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2 hours ago, wileECoyote said:

Great hold for BatB.  Hoping it goes up with actual.  If it challenges AiW then that's an additional 13.5M.  

 

BatB should easily beat AiW's next two weekends, where it dropped over 35% and 47% respectively. AiW made another ¥1.1 billion after its 7th weekend, but it had quite bad holds that point forward. BatB should hold much better until Pirates 5 is released and takes away most of its screens.

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Courtesy of Corpse:

 

Weekend Actuals 06/03-04)
01 (01) ¥306,083,300 ($2.7 million), -12%, ¥10,375,413,600 ($91.9 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK7
02 (---) ¥163,345,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥279,175,900 ($2.5 million), Logan (Fox) NEW
03 (---) ¥126,169,600 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥126,169,600 ($1.1 million), Flower and Sword (Toei) NEW
04 (02) ¥118,749,100 ($1.1 million), -16%, ¥440,663,600 ($3.9 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK2
05 (03) ¥82,337,300 ($746,000), -38%, ¥450,406,400 ($4.0 million), What a Wonderful Family! 2 (Shochiku) WK2
06 (04) ¥79,271,100 ($718,000), -32%, ¥6,524,530,800 ($58.4 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK8
07 (07) ¥62,910,500 ($562,000), -32%, ¥454,439,900 ($4.1 million), Peach Girl (Shochiku) WK3
08 (05) ¥55,411,800 ($502,000), -47%, ¥3,859,189,500 ($34.7 million), The Fate of the Furious (Toho-Towa) WK6
09 (08) ¥54,451,050 ($493,000), -36%, ¥403,385,550 ($3.6 million), Your Eyes (Nikkatsu) WK3
10 (09) ¥51,764,600 ($469,000), -33%, ¥1,716,211,100 ($15.2 million), Teiichi: Battle of Supreme High (Toho) WK6


>Beauty and the Beast retains its position atop the box office for a seventh-consecutive weekend, and Japanese audiences have made Japan its #1 overseas market over the weekend, surpassing its total in the UK.

Disney's latest live-action iteration became the 31st film to ever exceed ¥10 billion uber-blockbuster milestone earlier this week, and begins its journey of challenging Alice in Wonderland (¥11.80 billion) to become Disney's highest-grossing live-action film in the market. It's tracking just 3.1% behind Alice after seven weeks now, following a very similar, but higher (by 1.9%), seventh weekend gross so it's going to be close.

>Logan had a pretty disappointing debut in the market, selling 113,600 admissions over the weekend frame across 728 screens. Its debut failed to match the opening weekend of its character predecessors, coming in 12% behind The Wolverine and 11% behind X-Men: Origins It's probably not going to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, and while that mark has become very challenging for the general X-Men franchise recently, it's still disappointing.

>Flower and Sword comes in with the typically poor/mediocre debut for this time of year, selling 107,095 admissions over the weekend on 354 screens. Toei has to be somewhat satisfied considering their very poor track record with live-action films. The 16th-century period film based on the novel "Hana Ikusa" by Tadashi Onitsuka is directed by Tetsuo Shinoharad.

>Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter became the highest-grossing film in the franchise two weeks ago, and it hit another milestone this weekend by becoming the first film in the series to exceed 5 million admissions, selling 5,087,482 admissions now after eight weeks in release. Incredibly impressive, and it's almost assured to surpass Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them's admissions (5.21 million) to become the second most-attended film of the year so far.

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Weekend estimate from Corpse

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(C)2017 Disney Enterprises, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Weekend Estimates (06/10-11)
01 (01) ¥294,000,000 ($2.7 million), -04%, ¥10,925,000,000 ($96.8 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK8
02 (---) ¥285,000,000 ($2.6 million), 0, ¥285,000,000 ($2.6 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) NEW
03 (---) ¥240,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥240,000,000 ($2.2 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) NEW
04 (02) ¥90,000,000 ($815,000), -45%, ¥500,000,000 ($4.5 million), Logan (Fox) WK2
05 (04) ¥77,000,000 ($700,000), -35%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.6 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK3
06 (03) ¥74,000,000 ($670,000), -42%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), Flower and Sword (Toei) WK2
07 (---) ¥60,000,000 ($545,000), 0, ¥60,000,000 ($545,000), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) NEW
08 (06) ¥58,000,000 ($525,000), -27%, ¥6,625,000,000 ($59.3 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK9
09 (05) ¥48,000,000 ($435,000), -42%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.6 million), What a Wonderful Family! 2 (Shochiku) WK3
10 (07) ¥46,000,000 ($420,000), -27%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.0 million), Peach Girl (Toho) WK4


