a very good weekend, though it'll come down to how Sunday performs, since it has a good chance of being down a lot compared to last week.

Beauty and the Beast will be aiming for a potential third-consecutive weekend above the ¥1 billion mark, and not too many films have been able to achieve that in the past. It'll also be very close to, or slightly above, ¥7 billion in total after three weeks in release, and even if it would experience harsh declines post-Golden Week (a decline yes, but a harsh decline is unlikely) it's pretty much locked up a ¥10 billion ($90 million+) total. 

Disney's latest live-action re-imagining is performing very similarly to Alice in Wonderland (release dates, opening weekends, Golden Week results, 3 weekends above ¥1 billion (maybe), etc.), and like it, should remain atop the box office into June. If it continues to follow a similar trajectory at the box office, it'll be aiming for a ¥12 billion (~$105 million) finish.

Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter will climb back to second place in its fourth weekend, and exceed the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion in the process. Detective Conan films fall quickly after Golden Week, but the 21st entry in the long-running franchise is targeting a total over ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), setting another record for the franchise - for the fifth consecutive year. There's a very good chance it'll be 2017's highest-grossing animated film.

The Fate of the Furious will have one of the biggest drops over the weekend, but thanks to healthy Golden Week dailies, is well on track to at least match the gross of Furious 7, and has a fair enough chance of even outgrossing it, too. Look for it to finish around ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+).

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Japan really is a crazy country. Sometimes super predictable, like right now with BatB, and than you have movies, that should have gone gangbuster on the paper, but fail to meet expectations, like the Hobbit films. 

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4 hours ago, Giesi said:

Japan really is a crazy country. Sometimes super predictable, like right now with BatB, and than you have movies, that should have gone gangbuster on the paper, but fail to meet expectations, like the Hobbit films. 

The hobbit just bombed in japan, given how popular of LOTR trilogy is there

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Beauty and the Beast increased 1.7% in admissions up to 11pm over last Saturday. Will be flat or slightly down in Yen though due to cheaper ticket price. As Sunday was flat last weekend compared to Saturday, we're looking for Sunday to stay flat or increase this weekend for any chance at another billion Yen weekend.

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11 hours ago, KP1025 said:
Corpse is predicting a sharper drop on Sunday, so it's possible BatB still finishes above 1 billion yen.
 
 
Weekend Forecast (05/06-07)
01 (01) ¥986,000,000 ($8.7 million), -12%, ¥7,025,000,000 ($62.4 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK3
02 (03) ¥479,000,000 ($4.3 million), -18%, ¥5,400,000,000 ($48.3 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK4
03 (02) ¥424,000,000 ($3.8 million), -33%, ¥2,350,000,000 ($21.5 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK2
04 (---) ¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥180,000,000 ($1.6 million), Memory (Toho) NEW
05 (04) ¥169,000,000 ($1.5 million), -21%, ¥725,000,000 ($6.4 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK2
06 (06) ¥147,000,000 ($1.3 million), -17%, ¥1,325,000,000 ($11.8 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Invasion!! Alien Shiriri (Toho) WK4
07 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥325,000,000 ($2.8 million), The Last Cop: The Movie (Shochiku) NEW
08 (05) ¥102,000,000 ($905,000), -46%, ¥800,000,000 ($7.1 million), Blade of the Immortal (Warner Bros.) WK2
09 (07) ¥57,000,000 ($505,000), -16%, ¥4,925,000,000 ($44.1 million), Sing (Toho-Towa) WK8
10 (09) ¥38,000,000 ($335,000), -22%, ¥5,075,000,000 ($45.4 million), Moana (Disney) WK9


Saturday was off to an excellent start, and afternoon ticket sales also look strong. So far, numbers are indicating a very good weekend, though it'll come down to how Sunday performs, since it has a good chance of being down a lot compared to last week.

Beauty and the Beast will be aiming for a potential third-consecutive weekend above the ¥1 billion mark, and not too many films have been able to achieve that in the past. It'll also be very close to, or slightly above, ¥7 billion in total after three weeks in release, and even if it would experience harsh declines post-Golden Week (a decline yes, but a harsh decline is unlikely) it's pretty much locked up a ¥10 billion ($90 million+) total. 

Disney's latest live-action re-imagining is performing very similarly to Alice in Wonderland (release dates, opening weekends, Golden Week results, 3 weekends above ¥1 billion (maybe), etc.), and like it, should remain atop the box office into June. If it continues to follow a similar trajectory at the box office, it'll be aiming for a ¥12 billion (~$105 million) finish.

Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter will climb back to second place in its fourth weekend, and exceed the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion in the process. Detective Conan films fall quickly after Golden Week, but the 21st entry in the long-running franchise is targeting a total over ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), setting another record for the franchise - for the fifth consecutive year. There's a very good chance it'll be 2017's highest-grossing animated film.

The Fate of the Furious will have one of the biggest drops over the weekend, but thanks to healthy Golden Week dailies, is well on track to at least match the gross of Furious 7, and has a fair enough chance of even outgrossing it, too. Look for it to finish around ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+).

_________________
 
 

to be fair, BATB has much much smaller 3D share compared to Alice back then, when 3D was extremely fresh in japan after avatar

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