The race for the #1 spot this weekend is very contested between Beauty and the Beast in its eighth weekend, and the debut of Confessions of a Murderer. There's a high chance that one film will be #1 in terms of admissions, while the other ranks #1 in terms of gross. 

>Beauty and the Beast barely dropped in its eighth weekend, aiming to achieve its 8th-consecutive week atop the box office. It also closes the gap between it and Alice in Wonderland from 3.1% last week to 2.1% this week based on estimates. It's very likely to overtake Alice in the next week or two, and is almost assured to become Disney's highest-grossing live-action film of all-time as a result.  

>Confessions of a Murderer is a nice result for Warner Bros., who continues to have better success distributing domestic films. There's a 50/50 chance that it dethroned Beauty and the Beast to claim the #1 spot, but a second place start at nearly ¥300 million is quite good, especially for the month of June. It was quite stable over the weekend (flat on Sunday), so legs should be fine and could push it near a ¥2 billion ($20 million) total. The film is a remake of the 2012 South Korean film.

>Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon opens pretty well, even if it has to settle for a third place debut. There was clear signs of frontloading occurring over the weekend, but a total over ¥1 billion ($10 million) is a lock, and it might finish closer to ¥1.5 billion ($15 million). The film is set three years after the events of the popular Fuji TV drama (13.9% avg.) of the same name, based around housewives having affairs while their husbands are at work.

 

 

 

Great hold for BatB.  So at least 1B¥ at least.  How much more can it get?

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Weekend 
 Confessions of a Murderer 320M
Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon  294M
BATB 287m/10.96B
 
Spoiler

Most Weekends at #1 [1998-]
16 - Frozen (2014)
16 - Spirited Away (2001)
14 - Armageddon (1998)
13 - Your Name. (2016)
10 - Avatar (2009)
9 - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
9 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
9 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
9 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
9 - Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999)
8 - The Eternal Zero (2013)
8 - The Wind Rises (2013)
8 - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
8 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
7 - Beauty and the Beast (2017) 
7 - Alice in Wonderland (2010)

7 - Hero (2007)
7 - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
7 - The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers (2003)
7 - Spider-Man (2002)
7 - The Sixth Sense (1999)
6 - Big Hero 6 (2014)
6 - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
6 - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
6 - 20th Century Boys: The Last Chapter (2009)
6 - Ponyo (2008)
6 - The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe (2006)
6 - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
6 - Finding Nemo (2003)
6 - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
6 - The Matrix (1999)
6+

 
 
Edited by Olive
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39 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

phenomenal hold for Beast. Can it hit 13B?

I think high end is 12.5B , competitions will be tougher when July starts.

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Corpse says BatB will lose majority of its theaters/screens when Pirates 5 releases (apparently a Disney tradition to move screens to its biggest opener). Might be out of theaters a few weeks later (Alice left theaters completely after 12 weeks). Beating Alice (11.8B) looks locked though thanks to the holds these past few weeks.

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Source: Corpse forum

Here is the list of the biggest ninth weekends that Beauty and the Beast will be added to after Sunday; it's aiming for the 11th-13th spots.

Biggest Ninth Weekends/Nine Week Totals (2000-)

01. ¥737.8 million ($7.2 million), -34%, ¥17.08 billion ($167.4 million) - Frozen (2014)
02. ¥650.0 million ($5.8 million), -07%, ¥19.98 billion ($171.7 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
03. ¥476.3 million ($4.6 million), +02%, ¥16.41 billion ($159.8 million) - Your Name. (2016)
04. ¥419.2 million ($4.0 million), +21%, ¥10.47 billion ($98.8 million) - The Last Samurai (2003)
05. ¥404.7 million ($4.4 million), -20%, ¥11.87 billion ($131.1 million) - Avatar (2009)
06. ¥377.4 million ($3.1 million), -11%, ¥15.27 billion ($129.6 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
07. ¥343.5 million ($3.4 million), -45%, ¥15.76 billion ($154.9 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
08. ¥324.9 million ($3.4 million), -29%, ¥10.62 billion ($108.7 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
09. ¥296.5 million ($2.2 million), -31%, ¥17.89 billion ($133.2 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
10. ¥278.1 million ($2.2 million), -45%, ¥15.23 billion ($129.6 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
11. ¥259.9 million ($2.4 million), -31%, ¥13.88 billion ($129.2 million) - Ponyo (2008)
12. ¥214.9 million ($2.0 million), -11%, ¥10.29 billion ($97.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
13. ¥201.2 million ($1.9 million), -51%, ¥11.92 billion ($108.4 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
14. ¥200.3 million ($1.9 million), -30%, ¥6.91 billion ($64.0 million) - Zootopia (2016)
¥200 million+

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From corpse as well, 

From friday's report

Weekend Forecast (06/17-18)
01 (03) ¥226,000,000 ($2.0 million), -21%, ¥11,400,000,000 ($101.0 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK9
02 (01) ¥224,000,000 ($2.0 million), -30%, ¥825,000,000 ($7.4 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) WK2
03 (02) ¥186,000,000 ($1.7 million), -37%, ¥850,000,000 ($7.6 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) WK2
04 (---) ¥170,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥170,000,000 ($1.5 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) NEW
05 (---) ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Calls the Stars(Aniplex) NEW
06 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($900,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($900,000), King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (Warner Bros.) NEW
07 (05) ¥48,000,000 ($435,000), -40%, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) WK2
08 (04) ¥47,000,000 ($425,000), -46%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.7 million), Logan (Fox) WK3
09 (06) ¥46,000,000 ($415,000), -37%, ¥750,000,000 ($6.8 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK4
10 (08) ¥39,000,000 ($350,000), -31%, ¥6,700,000,000 ($60.1 million), Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Toho) WK10


It's another very tough weekend to call what film will come out on top: 

>Confessions of a Murderer is seeking to retain its position on top; meanwhile, Beauty and the Beast is looking to reclaim the #1 spot (and will exceed $100 million over the weekend, too). Based on pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales, it's too close to say which will earn the gold this weekend, so we've gotta wait and see how the weekend plays out. And they may not be alone in their attempt to take the #1 spot...

>The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Calls the Stars, based on the light-novels and anime, could be the dark horse to win this weekend. It has very strong pre-sales representing ~28% of its available first day admissions, so it could reach a 50% sell-through rate today. The problem is that it's only playing on 59 screens, so it's limited in its potential. However, if it delivers big today, which appears to be the case, and achieves a good Sunday... it could be a #1 contender since its avg. ticket price is likely to be very high.

>Innocent Curse is the latest film from director Takashi Shimizu, and is heading for a modest debut that's in-line with most high-profile horror films. 

>King Arthur: Legend of the Sword is looking to disappoint with a debut around ¥100 million, or may very well bomb if it misses that mark which is possible. Nothing too surprising here, though, given the reviews, poor marketing, and general lack of interest.

 

 

Saturday Report:

>Confessions of a Murderer was down just 25% compared to last Saturday, giving it a strong advantage to repeat atop the box office for a second weekend. Warner Bros. will be very pleased since the film is looking to be their biggest release so far in 2017, with it currently on track to out-gross Kong: Skull Island.

>Beauty and the Beast held very well, down 27% from last Saturday, but it's not quite good enough to reclaim the #1 spot in its ninth weekend unless it delivers a remarkable Sunday performance.

>The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Calls the Stars sold ~52% of its available tickets on Saturday, and while I'm sure its avg. ticket price will be very high, the strong holds from the holdovers will prevent any chance of a surprise #1 debut. Still, it could definitely do ¥150 million+ ($1.5 million), which would be very impressive given the screen count of just 59.

>Innocent Curse got off to an expected so-so start and is eyeing a debut around ¥150 million ($1.3 million), quite standard for a higher profile horror release. 

>King Arthur: Legend of the Sword bombed, missing the Top 5, and will likely miss ¥100 million (sub-$1 million) over the weekend.

Edited by titanic2187
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Beauty and the Beast is now locked to cross Alice in Wonderland as the highest grossing live-action Disney film. It is also very likely to surpass The Wind Rises (¥12.02 billion) to become the 18th highest grossing movie in Japan. 

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Weekend Estimates (06/17-18)
01 (01) ¥249,000,000 ($2.2 million), -22%, ¥850,000,000 ($7.6 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) WK2
02 (03) ¥215,000,000 ($1.9 million), -25%, ¥11,400,000,000 ($101.0 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK9
03 (02) ¥182,000,000 ($1.6 million), -38%, ¥850,000,000 ($7.6 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) WK2
04 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) NEW
04 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.3 million), The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Calls the Stars(Aniplex) NEW
06 (---) ¥80,000,000 ($725,000), 0, ¥80,000,000 ($725,000), King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (Warner Bros.) NEW
07 (05) ¥46,000,000 ($415,000), -42%, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) WK2
08 (06) ¥45,000,000 ($405,000), -40%, ¥750,000,000 ($6.8 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK4
09 (04) ¥43,000,000 ($390,000), -52%, ¥625,000,000 ($5.7 million), Logan (Fox) WK3
09 (08) ¥43,000,000 ($390,000), -41%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), Flower and Sword (Toei) WK3


>Confessions of a Murderer delivered a great second weekend hold, and secured its position atop the box office for a second weekend. The film will soon catch up with Kong: Skull Island, and another week or two of strong holds will probably result it surpassing Kong to become Warner Bros.' biggest film of 2017 so far. 

>Beauty and the Beast held very well in its ninth weekend, but was unable to reclaim the #1 position. Its ninth weekend, however, is only the 15th time (since at least 2000) a film has earned over ¥200 million, and based on estimates, it's the 12th biggest ninth weekend of all-time as well. Very impressive. 

The film has also overtaken Alice in Wonderland at the same point in release, and will become Disney's highest-grossing live action film in Japan in two or three weeks as it aims for a total a bit above ¥12 billion (~$110 million).

>The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Calls the Stars sold out of an impressive 42% of its available weekend admissions, and since it's likely to have a very high avg. ticket price, likely managed a Top 5 debut despite playing on just 59 screens. 

>Innocent Curse is the latest film from director Takashi Shimizu, is estimated to have opened with a standard debut for a high-profile film in the horror genre. 

>King Arthur: Legend of the Sword bombed with a debut below ¥100 million, but at least Warner Bros. has Confessions to rely on this month. Nothing too surprising here, though, given the reviews, poor marketing, and general lack of interest.
 
Updated estimated figure from corpse.
 
 
Biggest Ninth Weekends/Nine Week Totals (2000-)

01. ¥737.8 million ($7.2 million), -34%, ¥17.08 billion ($167.4 million) - Frozen (2014)
02. ¥650.0 million ($5.8 million), -07%, ¥19.98 billion ($171.7 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
03. ¥476.3 million ($4.6 million), +02%, ¥16.41 billion ($159.8 million) - Your Name. (2016)
04. ¥419.2 million ($4.0 million), +21%, ¥10.47 billion ($98.8 million) - The Last Samurai (2003)
05. ¥404.7 million ($4.4 million), -20%, ¥11.87 billion ($131.1 million) - Avatar (2009)
06. ¥377.4 million ($3.1 million), -11%, ¥15.27 billion ($129.6 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
07. ¥343.5 million ($3.4 million), -45%, ¥15.76 billion ($154.9 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
08. ¥324.9 million ($3.4 million), -29%, ¥10.62 billion ($108.7 million) - The Wind Rises (2013)
09. ¥296.5 million ($2.2 million), -31%, ¥17.89 billion ($133.2 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
10. ¥278.1 million ($2.2 million), -45%, ¥15.23 billion ($129.6 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
11. ¥259.9 million ($2.4 million), -31%, ¥13.88 billion ($129.2 million) - Ponyo (2008)
12. ¥215.0 million ($1.9 million), -25%, ¥11.40 billion ($101.0 million) - Beauty and the Beast (2017) *Estimate*
13. ¥214.9 million ($2.0 million), -11%, ¥10.29 billion ($97.1 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
14. ¥201.2 million ($1.9 million), -51%, ¥11.92 billion ($108.4 million) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
15. ¥200.3 million ($1.9 million), -30%, ¥6.91 billion ($64.0 million) - Zootopia (2016)

¥200 million+
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Weekend Actuals (06/17-18)
01 (01) ¥262,276,500 ($2.3 million), -19%, ¥926,493,700 ($8.3 million), Confessions of a Murderer (Warner Bros.) WK2
02 (03) ¥220,337,700 ($2.0 million), -23%, ¥11,415,011,600 ($101.1 million), Beauty and the Beast (Disney) WK9
03 (02) ¥193,879,900 ($1.7 million), -35%, ¥986,029,000 ($8.7 million), Hirugao: Love Affairs in the Afternoon (Toho) WK2
04 (---) ¥162,979,360 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥162,979,360 ($1.4 million), The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Summons Stars(Aniplex) NEW
05 (---) ¥149,550,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥149,550,000 ($1.3 million), Innocent Curse (Shochiku) NEW
06 (---) ¥84,693,800 ($758,000), 0, ¥84,693,800 ($758,000), King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (Warner Bros.) NEW
07 (08) ¥48,214,700 ($432,000), -38%, ¥520,693,100 ($4.7 million), Flower and Sword (Toei) WK3
08 (06) ¥45,814,100 ($410,000), -39%, ¥749,569,500 ($6.8 million), To Each His Own (Toho) WK4
09 (04) ¥43,169,000 ($386,000), -52%, ¥623,425,200 ($5.7 million), Logan (Fox) WK3
10 (05) ¥40,265,200 ($361,000), -50%, ¥172,490,900 ($1.5 million), King of Prism: Pride the Hero (Avex Pictures) WK2


>Confessions of a Murderer delivered an excellent second weekend hold and achieved a second-consecutive week atop the box office, selling a further 180,154 admissions. The film is on track for a total around ¥2 billion ($20 million), which will be enough to surpass Kong: Skull Island to become Warner Bros.' biggest film of 2017 so far.

>Beauty and the Beast held very well in its ninth weekend, but was unable to reclaim the #1 position. Its ninth weekend, however, is only the 15th time (since at least 2000) that a film has earned over ¥200 million; also, it's the 12th biggest ninth weekend of all-time. Disney's latest live-action iteration has also overtaken Alice in Wonderland at the same point in their respective releases, and will become Disney's highest-grossing live action film in Japan in two or three weeks. It's aiming for a total between ¥12.0-12.5 billion (~$110 million), which is enough for a spot on the All-Time Top 20 list.

>The Irregular at Magic High School: The Girl Who Summons Stars sold over 40% of its available weekend admissions, selling 106,796 tickets over the weekend on just 59 screens. This is certainly one of the more impressive debuts of 2017 so far, given the limited release, and continues Aniplex's streak of successful anime films. 

>Innocent Curse is the latest film from director Takashi Shimizu, selling a decent 120,436 admissions on 251 screens in its debut. While the opening is the definition of mediocre, it's fairly good for a horror film and I doubt anyone is too disappointing by its performance.

>King Arthur: Legend of the Sword bombed with a debut below ¥100 million, selling only 62,304 admissions across 394 screens over the weekend. Nothing too surprising here, though, given the reviews, poor marketing, and general lack of interest.
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BATB up to 11.81B yen, biggest Disney movie in Japan

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Hacksaw redge OW 105M yen, weak but expected.

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3 minutes ago, Olive said:

Hacksaw redge OW 105M yen, weak but expected.

 

Saw Hacksaw Ridge last week. A really good film

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5 minutes ago, Olive said:

Hacksaw redge OW 105M yen, weak but expected.

What do you think about upcoming WW release in later August? Another weak CBM's result?

Edited by KeepItU25071906

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No chart this week?

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4 hours ago, Olive said:

BATB up to 11.81B yen, biggest Disney movie in Japan

 

Frozen is Disney's biggest movie in Japan, but BatB get past Alice in Wonderland as its biggest live-action film.

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